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Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nA permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:\n\n- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.\n\n- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be 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x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?","0xbbc6689d0f6d57ea42168836712237c7308b3e0118c8914d31b6126d0f3254c5","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-april-22-2026","2026-04-22T00:00:00Z","2026-04-08T16:16:14.414324Z","[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","[\"0\", \"1\"]","26051734.516940523","2026-04-08T16:01:11.063822Z","2026-04-24T07:35:59.939072Z","2026-04-23 07:34:32+00","0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","April 22","0","0xc1803b659426dddde273d5c6198f5b3835b53d4301e533e0590b42f5a11a00f7","2026-04-23T07:34:32Z",0.001,5,"resolved",26051734.516940523,"2026-04-22","2026-04-08","[\"10355316169421062771540371697837923442956106006258739802114788264214901200573\", \"112998834930140849739317686306046962022222428099467375077336504369963794934957\"]","500","5",0,"2026-04-08T16:15:09Z",200,4.5,-0.004,-0.2145,"[\"proposed\", \"disputed\", 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x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?","0xceb6dfaa2cf5abc9d47ebc867b984a7715104944249274e8a483a2e17473e5f5","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-april-30-2026-925","2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","2026-04-08T16:16:30.033Z","24173101.268068768","2026-04-08T16:01:11.581938Z","2026-05-02T07:24:25.698492Z","2026-05-01 07:20:50+00","April 30","2","0xc632d4b9a33b093c15a28a23401e16c438c25debe936c9bc89ea045079893460","2026-05-01T07:20:50Z",24173101.268068768,"2026-04-30","[\"64575112906857627673396031002364315784778510108272214779568803819416675082435\", 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x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-june-30-2026-837-641-896-877-363-892-537","181212.4366","2026-04-12T20:50:20.876Z","[\"0.595\", \"0.405\"]","13839776.443381257","2026-04-12T20:47:43.363632Z","2026-05-25T20:54:25.257842Z","June 30","12","0xf214eceb5c5761b24a5957a6bff8f01be990b84925eaf38303f98c506602702c",13839776.443381257,181212.4366,"2026-04-12",374412.27303900017,3688128.6412400026,11789248.682709018,13839776.443381066,"[\"31867385211987925701696042012772036156561382644688734856312468506547392739862\", 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x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?","0x084a4aac9da433824013ad192196193d7d1bd8293c0fedc9eb7e687909fd1d0f","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-april-24-2026","2026-04-24T00:00:00Z","2026-04-21T21:33:58.140421Z","2840339.1436810005","2026-04-21T21:30:03.336684Z","2026-04-26T06:32:51.347206Z","2026-04-25 06:42:24+00","April 24","1","0xb29b0b18fb787ac730a67b34ec67ccc90169d14ba0a64d641035e0514e7147a4","2026-04-25T06:42:24Z",2840339.1436810005,"2026-04-24","2026-04-21","[\"73451767581833755534290283287150634572320766963843705278849195665912417601921\", 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x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?","0x1db02ba50e2312a62b4104de691cc7a76065d8d0da40decf93eb1b914a3217b7","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-may-15-2026-144-885-839","2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","2026-04-27T18:01:34.056Z","18446435.319120057","2026-04-27T17:57:26.826183Z","2026-05-17T06:51:12.987614Z","2026-05-16 06:49:05+00","May 15","6","0xcc45aa168698958561607c01e306b6f7de8a0c33a36f250bad3aa481d4a0606c","2026-05-16T06:49:05Z",18446435.319120057,"2026-05-15","2026-04-27","[\"88304163265734087403223321042172792808390195323159743956352682998398711353447\", 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x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?","0x9769f78cbc95a5ed11895e6064bac471d8fd8f930b260cf581b68d3f58630d27","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-december-31-2026-961-587-341-574-555","231585.1199","2026-05-04T14:49:25.357Z","[\"0.825\", \"0.175\"]","4599941.585228983","2026-05-04T14:43:12.533867Z","2026-05-25T20:50:35.015855Z","December 31","14","0xe4c3323629875ad28983657cf5de9a2c3670a8957433a42e226aba29a902126e",4599941.585228983,231585.1199,"2026-12-31","2026-05-04",218270.65280300003,2428658.901168,4599941.585228997,"[\"104718292808309433767402444061650910790437726449955521731268760928480423099204\", 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President Trump has described a memorandum of understanding as largely negotiated, potentially reopening the Strait of Hormuz, easing sanctions, and addressing Iran's nuclear and ballistic missile programs through a phased framework involving multiple regional states. Remaining disputes over specific language and timelines persist, with Iranian officials indicating finalization is not imminent despite recent progress reports. These negotiations, building on earlier 2025-2026 attempts that collapsed into conflict, shape assessments of prospects for any enduring agreement within set windows.","2026-05-25T20:45:45.767Z",{"id":523,"ticker":524,"slug":524,"title":525,"description":526,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":527,"creationDate":528,"image":529,"icon":529,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":14,"restricted":14,"liquidity":530,"volume":531,"openInterest":532,"createdAt":533,"updatedAt":534,"competitive":535,"volume24hr":536,"volume1wk":537,"volume1mo":537,"volume1yr":537,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":530,"negRisk":15,"commentCount":538,"markets":539,"tags":901,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"gmpChartMode":518,"negRiskAugmented":15,"featuredOrder":906,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":907},"504099","iran-ceasefire-continues-through","Iran ceasefire continues through...?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET).  Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. Accordingly, this market will remain open for one calendar day following the listed end date to allow for confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action occurring near the deadline.\n\nA qualifying \"kinetic military action\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. \n\nKinetic action against Iranian forces which do not occur within Iranian terrestrial territory will not qualify. \n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","2026-05-20T03:28:14.372598Z","2026-05-20T03:28:14.372577Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002FIran Peace-2da5a9033d.png",1136516.07534,25593552.95462102,3352843.461632,"2026-05-20T01:24:58.946296Z","2026-05-25T20:55:03.985428Z",0.9869476177551876,3884714.5227899966,14461908.71572398,222,[540,560,587,613,640,664,682,698,724,745,769,796,816,845,870],{"id":541,"question":542,"conditionId":543,"slug":544,"startDate":545,"image":529,"icon":529,"description":526,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":546,"volume":547,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":548,"updatedAt":549,"closedTime":550,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":551,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":552,"umaEndDate":553,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":554,"startDateIso":555,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":556,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":554,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":557,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":47,"lastTradePrice":558,"bestBid":558,"bestAsk":449,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":559,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2308194","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?","0x276a14b8bc1bc374bebd16407761d530528a05097d2bc53524ba21d38842d5f3","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-20","2026-05-20T03:23:10.465326Z","[\"1\", \"0\"]","507173.5936950005","2026-05-20T01:24:59.343685Z","2026-05-23T06:23:26.957242Z","2026-05-22 06:17:41+00","May 20","0x76e93a9c03f3c7e7f341f08c42e8f250d237d09eeb981072acd5e42c37817662","2026-05-22T06:17:41Z",507173.5936950005,"2026-05-20","[\"15398441368046781746896197847827526608323224921081539132532994837992185448989\", \"105714822627627056670037828185602425495996640507959543887948958720491127802557\"]","2026-05-20T03:22:15Z",0.999,"2026-05-20T03:20:28.681766Z",{"id":561,"question":562,"conditionId":563,"slug":564,"resolutionSource":9,"liquidity":565,"startDate":566,"image":529,"icon":529,"description":526,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":567,"volume":568,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":569,"updatedAt":570,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":571,"groupItemThreshold":385,"questionID":572,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":573,"liquidityNum":574,"startDateIso":555,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":575,"volume1wk":576,"volume1mo":576,"volume1yr":576,"clobTokenIds":577,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":575,"volume1wkClob":576,"volume1moClob":576,"volume1yrClob":576,"volumeClob":573,"liquidityClob":574,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":578,"cyom":15,"competitive":579,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":580,"oneDayPriceChange":581,"oneHourPriceChange":582,"lastTradePrice":583,"bestBid":584,"bestAsk":585,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":586,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2308198","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?","0x656ee3fe28d2f23b12f3e5616161274a1456dc5e355fd97d3ad1d07c7c972f48","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-27-496","41393.12898","2026-05-20T03:23:28.584Z","[\"0.945\", \"0.055\"]","802542.4811579996","2026-05-20T01:25:00.762038Z","2026-05-25T20:53:09.159673Z","May 27","0x96a29b61e9b641fed544c96579bf558878d7e98ff3ca87337d6d4c414a47597f",802542.4811579996,41393.12898,162802.56293299998,802542.481158,"[\"45543282019034060802984057965824792338565642650902006229319531221910318949897\", \"44316666390443689274223129391729436785703505542309041774644090281492398391929\"]","2026-05-20T03:22:32Z",0.8347071221385196,0.006,0.07,-0.0135,0.946,0.942,0.948,"2026-05-20T03:20:28.695987Z",{"id":588,"question":589,"conditionId":590,"slug":591,"resolutionSource":9,"liquidity":592,"startDate":593,"image":529,"icon":529,"description":526,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":594,"volume":595,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":596,"updatedAt":597,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":100,"groupItemThreshold":101,"questionID":598,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":599,"liquidityNum":600,"startDateIso":555,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":601,"volume1wk":602,"volume1mo":602,"volume1yr":602,"clobTokenIds":603,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":601,"volume1wkClob":602,"volume1moClob":602,"volume1yrClob":602,"volumeClob":599,"liquidityClob":600,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":604,"cyom":15,"competitive":605,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":606,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":333,"oneDayPriceChange":334,"oneHourPriceChange":609,"lastTradePrice":610,"bestBid":611,"bestAsk":610,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":612,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2308200","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?","0x46c09232d356fdbe5e4e543ce1a4e90c84a6e3bd4668a24852fd25563e36b32a","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-31-654-633","43931.451","2026-05-20T03:22:39.524Z","[\"0.89\", \"0.11\"]","1432048.7439910022","2026-05-20T01:25:01.067756Z","2026-05-25T20:54:23.640088Z","0x7677980003321b36d08a7d4f08394f95d40896b842b6f461da93eab56bf8e4e4",1432048.7439910022,43931.451,337459.31607899984,1432048.7439909992,"[\"6798652236717106822146830689866173152460946584820952015996016647949363011517\", \"98229450218965904077819542620851909313146877475620823382687376889253616234380\"]","2026-05-20T03:21:43Z",0.8679802100512108,[607],{"id":608,"conditionId":590,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":331,"startDate":555,"endDate":120},"380413",-0.035,0.9,0.88,"2026-05-20T03:20:28.678819Z",{"id":614,"question":615,"conditionId":616,"slug":617,"resolutionSource":9,"liquidity":618,"startDate":619,"image":529,"icon":529,"description":526,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":620,"volume":621,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":622,"updatedAt":623,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":316,"groupItemThreshold":624,"questionID":625,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":626,"liquidityNum":627,"startDateIso":555,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":628,"volume1wk":629,"volume1mo":629,"volume1yr":629,"clobTokenIds":630,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":628,"volume1wkClob":629,"volume1moClob":629,"volume1yrClob":629,"volumeClob":626,"liquidityClob":627,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":631,"cyom":15,"competitive":632,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":633,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":103,"oneDayPriceChange":636,"oneHourPriceChange":263,"lastTradePrice":637,"bestBid":637,"bestAsk":638,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":639,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2308204","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?","0x5c630cce90873c62161bdd6994b02f9c8e3203a858f578456b7bfae936cc04c8","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-july-31-157-645","41673.6029","2026-05-20T03:22:51.62Z","[\"0.675\", \"0.325\"]","73523.07928500003","2026-05-20T01:25:02.33024Z","2026-05-25T20:55:17.625243Z","13","0x6d0e9e4d5454383b1b7b74707ed5065ba1d4035a197dd913eb414df73eec4d68",73523.07928500003,41673.6029,12811.670404,73523.079285,"[\"70762825194445170806696524728361956024778702245430463700200806964171097893209\", \"31763956490313531771682517032699765028922040015198424083117393576859509833443\"]","2026-05-20T03:21:55Z",0.9702850212249848,[634],{"id":635,"conditionId":616,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":454,"startDate":555,"endDate":120},"380415",0.08,0.67,0.68,"2026-05-20T03:20:28.693231Z",{"id":641,"question":642,"conditionId":643,"slug":644,"resolutionSource":9,"liquidity":645,"startDate":646,"image":529,"icon":529,"description":526,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":647,"volume":648,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":649,"updatedAt":650,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":222,"groupItemThreshold":223,"questionID":651,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":652,"liquidityNum":653,"startDateIso":555,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":654,"volume1wk":655,"volume1mo":655,"volume1yr":655,"clobTokenIds":656,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":654,"volume1wkClob":655,"volume1moClob":655,"volume1yrClob":655,"volumeClob":652,"liquidityClob":653,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":657,"cyom":15,"competitive":658,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":659,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":103,"oneDayPriceChange":125,"oneHourPriceChange":123,"lastTradePrice":163,"bestBid":163,"bestAsk":662,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":663,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2308205","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?","0xa025157628d2824a12bb4b3aa8476cbe1ffebfb7d983d9fc7dfaf906381084f8","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-december-31-395-943","61834.381","2026-05-20T03:22:36.389Z","[\"0.605\", \"0.395\"]","213360.26190199988","2026-05-20T01:25:02.656114Z","2026-05-25T20:54:49.230434Z","0x2b1a52d63ebfd35b9fc2c894e1766e0d067406984b3bca15bfa9e484a68977a0",213360.26190199988,61834.381,25068.445538000004,213360.2619020001,"[\"9321848051180067162998979381729271701604545978564574168749956587031393306859\", \"645878524797034105122694990445752559776294379635293598249285743334881658536\"]","2026-05-20T03:21:38Z",0.9890952251428006,[660],{"id":661,"conditionId":643,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":157,"startDate":555,"endDate":120},"380417",0.61,"2026-05-20T03:20:28.675975Z",{"id":665,"question":666,"conditionId":667,"slug":668,"startDate":669,"image":529,"icon":529,"description":526,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":546,"volume":670,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":671,"updatedAt":672,"closedTime":673,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":674,"groupItemThreshold":178,"questionID":675,"umaEndDate":676,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":677,"startDateIso":555,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":678,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":677,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":679,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":680,"lastTradePrice":558,"bestBid":558,"bestAsk":449,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":681,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2308195","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?","0x393fb0be5ca5832188657b34ad914c8f24a3ea6dfca233d1b996aba14399b48f","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-21","2026-05-20T03:22:36.649574Z","1343114.0963930092","2026-05-20T01:24:59.656827Z","2026-05-24T06:30:21.937785Z","2026-05-23 06:12:15+00","May 21","0xbf0dec5a0c49fbddeebf273a4a8f1d8b76dbbf770914185d74550edbce782aa4","2026-05-23T06:12:15Z",1343114.0963930092,"[\"74257523463063023273742573330145283889427051176085883328253105581515193564468\", 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the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?","0x4997c22d314ed5e9f3712e46eb4847441b51fa730d10ad26240afa85f5d902be","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-22","2026-05-20T03:22:53.427586Z","9281356.548808977","2026-05-20T01:24:59.970904Z","2026-05-25T05:48:25.136273Z","2026-05-24 06:11:51+00","0xc9874fa0da59b0f197c3ea1413b877cc6a98a42111b0876b76194ba737a7bedb","2026-05-24T06:11:51Z",9281356.548808977,"[\"76544411040338411257599295295012643198330676736043352920758376546775086323514\", 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the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?","0x4023fae82e2914ce29c6abc62d4353a7ea1eeaca5dd73b27faeead9abbee790f","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-june-7-849","31428.1805","2026-05-20T03:22:34.33Z","[\"0.835\", \"0.165\"]","211044.58454899993","2026-05-20T01:25:01.391201Z","2026-05-25T20:51:06.341181Z","0xe6fa752cfcc718dcaa0293b71cb6d49d07126fd37c7d2f762704e8ac3e8913dc",211044.58454899993,31428.1805,91437.312561,211044.58454900002,"[\"68060545619806529188585182008653421338044061834461612376907971084091872283407\", \"106918836070665732375515777280121447330124183374337053371237246608919591568629\"]","2026-05-20T03:21:36Z",0.8990986535997662,[718],{"id":719,"conditionId":701,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":720,"startDate":555,"endDate":120},"380412",100,-0.04,0.84,"2026-05-20T03:20:28.684896Z",{"id":725,"question":726,"conditionId":727,"slug":728,"resolutionSource":9,"liquidity":729,"startDate":730,"image":529,"icon":529,"description":526,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":731,"volume":732,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":733,"updatedAt":734,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":735,"groupItemThreshold":277,"questionID":736,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":737,"liquidityNum":738,"startDateIso":555,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":739,"volume1wk":740,"volume1mo":740,"volume1yr":740,"clobTokenIds":741,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":739,"volume1wkClob":740,"volume1moClob":740,"volume1yrClob":740,"volumeClob":737,"liquidityClob":738,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":696,"cyom":15,"competitive":742,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":47,"oneDayPriceChange":743,"lastTradePrice":558,"bestBid":558,"bestAsk":449,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":744,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2308197","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?","0xd7540d64e03b1894ececcbb54c02b88d9c5c0e854ba66ec4e1ece20477994ac5","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-24-733","676237.37521","2026-05-20T03:22:53.683Z","[\"0.9995\", \"0.0005\"]","5898920.942783042","2026-05-20T01:25:00.451732Z","2026-05-25T20:55:30.582578Z","May 24","0x0379f54330b16515ac22561e1afcf219d3f9d45da757ae99ebea2a7ff4603a68",5898920.942783042,676237.37521,1740203.1849759973,5898920.942782985,"[\"66902292002298886203346771040056530419935679784084512135573484656394546021214\", \"46033958507493169857904838102936589464101605045185538155155508351893505173874\"]",0.8003199679231757,0.019,"2026-05-20T03:20:28.966768Z",{"id":746,"question":747,"conditionId":748,"slug":749,"resolutionSource":9,"liquidity":750,"startDate":751,"image":529,"icon":529,"description":526,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":752,"volume":753,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":754,"updatedAt":755,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":351,"groupItemThreshold":317,"questionID":756,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":757,"liquidityNum":758,"startDateIso":555,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":759,"volume1wk":757,"volume1mo":757,"volume1yr":757,"clobTokenIds":760,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":759,"volume1wkClob":757,"volume1moClob":757,"volume1yrClob":757,"volumeClob":757,"liquidityClob":758,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":761,"cyom":15,"competitive":762,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":763,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":333,"oneDayPriceChange":766,"oneHourPriceChange":609,"lastTradePrice":241,"bestBid":767,"bestAsk":240,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":768,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2308202","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?","0x13419cc3e895bf60225558dadd022c11597814a40ea15b25f99539a111ca5592","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-june-15-136-565","39875.9196","2026-05-20T03:23:58.273Z","[\"0.82\", \"0.18\"]","236449.08802299987","2026-05-20T01:25:01.708526Z","2026-05-25T20:54:34.357321Z","0xfaceb42f31cf96425aba15259afe62fc0c214e58fc2da66ceee5018ddad77d30",236449.08802299987,39875.9196,57308.044569,"[\"34469572488210314097583597667062358347218319345138346157322364624566803169286\", \"104196724554194903168126955583385281686104802872026043428241401762355656983977\"]","2026-05-20T03:23:02Z",0.9071117561683599,[764],{"id":765,"conditionId":748,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":157,"startDate":555,"endDate":120},"380421",0.065,0.81,"2026-05-20T03:20:28.698709Z",{"id":770,"question":771,"conditionId":772,"slug":773,"resolutionSource":9,"liquidity":774,"startDate":775,"image":529,"icon":529,"description":526,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":776,"volume":777,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":778,"updatedAt":779,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":141,"groupItemThreshold":142,"questionID":780,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":781,"liquidityNum":782,"startDateIso":555,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":783,"volume1wk":784,"volume1mo":784,"volume1yr":784,"clobTokenIds":785,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":783,"volume1wkClob":784,"volume1moClob":784,"volume1yrClob":784,"volumeClob":781,"liquidityClob":782,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":786,"cyom":15,"competitive":787,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":788,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":103,"oneDayPriceChange":791,"oneHourPriceChange":792,"lastTradePrice":793,"bestBid":794,"bestAsk":337,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":795,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2308203","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?","0x0425c582c43e27c6d74af7a553c1ce68b32bacdc77f0b23d62cdfe8aa1da0556","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-june-30-529-427","25792.316","2026-05-20T03:22:37.706Z","[\"0.725\", \"0.275\"]","192554.7834779999","2026-05-20T01:25:02.02071Z","2026-05-25T20:55:25.867686Z","0x33d16ca7e3fccff574daf3119a83d1c4f6b999c34b426ce6fc26ef10754fc598",192554.7834779999,25792.316,41303.001838,192554.78347800008,"[\"80087235532872821566701969299501386943572593589504782878991143809495484956238\", \"40897985910439195171182251168142595892630256015532646100009459741967055000508\"]","2026-05-20T03:21:41Z",0.9518143961927424,[789],{"id":790,"conditionId":772,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":157,"startDate":555,"endDate":120},"380418",0.03,-0.03,0.74,0.72,"2026-05-20T03:20:28.969947Z",{"id":797,"question":798,"conditionId":799,"slug":800,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":801,"startDate":802,"image":529,"icon":529,"description":526,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":546,"volume":803,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":804,"updatedAt":805,"closedTime":806,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":438,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":807,"groupItemThreshold":255,"questionID":808,"umaEndDate":809,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":810,"endDateIso":453,"startDateIso":389,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":811,"volume1wk":812,"volume1mo":812,"volume1yr":812,"clobTokenIds":813,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":811,"volume1wkClob":812,"volume1moClob":812,"volume1yrClob":812,"volumeClob":810,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":814,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":454,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":680,"lastTradePrice":558,"bestBid":558,"bestAsk":449,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":815,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2334096","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?","0x1eeb910620bfa52c348ca5b166c33230a0b142bec858d4fa46df18aeecbcecc0","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-23","2026-05-23T00:00:00Z","2026-05-22T21:55:27.227919Z","3224533.7693169867","2026-05-22T21:23:12.451464Z","2026-05-25T20:55:58.503152Z","2026-05-25 