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Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$140K vol$1242K liq11/4/2026
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
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RESOLUTION
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PoliticsElectionsGeopolitics17d left$140k vol $1.2M liq