06:09:15+00","May 23","0xac8d9e6f26f0d2f58bf50101046b2530d657f90fe79d66d5101b5680ad7ea1d7","2026-05-25T06:09:15Z",3224533.7693169867,78049.86,3224533.769316996,"[\"62039857034766057537849114652768454493067489371721608659355640857121089800565\", \"68144541492593310909960555847119148596329352515100303750992724804378164766895\"]","2026-05-22T21:54:31Z","2026-05-22T21:25:43.617127Z",{"id":817,"question":818,"conditionId":819,"slug":820,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":821,"liquidity":822,"startDate":823,"image":529,"icon":529,"description":526,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":824,"volume":825,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":826,"updatedAt":827,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":438,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":828,"groupItemThreshold":55,"questionID":829,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":830,"liquidityNum":831,"endDateIso":832,"startDateIso":389,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":833,"volume1wk":834,"volume1mo":834,"volume1yr":834,"clobTokenIds":835,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":833,"volume1wkClob":834,"volume1moClob":834,"volume1yrClob":834,"volumeClob":830,"liquidityClob":831,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":836,"cyom":15,"competitive":837,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":454,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":838,"oneDayPriceChange":839,"oneHourPriceChange":840,"lastTradePrice":841,"bestBid":842,"bestAsk":843,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":844,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2334097","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?","0xa743ce4a2a42aa232c2caa41aa27837ff1cde07781a1e9a726342065c3d86ba6","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-25","2026-05-25T00:00:00Z","40807.29606","2026-05-22T21:55:29.041084Z","[\"0.9605\", \"0.0395\"]","1540938.5446680044","2026-05-22T21:23:13.67883Z","2026-05-25T20:49:18.967111Z","May 25","0x15564f01cfed53a4e0a920bc63d2cb08db779133b13d5c03fe3123a01e5b8fa5",1540938.5446680044,40807.29606,"2026-05-25",998955.2982349993,1547287.871256999,"[\"113865710444133629761199846077082796444758795994679834501128988577218650096183\", \"71134714016228456703422990700031493034757465509267241299940388386656655055536\"]","2026-05-22T21:54:33Z",0.8250414944306605,0.007,0.0165,-0.0295,0.966,0.957,0.964,"2026-05-22T21:25:43.377939Z",{"id":846,"question":847,"conditionId":848,"slug":849,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":405,"liquidity":850,"startDate":851,"image":529,"icon":529,"description":526,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":852,"volume":853,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":854,"updatedAt":855,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":438,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":412,"groupItemThreshold":200,"questionID":856,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":857,"liquidityNum":858,"endDateIso":417,"startDateIso":389,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":859,"volume1wk":860,"volume1mo":860,"volume1yr":860,"clobTokenIds":861,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":859,"volume1wkClob":860,"volume1moClob":860,"volume1yrClob":860,"volumeClob":857,"liquidityClob":858,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":862,"cyom":15,"competitive":863,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":454,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":580,"oneDayPriceChange":864,"oneHourPriceChange":865,"lastTradePrice":866,"bestBid":867,"bestAsk":868,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":869,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2334098","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?","0x92485347d2c139beb425df7bee78b98805d0eab1eb0cc953cf000e9a287eab7e","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-26","40981.43257","2026-05-22T21:55:30.825584Z","[\"0.937\", \"0.063\"]","484896.48987000034","2026-05-22T21:24:10.177759Z","2026-05-25T20:49:16.9489Z","0xf0c7a8a28886360cd6f6873fe54d7dad273db25bb9be8bc69cf5fc6e6a321cca",484896.48987000034,40981.43257,281207.1212719999,484896.4898699999,"[\"112900909023968872024339906602679973872958371800297037348498909011220308533432\", \"47164370963211473298689456054370908626270043333251899888463825931481847046527\"]","2026-05-22T21:54:35Z",0.8396524174852578,0.022,-0.0305,0.949,0.934,0.94,"2026-05-22T21:25:43.37913Z",{"id":871,"question":872,"conditionId":873,"slug":874,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":875,"liquidity":876,"startDate":877,"image":529,"icon":529,"description":526,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":878,"volume":879,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":880,"updatedAt":881,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":438,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":882,"groupItemThreshold":413,"questionID":883,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":884,"liquidityNum":885,"endDateIso":886,"startDateIso":389,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":887,"volume1wk":888,"volume1mo":888,"volume1yr":888,"clobTokenIds":889,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":887,"volume1wkClob":888,"volume1moClob":888,"volume1yrClob":888,"volumeClob":884,"liquidityClob":885,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":890,"cyom":15,"competitive":891,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":892,"rewardsMinSize":454,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"oneDayPriceChange":895,"oneHourPriceChange":896,"lastTradePrice":897,"bestBid":898,"bestAsk":899,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":900,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2334099","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?","0xbdf0bbe0d1fd006aec6deef5482ca94b8ff0ceea73860bda0a337c4ce50d4448","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-28","2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","40917.39533","2026-05-22T21:55:26.172492Z","[\"0.9295\", \"0.0705\"]","312169.4569389998","2026-05-22T21:24:11.465386Z","2026-05-25T20:54:31.067704Z","May 28","0x49e0f28d8e4f5f78dae0be7fdab8511c01b13bf75dfb6f7079222eddfe6852cf",312169.4569389998,40917.39533,"2026-05-28",172353.08966500004,312169.45693899994,"[\"105982193323367540159500687384692641922043749736913112531862682190350634781798\", \"13542190214089330475983988889061033421619654584157538463778613935438537054467\"]","2026-05-22T21:54:29Z",0.8442592796231058,[893],{"id":894,"conditionId":873,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":720,"startDate":389,"endDate":120},"388516",0.0645,-0.0265,0.925,0.929,0.93,"2026-05-22T21:25:43.629386Z",[902,903,904,905],{"id":462,"label":463,"slug":464,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":465,"updatedBy":466,"createdAt":467,"updatedAt":468,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":77,"label":512,"slug":513,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":514,"updatedBy":515,"createdAt":516,"updatedAt":517,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":483,"label":484,"slug":485,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":486,"updatedAt":487,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":506,"label":507,"slug":508,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":509,"updatedAt":510,"requiresTranslation":15},6,{"context_description":908,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":909},"US-Iran diplomatic talks have advanced toward extending the April 2026 ceasefire, with officials from both sides reporting narrowed gaps and a potential memorandum of understanding under discussion as of late May. The fragile truce, initially brokered via Pakistan and later prolonged without a firm deadline, centers on Iranian control of the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, oil transit, and limits on Tehran’s nuclear activities. Limited ground engagements between Israeli forces and Hezbollah in southern Lebanon, alongside intermittent Strait incidents, have tested compliance, while regional actors including Gulf states have urged restraint. Trader assessments reflect uncertainty over whether these negotiations will produce a longer-term agreement before any resumption of broader hostilities.","2026-05-25T20:45:46.301Z",{"id":911,"ticker":912,"slug":912,"title":913,"description":914,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":915,"creationDate":916,"endDate":93,"image":917,"icon":917,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":14,"restricted":14,"liquidity":918,"volume":919,"openInterest":920,"createdAt":921,"updatedAt":922,"competitive":923,"volume24hr":924,"volume1wk":925,"volume1mo":926,"volume1yr":926,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":918,"negRisk":15,"commentCount":927,"markets":928,"tags":1182,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"gmpChartMode":518,"negRiskAugmented":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":1187},"438327","iran-closes-its-airspace-by","Iran closes its airspace by...?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14\u002F) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firanian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14\u002F). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.aa.com.tr\u002Fen\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz\u002F3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.intellinews.com\u002Firan-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997\u002F).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.","2026-05-01T18:22:49.431559Z","2026-05-01T18:22:49.431549Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-iran-close-its-airspace-by-Djo8VXRKur_C.jpg",463938.07331,38196369.44179913,2859095.9270630004,"2026-05-01T16:11:36.585944Z","2026-05-25T20:54:05.042106Z",0.9503785951931276,2544810.618662999,15693477.735808983,20099396.779963005,1812,[929,948,977,996,1015,1033,1059,1082,1112,1133,1164],{"id":930,"question":931,"conditionId":932,"slug":933,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"startDate":934,"image":917,"icon":917,"description":914,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":935,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":936,"updatedAt":937,"closedTime":938,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":254,"groupItemThreshold":77,"questionID":939,"umaEndDate":940,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":941,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":942,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":943,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":941,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":944,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":945,"oneWeekPriceChange":946,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":947,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2133404","Iran closes its airspace by May 8?","0x2135ffcb43ba9103bb6acf7116d2d5aa98bef6d9eb3dc9c85ea00cb79513f3ec","iran-closes-its-airspace-by-may-8-754-861","2026-05-01T18:19:57.887Z","7426874.501728975","2026-05-01T16:11:36.966226Z","2026-05-10T07:03:12.604719Z","2026-05-09 06:57:31+00","0x45fa772dfdd8f89af7d7555a350cf3cb230dd7c98f4f0b4c1bcbb0aebd70afb6","2026-05-09T06:57:31Z",7426874.501728975,"2026-05-01","[\"92837230145827111699047765291253116935174408333713428554327237019578844028510\", \"16016908434025167220243178590358637924061830475505554559071284592301005386647\"]","2026-05-01T18:18:54Z",-0.027,-0.1945,"2026-05-01T18:17:37.742716Z",{"id":949,"question":950,"conditionId":951,"slug":952,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"liquidity":953,"startDate":954,"image":917,"icon":917,"description":914,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":955,"volume":956,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":957,"updatedAt":958,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":100,"groupItemThreshold":413,"questionID":959,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":960,"volumeNum":961,"liquidityNum":962,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":942,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":963,"volume1wk":964,"volume1mo":965,"volume1yr":965,"clobTokenIds":966,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":963,"volume1wkClob":964,"volume1moClob":965,"volume1yrClob":965,"volumeClob":961,"liquidityClob":962,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":967,"cyom":15,"competitive":968,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":838,"oneDayPriceChange":969,"oneHourPriceChange":970,"oneWeekPriceChange":971,"lastTradePrice":972,"bestBid":973,"bestAsk":974,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":975,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":976,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2133405","Iran closes its airspace by May 31?","0xb7dd41c16cd5b59e543ffcdab6a0d876f5ccef5329ea42ef1798d80c9a2b8499","iran-closes-its-airspace-by-may-31-434-443-672-526-188-756","37480.0713","2026-05-01T18:19:59.97Z","[\"0.1185\", \"0.8815\"]","6189733.224032979","2026-05-01T16:11:37.46332Z","2026-05-25T20:54:57.460216Z","0x62f11c8b1008b55a503f1f453afff2fbdc407472100d9b0a010e2bf0313f8de0","disputed",6189733.224032979,37480.0713,324519.932854,2842702.380802002,6189733.2240329925,"[\"110474507112100782314899291119134194443200805577700445554821199693457132940419\", \"7007479687771393426472496359544619082990700938465691884192299930471909724308\"]","2026-05-01T18:18:56Z",0.8729490335253894,-0.1975,-0.001,-0.2665,0.117,0.115,0.122,"[\"proposed\", \"disputed\", \"proposed\", \"disputed\"]","2026-05-01T18:17:37.744315Z",{"id":978,"question":979,"conditionId":980,"slug":981,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":193,"startDate":982,"image":917,"icon":917,"description":914,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":983,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":984,"updatedAt":985,"closedTime":986,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":199,"groupItemThreshold":255,"questionID":987,"umaEndDate":988,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":989,"endDateIso":204,"startDateIso":990,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":991,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":989,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":992,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":993,"oneWeekPriceChange":994,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":995,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2166353","Iran closes its airspace by May 15?","0xb24aa72235c46c88613dca167f2e324aeb03e73f556fda680bbbdb815a5c40d0","iran-closes-its-airspace-by-may-15-844-228","2026-05-05T15:58:46.803Z","3372286.635464979","2026-05-05T15:55:43.813941Z","2026-05-17T07:22:58.094214Z","2026-05-16 07:16:55+00","0x9c3e45bbce25d86b0462b806f40cac321a33e6d35a68f3064cca9032d2425dfb","2026-05-16T07:16:55Z",3372286.635464979,"2026-05-05","[\"734398511271502510109381105632768662842460952946759526898706610506840926646\", \"109843613471278081136579716112610825675336191317077384765507196742777894163123\"]","2026-05-05T15:57:44Z",-0.0255,-0.1245,"2026-05-05T15:56:28.006204Z",{"id":997,"question":998,"conditionId":999,"slug":1000,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"startDate":1001,"image":917,"icon":917,"description":1002,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":1003,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":1004,"updatedAt":1005,"closedTime":1006,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":1007,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":1008,"umaEndDate":1009,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":1010,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":990,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":1011,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":1010,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":1012,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":454,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":1013,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":1014,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2167541","Iran closes its airspace by May 6?","0x1460e5fe8908d91054dc4ded8f66aff8fc4a188eca184681cc32f4d1148e729a","iran-closes-its-airspace-by-may-6","2026-05-05T18:14:27.506281Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN). \n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14\u002F) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firanian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14\u002F). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.aa.com.tr\u002Fen\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz\u002F3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.intellinews.com\u002Firan-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997\u002F).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.","203421.86479899986","2026-05-05T18:11:07.315604Z","2026-05-08T05:46:15.736115Z","2026-05-07 08:04:08+00","May 6","0x418abe9a4915acf2efc4381910fb62cbc9beb243dab1dadf8f44c983a41a2065","2026-05-07T08:04:08Z",203421.86479899986,"[\"53859962561220856472275273400723299442351061234219022316812835226702045386974\", \"24792821165174779949470576471959929468217014826280457011460748455621498819813\"]","2026-05-05T18:13:24Z",-0.011,"2026-05-05T18:12:10.199341Z",{"id":1016,"question":1017,"conditionId":1018,"slug":1019,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"startDate":1020,"image":917,"icon":917,"description":914,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":1021,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":1022,"updatedAt":1023,"closedTime":1024,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":1025,"groupItemThreshold":178,"questionID":1026,"umaEndDate":1027,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":1028,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":990,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":1029,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":1028,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":1030,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":454,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":1031,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":1032,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2167542","Iran closes its airspace by May 7?","0x10614339b310b66f52a38e53588937898935974ac452910154473cc4c353d072","iran-closes-its-airspace-by-may-7","2026-05-05T18:14:29.514823Z","664914.1603749997","2026-05-05T18:11:36.967941Z","2026-05-09T07:52:24.202012Z","2026-05-08 07:48:40+00","May 7","0x2ec55711250c89999a05c399727c9e3f296f39560943b59ad497ac918a0f2daf","2026-05-08T07:48:40Z",664914.1603749997,"[\"102802957629558371620845613861396219539074249168947689328275841912919918115898\", \"94849429812256990465410140921481544435943680803340565884249729570458541414096\"]","2026-05-05T18:13:26Z",-0.009,"2026-05-05T18:12:10.200981Z",{"id":1034,"question":1035,"conditionId":1036,"slug":1037,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1038,"liquidity":1039,"startDate":1040,"image":917,"icon":917,"description":914,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":1041,"volume":1042,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":1043,"updatedAt":1044,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":571,"groupItemThreshold":385,"questionID":1045,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":960,"volumeNum":1046,"liquidityNum":1047,"endDateIso":1048,"startDateIso":390,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":1049,"volume1wk":1050,"volume1mo":1050,"volume1yr":1050,"clobTokenIds":1051,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":1049,"volume1wkClob":1050,"volume1moClob":1050,"volume1yrClob":1050,"volumeClob":1046,"liquidityClob":1047,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":1052,"cyom":15,"competitive":1053,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":580,"oneDayPriceChange":1054,"oneHourPriceChange":1055,"lastTradePrice":1056,"bestBid":1057,"bestAsk":636,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":975,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":1058,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2296135","Iran closes its airspace by May 27?","0xdb22a7749b831aa07a52cbc83213e6c8ceb88226b224a831512f4460011bb0a1","iran-closes-its-airspace-by-may-29","2026-05-27T00:00:00Z","46043.03565","2026-05-18T22:50:39.392661Z","[\"0.077\", \"0.923\"]","1258800.566832003","2026-05-18T20:20:28.389049Z","2026-05-25T20:54:19.807408Z","0x6487d66469a7303818332496ed26ce2a3e77f470542a8d78d0ece0b01f30c34d",1258800.566832003,46043.03565,"2026-05-27",105693.38914400003,1258800.5668320002,"[\"36776925898219018084883186408823836833610752653165605283429703019115558772304\", \"15021526867762244578625724929449387107019557161250421045107388253027882407724\"]","2026-05-18T22:49:43Z",0.8482275014016959,-0.153,0.0195,0.082,0.074,"2026-05-18T22:48:33.912191Z",{"id":1060,"question":1061,"conditionId":1062,"slug":1063,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":344,"liquidity":1064,"startDate":1065,"image":917,"icon":917,"description":914,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":1066,"volume":1067,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":1068,"updatedAt":1069,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":351,"groupItemThreshold":101,"questionID":1070,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":960,"volumeNum":1071,"liquidityNum":1072,"endDateIso":355,"startDateIso":390,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":1073,"volume1wk":1074,"volume1mo":1074,"volume1yr":1074,"clobTokenIds":1075,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":1073,"volume1wkClob":1074,"volume1moClob":1074,"volume1yrClob":1074,"volumeClob":1071,"liquidityClob":1072,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":1052,"cyom":15,"competitive":1076,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":580,"oneDayPriceChange":1077,"oneHourPriceChange":1078,"lastTradePrice":1079,"bestBid":124,"bestAsk":1080,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":975,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":1081,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2296150","Iran closes its airspace by June 15?","0xd9933a54c518e773050255ea9dba01a71e1a41f49311ed078ae4a6f7e76b1625","iran-closes-its-airspace-by-june-15","30987.19603","2026-05-18T22:50:39.125379Z","[\"0.233\", \"0.767\"]","456030.40615299955","2026-05-18T20:21:53.344617Z","2026-05-25T20:51:51.913649Z","0x58295c7786507a815f262463771299a1e421754884bb439f5d24f51e6074657b",456030.40615299955,30987.19603,47459.50761300002,456030.4061530001,"[\"5291002486403963698456394956934053310121036253546476549622050243362322115551\", 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closes its airspace by June 30?","0x51a7c8afb7a0e09b8b47643171d90f400de23a176c4ea06f6552d6e53213839c","iran-closes-its-airspace-by-june-30-432-786-462-866","2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","28559.484","2026-05-12T14:46:41.996Z","[\"0.287\", \"0.713\"]","1602556.7335759974","2026-05-12T14:42:17.254758Z","2026-05-25T20:49:17.556201Z","0x983b9432b5430b5495cca8d0e7e25d393b7c61fdc865bfeef7676aab46527cb7",1602556.7335759974,28559.484,"2026-06-30","2026-05-12",239255.03407599984,1396693.0906730017,1602556.7335760032,"[\"76527061745629652908457766004409984899987000940094360145808443814083595137867\", 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closes its airspace by May 18?","0xbd5922eed56186e904c4f327658e8c0cbd88cd854114d0906208f8b65cce6718","iran-closes-its-airspace-by-may-18","2026-05-18T00:00:00Z","2026-05-12T15:08:27.952583Z","2647429.200772006","2026-05-12T15:02:21.350493Z","2026-05-20T07:00:26.925336Z","2026-05-19 06:55:54+00","May 18","0xb54b8f2db27896c67b5d35679ae511e96d27f4a47ce192b3b25140cb55998f5e","2026-05-19T06:55:54Z",2647429.200772006,"[\"64250895273118653682664115464816407988569140150566031249701601749503452605462\", 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closes its airspace by May 24?","0x4ba348328e4d4ddee9e6734c9a369b2e8138611651f9f6dc8f59dea51df6c734","iran-closes-its-airspace-by-may-24","2026-05-24T00:00:00Z","302374.68104","2026-05-12T15:08:30.267422Z","[\"0.0115\", \"0.9885\"]","10628369.460178185","2026-05-12T15:03:45.641355Z","2026-05-25T20:52:50.337746Z","0x30ebd10971cc044380ce6495e791828e9e0291fbb48550ca8be42149e1982791",10628369.460178185,302374.68104,1827461.1715309992,9754800.66484298,10628369.460178008,"[\"28593215534345447362156321620838626774652503878031452558083665828202001699551\", 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closes its airspace by May 21?","0x098afead2c41677b0f09ae9d0013ca520eacdb3f0d7c8985c6581de7a0e9ac37","iran-closes-its-airspace-by-may-21","2026-05-21T00:00:00Z","2026-05-12T15:08:32.258966Z","3782046.298696005","2026-05-12T15:02:22.181196Z","2026-05-23T06:23:27.637744Z","2026-05-22 06:14:46+00","0xe8e6735b3d58775ee2793bf69de5da88d69ce99bdc3ab539b2dc98757ef0bb7b","2026-05-22T06:14:46Z",3782046.298696005,"[\"25765184634765339363827807992411986670067641678875992164214223288175352348465\", 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Iranian authorities issued a NOTAM on May 22 closing the western sector of the Tehran Flight Information Region until May 25, suspending civil flight permits at affected airports amid reports of possible renewed U.S. strikes and ongoing diplomatic mediation. Partial reopenings occurred in April, with eastern sectors allowing limited overflights above certain altitudes under strict procedures, while western areas remain constrained. Trader assessments center on whether fresh escalations or stalled truce negotiations will trigger additional shutdowns before mid-2026 deadlines, as regional aviation advisories and high military alert levels persist.","2026-05-25T20:45:46.960Z",{"id":1191,"ticker":1192,"slug":1192,"title":1193,"description":1194,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":1195,"creationDate":1196,"endDate":1197,"image":1198,"icon":1198,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":14,"restricted":14,"liquidity":1199,"volume":1200,"openInterest":1201,"sortBy":1202,"createdAt":1203,"updatedAt":1204,"competitive":1205,"volume24hr":1206,"volume1wk":1207,"volume1mo":1208,"volume1yr":1209,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":1199,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":1210,"commentCount":1211,"markets":1212,"tags":3471,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":14,"enableNegRisk":14,"automaticallyActive":14,"startTime":3520,"gmpChartMode":518,"negRiskAugmented":14,"countryName":3521,"electionType":3522,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":3523,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":3524},"31875","republican-presidential-nominee-2028","Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the 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Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?","0x895e01dbf3e6a33cd9a44ca0f8cdb5df1bd2b0b6ebed5300d28f8da7145145e4","will-donald-trump-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination","222757.49709","2025-07-11T19:42:02.412Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-donald-trump-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election-4gVusUQRi_GG.png","[\"0.0295\", \"0.9705\"]","8435334.383972894","2025-07-10T16:58:02.775241Z","2026-05-25T20:52:07.173588Z","0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d","Donald Trump",8435334.383972894,222757.49709,"2028-11-07","2025-07-11",26679.808163,206046.49091900003,931283.0890919997,8435334.383973014,"[\"3039641309958397001906153616677074061284510636204155275446291716739429262374\", 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Robert F. 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Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?","0x61a1278884fa70d68d4bcaaf72fad55bbdb063cac28c6947472ca91635fab10f","will-katie-britt-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination","1784937.64828","2025-07-11T19:42:22.314Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002FKatie_Britt.png","28109154.997607518","2025-07-10T16:58:13.392205Z","2026-05-25T20:51:49.718215Z","Katie Britt","19","0xc7d902c4f18f9cc2c6e959c7a6b3556c53ebdb60820836ba9e2890374cfea613",28109154.997607518,1784937.64828,107967.23549900003,272354.85987399984,1394726.5100609986,28109154.99760807,"[\"42282542821681724515855150589432262778581936160356547088323204270366545065655\", 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Person BX win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?","0x415b742291054031303319f8b05cfe0144dfac6655b273d565537899db272d98","will-person-bx-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination-961","2025-07-11T19:43:41.126636Z","2025-07-10T16:59:07.585686Z","Person BX","98","0xc7d902c4f18f9cc2c6e959c7a6b3556c53ebdb60820836ba9e2890374cfea662","[\"70435830688734413956265502268302005509166791133064982630604919754620444666875\", \"99735206499564598739867545798317152774157130382509763639050150114728937174741\"]","0xfd4b987d4e10561a13619240489a990ecfaf0032f5b52297a7fbc9104fcc23e1","2025-07-11T19:21:53.070726Z",{"exponent":449,"rate":1245,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1246},{"id":3415,"question":3416,"conditionId":3417,"slug":3418,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1197,"liquidity":44,"startDate":3419,"image":1253,"icon":1253,"description":1194,"outcomes":35,"volume":44,"active":15,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":3420,"updatedAt":1255,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":1225,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":3421,"groupItemThreshold":3422,"questionID":3423,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":56,"liquidityNum":56,"endDateIso":1229,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":56,"volume1wk":56,"volume1mo":56,"volume1yr":56,"clobTokenIds":3424,"umaBond":1236,"umaReward":440,"volume24hrAmm":56,"volume1wkAmm":56,"volume1moAmm":56,"volume1yrAmm":56,"volume24hrClob":56,"volume1wkClob":56,"volume1moClob":56,"volume1yrClob":56,"volumeAmm":56,"volumeClob":56,"liquidityAmm":56,"liquidityClob":56,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":1210,"negRiskRequestID":3425,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":1621,"cyom":15,"competitive":56,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":56,"rewardsMaxSpread":56,"spread":449,"oneDayPriceChange":56,"oneHourPriceChange":56,"oneWeekPriceChange":56,"oneMonthPriceChange":56,"oneYearPriceChange":56,"lastTradePrice":56,"bestBid":56,"bestAsk":449,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":14,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":3426,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":14,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":1243,"feeSchedule":3427},"562061","Will Person BN win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?","0x7704c9a23c76f588a348549c177c8fbc6991003b128d84af86ef212bb4566ca7","will-person-bn-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination-327","2025-07-11T19:43:31.611801Z","2025-07-10T16:59:00.042463Z","Person BN","88","0xc7d902c4f18f9cc2c6e959c7a6b3556c53ebdb60820836ba9e2890374cfea658","[\"67004985989967440957475909416209667789531353797146747174706100529447056022048\", \"44595279369310023675317215122907469766700864135992319581710562154592687071142\"]","0x4cc695ac614cceaf29c2c9f9a216e72e74b33dc04a532fbfc42a7b1d312bef57","2025-07-11T19:21:53.002048Z",{"exponent":449,"rate":1245,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1246},{"id":3429,"question":3430,"conditionId":3431,"slug":3432,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1197,"liquidity":44,"startDate":3433,"image":1253,"icon":1253,"description":1194,"outcomes":35,"volume":44,"active":15,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":3434,"updatedAt":1255,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":1225,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":3435,"groupItemThreshold":3436,"questionID":3437,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":56,"liquidityNum":56,"endDateIso":1229,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":56,"volume1wk":56,"volume1mo":56,"volume1yr":56,"clobTokenIds":3438,"umaBond":1236,"umaReward":440,"volume24hrAmm":56,"volume1wkAmm":56,"volume1moAmm":56,"volume1yrAmm":56,"volume24hrClob":56,"volume1wkClob":56,"volume1moClob":56,"volume1yrClob":56,"volumeAmm":56,"volumeClob":56,"liquidityAmm":56,"liquidityClob":56,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":1210,"negRiskRequestID":3439,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":3212,"cyom":15,"competitive":56,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":56,"rewardsMaxSpread":56,"spread":449,"oneDayPriceChange":56,"oneHourPriceChange":56,"oneWeekPriceChange":56,"oneMonthPriceChange":56,"oneYearPriceChange":56,"lastTradePrice":56,"bestBid":56,"bestAsk":449,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":14,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":3440,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":14,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":1243,"feeSchedule":3441},"562078","Will Person CE win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?","0x74801df07baff84d3eaa597b1c9307f5148365ea9d0ab5112610c7dc88784eaa","will-person-ce-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination-252","2025-07-11T19:43:49.195599Z","2025-07-10T16:59:12.867351Z","Person CE","105","0xc7d902c4f18f9cc2c6e959c7a6b3556c53ebdb60820836ba9e2890374cfea669","[\"96793529948499035151853350730960085448696107706417221662183021968399237053284\", \"69870164195494123952291079421666638783329118696809023402404350714102914242157\"]","0x6a84cc2021c3b06e1ad8bd3e7bf82f1cd7fbb68b0db6e0dc5dfcd4d1c7514def","2025-07-11T19:21:53.117122Z",{"exponent":449,"rate":1245,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1246},{"id":3443,"question":3444,"conditionId":3445,"slug":3446,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1197,"liquidity":44,"startDate":3447,"image":1253,"icon":1253,"description":1194,"outcomes":35,"volume":44,"active":15,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":3448,"updatedAt":1255,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":1225,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":3449,"groupItemThreshold":3450,"questionID":3451,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":56,"liquidityNum":56,"endDateIso":1229,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":56,"volume1wk":56,"volume1mo":56,"volume1yr":56,"clobTokenIds":3452,"umaBond":1236,"umaReward":440,"volume24hrAmm":56,"volume1wkAmm":56,"volume1moAmm":56,"volume1yrAmm":56,"volume24hrClob":56,"volume1wkClob":56,"volume1moClob":56,"volume1yrClob":56,"volumeAmm":56,"volumeClob":56,"liquidityAmm":56,"liquidityClob":56,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":1210,"negRiskRequestID":3453,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":3454,"cyom":15,"competitive":56,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":56,"rewardsMaxSpread":56,"spread":449,"oneDayPriceChange":56,"oneHourPriceChange":56,"oneWeekPriceChange":56,"oneMonthPriceChange":56,"oneYearPriceChange":56,"lastTradePrice":56,"bestBid":56,"bestAsk":449,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":14,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":3455,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":14,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":1243,"feeSchedule":3456},"562089","Will Person CP win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?","0xba4bc3fc24f09a3acc71624acddc7b677753626cc6539b12351f60672dd4f3b6","will-person-cp-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination-789","2025-07-11T19:44:01.640681Z","2025-07-10T16:59:20.348999Z","Person CP","116","0xc7d902c4f18f9cc2c6e959c7a6b3556c53ebdb60820836ba9e2890374cfea674","[\"15255423785976039131633557395692540721336019799805429556535928600079520762501\", \"44999076735064653466258307779121025304364222481268363901522909656850148062130\"]","0xebde9fca7418860314d6481ac7a2c1f2b29fef85afb14ef7c9bf2dc4dacbc742","2025-07-11T19:43:38Z","2025-07-11T19:21:53.174329Z",{"exponent":449,"rate":1245,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1246},{"id":3458,"question":3459,"conditionId":3460,"slug":3461,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1197,"liquidity":44,"startDate":3462,"image":1253,"icon":1253,"description":1194,"outcomes":35,"volume":44,"active":15,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":3463,"updatedAt":1255,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":1225,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":3464,"groupItemThreshold":3465,"questionID":3466,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":56,"liquidityNum":56,"endDateIso":1229,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":56,"volume1wk":56,"volume1mo":56,"volume1yr":56,"clobTokenIds":3467,"umaBond":1236,"umaReward":440,"volume24hrAmm":56,"volume1wkAmm":56,"volume1moAmm":56,"volume1yrAmm":56,"volume24hrClob":56,"volume1wkClob":56,"volume1moClob":56,"volume1yrClob":56,"volumeAmm":56,"volumeClob":56,"liquidityAmm":56,"liquidityClob":56,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":1210,"negRiskRequestID":3468,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":3454,"cyom":15,"competitive":56,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":56,"rewardsMaxSpread":56,"spread":449,"oneDayPriceChange":56,"oneHourPriceChange":56,"oneWeekPriceChange":56,"oneMonthPriceChange":56,"oneYearPriceChange":56,"lastTradePrice":56,"bestBid":56,"bestAsk":449,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":14,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":3469,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":14,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":1243,"feeSchedule":3470},"562088","Will Person CO win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?","0xf11851c589ef23cd0e3849636bf92f57c7788168372fc76ed8f7dbb3fdf759d8","will-person-co-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination-265","2025-07-11T19:44:01.38187Z","2025-07-10T16:59:19.71314Z","Person CO","115","0xc7d902c4f18f9cc2c6e959c7a6b3556c53ebdb60820836ba9e2890374cfea673","[\"87800767493676045456686745100484057704277606358254529190289210736163032381375\", \"33378464101501201296498850915968579217885404428322866722636230299330424696314\"]","0x9268efe3808e6a13b9ed0ade9fb2e9e83e32df10d3fdd1977f5db6206803644a","2025-07-11T19:21:53.171124Z",{"exponent":449,"rate":1245,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1246},[3472,3473,3480,3487,3493,3500,3506,3513],{"id":77,"label":512,"slug":513,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":514,"updatedBy":515,"createdAt":516,"updatedAt":517,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3474,"label":3475,"slug":3476,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":3477,"createdAt":3478,"updatedAt":3479,"requiresTranslation":15},"1101","US Election","us-presidential-election","2024-02-06 19:42:10.126+00","2024-02-06T19:42:10.132Z","2026-04-17T20:37:36.506311Z",{"id":3481,"label":3482,"slug":3483,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":3484,"updatedBy":515,"createdAt":3485,"updatedAt":3486,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},"144","Elections","elections","2023-11-02 21:24:31.008+00","2023-11-02T21:24:31.198Z","2026-04-17T17:22:31.696566Z",{"id":3488,"label":3489,"slug":3490,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":3491,"updatedAt":3492,"requiresTranslation":15},"101206","World Elections","world-elections","2024-11-07T23:07:25.512144Z","2026-04-15T21:03:39.331022Z",{"id":3494,"label":3495,"slug":3496,"forceShow":14,"publishedAt":3497,"createdBy":466,"updatedBy":466,"createdAt":3498,"updatedAt":3499,"requiresTranslation":15},"1597","Global Elections","global-elections","2024-03-07 20:44:01.258+00","2024-03-07T20:41:56.773Z","2026-04-17T21:08:23.096987Z",{"id":3501,"label":3502,"slug":3503,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":3504,"updatedAt":3505,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"102458","Earn 4%","earn-4","2025-08-01T13:31:11.928744Z","2026-04-17T21:09:22.871226Z",{"id":3507,"label":3508,"slug":3509,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":3510,"createdAt":3511,"updatedAt":3512,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"264","Primaries","primaries","2023-11-02 21:45:56.355+00","2023-11-02T21:45:56.363Z","2026-04-17T20:45:35.450392Z",{"id":3514,"label":3515,"slug":3516,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":3517,"createdAt":3518,"updatedAt":3519,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"165","United States","united-states","2023-11-02 21:29:07.547+00","2023-11-02T21:29:07.565Z","2026-04-17T20:49:24.504438Z","2028-11-07T12:00:00Z","U.S.","Republican Nomination","2025-07-11T19:21:25.68584Z",{"context_description":3525,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":3526},"Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads trader consensus for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination at 49 percent, driven by his position as secretary of health and human services and ongoing focus on his public health priorities that have drawn sustained attention within Republican circles. Vice President J.D. Vance follows at 34.5 percent, supported by his institutional role in the administration, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio sits at 23.4 percent amid his involvement in diplomatic efforts. The broader field, including lower probabilities for figures such as Tucker Carlson and Ron DeSantis, reflects typical early-cycle dynamics with no formal declarations yet and uncertainty ahead of the 2026 midterms. Scheduled events including potential primary activity or shifts in administration roles could influence positioning as the cycle advances.","2026-05-25T20:45:48.916Z",{"id":3528,"ticker":3529,"slug":3529,"title":3530,"description":3531,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":3532,"creationDate":3533,"image":3534,"icon":3534,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":14,"restricted":14,"liquidity":3535,"volume":3536,"openInterest":3537,"createdAt":3538,"updatedAt":3539,"competitive":3540,"volume24hr":3541,"volume1wk":3542,"volume1mo":3542,"volume1yr":3542,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":3535,"negRisk":15,"commentCount":3543,"markets":3544,"tags":3762,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"gmpChartMode":518,"negRiskAugmented":15,"featuredOrder":3768,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":3769},"517606","us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by","US announces new Iran agreement\u002Fceasefire extension by...?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. officially announces an extension of the ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran, defined as a publicly announced commitment to the continued halt of direct military engagement with Iran or announces a new peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.\n\nA qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the U.S. government that the U.S. has either:\n\n1. Extended its commitment to the ceasefire, either as a dated\u002Ftime-based extension (e.g. a 60 day extension) or through an explicit statement that the ceasefire has been extended.\n\n2. Renewed the existing ceasefire as part of a broader peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue.\n\nStatements which merely acknowledge, reaffirm, or describe the current ceasefire as remaining in effect, or which outline further negotiations or de-escalation measures, without announcing a new extension period, or successor agreement under which the ceasefire will continue, will not qualify.\n\nThe following would qualify:\n- President Trump announcing that “the ceasefire has been extended for another 60 days.”\n- An official U.S. statement announcing that “the United States and Iran have agreed to extend the ceasefire framework while negotiations continue.”\n- President Trump’s April 21, 2026 announcement extending the ceasefire “until the Iranian negotiators could reach a unified proposal.”\n- An announcement that the US and Iran have agreed to a new temporary framework under which the ceasefire would continue as Iran gradually reopens the Strait of Hormuz and the United States begins to unfreeze Iranian assets would qualify.\n\nThe following would not qualify:\n- Statements that the ceasefire merely “remains in effect” or “continues to hold,” without announcing a new extension, renewal, or successor agreement.\n- Statements that “the ceasefire will remain in effect while negotiations continue,” without announcing that the ceasefire itself has been extended, or a new framework or deal has been reached\n- Statements that negotiations are progressing, that talks are ongoing, or that the parties are “getting closer” to a deal, without announcing that the ceasefire itself has been extended, renewed, or continued under a new agreement.\n\n\nAn overwhelming consensus of credible reporting that a qualifying extension or successor agreement has been definitively established will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThis market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the U.S. government and will not require confirmation from Iran. ","2026-05-23T19:10:37.288944Z","2026-05-23T19:10:37.288923Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fus-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by-YUbbIA8Q0bWa.jpg",266272.41336,6062438.336565004,1126563.864394,"2026-05-23T18:26:34.669153Z","2026-05-25T20:57:19.307707Z",0.9997750506136119,2094427.6580810002,4483775.742693999,212,[3545,3573,3595,3618,3645,3666,3690,3712,3737],{"id":3546,"question":3547,"conditionId":3548,"slug":3549,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":875,"liquidity":3550,"startDate":3551,"image":3552,"icon":3552,"description":3553,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":3554,"volume":3555,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":3556,"updatedAt":3557,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":438,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":882,"groupItemThreshold":55,"questionID":3558,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":3559,"liquidityNum":3560,"endDateIso":886,"startDateIso":832,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":3561,"volume1wk":3561,"volume1mo":3561,"volume1yr":3561,"clobTokenIds":3562,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":3561,"volume1wkClob":3561,"volume1moClob":3561,"volume1yrClob":3561,"volumeClob":3559,"liquidityClob":3560,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":3563,"cyom":15,"competitive":3564,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":3565,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":1245,"oneHourPriceChange":3568,"lastTradePrice":3569,"bestBid":3570,"bestAsk":3571,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":3572,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2354002","US announces new Iran agreement\u002Fceasefire extension by May 28?","0xb2e7dd21dd889b9b56447857f03ea6188ebcef50599c3c1556c2f9141772d7bb","us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by-may-28","33476.0574","2026-05-25T15:11:50.231089Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fus-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by-may-26-nCyCTKk2gQe7.jpg","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. officially announces an extension of the ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran, defined as a publicly announced commitment to the continued halt of direct military engagement with Iran or announces a new peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.\n\nA qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the U.S. government that the U.S. has either:\n\n1. Extended its commitment to the ceasefire, either as a dated\u002Ftime-based extension (e.g. a 60 day extension) or through an explicit statement that the ceasefire has been extended.\n\n2. Renewed the existing ceasefire as part of a broader peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue.\n\nStatements which merely acknowledge, reaffirm, or describe the current ceasefire as remaining in effect, or which outline further negotiations or de-escalation measures, without announcing a new extension period, or successor agreement under which the ceasefire will continue, will not qualify.\n\nThe following would qualify:\n- President Trump announcing that “the ceasefire has been extended for another 60 days.”\n- An official U.S. statement announcing that “the United States and Iran have agreed to extend the ceasefire framework while negotiations continue.”\n- President Trump’s April 21, 2026 announcement extending the ceasefire “until the Iranian negotiators could reach a unified proposal.”\n- An announcement that the US and Iran have agreed to a new temporary framework under which the ceasefire would continue as Iran gradually reopens the Strait of Hormuz and the United States begins to unfreeze Iranian assets would qualify.\n\nThe following would not qualify:\n- Statements that the ceasefire merely “remains in effect” or “continues to hold,” without announcing a new extension, renewal, or successor agreement.\n- Statements that “the ceasefire will remain in effect while negotiations continue,” without announcing that the ceasefire itself has been extended, or a new framework or deal has been reached\n- Statements that negotiations are progressing, that talks are ongoing, or that the parties are “getting closer” to a deal, without announcing that the ceasefire itself has been extended, renewed, or continued under a new agreement.\n\nAn overwhelming consensus of credible reporting that a qualifying extension or successor agreement has been definitively established will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThis market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the U.S. government and will not require confirmation from Iran. 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announces new Iran agreement\u002Fceasefire extension by May 23?","0x3982b6b324e34f850076855826649019133e5799ddb30479547c474947539d11","us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by-may-23","2026-05-23T19:00:26.787889Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fus-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by-may-23-dE6cegfZdby1.jpg","1578662.5938709995","2026-05-23T18:26:34.775604Z","2026-05-25T06:17:56.345719Z","2026-05-24 06:04:44+00","0xde171e293cb91ddf83fbb2f8cdd1b1ea15407e8473801affdc9c69e818cd5d53","2026-05-24T06:04:44Z",1578662.5938709995,"[\"91589887152507967452255578330015198909488477507861175978476338527003381587950\", 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announces new Iran agreement\u002Fceasefire extension by May 25?","0xf7ad79d04f2dc95740b512d657957bf16b521342ae41be894fa44c56b8b1d1ab","us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by-may-25","51812.65553","2026-05-23T19:00:29.120819Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fus-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by-may-25-arNulBcFoLIi.jpg","[\"0.0265\", \"0.9735\"]","1120072.8588960003","2026-05-23T18:26:35.211718Z","2026-05-25T20:51:52.684644Z","0x0a061da49c3cbd40921e2255215040074bf3f3b670a82f7ad5225168685660cd",1120072.8588960003,51812.65553,772745.3895769998,1120072.858896,"[\"6197756837817859016396002695748488353292905930169773532639025573265748218849\", 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announces new Iran agreement\u002Fceasefire extension by May 24?","0x54644fe42bf2db082bd02694ba14f6acd0b610cf0559287166933523cef6c47e","us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by-may-24","2026-05-23T19:00:28.848217Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fus-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by-may-24-o8j-2JkIKfJ6.jpg","1586365.9929380051","2026-05-23T18:26:34.995313Z","2026-05-25T20:56:16.476386Z","2026-05-25 06:35:14+00","0xe9ee2ad27920c83353853f1dca153e3ba342db6da473868ed55dd54b185650e1","2026-05-25T06:35:14Z",1586365.9929380051,218042.08063699998,1586365.9929379998,"[\"8989422621383896300916622679464864807983681318231596711100069766890239031232\", 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announces new Iran agreement\u002Fceasefire extension by June 7?","0x27182c8b13f2a6284754660cbb3c6350a04f7aa4afe04d24dad481947014d90d","us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by-june-7-265","29896.367","2026-05-23T19:00:31.861Z","[\"0.75\", \"0.25\"]","265578.3873609997","2026-05-23T18:26:35.860459Z","2026-05-25T20:54:04.711401Z","0x2fd97ffdd3a4780377261795993875024dc2d0cab3d8d05aed321c0e12999340",265578.3873609997,29896.367,160984.81148199996,265578.38736099994,"[\"75368773924796889692244095268680530845326674028335428890799102675233506021923\", \"98997638675241879189018997265895931704917000848688062580680068424104050515071\"]","2026-05-23T18:59:36Z",0.9411764705882353,[3732],{"id":3733,"conditionId":3715,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":365,"startDate":453,"endDate":120},"392568",0.135,0.76,"2026-05-23T18:58:21.794109Z",{"id":3738,"question":3739,"conditionId":3740,"slug":3741,"resolutionSource":9,"liquidity":3742,"startDate":3743,"image":3744,"icon":3744,"description":3553,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":3745,"volume":3746,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":3747,"updatedAt":3748,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":438,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":100,"groupItemThreshold":200,"questionID":3749,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":3750,"liquidityNum":3751,"startDateIso":453,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":3752,"volume1wk":3753,"volume1mo":3753,"volume1yr":3753,"clobTokenIds":3754,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":3752,"volume1wkClob":3753,"volume1moClob":3753,"volume1yrClob":3753,"volumeClob":3750,"liquidityClob":3751,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":3755,"cyom":15,"competitive":3756,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":3757,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":333,"oneDayPriceChange":3760,"oneHourPriceChange":609,"lastTradePrice":370,"bestBid":458,"bestAsk":371,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":3761,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2340843","US announces new Iran agreement\u002Fceasefire extension by May 31?","0x6a8cfe84d17693425f27831db5949d7511f3393d4624b182ac6956164cd32b10","us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by-may-31-665","53513.2142","2026-05-23T19:00:25.012Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fus-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by-may-31-H9gDFAYNtb5_.jpg","[\"0.52\", \"0.48\"]","798763.1424130006","2026-05-23T18:26:35.637733Z","2026-05-25T20:50:48.395166Z","0xa9b98ef6123e6b4a22cb5b893f416cc93d8eae19815244155aacd30995812fd3",798763.1424130006,53513.2142,509304.9320870005,798763.142412999,"[\"110685453135299924591630149473529665994132772243041725681323799510474856345343\", \"95319765794182093287927679833194607351139501701926036955896570172084718641711\"]","2026-05-23T18:59:29Z",0.9996001599360256,[3758],{"id":3759,"conditionId":3740,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":396,"startDate":453,"endDate":120},"392569",0.145,"2026-05-23T18:58:21.797137Z",[3763,3764,3765,3766,3767],{"id":77,"label":512,"slug":513,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":514,"updatedBy":515,"createdAt":516,"updatedAt":517,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":506,"label":507,"slug":508,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":509,"updatedAt":510,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":483,"label":484,"slug":485,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":486,"updatedAt":487,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":462,"label":463,"slug":464,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":465,"updatedBy":466,"createdAt":467,"updatedAt":468,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":500,"label":501,"slug":502,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":503,"updatedAt":504,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},2,{"context_description":3770,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":3771},"US-Iran negotiations, mediated by Pakistan since the April 8, 2026, two-week ceasefire, center on converting the truce into a longer arrangement amid disputes over Iran’s nuclear program, ballistic missiles, and access through the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump extended the ceasefire indefinitely on April 21 pending a unified Iranian proposal, while the US maintained a naval blockade to pressure compliance. As of late May, both sides have exchanged revised drafts, with Trump stating on May 23 that an agreement is largely negotiated and details will be announced shortly; Iranian officials have described progress toward a memorandum of understanding that could include a 60-day extension and Hormuz reopening. Intermittent violations and remaining gaps on enrichment limits continue to shape trader focus on near-term diplomatic breakthroughs before any formal announcement.","2026-05-25T20:45:59.944Z",{"id":3773,"ticker":3774,"slug":3774,"title":3775,"description":3776,"resolutionSource":3777,"startDate":3778,"creationDate":3779,"endDate":3780,"image":3781,"icon":3781,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":3782,"volume":3783,"openInterest":3784,"createdAt":3785,"updatedAt":3786,"competitive":3787,"volume24hr":3788,"volume1wk":3789,"volume1mo":3789,"volume1yr":3789,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":3782,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":3790,"commentCount":56,"markets":3791,"series":4352,"tags":4367,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":14,"automaticallyActive":14,"startTime":4389,"seriesSlug":4355,"negRiskAugmented":15,"tweetCount":4390,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":4391,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":4392},"506536","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-19-may-26","Elon Musk # tweets May 19 - May 26, 2026?","This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 19 12:00 PM ET to May 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https:\u002F\u002Fx.com\u002Felonmusk\u002Fstatus\u002F1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https:\u002F\u002Fxtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","https:\u002F\u002Fx.com\u002Felonmusk","2026-05-20T16:39:47.479839Z","2026-05-20T16:39:47.479815Z","2026-05-26T16:00:00Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Felon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg",891423.88821,7414405.695390998,791761.495361,"2026-05-20T16:15:35.43365Z","2026-05-25T20:56:56.639846Z",0.9633679342983069,1952589.1624650003,6396997.019951999,"0xa9b094fb388ad339ae46462c60c6d858ae0c396a3f469be77e90c11cbebaf900",[3792,3813,3830,3849,3868,3887,3911,3942,3971,3996,4018,4039,4060,4081,4100,4117,4136,4153,4172,4195,4223,4246,4268,4289,4310,4331],{"id":3793,"question":3794,"conditionId":3795,"slug":3796,"resolutionSource":3777,"endDate":3780,"startDate":3797,"image":3781,"icon":3781,"description":3776,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":3798,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":3799,"updatedAt":3800,"closedTime":3801,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":3802,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":3803,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":3790,"umaEndDate":3804,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":3805,"endDateIso":417,"startDateIso":555,"hasReviewedDates":14,"gameStartTime":3806,"clobTokenIds":3807,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":77,"volumeClob":3805,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":3790,"negRiskRequestID":3808,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":3809,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":454,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":3810,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":3811,"feeSchedule":3812},"2313535","Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?","0x026a66372bcd99b25cf3e6ababac3930d6fc0ea4593ce3a5f1088359eeea5be0","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-19-may-26-0-19","2026-05-20T16:27:47.067267Z","44176.901000000005","2026-05-20T16:15:35.617315Z","2026-05-24T08:58:11.579243Z","2026-05-23 10:26:16+00","0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","\u003C20","2026-05-23T10:26:16Z",44176.901000000005,"2026-05-19 16:00:00+00","[\"55059516028175888757967720082593096019438042909594163522727690134875064815871\", 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Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?","0x555db4f43d2db1a23970b3735d4332a08023b33e01982a9d0da045b8574e6c4a","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-19-may-26-40-59","2026-05-20T16:28:49.405134Z","19681.882","2026-05-20T16:15:36.428198Z","2026-05-24T03:32:36.723759Z","40-59","0xa9b094fb388ad339ae46462c60c6d858ae0c396a3f469be77e90c11cbebaf902",19681.882,"[\"34426046724357429754963898685652346635401170079178918579727288892236079443127\", 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Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?","0x6842a1dae62a5ef66aaaf7bf8826a37c4485be6db02d4eb4a128bb72b09be8ce","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-19-may-26-80-99","2026-05-20T16:29:02.708256Z","54837.40800000002","2026-05-20T16:15:36.971679Z","2026-05-24T03:22:24.626928Z","2026-05-23 10:26:14+00","80-99","0xa9b094fb388ad339ae46462c60c6d858ae0c396a3f469be77e90c11cbebaf904","2026-05-23T10:26:14Z",54837.40800000002,"[\"62349865975607890013399001700761434217791515876776963773734802627481266759246\", 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Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?","0x564b92b1abd6d23b3898314e75bec0c2fa55fd8d583f42835605c5e55c6e25ca","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-19-may-26-120-139","2026-05-20T16:29:27.982248Z","89659.85090499998","2026-05-20T16:15:37.514376Z","2026-05-24T02:59:15.58297Z","2026-05-23 09:28:10+00","120-139","0xa9b094fb388ad339ae46462c60c6d858ae0c396a3f469be77e90c11cbebaf906","2026-05-23T09:28:10Z",89659.85090499998,"[\"56820504193556012295316390943496478910873533065535729497476636373003886506853\", 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Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?","0x9f8a1e8d6afc78c37076084fa38fdfde3b72e496ba69cc6fe5b2ffb657eeb775","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-19-may-26-160-179","2026-05-20T16:25:49.161325Z","167148.86048100013","2026-05-20T16:15:38.097048Z","2026-05-24T04:34:45.395851Z","2026-05-23 09:26:56+00","160-179","0xa9b094fb388ad339ae46462c60c6d858ae0c396a3f469be77e90c11cbebaf908","2026-05-23T09:26:56Z",167148.86048100013,"[\"9591165978284956430126989821984078112477831835919805206333005536561313533464\", 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Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?","0x8ee629acb4a0a9189f794bd34048218b5c2159bf1e790ad8d0cca0c5be87e469","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-19-may-26-300-319","47936.13557","2026-05-20T16:25:48.901974Z","[\"0.0155\", \"0.9845\"]","377998.3523930002","2026-05-20T16:15:40.106336Z","2026-05-25T20:48:54.44332Z","300-319","0xa9b094fb388ad339ae46462c60c6d858ae0c396a3f469be77e90c11cbebaf90f",377998.3523930002,47936.13557,159717.30199599994,377998.3523929996,"[\"27704268733619454322406513196816513361643398005673317764825055865329759014100\", 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Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?","0xe0c661c2a79a7d6b59e7b35de300400c75e0a67539882fcbea64de4a03843d2a","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-19-may-26-340-359","70047.00127","2026-05-20T16:25:58.850186Z","392120.6769270003","2026-05-20T16:15:40.666638Z","2026-05-25T20:51:58.145937Z","340-359","0xa9b094fb388ad339ae46462c60c6d858ae0c396a3f469be77e90c11cbebaf911",392120.6769270003,70047.00127,185266.863384,392120.67692700017,"[\"49989881707408482297711970194855730641984026923649754471528461675799286761118\", 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Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?","0xdac03a823f505096e35d51e6006d6a50f5b76197e90a80a0e56f1e8dac8cf869","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-19-may-26-380-399","37470.21581","2026-05-20T16:26:10.072095Z","324932.1501350003","2026-05-20T16:15:41.211956Z","2026-05-25T20:55:25.945091Z","380-399","0xa9b094fb388ad339ae46462c60c6d858ae0c396a3f469be77e90c11cbebaf913",324932.1501350003,37470.21581,120619.20441000002,324932.150135,"[\"72934202882211565683841158942709361459920469140967864079901030062313692031570\", 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Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?","0x8db2e193ed837f1b8abedc2464a80d7afc2ed8375781e9f1001bdb84b4c7334d","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-19-may-26-420-439","24320.05911","2026-05-20T16:26:20.086161Z","303857.21704200003","2026-05-20T16:15:41.758816Z","2026-05-25T20:55:08.451118Z","420-439","0xa9b094fb388ad339ae46462c60c6d858ae0c396a3f469be77e90c11cbebaf915",303857.21704200003,24320.05911,67415,303857.21704200015,"[\"56830720335433365508255215606320734289486497161067481300818910058426368727133\", 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Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?","0x88469952feeeac0525cbb77dc3183313d1f3d5a512af32315fa003200df8fff3","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-19-may-26-460-479","22484.48959","2026-05-20T16:26:34.203585Z","294564.73706099973","2026-05-20T16:15:42.313338Z","2026-05-25T20:55:41.673711Z","460-479","0xa9b094fb388ad339ae46462c60c6d858ae0c396a3f469be77e90c11cbebaf917",294564.73706099973,22484.48959,76316.264198,294564.7370609999,"[\"84381879874342811773421493496159280704263097962351144397088190853001474903025\", 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Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?","0x08fe7d572b28d5469ab65059e2ca4cc46e09d376f0dca4b5d3f32e0920e836cd","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-19-may-26-500plus","25263.96429","2026-05-20T16:27:30.122887Z","409339.56861000013","2026-05-20T16:15:42.861803Z","2026-05-25T20:52:06.453612Z","500+","0xa9b094fb388ad339ae46462c60c6d858ae0c396a3f469be77e90c11cbebaf919",409339.56861000013,25263.96429,72045,409339.5686100001,"[\"15302944848243234941547875111698860518531388909589247328209668919555903920576\", 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(1)","rewards-automation-100-1","2026-03-17T16:21:30.102373Z","2026-05-25T20:44:02.18402Z","2026-05-19T16:00:00Z",246,"2026-05-20T16:15:57.431058Z",{"context_description":4393,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":4394},"Elon Musk’s posting pace this week has kept the 260-279 tweet range as the clear market leader at 69.5% implied probability, reflecting his typical high-volume activity across original posts, replies, and quotes. With only one day left in the May 19-26 window, traders are pricing in a continuation of the steady output seen so far rather than a sharp slowdown or surge. The next-nearest bin at 280-299 sits at 17.5%, underscoring limited room for a dramatic uptick on the final day, while lower ranges remain sidelined. This distribution aligns with historical patterns of Musk’s engagement on X, where daily volume fluctuates but rarely deviates enough in the closing hours to shift the outcome dramatically.","2026-05-25T20:45:51.354Z",{"id":4396,"ticker":4397,"slug":4397,"title":4398,"description":4399,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":4400,"creationDate":4401,"endDate":1197,"image":4402,"icon":4402,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":14,"restricted":14,"liquidity":4403,"volume":4404,"openInterest":4405,"sortBy":1202,"createdAt":4406,"updatedAt":4407,"competitive":4408,"volume24hr":4409,"volume1wk":4410,"volume1mo":4411,"volume1yr":4412,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":4403,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":4413,"commentCount":4414,"markets":4415,"tags":6554,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":14,"enableNegRisk":14,"automaticallyActive":14,"startTime":3520,"gmpChartMode":518,"negRiskAugmented":14,"countryName":3521,"electionType":6563,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":6564,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":6565},"30829","democratic-presidential-nominee-2028","Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","2025-07-11T18:41:17.827458Z","2025-07-11T18:41:17.827389Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fdemocrats+2028+donkey.png",59627353.71777,1160423751.1515248,15923929.942084,"2025-07-03T20:36:57.824243Z","2026-05-25T20:55:24.675827Z",0.9382691608050256,1490387.269311,12959884.936032997,56814164.87173704,1160423751.1515195,"0x2c3d7e0eee6f058be3006baabf0d54a07da254ba47fe6e3e095e7990c7814700",742,[4416,4440,4467,4491,4505,4518,4531,4544,4557,4570,4583,4597,4623,4649,4661,4674,4687,4700,4724,4752,4776,4788,4800,4813,4826,4850,4874,4898,4911,4924,4937,4960,4984,4997,5009,5022,5046,5070,5083,5096,5121,5144,5168,5181,5194,5206,5219,5245,5268,5291,5303,5315,5341,5364,5388,5410,5434,5446,5459,5471,5494,5507,5531,5555,5568,5581,5605,5631,5654,5677,5690,5703,5715,5727,5740,5752,5776,5789,5802,5828,5840,5852,5875,5898,5911,5923,5936,5949,5972,5984,5996,6025,6048,6071,6092,6104,6116,6128,6140,6152,6164,6176,6207,6230,6243,6256,6269,6281,6293,6305,6317,6329,6341,6353,6365,6378,6390,6421,6434,6446,6458,6470,6482,6494,6506,6518,6530,6542],{"id":4417,"question":4418,"conditionId":4419,"slug":4420,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1197,"liquidity":4421,"startDate":4422,"image":4423,"icon":4423,"description":4399,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":1452,"volume":4424,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":4425,"updatedAt":4426,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":1225,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":4427,"groupItemThreshold":55,"questionID":4428,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":4429,"liquidityNum":4430,"endDateIso":1229,"startDateIso":1230,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":4431,"volume1wk":4432,"volume1mo":4433,"volume1yr":4434,"clobTokenIds":4435,"umaBond":1236,"umaReward":440,"volume24hrClob":4431,"volume1wkClob":4432,"volume1moClob":4433,"volume1yrClob":4434,"volumeClob":4429,"liquidityClob":4430,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":4413,"negRiskRequestID":4436,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":4437,"cyom":15,"competitive":1466,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":56,"rewardsMaxSpread":56,"spread":47,"oneMonthPriceChange":47,"lastTradePrice":1162,"bestBid":103,"bestAsk":1162,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":4438,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":14,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":1243,"feeSchedule":4439},"559657","Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?","0xc8f1cf5d4f26e0fd9c8fe89f2a7b3263b902cf14fde7bfccef525753bb492e47","will-stephen-a-smith-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-914","771145.57269","2025-07-11T18:36:02.893Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-stephen-smith-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election-TLNFUsNkT8yf.png","20485040.760716245","2025-07-03T20:37:02.834964Z","2026-05-25T20:52:21.529888Z","Stephen A. 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Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?","0xe39adea057926dc197fe30a441f57a340b2a232d5a687010f78bba9b6e02620f","will-gretchen-whitmer-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-676","578173.73532","2025-07-11T18:36:05.047Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-gretchen-whitmer-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election-l1zZ4pOvvoCN.png","9808806.112207126","2025-07-03T20:37:04.461062Z","2026-05-25T20:48:58.360791Z","Gretchen Whitmer","0x2c3d7e0eee6f058be3006baabf0d54a07da254ba47fe6e3e095e7990c7814707",9808806.112207126,578173.73532,68604.192936,490448.3085309995,1355723.9339059943,9808806.11220691,"[\"57761428076807364758801249497410455358987881775226117256631754592198558850468\", 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Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?","0xe06a7e94cf2fa8dc2085b7610fe16e9be1cde6654f34d365c13da1149b276c61","will-oprah-winfrey-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination","1791844.64055","2025-07-11T18:36:32.333Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Foprah+winfrey.png","51069420.40506085","2025-07-03T20:37:23.883364Z","2026-05-25T20:51:20.272241Z","Oprah Winfrey","0x2c3d7e0eee6f058be3006baabf0d54a07da254ba47fe6e3e095e7990c7814723",51069420.40506085,1791844.64055,24836.019958999997,213082.44694100012,1809296.8563890022,51069420.40506207,"[\"2213957649161627793381994368131485505647723208738124952452819345058597751695\", 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Person P win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?","0x88c805f8d638bd14c188a67112bc40ae85d5eea4b7370d7586e8f5b8d37da304","will-person-p-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination","2025-07-11T18:36:42.385882Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fdemocrat+logo.png","2025-07-03T20:37:29.989382Z","0x2c3d7e0eee6f058be3006baabf0d54a07da254ba47fe6e3e095e7990c781472d","[\"67834126955354466786049932246962827069514258320708123726234642047236874537300\", 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Person S win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?","0x7c467744f13d33367f8ef0a34dc8aeb0845de0d1be4f92f7874fc1cd0d36a545","will-person-s-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination","2025-07-11T18:36:46.707935Z","2025-07-03T20:37:32.140081Z","0x2c3d7e0eee6f058be3006baabf0d54a07da254ba47fe6e3e095e7990c7814730","[\"62721325588078416441678692954905586544000289214339415151384834742710012983810\", 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Person AB win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?","0xb4bc952b12bf4f6e8e1e32d0b70d56cb70ac6aac22b65ec2fe553eceb440fc0c","will-person-ab-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination","2025-07-11T18:36:55.332881Z","2025-07-03T20:37:38.381296Z","0x2c3d7e0eee6f058be3006baabf0d54a07da254ba47fe6e3e095e7990c7814739","[\"111635662227571049699477896721168705336791547298738629583975917043983607244581\", 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another person win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?","0x20280a56684e9e9b18dd81e1dc2c10433b7b08913ba03aa5bbd481f6e4f2f754","will-another-person-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination","2025-07-11T18:38:04.534332Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. 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Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?","0x8fbcb151e2c988df5a43abb02298014b7daf34c008f3eed9188dd16a2a19bec1","will-jared-polis-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-837","535987.16678","2025-07-11T18:36:18.32Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002FJared_Polis.png","25547098.60554312","2025-07-03T20:37:15.838093Z","2026-05-25T20:51:11.165609Z","Jared Polis","0x2c3d7e0eee6f058be3006baabf0d54a07da254ba47fe6e3e095e7990c7814716",25547098.60554312,535987.16678,48039.46121300002,333510.76914499985,1160417.0987819994,25547098.60554261,"[\"42119164854283656238382173699154739480090965550328051492328192273011556335098\", 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Person BQ win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?","0xa63054b2f90b7db1a4b239718fb2b6a910535e8a3c5a13eae99ba8d6028dbbcc","will-person-bq-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination","2025-07-11T18:37:37.423329Z","2025-07-03T20:38:01.348141Z","0x2c3d7e0eee6f058be3006baabf0d54a07da254ba47fe6e3e095e7990c7814762","[\"47283709292818159981092214523559721147807560945403058940532915962307613022941\", \"33998816999917317148703516869893210096024522472394560671958482821373764815041\"]","0x96073ac6fadee40539720d4fcbce2ee0dbaf4d0bb0ea9fe503601fa42a66507e","2025-07-11T18:15:20.254077Z",{"exponent":449,"rate":1245,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1246},[6555,6556,6557,6558,6559,6560,6561,6562],{"id":3488,"label":3489,"slug":3490,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":3491,"updatedAt":3492,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3494,"label":3495,"slug":3496,"forceShow":14,"publishedAt":3497,"createdBy":466,"updatedBy":466,"createdAt":3498,"updatedAt":3499,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3481,"label":3482,"slug":3483,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":3484,"updatedBy":515,"createdAt":3485,"updatedAt":3486,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":77,"label":512,"slug":513,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":514,"updatedBy":515,"createdAt":516,"updatedAt":517,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3474,"label":3475,"slug":3476,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":3477,"createdAt":3478,"updatedAt":3479,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3501,"label":3502,"slug":3503,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":3504,"updatedAt":3505,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3507,"label":3508,"slug":3509,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":3510,"createdAt":3511,"updatedAt":3512,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3514,"label":3515,"slug":3516,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":3517,"createdAt":3518,"updatedAt":3519,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"Democratic Nomination","2025-07-11T18:14:44.108448Z",{"context_description":6566,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":6567},"The Democratic presidential nomination for 2028 features a fragmented field more than two years before the first primaries, with Gavin Newsom holding the highest trader consensus share at 24.3 percent on the strength of his executive record and national fundraising infrastructure. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Kamala Harris follow at single-digit levels, drawing distinct progressive and broader party support. Other listed contenders trail further, differentiated by legislative versus gubernatorial experience, regional donor bases, and voter coalition appeal in battleground states. Support could consolidate around one outcome through early primary performance, delegate math, or shifts in party positioning ahead of the convention.","2026-05-25T20:45:45.830Z",{"id":6569,"ticker":6570,"slug":6570,"title":6571,"description":6572,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":6573,"creationDate":6574,"endDate":6575,"image":6576,"icon":6576,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":14,"restricted":14,"liquidity":6577,"volume":6578,"openInterest":6579,"createdAt":6580,"updatedAt":6581,"competitive":6582,"volume24hr":6583,"volume1wk":6584,"volume1mo":6585,"volume1yr":6586,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":6577,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":6587,"commentCount":449,"markets":6588,"series":6717,"tags":6731,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":14,"automaticallyActive":14,"seriesSlug":6719,"gmpChartMode":518,"negRiskAugmented":15,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":6767,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":6768},"101772","fed-decision-in-june-825","Fed Decision in June?","The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut\u002Fincrease of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Ffomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.\n","2025-12-10T21:50:37.376667Z","2025-12-10T21:50:37.376662Z","2026-06-17T00:00:00Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fjerome+powell+glasses1.png",4195898.90593,41368519.65298032,4464712.458093001,"2025-12-10T16:57:51.452117Z","2026-05-25T20:55:54.071713Z",0.8155939940473872,1187431.9698139972,8205039.012990008,31020167.901219092,41368519.65298108,"0xa8a8ccaceb3e11706b62f5bb6a040665c1ebc14312abcf7430c7114095406a00",[6589,6619,6642,6666,6695],{"id":6590,"question":6591,"conditionId":6592,"slug":6593,"endDate":6575,"liquidity":6594,"startDate":6595,"image":6576,"icon":6576,"description":6596,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":6597,"volume":6598,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":6599,"updatedAt":6600,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":1225,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":6601,"groupItemThreshold":178,"questionID":6602,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":6603,"liquidityNum":6604,"endDateIso":6605,"startDateIso":6606,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":6607,"volume1wk":6608,"volume1mo":6609,"volume1yr":6610,"clobTokenIds":6611,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":6607,"volume1wkClob":6608,"volume1moClob":6609,"volume1yrClob":6610,"volumeClob":6603,"liquidityClob":6604,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":6587,"negRiskRequestID":6612,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":6613,"cyom":15,"competitive":6614,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":720,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":47,"oneDayPriceChange":1426,"oneHourPriceChange":47,"oneWeekPriceChange":1522,"oneMonthPriceChange":6615,"lastTradePrice":3593,"bestBid":1494,"bestAsk":3593,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":6616,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":6617,"feeSchedule":6618},"906973","Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?","0xdde06286a7b9464d344f410ab0b3d2ebc6469904e72c27fd982f65fdbf78768d","will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-june-2026-meeting","208355.40762","2025-12-10T21:45:58.522699Z","The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut\u002Fincrease of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Ffomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.","[\"0.0145\", \"0.9855\"]","7681398.093127882","2025-12-10T16:57:53.046799Z","2026-05-25T20:52:38.290453Z","25 bps decrease","0xa8a8ccaceb3e11706b62f5bb6a040665c1ebc14312abcf7430c7114095406a01",7681398.093127882,208355.40762,"2026-06-17","2025-12-10",330196.15935699985,1576623.8631280016,6162144.796193042,7681398.093128095,"[\"65193234666628291664907888364936366210889305490897648116746073820519263548476\", 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the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?","0xa7cb4135c6d9c36da0e343874dd5b455de739c6d1b9f9f5583dd9320aacf5db2","will-the-fed-increase-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-june-2026-meeting","440558.53973","2025-12-10T21:45:58.775194Z","7279777.321007014","2025-12-10T16:57:54.252791Z","2026-05-25T20:54:48.032001Z","25 bps increase","0xa8a8ccaceb3e11706b62f5bb6a040665c1ebc14312abcf7430c7114095406a03",7279777.321007014,440558.53973,156434.35350499998,1195169.6263479998,5323041.774656022,7279777.321007056,"[\"54688507565884542490190759171719899637342914252863057837926715255559077706253\", 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the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?","0x4e4a7df876b0c04f0b8b29b9073eddfbaf5c787192da825ae7ca1031bc8cfd15","will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-the-june-2026-meeting","537624.79114","2025-12-10T21:45:56.196927Z","[\"0.0045\", \"0.9955\"]","9710383.276240801","2025-12-10T16:57:52.384504Z","2026-05-25T20:53:17.622419Z","50+ bps decrease",9710383.276240801,537624.79114,175808.3316000001,1823640.4152600053,6937665.776581011,9710383.276240988,"[\"110884561568299698460551977852169332756450294345019257864587852438060900499251\", \"43657246144121396803720838555832481461017693669899677632500878505194847879265\"]","0x09cb8a299a4c03136383f948aee576d54c9bb262f0bf0cb7255dc905cea2da79","2025-12-10T21:45:34Z",0.8028773518535728,"2025-12-10T21:37:42.613308Z",{"exponent":449,"rate":125,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1246},{"id":6667,"question":6668,"conditionId":6669,"slug":6670,"endDate":6575,"liquidity":6671,"startDate":6672,"image":6576,"icon":6576,"description":6596,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":6673,"volume":6674,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":6675,"updatedAt":6676,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":1225,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":6677,"groupItemThreshold":77,"questionID":6678,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":6679,"liquidityNum":6680,"endDateIso":6605,"startDateIso":6606,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":6681,"volume1wk":6682,"volume1mo":6683,"volume1yr":6684,"clobTokenIds":6685,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":6681,"volume1wkClob":6682,"volume1moClob":6683,"volume1yrClob":6684,"volumeClob":6679,"liquidityClob":6680,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":6587,"negRiskRequestID":6686,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":6613,"cyom":15,"competitive":6582,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":6687,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":47,"oneDayPriceChange":680,"oneWeekPriceChange":60,"oneMonthPriceChange":6690,"lastTradePrice":6691,"bestBid":6692,"bestAsk":6691,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":6693,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":6617,"feeSchedule":6694},"906974","Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?","0xde04b189b3f19eaccda02529a3ea67abfc46bff5c0c8fc42d8a2d0ed7b8f0d41","will-there-be-no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-the-june-2026-meeting","920397.46243","2025-12-10T21:45:58.269771Z","[\"0.9755\", \"0.0245\"]","7248267.583561944","2025-12-10T16:57:53.677378Z","2026-05-25T20:53:50.780977Z","No change","0xa8a8ccaceb3e11706b62f5bb6a040665c1ebc14312abcf7430c7114095406a02",7248267.583561944,920397.46243,327626.56017399725,1444411.0654839976,5365790.833138005,7248267.583561989,"[\"30767812841387255642892182147223249245545002662653079696958384408588201824258\", \"40302938956091099752849867077837976978448552504757012372843872340644441002059\"]","0x15068dd6e46631ce0705d18251a4fa299668d5f311638a194f92c190b68c27a3",[6688],{"id":6689,"conditionId":6669,"assetAddress":1157,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":47,"startDate":555,"endDate":120},"380622",0.0505,0.976,0.975,"2025-12-10T21:37:42.616218Z",{"exponent":449,"rate":125,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1246},{"id":6696,"question":6697,"conditionId":6698,"slug":6699,"endDate":6575,"liquidity":6700,"startDate":6701,"image":6576,"icon":6576,"description":6596,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":3978,"volume":6702,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":6703,"updatedAt":6704,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":1225,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":6705,"groupItemThreshold":277,"questionID":6706,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":6707,"liquidityNum":6708,"endDateIso":6605,"startDateIso":6606,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":6709,"volume1wk":6710,"volume1mo":6711,"volume1yr":6712,"clobTokenIds":6713,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":6709,"volume1wkClob":6710,"volume1moClob":6711,"volume1yrClob":6712,"volumeClob":6707,"liquidityClob":6708,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":6587,"negRiskRequestID":6714,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":6613,"cyom":15,"competitive":3991,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":720,"rewardsMaxSpread":397,"spread":47,"oneMonthPriceChange":970,"lastTradePrice":680,"bestBid":680,"bestAsk":1426,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":6715,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":6617,"feeSchedule":6716},"906976","Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?","0xb01e70a56199a6d5467f47a2b94e75e7c7218c128c8d0b8beb6dafed2f0d15c2","will-the-fed-increase-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-the-june-2026-meeting","2070381.85053","2025-12-10T21:45:59.028092Z","9469395.39340868","2025-12-10T16:57:54.92565Z","2026-05-25T20:52:52.361294Z","50+ bps increase","0xa8a8ccaceb3e11706b62f5bb6a040665c1ebc14312abcf7430c7114095406a04",9469395.39340868,2070381.85053,205091.54616300008,2184111.039636004,7251982.112762013,9469395.393408952,"[\"11019686559003253359318459636510036787281809199165975947920974072245914352862\", 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19:17:35.835+00","2023-02-03T22:02:38.864Z","2026-05-25T20:47:51.119443Z",1313210.5891869972,48032425.61594939,5226963.34356,"2021-01-01T17:00:00Z",8188,[6732,6738,6744,6749,6756,6757,6763],{"id":6733,"label":6734,"slug":6735,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":6736,"updatedAt":6737,"requiresTranslation":15},"101800","Economic Policy","economic-policy","2025-02-06T18:05:50.554703Z","2026-04-17T20:34:30.088167Z",{"id":6739,"label":6740,"slug":6741,"createdAt":6742,"updatedAt":6743,"requiresTranslation":15},"101550","Jerome Powell","jerome-powell","2024-12-18T23:06:40.410115Z","2026-04-17T17:26:03.169374Z",{"id":6745,"label":6746,"slug":6747,"forceShow":14,"updatedAt":6748,"requiresTranslation":15},"100196","Fed Rates","fed-rates","2026-04-17T17:15:07.579162Z",{"id":6750,"label":6751,"slug":6752,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":6753,"createdAt":6754,"updatedAt":6755,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"159","Fed","fed","2023-11-02 21:27:18.98+00","2023-11-02T21:27:18.986Z","2026-04-17T21:09:42.963001Z",{"id":77,"label":512,"slug":513,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":514,"updatedBy":515,"createdAt":516,"updatedAt":517,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":6758,"label":6759,"slug":6760,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":6761,"updatedAt":6762,"requiresTranslation":15},"100328","Economy","economy","2024-08-05T05:34:54.235643Z","2026-04-17T20:29:06.948273Z",{"id":6764,"label":6719,"slug":6719,"createdAt":6765,"updatedAt":6766,"requiresTranslation":15},"100478","2024-09-18T16:39:12.895052Z","2026-04-17T20:41:15.156214Z","2025-12-10T21:35:11.481159Z",{"context_description":6769,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":6770},"Persistent inflation pressures, highlighted by April 2026 CPI rising to 3.8% year-over-year amid a 17.9% energy price surge tied to Middle East geopolitical tensions, combined with a resilient labor market near 4.3% unemployment, underpin the 97.5% market-implied odds of no change at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting. Traders view the current 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range as appropriate given these data points and the Fed's recent hold through April. The May CPI release on June 10 and fresh employment figures represent the main near-term swing factors that could alter positioning ahead of the updated dot plot.","2026-05-25T20:45:47.073Z",{"id":6772,"ticker":6773,"slug":6773,"title":6774,"description":6775,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":6776,"creationDate":6777,"endDate":1197,"image":6778,"icon":6778,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":14,"restricted":14,"liquidity":6779,"volume":6780,"openInterest":6781,"sortBy":1202,"createdAt":6782,"updatedAt":6783,"competitive":6784,"volume24hr":6785,"volume1wk":6786,"volume1mo":6787,"volume1yr":6788,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":6779,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":6789,"commentCount":6790,"markets":6791,"tags":8792,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":14,"enableNegRisk":14,"automaticallyActive":14,"startTime":3520,"gmpChartMode":518,"negRiskAugmented":14,"countryName":3521,"electionType":8812,"featuredOrder":8813,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":8814,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":8815},"31552","presidential-election-winner-2028","Presidential Election Winner 2028","The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.","2025-07-11T19:11:35.945569Z","2025-07-11T19:11:35.945462Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fpresidential-election-winner-2024-afdda358-219d-448a-abb5-ba4d14118d71.png",30564918.2566,600528805.5774117,79054916.151897,"2025-07-08T19:05:57.129881Z","2026-05-25T20:55:21.492359Z",0.9120673579985229,1174540.890167,12620635.157016998,47674686.40354205,600528805.5774004,"0xb9aa4595bbe8ca1ecceeb16d24fb5df6d27d4e2116787ad874ff31f682bdb400",944,[6792,6816,6829,6842,6855,6868,6880,6893,6906,6919,6932,6945,6958,6971,6984,6997,7009,7022,7035,7047,7060,7073,7085,7098,7110,7123,7136,7149,7162,7174,7187,7200,7212,7225,7238,7251,7264,7276,7289,7319,7341,7353,7366,7378,7390,7403,7433,7446,7459,7471,7483,7496,7521,7543,7574,7599,7621,7633,7646,7678,7690,7703,7731,7752,7774,7795,7807,7820,7832,7844,7856,7877,7890,7912,7934,7946,7958,7970,7998,8021,8034,8057,8070,8083,8105,8126,8138,8160,8186,8210,8222,8234,8247,8261,8283,8296,8308,8329,8341,8363,8376,8397,8409,8421,8433,8454,8466,8478,8490,8511,8523,8535,8557,8569,8581,8593,8605,8627,8640,8652,8673,8698,8710,8723,8735,8747,8768,8780],{"id":6793,"question":6794,"conditionId":6795,"slug":6796,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1197,"liquidity":6797,"startDate":6798,"image":1792,"icon":1792,"description":6799,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":2423,"volume":6800,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":6801,"updatedAt":6802,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":1225,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":1796,"groupItemThreshold":2453,"questionID":6803,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":6804,"liquidityNum":6805,"endDateIso":1229,"startDateIso":1230,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":6806,"volume1wk":6807,"volume1mo":6808,"volume1yr":6809,"clobTokenIds":6810,"umaBond":6811,"umaReward":2402,"volume24hrClob":6806,"volume1wkClob":6807,"volume1moClob":6808,"volume1yrClob":6809,"volumeClob":6804,"liquidityClob":6805,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":6789,"negRiskRequestID":6812,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":6813,"cyom":15,"competitive":2438,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":720,"rewardsMaxSpread":397,"spread":47,"lastTradePrice":580,"bestBid":580,"bestAsk":838,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":14,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":6814,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":14,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":1243,"feeSchedule":6815},"561263","Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?","0x2d3c4fc5cde6dfb43448402b912e41bd4453e3f030448ed026bff8f1a0bc072e","will-eric-trump-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election","1749680.66653","2025-07-11T19:06:22.527Z","The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.","16577407.743506102","2025-07-08T19:06:16.840767Z","2026-05-25T20:53:35.073752Z","0xb9aa4595bbe8ca1ecceeb16d24fb5df6d27d4e2116787ad874ff31f682bdb422",16577407.743506102,1749680.66653,73096.68217699994,2416218.4432020006,8617908.694410998,16577407.743506026,"[\"67028631656597977031363620447645908995417871899828777750494099295092202422178\", 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Person BG win the 2028 US Presidential Election?","0xd8b6cb1a5b02b155f9548bd5fab9741aa0e688b051b31db45579df613171e7bb","will-person-bg-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election","2025-07-11T19:07:13.566345Z","2025-07-08T19:06:41.92378Z","0xb9aa4595bbe8ca1ecceeb16d24fb5df6d27d4e2116787ad874ff31f682bdb44f","[\"97559342117989621908916440465313955386165278535836918982570798809800529869784\", 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Person CZ win the 2028 US Presidential Election?","0x81ae33a2681be72de3a359ef293ffa2390e99d55361e9dea8d5c3ee92a27725b","will-person-cz-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election","2025-07-11T19:08:01.141332Z","2025-07-08T19:07:09.035612Z","0xb9aa4595bbe8ca1ecceeb16d24fb5df6d27d4e2116787ad874ff31f682bdb47c","[\"65780797245630863828641924636538046559007830368640095133506975397407203580445\", 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Person Q win the 2028 US Presidential Election?","0xed333fe31d97904f8fc8752d67f6dff47087a176595f608b57a8e7bb14ef8854","will-person-q-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election","2025-07-11T19:06:24.49599Z","2025-07-08T19:06:18.51955Z","0xb9aa4595bbe8ca1ecceeb16d24fb5df6d27d4e2116787ad874ff31f682bdb425","[\"26300126250638962432368126833553865841971269530697411678483716322368818562639\", 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Election","main-election","2026-04-22T17:40:04.678394Z","2026-04-22T17:45:02.315601Z","Presidential",19,"2025-07-11T18:44:25.422593Z",{"context_description":8816,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":8817},"The 2028 presidential nomination contests remain wide open more than two years before the primaries, with trader consensus showing no dominant candidate as potential contenders from both parties position themselves through public appearances, legislative records, and early organizational efforts. This tight distribution reflects structural factors including term limits on the current president, shifting voter coalitions in battleground states, and the absence of decisive polling trends or major endorsements that could consolidate support. Developments such as midterm outcomes, primary debates, or shifts in key demographic turnout could widen gaps among the leaders, while historical precedent indicates that early positioning often changes as formal campaigns intensify.","2026-05-25T20:45:47.260Z",{"id":8819,"ticker":8820,"slug":8820,"title":8821,"description":8822,"resolutionSource":3777,"startDate":8823,"creationDate":8824,"endDate":8825,"image":3781,"icon":3781,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":8826,"volume":8827,"openInterest":8828,"createdAt":8829,"updatedAt":8830,"competitive":742,"volume24hr":8831,"volume1wk":8832,"volume1mo":8832,"volume1yr":8832,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":8826,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":8833,"commentCount":56,"markets":8834,"series":9042,"tags":9054,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":14,"automaticallyActive":14,"startTime":9059,"seriesSlug":9045,"negRiskAugmented":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":9060,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":9061},"510092","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-23-may-25","Elon Musk # tweets May 23 - May 25, 2026?","This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 23 12:00 PM ET to May 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https:\u002F\u002Fx.com\u002Felonmusk\u002Fstatus\u002F1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https:\u002F\u002Fxtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","2026-05-21T16:14:05.487397Z","2026-05-21T16:14:05.487383Z","2026-05-25T16:00:00Z",261003.04409,2055732.208149,105769.415744,"2026-05-21T16:00:01.692152Z","2026-05-25T20:56:55.410623Z",1019809.6627690002,2055732.2081489996,"0x69e699f38ad6dfb6d9040a410ea4788eb2d2b0432d84efbefa2f2a8baed31000",[8835,8857,8878,8900,8920,8941,8960,8981,9000,9021],{"id":8836,"question":8837,"conditionId":8838,"slug":8839,"resolutionSource":3777,"endDate":8825,"startDate":8840,"image":3781,"icon":3781,"description":8822,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":8841,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":8842,"updatedAt":8843,"closedTime":8844,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":3802,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":8845,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":8833,"umaEndDate":8846,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":8847,"endDateIso":832,"startDateIso":418,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":8848,"volume1wk":8849,"volume1mo":8849,"volume1yr":8849,"gameStartTime":8850,"clobTokenIds":8851,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":77,"volume24hrClob":8848,"volume1wkClob":8849,"volume1moClob":8849,"volume1yrClob":8849,"volumeClob":8847,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":8833,"negRiskRequestID":8852,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":8853,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":454,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":8854,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":8855,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":3811,"feeSchedule":8856},"2321923","Will Elon Musk post \u003C40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?","0xf7746f28216fa303f3c3c2a7ea5d148a5d438369f1771d8239d97f2056adde49","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-23-may-25-0-39","2026-05-21T16:04:46.566434Z","344016.51837600017","2026-05-21T16:00:01.889245Z","2026-05-25T20:56:22.2169Z","2026-05-25 06:47:29+00","\u003C40","2026-05-25T06:47:29Z",344016.51837600017,82861.42613199998,344016.5183759999,"2026-05-23 16:00:00+00","[\"109219268665134202750303072926999960076267429587649047201137668480761038172326\", 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Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?","0xebeaf8a7579a14906fbdc1d50beb3b6acd3bdf011facd1597f58b4077aa38b1f","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-23-may-25-40-64","2026-05-21T16:05:02.347689Z","372156.6903389996","2026-05-21T16:00:02.038005Z","2026-05-25T20:56:04.254932Z","2026-05-25 19:29:37+00","40-64","0x69e699f38ad6dfb6d9040a410ea4788eb2d2b0432d84efbefa2f2a8baed31001","2026-05-25T19:29:37Z",372156.6903389996,266053.7078010001,"[\"75409745793787409595267834554814730063116304464942716334816659507596676086495\", 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Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?","0xac544446eee966d0d7beb87068291331b427a5639cc73e20c36e464c9a4e8c1b","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-23-may-25-65-89","2026-05-21T16:05:03.41444Z","377803.0048190003","2026-05-21T16:00:02.161053Z","2026-05-25T20:56:09.432127Z","2026-05-25 19:05:35+00","65-89","0x69e699f38ad6dfb6d9040a410ea4788eb2d2b0432d84efbefa2f2a8baed31002","2026-05-25T19:05:35Z",377803.0048190003,299233.06477100006,377803.0048190001,"[\"76291873792349170213134342845993203084751189996987007478124784241894692062922\", 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Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?","0x61727f05c821b53607a956bbbcd75558675b0051b5caeb2e31328d65b0901b7d","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-23-may-25-90-114","2026-05-21T16:05:05.696909Z","334690.42519599985","2026-05-21T16:00:02.315772Z","2026-05-25T20:55:58.311411Z","2026-05-25 18:51:24+00","90-114","0x69e699f38ad6dfb6d9040a410ea4788eb2d2b0432d84efbefa2f2a8baed31003","2026-05-25T18:51:24Z",334690.42519599985,212436.02235400002,"[\"65849436162692534710445209937033605892422025821977130896094592052409045780262\", 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Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?","0x6e253cddb1571058a7c02b6960409a5f7602195f8239f18d724495c0a1b2638f","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-23-may-25-115-139","2026-05-21T16:05:07.722122Z","214574.26274800007","2026-05-21T16:00:02.565734Z","2026-05-25T20:56:24.375755Z","2026-05-25 18:51:26+00","115-139","0x69e699f38ad6dfb6d9040a410ea4788eb2d2b0432d84efbefa2f2a8baed31004","2026-05-25T18:51:26Z",214574.26274800007,94644.18084099998,214574.26274799992,"[\"17833295781870335845447735870954948037698244003289902734668987968900466977713\", 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Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?","0x49b5ae3a7bbd0cd73b9a39a7f7b185ddd8a943618df2e5baa7a934a935c1ae47","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-23-may-25-140-164","2026-05-21T16:05:17.717665Z","168264.37491400004","2026-05-21T16:00:02.710765Z","2026-05-25T20:55:58.729353Z","140-164","0x69e699f38ad6dfb6d9040a410ea4788eb2d2b0432d84efbefa2f2a8baed31005",168264.37491400004,50504.90491299998,168264.37491400022,"[\"12946099183217592234193824249923806424840031234371137057393099501143189350311\", 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Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?","0x22edad30d310b00abb239aea99728fc05866401952de8573105219d3966a6dd6","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-23-may-25-165-189","2026-05-21T16:05:20.035756Z","60730.342612000015","2026-05-21T16:00:02.841437Z","2026-05-25T18:52:42.40092Z","2026-05-25 18:51:28+00","165-189","0x69e699f38ad6dfb6d9040a410ea4788eb2d2b0432d84efbefa2f2a8baed31006","2026-05-25T18:51:28Z",60730.342612000015,340.05,60730.34261199998,"[\"67449538702760030984538425507045410941879815761601968439756905155682561432128\", \"28543488493924486308737973114016414436920168880799084392568330224076638979517\"]","0x60e20b8afa878a00f995924707cf30adeb83d0bae3fa785ea2bd466c4e839aaf","2026-05-21T16:04:09Z","2026-05-21T16:01:20.474642Z",{"exponent":449,"rate":125,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1246},{"id":8982,"question":8983,"conditionId":8984,"slug":8985,"resolutionSource":3777,"endDate":8825,"liquidity":44,"startDate":8986,"image":3781,"icon":3781,"description":8822,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":8987,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":8988,"updatedAt":8989,"closedTime":8990,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":3802,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":8991,"groupItemThreshold":385,"questionID":8992,"umaEndDate":8993,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":8994,"liquidityNum":56,"endDateIso":832,"startDateIso":418,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":8995,"volume1wk":8994,"volume1mo":8994,"volume1yr":8994,"gameStartTime":8850,"clobTokenIds":8996,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":77,"volume24hrClob":8995,"volume1wkClob":8994,"volume1moClob":8994,"volume1yrClob":8994,"volumeClob":8994,"liquidityAmm":56,"liquidityClob":56,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":8833,"negRiskRequestID":8997,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":8978,"cyom":15,"competitive":56,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":454,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":8998,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":3811,"feeSchedule":8999},"2321955","Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?","0xc564fcd210346a495972c483c974f6669ec61fdf33ec4807fc7ff7cdf8fb7bd5","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-23-may-25-190-214","2026-05-21T16:05:20.308602Z","53312.653786999996","2026-05-21T16:00:02.960662Z","2026-05-25T18:51:44.402658Z","2026-05-25 18:50:30+00","190-214","0x69e699f38ad6dfb6d9040a410ea4788eb2d2b0432d84efbefa2f2a8baed31007","2026-05-25T18:50:30Z",53312.653786999996,181.47,"[\"13329205666391195902521737627068346474971813609992223263914476366313808496206\", \"18144560152717361299914251062508013299152776347936452699746029874599433496603\"]","0x26c34c95661f062c1f4ce8b27cc7f3216b22a7b33b8c0b41414fa189eb0146c3","2026-05-21T16:01:20.481176Z",{"exponent":449,"rate":125,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1246},{"id":9001,"question":9002,"conditionId":9003,"slug":9004,"resolutionSource":3777,"endDate":8825,"liquidity":9005,"startDate":9006,"image":3781,"icon":3781,"description":8822,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":4003,"volume":9007,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":9008,"updatedAt":9009,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":3802,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":9010,"groupItemThreshold":413,"questionID":9011,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":4184,"volumeNum":9012,"liquidityNum":9013,"endDateIso":832,"startDateIso":418,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":9014,"volume1wk":9015,"volume1mo":9015,"volume1yr":9015,"gameStartTime":8850,"clobTokenIds":9016,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":77,"volume24hrClob":9014,"volume1wkClob":9015,"volume1moClob":9015,"volume1yrClob":9015,"volumeClob":9012,"liquidityClob":9013,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":8833,"negRiskRequestID":9017,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":9018,"cyom":15,"competitive":742,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":454,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":9019,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":3811,"feeSchedule":9020},"2321959","Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?","0xb00e78ca5ce10ec95b13b5916e2e52daa3e122b53e185700cf3c904bb7c05931","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-23-may-25-215-239","261007.99409","2026-05-21T16:05:29.882261Z","61610.060154","2026-05-21T16:00:03.07959Z","2026-05-25T20:53:28.240832Z","215-239","0x69e699f38ad6dfb6d9040a410ea4788eb2d2b0432d84efbefa2f2a8baed31008",61610.060154,261007.99409,151,61610.06015399995,"[\"98972676714102609006299951958551454176007816836502508223451116429761188661468\", 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Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?","0xeef2628c2b80d1df9f5f93320dc54e9cd0051615aa87f230518f136136d6081e","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-23-may-25-240plus","2026-05-21T16:06:36.206506Z","68573.87520399994","2026-05-21T16:00:03.20931Z","2026-05-25T19:20:44.308828Z","2026-05-25 19:19:29+00","240+","0x69e699f38ad6dfb6d9040a410ea4788eb2d2b0432d84efbefa2f2a8baed31009","2026-05-25T19:19:29Z",68573.87520399994,12279.24,68573.87520399998,"[\"101089007011107784781805613526186810523366226957173360280195386139808455774790\", \"76595230775188441254438294815815246871955054286646814315969172047994928199941\"]","0x9b0737e725da37119ba82f49d49336295817b29f145c0a401e74ec7b348aef96","2026-05-21T16:05:26Z","2026-05-21T16:01:20.488414Z",{"exponent":449,"rate":125,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1246},[9043],{"id":9044,"ticker":9045,"slug":9045,"title":9046,"seriesType":4357,"recurrence":9047,"image":9,"icon":9,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"createdAt":9048,"updatedAt":9049,"volume24hr":9050,"volume":9051,"liquidity":9052,"commentCount":9053,"requiresTranslation":15},"10816","elon-tweets-48h","Elon Tweets 48H","daily","2025-12-29T18:59:23.165746Z","2026-05-25T20:47:47.425768Z",1128435.4611300002,2194362.80122,359342.16613,10681,[9055,9056,9057,9058],{"id":4369,"label":4370,"slug":4371,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":4372,"createdAt":4373,"updatedAt":4374,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":77,"label":512,"slug":513,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":514,"updatedBy":515,"createdAt":516,"updatedAt":517,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":4377,"label":4378,"slug":4379,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":4380,"createdAt":4381,"updatedAt":4382,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":4384,"label":4385,"slug":4386,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":4387,"updatedAt":4388,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":14},"2026-05-23T16:00:00Z","2026-05-21T16:00:05.870076Z",{"context_description":9062,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":9063},"Elon Musk’s typical daily activity on X, averaging roughly 10-20 posts per day outside of major breaking news cycles, underpins the overwhelming market consensus for the 40-64 tweet range over the three-day window. Traders have priced in this steady baseline because no high-profile company announcements, political developments, or viral controversies have surfaced in the past 48 hours to trigger an unusual spike. Historical patterns from similar low-event periods further reinforce the positioning, as Musk rarely exceeds 25-30 tweets daily without a clear catalyst. An upset into the 215-239 band would require an extraordinary, sustained engagement surge—such as a rapid-fire response to a major Tesla or SpaceX update, regulatory news, or cultural moment—that deviates sharply from his established rhythm.","2026-05-25T20:46:00.022Z",{"id":9065,"ticker":9066,"slug":9066,"title":9067,"description":9068,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":9069,"creationDate":9070,"endDate":9071,"image":9072,"icon":9072,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":9073,"volume":9074,"openInterest":9075,"sortBy":1202,"createdAt":9076,"updatedAt":9077,"competitive":9078,"volume24hr":9079,"volume1wk":9080,"volume1mo":9081,"volume1yr":9082,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":9073,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":9083,"commentCount":9084,"markets":9085,"tags":11089,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":14,"enableNegRisk":14,"automaticallyActive":14,"startTime":11113,"gmpChartMode":518,"negRiskAugmented":14,"countryName":11100,"electionType":8812,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":11114,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":11115},"79987","next-french-presidential-election","Next French Presidential Election","The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027.  This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. \n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.interieur.gouv.fr\u002F).","2025-11-13T23:10:18.574088Z","2025-11-13T23:10:18.574038Z","2027-04-30T00:00:00Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Ffrance-presidential-election-2027-U5QY3acvfubZ.png",6208207.85801,81160204.76913916,618549.4405609998,"2025-11-12T20:05:10.865928Z","2026-05-25T20:56:55.041906Z",0.9296920395119117,814694.9964210001,6096933.944562001,28974439.38585899,81160204.76913899,"0xdb7fd06931d5f8cec574bc6423d97f0c3a77e814e9b45119084f90e5a1632200",518,[9086,9112,9136,9160,9184,9214,9240,9265,9288,9316,9339,9363,9386,9410,9433,9457,9481,9493,9517,9540,9553,9567,9580,9594,9606,9619,9631,9644,9657,9669,9682,9694,9707,9719,9732,9744,9757,9769,9782,9795,9808,9820,9832,9845,9857,9870,9883,9895,9907,9920,9932,9944,9957,9969,9982,9994,10006,10019,10031,10044,10056,10068,10081,10093,10105,10133,10159,10182,10205,10231,10255,10278,10301,10324,10347,10370,10393,10416,10440,10463,10486,10509,10531,10544,10557,10570,10583,10596,10608,10620,10632,10644,10656,10668,10680,10692,10704,10716,10728,10740,10752,10764,10776,10788,10800,10812,10824,10836,10848,10860,10872,10884,10896,10908,10920,10932,10944,10956,10968,10980,10992,11004,11016,11028,11040,11052,11064,11076],{"id":9087,"question":9088,"conditionId":9089,"slug":9090,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":9071,"liquidity":9091,"startDate":9092,"image":9093,"icon":9093,"description":9068,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":9094,"volume":9095,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":9096,"updatedAt":9097,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":1225,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":9098,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":9083,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":9099,"liquidityNum":9100,"endDateIso":9101,"startDateIso":9102,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":9103,"volume1wk":9104,"volume1mo":9105,"volume1yr":9106,"clobTokenIds":9107,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":9103,"volume1wkClob":9104,"volume1moClob":9105,"volume1yrClob":9106,"volumeClob":9099,"liquidityClob":9100,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":9083,"negRiskRequestID":9108,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":9109,"cyom":15,"competitive":579,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":56,"rewardsMaxSpread":56,"spread":103,"lastTradePrice":238,"bestBid":125,"bestAsk":238,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":9110,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":1243,"feeSchedule":9111},"679018","Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?","0x8126317d621047fb13d508a2651eecc8d38305904671822a62309c5aabd353aa","will-marine-le-pen-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election","127822.9646","2025-11-13T23:09:35.8119Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-marine-le-pen-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election-8hg67PHSk27M.jpg","[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]","565214.7886990005","2025-11-12T20:05:11.868854Z","2026-05-25T20:55:22.417652Z","Marine Le Pen",565214.7886990005,127822.9646,"2027-04-30","2025-11-13",2596.557704,34664.677049,140760.28250399983,565214.7886990006,"[\"55764212211467781322980371912612507865974994976253196346176314491480419639168\", 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Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?","0x290b3a5826b17e48ae7166b188767d95df5a9ed0b69fda116d98d0d27d753281","will-ric-zemmour-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election","132550.69638","2025-11-13T23:09:39.490535Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-ric-zemmour-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election-Tdu7Nb9S2y9Q.jpg","1511772.2167920019","2025-11-12T20:05:13.665892Z","2026-05-25T20:54:19.135913Z","Éric Zemmour","0xdb7fd06931d5f8cec574bc6423d97f0c3a77e814e9b45119084f90e5a1632202",1511772.2167920019,132550.69638,3868.8025969999994,22192.139866999994,289236.022432,1511772.2167919984,"[\"51126599157451146230415396920771455069752975116525743821340393650626382714261\", 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Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?","0x20fd4cf096367edbd429168764db975b582249a7a3818684d051f445a3efaed1","will-dominique-de-villepin-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election","99338.9124","2025-11-13T23:09:44.545728Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-dominique-de-villepin-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election-56Ww0YEdkQZK.jpg","[\"0.0445\", \"0.9555\"]","1242691.5158179966","2025-11-12T20:05:25.868826Z","2026-05-25T20:55:43.384774Z","Dominique de Villepin","0xdb7fd06931d5f8cec574bc6423d97f0c3a77e814e9b45119084f90e5a1632210",1242691.5158179966,99338.9124,1686.051881,26885.613248000016,145832.1868850001,1242691.5158180008,"[\"94391324985187701312427605791553049327097814064787849723991205429060004737042\", 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François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?","0xaba4bb720c6c1b2e48087f5af4a57fd1e9f05814a936e9f6b1c37f10436a34fc","will-franois-asselineau-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election","167877.32968","2025-11-13T23:09:44.801664Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-franois-asselineau-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election-XzOsZUYDHDZB.jpg","3864051.3390960065","2025-11-12T20:05:27.14968Z","2026-05-25T20:49:02.052745Z","François Asselineau","0xdb7fd06931d5f8cec574bc6423d97f0c3a77e814e9b45119084f90e5a1632212",3864051.3390960065,167877.32968,25260.803311000014,244622.8536120003,1085844.1261690003,3864051.3390960027,"[\"8417479461192816073798823433426740344330831676987487244311182202618459546538\", 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Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?","0x637a2423461f5b531fef314e1e14982b80819de217e32f4f96653caa8af2c47a","will-nicolas-dupont-aignan-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election","243025.62097","2025-11-13T23:09:45.821303Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-nicolas-dupont-aignan-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election-4xo7BwfmPpE1.jpg","3062353.4033740144","2025-11-12T20:05:29.080838Z","2026-05-25T20:49:12.620839Z","Nicolas Dupont-Aignan","0xdb7fd06931d5f8cec574bc6423d97f0c3a77e814e9b45119084f90e5a1632214",3062353.4033740144,243025.62097,14505.462311000001,185196.5000319999,710142.9909490001,3062353.4033740023,"[\"69470267697826627692819604123454074388877880558085954675928889174629178393404\", 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Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?","0x2859bb44f6c8feac18494db286c2a8b55d9e7394a8366bc8c58cfde353e41c90","will-valrie-pcresse-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election","249255.55803","2025-11-13T23:09:46.075219Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-valrie-pcresse-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election-oxso-gGTLinI.jpg","2896393.2281710254","2025-11-12T20:05:30.318626Z","2026-05-25T20:51:10.694059Z","Valérie Pécresse","0xdb7fd06931d5f8cec574bc6423d97f0c3a77e814e9b45119084f90e5a1632216",2896393.2281710254,249255.55803,20202.42648099998,224289.80403399994,887930.7723220012,2896393.228171007,"[\"24363766948593896224910370288750261566892069306063707589988084902919874428732\", 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Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?","0x0b298ab2b2cad3308d486c804985c1ede7ea949bde363f44784a3b2a460be788","will-lisabeth-borne-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election","231443.53732","2025-11-13T23:09:48.783115Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-lisabeth-borne-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election--V9ltwYqVfkm.jpg","3801865.8748209993","2025-11-12T20:05:32.076723Z","2026-05-25T20:55:44.659774Z","Élisabeth Borne","0xdb7fd06931d5f8cec574bc6423d97f0c3a77e814e9b45119084f90e5a1632218",3801865.8748209993,231443.53732,21521.931816000004,226223.57519900013,1300351.3856439989,3801865.874820998,"[\"95043791702010561300601166976284104609629234315477979739013638520683405055559\", 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Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?","0x8c1faa77d8ded9f94ffef7fe6326421a9890efd769ddcfd17808985c4a4ba93a","will-jean-castex-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election","79811.85139","2025-11-13T23:09:49.03834Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-jean-castex-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election-uawg4cwg9tFP.jpg","771896.2513529997","2025-11-12T20:05:33.470146Z","2026-05-25T20:54:18.443622Z","Jean Castex","0xdb7fd06931d5f8cec574bc6423d97f0c3a77e814e9b45119084f90e5a163221a",771896.2513529997,79811.85139,1288.155625,15701.149966000003,127816.65300800005,771896.2513529998,"[\"84155177225500340893580307993857470409400104705255279349700327955695080847788\", 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Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?","0x2bf80d93be42dac6c1b03298b5ec329a4b9f87b689c7892d544d1029f3a0caf0","will-clmentine-autain-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election","299255.82129","2025-11-13T23:09:45.566181Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-clmentine-autain-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election-OVE1IDUCsyHF.jpg","3346870.1615470136","2025-11-12T20:05:28.435752Z","2026-05-25T20:53:45.682821Z","Clémentine Autain","0xdb7fd06931d5f8cec574bc6423d97f0c3a77e814e9b45119084f90e5a1632213",3346870.1615470136,299255.82129,23340.190476999996,215459.0216840003,986047.8722449986,3346870.161547012,"[\"101922517769494577282304084292644017328594739131807473900659297117794497623622\", 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Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?","0x6ccebbc57547f8b777aa4ef70a452bb5034055d183131a9b6db47fd8d0777921","will-michel-barnier-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election","275231.44535","2025-11-13T23:09:46.330108Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-michel-barnier-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election-JV-WefID69sJ.jpg","3796043.9105770113","2025-11-12T20:05:29.662443Z","2026-05-25T20:53:04.412613Z","Michel Barnier","0xdb7fd06931d5f8cec574bc6423d97f0c3a77e814e9b45119084f90e5a1632215",3796043.9105770113,275231.44535,34157.010142,231736.84951200057,1612451.0729689957,3796043.910576998,"[\"69825125128146535185039025567612287619130912744908715244875543256333045120773\", 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François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?","0x3a8209fbd45fef3be23fb3480eb1c961c85f7bdd07d4a3391f5949252156c594","will-franois-bayrou-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election","290421.05089","2025-11-13T23:09:48.528605Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-franois-bayrou-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election-A8cpV-12RbSR.png","4263921.313602987","2025-11-12T20:05:31.316525Z","2026-05-25T20:53:48.06201Z","François Bayrou","0xdb7fd06931d5f8cec574bc6423d97f0c3a77e814e9b45119084f90e5a1632217",4263921.313602987,290421.05089,36198.628734000005,264659.0176659998,1639595.397673009,4263921.313602986,"[\"63931284508031754808359645663279593286333277328858705756576520335090573316938\", 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Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?","0xfd431e070263b5f24e43a8fc44532bf41aa008d99cab2330d979913b1c580bd2","will-yal-braun-pivet-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election","266001.94746","2025-11-13T23:09:49.293043Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-yal-braun-pivet-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election-fphh_2PYOu0m.jpg","4095524.3372070044","2025-11-12T20:05:32.705996Z","2026-05-25T20:54:48.419165Z","Yaël Braun-Pivet","0xdb7fd06931d5f8cec574bc6423d97f0c3a77e814e9b45119084f90e5a1632219",4095524.3372070044,266001.94746,36065.25547499998,234425.6688260003,2028041.9058260003,4095524.3372070026,"[\"90243277501928549903457106260906752907678787537403576622822541447725499756209\", 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Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?","0xf39142681d979d4987625065e294cac48bc92ad92356b18f28d57a3fd3f0a316","will-grald-darmanin-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election","143914.36141","2025-11-13T23:09:51.122754Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-grald-darmanin-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election-HwwNfzXFeAbA.jpg","951920.7281359991","2025-11-12T20:05:34.26488Z","2026-05-25T20:53:43.766112Z","Gérald Darmanin","0xdb7fd06931d5f8cec574bc6423d97f0c3a77e814e9b45119084f90e5a163221b",951920.7281359991,143914.36141,15802.870127999999,181936.60278000002,383473.936941,951920.7281360006,"[\"43651565807548419100106255271538548131112941802704021306828698880396089197802\", 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Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?","0x4d5a2c980a8d116c14db4307646bdf17067b422a7d8e5ed88ec20213b463efe0","will-bernard-cazeneuve-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election","155635.30131","2025-11-13T23:09:50.612069Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-bernard-cazeneuve-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election-LnzCYsAX1xQO.jpg","1489285.3900869966","2025-11-12T20:05:35.728855Z","2026-05-25T20:54:32.08854Z","Bernard Cazeneuve","0xdb7fd06931d5f8cec574bc6423d97f0c3a77e814e9b45119084f90e5a163221d",1489285.3900869966,155635.30131,50790.589278,211731.416079,327481.87408200017,1489285.3900870017,"[\"66544527271490346064341740627732239789974358897543481449359429783712570106189\", 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Person CK win the 2027 French presidential election?","0x402158207f559e5360e090ce5784f6c2af4f6a8bf5bf2c4586737793c8ad84e8","will-person-ck-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election","2025-11-13T23:10:34.890617Z","2025-11-12T20:06:25.221156Z","0xdb7fd06931d5f8cec574bc6423d97f0c3a77e814e9b45119084f90e5a1632279","[\"39320012187912993649565163595721874247167592573492085314748279217995922487320\", \"20784748031089735609474127024016618315863868280692488186877750391004439725599\"]","0xf86fcc80dd5ececa119de52d69a32cd40c836f6827409649a2320002478552ad","2025-11-13T22:47:23.424664Z",{"exponent":449,"rate":1245,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1246},{"id":11053,"question":11054,"conditionId":11055,"slug":11056,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":9071,"liquidity":44,"startDate":11057,"image":9072,"icon":9072,"description":9068,"outcomes":35,"volume":44,"active":15,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":11058,"updatedAt":1255,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":1225,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":2104,"groupItemThreshold":2601,"questionID":11059,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":56,"liquidityNum":56,"endDateIso":9101,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":56,"volume1wk":56,"volume1mo":56,"volume1yr":56,"clobTokenIds":11060,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrAmm":56,"volume1wkAmm":56,"volume1moAmm":56,"volume1yrAmm":56,"volume24hrClob":56,"volume1wkClob":56,"volume1moClob":56,"volume1yrClob":56,"volumeAmm":56,"volumeClob":56,"liquidityAmm":56,"liquidityClob":56,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":9083,"negRiskRequestID":11061,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":10078,"cyom":15,"competitive":56,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":56,"rewardsMaxSpread":56,"spread":449,"oneDayPriceChange":56,"oneHourPriceChange":56,"oneWeekPriceChange":56,"oneMonthPriceChange":56,"oneYearPriceChange":56,"lastTradePrice":56,"bestBid":56,"bestAsk":449,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":14,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":11062,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":1243,"feeSchedule":11063},"679141","Will Person CM win the 2027 French presidential election?","0x5d04dcc36768a6ee39a7bcd52c9406e1d93a17f89c4cfc305d65662518ec87a9","will-person-cm-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election","2025-11-13T23:10:36.720549Z","2025-11-12T20:06:26.286447Z","0xdb7fd06931d5f8cec574bc6423d97f0c3a77e814e9b45119084f90e5a163227b","[\"32917381383362452834475246688712042584821305270108837356074408170401331749754\", \"25032710478843484934592489590142044825350159750998794328331101204066427911087\"]","0x2488c136535276ff8232ee5f8a20d056c3729431cedaeddcc5b4d08983d751c3","2025-11-13T22:47:23.429714Z",{"exponent":449,"rate":1245,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1246},{"id":11065,"question":11066,"conditionId":11067,"slug":11068,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":9071,"liquidity":44,"startDate":11069,"image":9072,"icon":9072,"description":9068,"outcomes":35,"volume":44,"active":15,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":11070,"updatedAt":1255,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":1225,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":3464,"groupItemThreshold":2174,"questionID":11071,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":56,"liquidityNum":56,"endDateIso":9101,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":56,"volume1wk":56,"volume1mo":56,"volume1yr":56,"clobTokenIds":11072,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrAmm":56,"volume1wkAmm":56,"volume1moAmm":56,"volume1yrAmm":56,"volume24hrClob":56,"volume1wkClob":56,"volume1moClob":56,"volume1yrClob":56,"volumeAmm":56,"volumeClob":56,"liquidityAmm":56,"liquidityClob":56,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":9083,"negRiskRequestID":11073,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":10078,"cyom":15,"competitive":56,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":56,"rewardsMaxSpread":56,"spread":449,"oneDayPriceChange":56,"oneHourPriceChange":56,"oneWeekPriceChange":56,"oneMonthPriceChange":56,"oneYearPriceChange":56,"lastTradePrice":56,"bestBid":56,"bestAsk":449,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":14,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":11074,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":1243,"feeSchedule":11075},"679143","Will Person CO win the 2027 French presidential election?","0xae4dcbe17dfa70ad1c683695f67838b481a758426a370fbf6108e6c65c9fd852","will-person-co-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election","2025-11-13T23:10:35.688122Z","2025-11-12T20:06:27.33658Z","0xdb7fd06931d5f8cec574bc6423d97f0c3a77e814e9b45119084f90e5a163227d","[\"62532969224070692169279805613537922311365638729813041648771021122751837204164\", \"69203491091019962305154133780057182414882263361822985514280614070846656388048\"]","0x4c0ee76b52457107e4fa2e4386f1525f84294e37d83385f164816c2c5c5c5f33","2025-11-13T22:47:23.43434Z",{"exponent":449,"rate":1245,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1246},{"id":11077,"question":11078,"conditionId":11079,"slug":11080,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":9071,"liquidity":44,"startDate":11081,"image":9072,"icon":9072,"description":9068,"outcomes":35,"volume":44,"active":15,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":11082,"updatedAt":1255,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":1225,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":2691,"groupItemThreshold":3223,"questionID":11083,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":56,"liquidityNum":56,"endDateIso":9101,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":56,"volume1wk":56,"volume1mo":56,"volume1yr":56,"clobTokenIds":11084,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrAmm":56,"volume1wkAmm":56,"volume1moAmm":56,"volume1yrAmm":56,"volume24hrClob":56,"volume1wkClob":56,"volume1moClob":56,"volume1yrClob":56,"volumeAmm":56,"volumeClob":56,"liquidityAmm":56,"liquidityClob":56,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":9083,"negRiskRequestID":11085,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":11086,"cyom":15,"competitive":56,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":56,"rewardsMaxSpread":56,"spread":449,"oneDayPriceChange":56,"oneHourPriceChange":56,"oneWeekPriceChange":56,"oneMonthPriceChange":56,"oneYearPriceChange":56,"lastTradePrice":56,"bestBid":56,"bestAsk":449,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":14,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":11087,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":1243,"feeSchedule":11088},"679145","Will Person CQ win the 2027 French presidential election?","0x15240fcce7bda435a6518b74e7df15a263ee6e0293f9f0e6a2aee3743607898d","will-person-cq-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election","2025-11-13T23:10:38.86545Z","2025-11-12T20:06:28.354107Z","0xdb7fd06931d5f8cec574bc6423d97f0c3a77e814e9b45119084f90e5a163227f","[\"9413831911589624152909445933637812736481915593747340635341037084585735811929\", \"89151205658648254619038739436992709726872116275135807475999895994297249691767\"]","0x7a66964708df99110e948427683945079a9ec16060bd334946475e41a3cfc61a","2025-11-13T23:10:16Z","2025-11-13T22:47:23.439156Z",{"exponent":449,"rate":1245,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1246},[11090,11091,11092,11098,11105,11106,11112],{"id":3481,"label":3482,"slug":3483,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":3484,"updatedBy":515,"createdAt":3485,"updatedAt":3486,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3494,"label":3495,"slug":3496,"forceShow":14,"publishedAt":3497,"createdBy":466,"updatedBy":466,"createdAt":3498,"updatedAt":3499,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":11093,"label":11094,"slug":11095,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":11096,"updatedAt":11097,"requiresTranslation":15},"101970","World","world","2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z","2026-04-17T17:18:59.135061Z",{"id":11099,"label":11100,"slug":11101,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":11102,"createdAt":11103,"updatedAt":11104,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"1378","France","france","2024-02-21 00:21:54.303+00","2024-02-21T00:21:54.404Z","2026-04-17T20:46:36.664748Z",{"id":77,"label":512,"slug":513,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":514,"updatedBy":515,"createdAt":516,"updatedAt":517,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":11107,"label":11108,"slug":11109,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":11110,"updatedAt":11111,"requiresTranslation":15},"100282","French Election","french-election","2024-06-24T15:42:35.370921Z","2026-04-17T20:52:30.987573Z",{"id":8807,"label":8808,"slug":8809,"createdAt":8810,"updatedAt":8811,"requiresTranslation":15},"2027-04-01T17:00:00Z","2025-11-13T22:46:54.990114Z",{"context_description":11116,"context_requires_regen":15,"context_updated_at":11117},"The next French presidential election remains wide open more than a year before the first round, with trader consensus assigning Jordan Bardella the leading position amid a crowded field drawn from France’s fragmented party system. Édouard Philippe’s strong showing reflects interest in center-right and centrist alternatives, while lower probabilities for Marine Le Pen, Gabriel Attal, and Jean-Luc Mélenchon capture uncertainty over candidate selection processes within their respective blocs. Emmanuel Macron’s constitutional ineligibility for a third term has removed any incumbent advantage, leaving the outcome dependent on future legislative dynamics, economic performance, and voter priorities on immigration and security. No single contender yet commands a clear path to a runoff majority, and shifts in polling within key voting blocs or formal party endorsements could quickly reorder the current probabilities.","2026-05-25T20:45:46.901Z",{"id":11119,"ticker":11120,"slug":11120,"title":11121,"description":11122,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":11123,"creationDate":11124,"endDate":93,"image":11125,"icon":11125,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":14,"restricted":14,"liquidity":11126,"volume":11127,"openInterest":11128,"createdAt":11129,"updatedAt":11130,"competitive":11131,"volume24hr":11132,"volume1wk":11133,"volume1mo":11134,"volume1yr":11134,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":11126,"negRisk":15,"commentCount":56,"markets":11135,"series":11251,"tags":11259,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":14,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"seriesSlug":11254,"gmpChartMode":518,"negRiskAugmented":15,"featuredOrder":48,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":11296},"429426","what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-may-31","What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States agrees to the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nContinued enrichment of uranium by Iran refers to US acceptance of the enrichment of, or the right to enrich, any quantity of uranium by Iran for any future amount of time. Agreements that include limitations, restrictions, or specified terms (e.g., caps on enrichment level, monitoring requirements) will qualify, provided the United States accepts continued enrichment.\n\nThe United States will be considered to have agreed to the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran if:\n\n- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that they have definitively agreed to accept the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran.\n- Continued enrichment of uranium by Iran is included as part of a treaty or deal that is formally established between the United States and Iran, either through signing or other formal means.\n\nAgreement refers to an explicit acceptance, authorization or consent to the specified action. Only announcements of definitive agreement will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.\n\nAny definitive agreement or commitment made before the resolution date will be considered, regardless of when or whether the specified action is begun.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump and the US government and their official representatives; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of an announcement or formal agreement.","2026-04-29T02:44:51.768859Z","2026-04-29T02:44:51.768848Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwhat-will-the-us-agree-to-6H3WGF-B3geo.jpg",307448.24588,6140063.300351976,1074123.902647,"2026-04-29T02:02:37.249849Z","2026-05-25T20:51:55.425578Z",0.9964129135113591,780073.6800809999,3360820.792221001,6140063.300352008,[11136,11165,11193,11224],{"id":11137,"question":11138,"conditionId":11139,"slug":11140,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"liquidity":11141,"startDate":11142,"image":11143,"icon":11143,"description":11144,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":11145,"volume":11146,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":11147,"updatedAt":11148,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":11149,"groupItemThreshold":178,"questionID":11150,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":11151,"liquidityNum":11152,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":158,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":11153,"volume1wk":11154,"volume1mo":11155,"volume1yr":11155,"clobTokenIds":11156,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":11153,"volume1wkClob":11154,"volume1moClob":11155,"volume1yrClob":11155,"volumeClob":11151,"liquidityClob":11152,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":11157,"cyom":15,"competitive":11158,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":11159,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":103,"oneDayPriceChange":122,"oneHourPriceChange":791,"oneWeekPriceChange":3616,"lastTradePrice":11162,"bestBid":11162,"bestAsk":11163,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":11164,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2111562","Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?","0xa37173a88dc5622e1c42e9f8f5a9d20d70b9b99e52cb76e64fb0ad95503fcaef","will-trump-agree-to-iranian-oil-sanction-relief-by-may-31","40709.5168","2026-04-29T02:40:25.071278Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-the-trump-agree-to-iranian-oil-sanction-relief-kpgx1I3poF0q.jpg","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States agrees to remove, suspend, waive, or otherwise reduce any sanctions restricting Iranian oil exports by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nSanctions restricting Iranian oil exports refers to U.S. restrictions that prohibit or limit the production, sale, transport, purchase, or export of crude oil, petroleum, or petrochemical products from Iran, including associated shipping, insurance, and financial transactions necessary for such exports. This includes both primary sanctions, which apply to U.S. persons, and secondary sanctions, which apply to non-U.S. persons or entities engaging in such activities.\n\nThe United States will be considered to have agreed to remove, suspend, waive, or reduce such sanctions if:\n- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States has definitively agreed to remove, suspend, waive, or otherwise reduce any sanctions restricting Iranian oil\n- The removal, suspension, waiver, or reduction of any such sanctions is included as part of a treaty or deal formally established between the United States and Iran, including through signing or other formal means.\n\nAgreement refers to an explicit acceptance, authorization, or consent to the specified action. Only announcements of definitive agreement will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.\n\nAny definitive agreement or commitment made before the resolution date will qualify, regardless of when or whether the specified action is implemented.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of an announcement or formal agreement.","[\"0.445\", \"0.555\"]","485786.9600269999","2026-04-29T02:02:37.808979Z","2026-05-25T20:55:09.733851Z","Oil Sanction Relief","0xbbc25ce16fef0875ff0b4e8547577b5fde926cc12d0246df089651ed45d1df37",485786.9600269999,40709.5168,61998.205848000034,290569.44426999975,485786.9600269993,"[\"15684586893414105046651954168699318899411795932713212340182179726370102895016\", \"72945183032866220113486438724920771567185650105937361693473698968804403645613\"]","2026-04-29T02:39:22Z",0.9969841230278408,[11160],{"id":11161,"conditionId":11139,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":58,"startDate":158,"endDate":120},"277546",0.44,0.45,"2026-04-29T02:38:06.651216Z",{"id":11166,"question":11167,"conditionId":11168,"slug":11169,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"liquidity":11170,"startDate":11171,"image":11172,"icon":11172,"description":11173,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":11174,"volume":11175,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":11176,"updatedAt":11177,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":11178,"groupItemThreshold":255,"questionID":11179,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":11180,"liquidityNum":11181,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":158,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":11182,"volume1wk":11183,"volume1mo":11184,"volume1yr":11184,"clobTokenIds":11185,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":11182,"volume1wkClob":11183,"volume1moClob":11184,"volume1yrClob":11184,"volumeClob":11180,"liquidityClob":11181,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":11157,"cyom":15,"competitive":11186,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":11187,"rewardsMinSize":720,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":333,"oneDayPriceChange":367,"oneHourPriceChange":11190,"oneWeekPriceChange":11191,"lastTradePrice":126,"bestBid":3569,"bestAsk":126,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":11192,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2111564","Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?","0x8374c773aa911e00a8d5c02e0130d57d18a9b5035b26e50f0e48ef1b74dd5c75","will-trump-agree-to-unfreeze-iranian-assets-by-may-31","41203.4719","2026-04-29T02:40:25.326175Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-trump-agree-to-unfreeze-iranian-assets-in-april-WKx3XcJKn1AN.jpg","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States agrees to unfreeze any Iranian assets by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nUnfreezing Iranian assets refers to the release, transfer, or restoration of Iranian access to any assets that are frozen, blocked, or otherwise inaccessible due to U.S. sanctions or restrictions. This includes both assets held in the United States and assets held in foreign jurisdictions where access is restricted due to U.S. sanctions. The removal of sanctions which freeze these assets will also be considered to be unfreezing Iranian assets.\n\nThe United States will be considered to have agreed to unfreeze Iranian assets if:\n- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States has agreed to unfreeze any Iranian assets.\n- The unfreezing of any Iranian assets is included as part of a treaty or deal that is formally established between the United States and Iran, either through signing or other formal means.\n\nAgreement refers to an explicit acceptance, authorization or consent to the specified action. Only announcements of definitive agreement will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.\n\nAny definitive agreement or commitment made before the resolution date will be considered, regardless of when or whether the specified action is begun.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of an announcement or formal agreement.","[\"0.37\", \"0.63\"]","603366.2933809909","2026-04-29T02:02:38.441709Z","2026-05-25T20:53:04.465656Z","Unfreeze Iranian Assets","0x9619a1ffee523ad0ce92b849a527193cb065008433c2459f887ba0230b50e320",603366.2933809909,41203.4719,103971.69040699999,388330.4210290008,603366.2933810032,"[\"101925823434448810063777591529269305607728896028846969891254029999406909814043\", \"109426667516915176606037932747045126716714742777639607958053033118962693273625\"]",0.9833808634083981,[11188],{"id":11189,"conditionId":11168,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":365,"startDate":158,"endDate":120},"277542",-0.12,0.205,"2026-04-29T02:38:06.653806Z",{"id":11194,"question":11195,"conditionId":11196,"slug":11197,"endDate":93,"liquidity":11198,"startDate":11199,"image":11200,"icon":11200,"description":11122,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":11201,"volume":11202,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":11203,"updatedAt":11204,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":11205,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":11206,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":11207,"liquidityNum":11208,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":158,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":11209,"volume1wk":11210,"volume1mo":11211,"volume1yr":11211,"clobTokenIds":11212,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":11209,"volume1wkClob":11210,"volume1moClob":11211,"volume1yrClob":11211,"volumeClob":11207,"liquidityClob":11208,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":11213,"cyom":15,"competitive":11214,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":11215,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":1522,"oneDayPriceChange":11218,"oneHourPriceChange":11219,"oneWeekPriceChange":11220,"lastTradePrice":1650,"bestBid":11221,"bestAsk":11222,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":11223,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2111561","Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?","0x3f0743b88ef23a678e1d07fd2fb92badcbbb17aeca7110f188533b081afbd6af","will-trump-agree-to-iranian-enrichment-of-uranium-by-may-31","108895.74961","2026-04-29T02:40:21.20963Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-the-us-agree-to-iranian-enrichment-of-uranium-vOIWD-3n4HdU.jpg","[\"0.042\", \"0.958\"]","2829783.464761004","2026-04-29T02:02:37.454381Z","2026-05-25T20:49:43.844669Z","Enrichment of Uranium","0x78528ac83274fe60690a9f6d2bc350caf2537e6308d824544800b4fa585f3266",2829783.464761004,108895.74961,299710.92625499994,1064727.1202019996,2829783.4647610025,"[\"47581242576233831747274285853656933189233893963158067360773642391873753654951\", \"81775104486492958447787898893469756027471619209999774676888733580861145165382\"]","2026-04-29T02:39:18Z",0.8266075036122748,[11216],{"id":11217,"conditionId":11196,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":58,"startDate":158,"endDate":120},"277541",-0.0095,0.0155,-0.014,0.038,0.046,"2026-04-29T02:38:06.645323Z",{"id":11225,"question":11226,"conditionId":11227,"slug":11228,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"liquidity":11229,"startDate":11230,"image":11231,"icon":11231,"description":11232,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":11233,"volume":11234,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":11235,"updatedAt":11236,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":11237,"groupItemThreshold":77,"questionID":11238,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":11239,"liquidityNum":11240,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":158,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":11241,"volume1wk":11242,"volume1mo":11243,"volume1yr":11243,"clobTokenIds":11244,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":11241,"volume1wkClob":11242,"volume1moClob":11243,"volume1yrClob":11243,"volumeClob":11239,"liquidityClob":11240,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":11245,"cyom":15,"competitive":11246,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":11247,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":680,"oneDayPriceChange":6202,"oneHourPriceChange":7595,"oneWeekPriceChange":1055,"lastTradePrice":125,"bestBid":125,"bestAsk":7727,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":11250,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2111563","Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?","0xb4067f81957ef1458e9712000807a4525c595f3c25a0c933ec2f69c0efb2e878","will-trump-agree-to-iranian-transit-fees-in-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-may-31","126146.13216","2026-04-29T02:40:23.025227Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-the-trump-agree-to-iranian-transit-fees-in-the-strait-of-hormuz-2D2WdJ1aiN-6.jpg","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States agrees to Iran charging fees on ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIran charging fees on ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz refers to U.S. acceptance of Iran imposing tolls, transit fees, passage charges, or other mandatory payments on commercial vessels in exchange for transit through the Strait of Hormuz.\n\nThe United States will be considered to have agreed to Iran charging such fees if:\n- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States has definitively agreed to accept Iran charging such fees on ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz.\n- Iran charging such fees is included as part of a treaty or deal formally established between the United States and Iran, including through signing or other formal means.\n\nAgreement refers to an explicit acceptance, authorization, or consent to the specified action. Only announcements of definitive agreement will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.\n\nAny definitive agreement or commitment made before the resolution date will qualify, regardless of when or whether the specified action is implemented.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of an announcement or formal agreement.","[\"0.051\", \"0.949\"]","2230801.471225982","2026-04-29T02:02:38.135307Z","2026-05-25T20:54:53.693883Z","Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz","0xd4392f1ea31108f079ebae3092145452fd7988e8d2acb2dc06530781ef8b9ba5",2230801.471225982,126146.13216,316650.8610329999,1612563.4605150002,2230801.471226003,"[\"5056021949680764886450706128576006104255409441521337705030162619307203025844\", \"110926498909040705594535466359062123112213106712524456389827111868115511353391\"]","2026-04-29T02:39:20Z",0.832223009135312,[11248],{"id":11249,"conditionId":11227,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":331,"startDate":158,"endDate":120},"277544","2026-04-29T02:38:06.648111Z",[11252],{"id":11253,"ticker":11254,"slug":11254,"title":11255,"seriesType":4357,"recurrence":6721,"image":9,"icon":9,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"createdAt":11256,"updatedAt":11257,"volume24hr":11132,"volume":11127,"liquidity":11126,"commentCount":11258,"requiresTranslation":15},"11622","trump-agree-iran","Trump agree Iran","2026-04-30T22:38:06.843517Z","2026-05-25T20:47:47.813162Z",252,[11260,11261,11267,11272,11273,11274,11281,11287,11288,11289,11290],{"id":462,"label":463,"slug":464,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":465,"updatedBy":466,"createdAt":467,"updatedAt":468,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":11262,"label":11263,"slug":11264,"createdAt":11265,"updatedAt":11266,"requiresTranslation":15},"102620","Sanctions","sanctions","2025-09-24T15:43:18.584689Z","2026-03-09T22:34:18.709684Z",{"id":11268,"label":11269,"slug":11269,"createdAt":11270,"updatedAt":11271,"requiresTranslation":15},"104541","toll","2026-04-09T21:54:37.706331Z","2026-04-15T21:03:59.555986Z",{"id":483,"label":484,"slug":485,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":486,"updatedAt":487,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":470,"label":471,"slug":472,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":473,"updatedBy":466,"createdAt":474,"updatedAt":475,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":11275,"label":11276,"slug":11277,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":11278,"createdAt":11279,"updatedAt":11280,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"262","Strait of Hormuz","strait-of-hormuz","2023-11-02 21:45:34.694+00","2023-11-02T21:45:34.718Z","2026-04-15T21:01:56.57983Z",{"id":11282,"label":11283,"slug":11284,"createdAt":11285,"updatedAt":11286,"requiresTranslation":15},"104518","Enrich","enrich","2026-04-08T20:57:48.413266Z","2026-04-17T20:54:27.390867Z",{"id":506,"label":507,"slug":508,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":509,"updatedAt":510,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":77,"label":512,"slug":513,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":514,"updatedBy":515,"createdAt":516,"updatedAt":517,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":500,"label":501,"slug":502,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":503,"updatedAt":504,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":11291,"label":11292,"slug":11293,"createdAt":11294,"updatedAt":11295,"requiresTranslation":15},"103624","Uranium","uranium","2026-02-03T18:15:02.295714Z","2026-04-17T20:55:48.06204Z",{"context_description":11297,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":11298},"US-Iran talks center on a potential memorandum of understanding to extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, end the US naval blockade, and provide limited sanctions relief or asset unfreezing in exchange for Iranian assurances against nuclear weapons pursuit. Nuclear issues remain the core dispute, with Washington pressing for handover of highly enriched uranium and limits on facilities like Natanz, while Tehran resists immediate concessions and seeks to defer those talks. Recent Trump statements indicate a framework is largely negotiated but urge caution against rushing, with the blockade to stay in place until finalized. Iran has signaled consensus on several non-nuclear points yet described any deal as not imminent. The May 31 horizon aligns with the tight negotiation window for these initial terms.","2026-05-25T20:46:03.271Z",{"id":11300,"ticker":11301,"slug":11301,"title":11302,"description":11303,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":11304,"creationDate":11305,"endDate":11306,"image":11307,"icon":11307,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":11308,"volume":11309,"openInterest":11310,"sortBy":1202,"createdAt":11311,"updatedAt":11312,"competitive":11313,"volume24hr":11314,"volume1wk":11315,"volume1mo":11316,"volume1yr":11317,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":11308,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":11318,"commentCount":11319,"markets":11320,"tags":11958,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":14,"enableNegRisk":14,"automaticallyActive":14,"startTime":11975,"gmpChartMode":518,"negRiskAugmented":14,"countryName":11961,"electionType":8812,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":11976,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":11977},"45915","brazil-presidential-election","Brazil Presidential Election","A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https:\u002F\u002Fdadosabertos.tse.jus.br\u002F).","2025-09-18T20:16:07.36237Z","2025-09-18T20:16:07.362357Z","2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fbrazil-presidential-election-37lx5Jgvkbr8.png",7736256.62609,87027932.09645471,2523378.171728,"2025-09-17T18:40:06.148745Z","2026-05-25T20:56:56.953115Z",0.9944064636420137,759741.8379480001,7666226.052382001,28319011.32485602,87027932.09645535,"0x966a3221e05d8d0579854c4952085331da2a42989dee0fa033d24cada9dfca00",7480,[11321,11348,11378,11403,11434,11462,11485,11509,11540,11572,11595,11626,11652,11678,11701,11725,11747,11770,11783,11796,11808,11821,11833,11846,11858,11871,11883,11896,11909,11921,11934,11946],{"id":11322,"question":11323,"conditionId":11324,"slug":11325,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":11306,"liquidity":11326,"startDate":11327,"image":11328,"icon":11328,"description":11303,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":11329,"volume":11330,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":11331,"updatedAt":11332,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":1225,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":11333,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":11318,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":11334,"liquidityNum":11335,"endDateIso":11336,"startDateIso":11337,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":11338,"volume1wk":11339,"volume1mo":11340,"volume1yr":11341,"clobTokenIds":11342,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":11338,"volume1wkClob":11339,"volume1moClob":11340,"volume1yrClob":11341,"volumeClob":11334,"liquidityClob":11335,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":11318,"negRiskRequestID":11343,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":11344,"cyom":15,"competitive":11345,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":720,"rewardsMaxSpread":397,"spread":47,"oneWeekPriceChange":208,"oneMonthPriceChange":970,"lastTradePrice":680,"bestBid":47,"bestAsk":680,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":11346,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":1243,"feeSchedule":11347},"601818","Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","0x81a537b379a35e4e17c286d3b37394e94bd74c1779bbe9a13670eb991b201a3a","will-tarcisio-de-frietas-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election","369619.4845","2025-09-18T20:07:57.76Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-tarcisio-de-frietas-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election-8s8CrjwYQclv.jpg","[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]","12062366.797295794","2025-09-17T18:40:07.536951Z","2026-05-25T20:49:32.660022Z","Tarcisio de Freitas",12062366.797295794,369619.4845,"2026-10-04","2025-09-18",91674.74900000004,795497.9001760004,3695183.792137007,12062366.797295924,"[\"52634616068523389389514492087655237014427439869589807217055529923225131895030\", \"106302272146511626715366732538958019243031587527887799373406690681902311718700\"]","0xaab1fd996f00d995c0e094f350217ae1f51e9412d048956ac44a2efc09acab40","2025-09-18T20:07:36Z",0.8009597099244316,"2025-09-18T20:02:13.959057Z",{"exponent":449,"rate":1245,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1246},{"id":11349,"question":11350,"conditionId":11351,"slug":11352,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":11306,"liquidity":11353,"startDate":11354,"image":11355,"icon":11355,"description":11303,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":11356,"volume":11357,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":11358,"updatedAt":11359,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":1225,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":11360,"groupItemThreshold":178,"questionID":11361,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":11362,"liquidityNum":11363,"endDateIso":11336,"startDateIso":11337,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":11364,"volume1wk":11365,"volume1mo":11366,"volume1yr":11367,"clobTokenIds":11368,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":11364,"volume1wkClob":11365,"volume1moClob":11366,"volume1yrClob":11367,"volumeClob":11362,"liquidityClob":11363,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":11318,"negRiskRequestID":11369,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":11370,"cyom":15,"competitive":11313,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":11371,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":103,"oneDayPriceChange":263,"oneWeekPriceChange":123,"oneMonthPriceChange":1245,"lastTradePrice":11374,"bestBid":11375,"bestAsk":11374,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":11376,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":1243,"feeSchedule":11377},"601819","Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","0xdf8e2dc5860027decbe6164555c3c1c9645c3bd33e16b9dc57ca87125047d4a8","will-luiz-incio-lula-da-silva-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election","188686.7756","2025-09-18T20:07:59.727557Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-luiz-incio-lula-da-silva-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election-reTil6nEVB1J.jpg","[\"0.425\", \"0.575\"]","5805167.344758989","2025-09-17T18:40:08.437411Z","2026-05-25T20:53:07.955764Z","Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva","0x966a3221e05d8d0579854c4952085331da2a42989dee0fa033d24cada9dfca01",5805167.344758989,188686.7756,51736.322415,319462.1005649999,1009803.5312270008,5805167.344758987,"[\"30630994248667897740988010928640156931882346081873066002335460180076741328029\", 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Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","0x63d8f3a34c90bd5342dda8acf62b6a898dfa52f86475efaf180b66493ef6af80","will-jair-bolsonaro-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election","375186.04662","2025-09-18T20:07:59.985103Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-jair-bolsonaro-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election-OAQKNCv1QR7B.jpg","[\"0.0055\", \"0.9945\"]","3857061.608881969","2025-09-17T18:40:09.314572Z","2026-05-25T20:55:42.826397Z","Jair Bolsonaro","0x966a3221e05d8d0579854c4952085331da2a42989dee0fa033d24cada9dfca02",3857061.608881969,375186.04662,11197.513333,401218.5745460001,978701.823680999,3857061.608882023,"[\"66991175107696133528353695394151645462081911990365106169948013117379189357520\", 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Person X win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","0x2508682839eafe957b69f2068ba23674f2f3363933b619715cedb887e69a215b","will-person-x-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election","2025-09-18T20:08:29.315854Z","2025-09-17T18:40:30.049626Z","0x966a3221e05d8d0579854c4952085331da2a42989dee0fa033d24cada9dfca1c","[\"7203936561185561344771716508117845729248317847792425102345059733460353834992\", \"100704304517811794293607958031340095565377643890158499098607284598339793540282\"]","0xa0373cf5d94094403b55889e502655427f16dba3d1b65cd322d8b527b80fc0fd","2025-09-18T20:08:06Z","2025-09-18T20:02:14.096093Z",{"exponent":449,"rate":1245,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1246},{"id":11935,"question":11936,"conditionId":11937,"slug":11938,"endDate":11306,"liquidity":44,"startDate":11939,"image":11776,"icon":11776,"description":11303,"outcomes":35,"volume":44,"active":15,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":11940,"updatedAt":1255,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":1225,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":2003,"groupItemThreshold":1510,"questionID":11941,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":56,"liquidityNum":56,"endDateIso":11336,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":56,"volume1wk":56,"volume1mo":56,"volume1yr":56,"clobTokenIds":11942,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrAmm":56,"volume1wkAmm":56,"volume1moAmm":56,"volume1yrAmm":56,"volume24hrClob":56,"volume1wkClob":56,"volume1moClob":56,"volume1yrClob":56,"volumeAmm":56,"volumeClob":56,"liquidityAmm":56,"liquidityClob":56,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":11318,"negRiskRequestID":11943,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":11906,"cyom":15,"competitive":56,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":56,"rewardsMaxSpread":56,"spread":449,"oneDayPriceChange":56,"oneHourPriceChange":56,"oneWeekPriceChange":56,"oneMonthPriceChange":56,"oneYearPriceChange":56,"lastTradePrice":56,"bestBid":56,"bestAsk":449,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":14,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":11944,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":1243,"feeSchedule":11945},"601848","Will Person Z win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","0x95e98c42b88ea091d8cba1320b36bcf2d3a95f7b481dce98295623f4930f6c4b","will-person-z-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election","2025-09-18T20:08:30.232687Z","2025-09-17T18:40:31.572982Z","0x966a3221e05d8d0579854c4952085331da2a42989dee0fa033d24cada9dfca1e","[\"68770125928602526076741696786426026024688583404945040463107602131493241315610\", \"5944603509836660390199837194652517054371091297930422914339883684861094075799\"]","0x6efa4ecc010f84d61790ef3d8732c8e9807e6f7d824d0db19012004d367c9979","2025-09-18T20:02:14.099102Z",{"exponent":449,"rate":1245,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1246},{"id":11947,"question":11948,"conditionId":11949,"slug":11950,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":11306,"liquidity":44,"startDate":11951,"image":11776,"icon":11776,"description":11303,"outcomes":35,"volume":44,"active":15,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":11952,"updatedAt":1255,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":1225,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":3222,"groupItemThreshold":1665,"questionID":11953,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":56,"liquidityNum":56,"endDateIso":11336,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":56,"volume1wk":56,"volume1mo":56,"volume1yr":56,"clobTokenIds":11954,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrAmm":56,"volume1wkAmm":56,"volume1moAmm":56,"volume1yrAmm":56,"volume24hrClob":56,"volume1wkClob":56,"volume1moClob":56,"volume1yrClob":56,"volumeAmm":56,"volumeClob":56,"liquidityAmm":56,"liquidityClob":56,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":11318,"negRiskRequestID":11955,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":11906,"cyom":15,"competitive":56,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":56,"rewardsMaxSpread":56,"spread":449,"oneDayPriceChange":56,"oneHourPriceChange":56,"oneWeekPriceChange":56,"oneMonthPriceChange":56,"oneYearPriceChange":56,"lastTradePrice":56,"bestBid":56,"bestAsk":449,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"manualActivation":14,"negRiskOther":14,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":11956,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":1243,"feeSchedule":11957},"601849","Will another person win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","0x39976965aca51c32d92a0351d0c0ecd8c914eeab8b1cfe05b5b164d183d1c5f2","will-another-person-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election","2025-09-18T20:08:30.49245Z","2025-09-17T18:41:21.116006Z","0x966a3221e05d8d0579854c4952085331da2a42989dee0fa033d24cada9dfca1f","[\"22044582519544355566308016593287714216336001424695495760091508036075098345768\", \"73712067811403230895706558335123633334659657345628032005049733408419995081858\"]","0x1f71ca7d848a710cda68b3c1b7ee8238f2e717205920c1bdfbd6cb0ffe81494d","2025-09-18T20:02:14.100979Z",{"exponent":449,"rate":1245,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1246},[11959,11964,11965,11966,11967,11968,11974],{"id":11960,"label":11961,"slug":11962,"updatedAt":11963,"requiresTranslation":15},"100185","Brazil","brazil","2026-04-17T21:10:45.510586Z",{"id":3494,"label":3495,"slug":3496,"forceShow":14,"publishedAt":3497,"createdBy":466,"updatedBy":466,"createdAt":3498,"updatedAt":3499,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3488,"label":3489,"slug":3490,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":3491,"updatedAt":3492,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":11093,"label":11094,"slug":11095,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":11096,"updatedAt":11097,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":77,"label":512,"slug":513,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":514,"updatedBy":515,"createdAt":516,"updatedAt":517,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":11969,"label":11970,"slug":11971,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":11972,"updatedAt":11973,"requiresTranslation":15},"101252","Macro Election 2","macro-election-2","2024-11-13T01:41:08.414056Z","2026-04-17T17:25:22.34894Z",{"id":8807,"label":8808,"slug":8809,"createdAt":8810,"updatedAt":8811,"requiresTranslation":15},"2026-10-04T12:00:00Z","2025-09-18T20:01:45.498265Z",{"context_description":11978,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":11979},"Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva maintains the strongest trader consensus at 42.5 percent, reflecting his established Workers’ Party base, name recognition, and positioning as the frontrunner ahead of the October 2026 first round. Flávio Bolsonaro’s 27.8 percent share stems from his father Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement consolidating right-wing support, though recent audio leaks tying him to a disgraced banker have introduced uncertainty and contributed to Lula’s polling gains. Renan Santos at 13.6 percent captures interest in alternative opposition options amid broader fragmentation on the right, while lower-priced candidates such as Fernando Haddad and Romeu Zema reflect limited current momentum in national surveys. Two-round dynamics and ongoing volatility between the top contenders continue to shape implied probabilities.","2026-05-25T20:45:45.525Z",{"id":11981,"ticker":11982,"slug":11982,"title":11983,"description":11984,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":11985,"creationDate":11986,"endDate":93,"image":11987,"icon":11987,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":11988,"volume":11989,"openInterest":11990,"createdAt":11991,"updatedAt":11992,"competitive":3991,"volume24hr":11993,"volume1wk":11994,"volume1mo":11995,"volume1yr":11996,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":11988,"commentCount":449,"markets":11997,"series":12018,"tags":12029,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":14,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"seriesSlug":12021,"negRiskAugmented":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":12072},"304265","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-may-31","Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis requires a broad consensus of reporting indicating that core structures of the Islamic Republic (e.g. the office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, IRGC control under clerical authority) have been dissolved, incapacitated, or replaced by a fundamentally different governing system or otherwise lost de facto power over a majority of the population of Iran. This could occur via revolution, civil war, military coup, or voluntary abdication, but only qualifies if the Islamic Republic no longer exercises sovereign power.\n\nRoutine political events such as elections, reforms, or leadership succession do not qualify. Internal coups or power shifts that preserve the Islamic Republic’s core structures also do not qualify. Only a clear break in continuity—such as a new provisional government, revolutionary council, or constitution replacing the Islamic Republic will qualify.\n\nPartial loss of territory or challenges from rebel or exile groups will not qualify unless the Islamic Republic no longer administers the majority of the Iranian population within Iran. \n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. ","2026-04-01T16:26:26.185791Z","2026-04-01T16:26:26.185787Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-the-iranian-regime-fall-in-2025-YLXIniTmQs4q.png",2201723.7834,30313150.928881947,7280353.694721,"2026-03-24T19:52:18.772899Z","2026-05-25T20:56:55.066736Z",698450.5729340004,8273935.753136005,23390037.147868115,30313150.92888174,[11998],{"id":11999,"question":11983,"conditionId":12000,"slug":11982,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"liquidity":12001,"startDate":12002,"image":11987,"icon":11987,"description":11984,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":3978,"volume":12003,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":12004,"updatedAt":12005,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":9,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":12006,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":12007,"liquidityNum":12008,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":12009,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":12010,"volume1wk":12011,"volume1mo":12012,"volume1yr":12013,"clobTokenIds":12014,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":12010,"volume1wkClob":12011,"volume1moClob":12012,"volume1yrClob":12013,"volumeClob":12007,"liquidityClob":12008,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":12015,"cyom":15,"competitive":3991,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":47,"oneDayPriceChange":970,"oneWeekPriceChange":123,"oneMonthPriceChange":12016,"lastTradePrice":1426,"bestBid":680,"bestAsk":1426,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":12017,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1707932","0x789c947a9415600d30d56a4aae88d4111996679b0caed166d0c96242fdce92a2","2191667.8948","2026-04-01T16:23:13.899442Z","30323150.928881947","2026-03-24T19:52:21.047903Z","2026-05-25T20:51:06.129867Z","0x399f6f5751ff9019428a6c3cfae4d3d0ef70e2af2e73c86f622493da059aa896",30323150.928881947,2191667.8948,"2026-04-01",708450.5729340004,8283782.083136005,23397021.777868114,30323150.92888174,"[\"57360053771630303266236723124451177814047338705194149193939656360140487569996\", \"24518145234935510389593655576204486088909794182728020215970587753906648618285\"]","2026-04-01T16:22:07Z",-0.034,"2026-04-01T16:20:45.105729Z",[12019],{"id":12020,"ticker":12021,"slug":12021,"title":12022,"seriesType":4357,"recurrence":6721,"image":9,"icon":9,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"createdAt":12023,"updatedAt":12024,"volume24hr":12025,"volume":12026,"liquidity":12027,"commentCount":12028,"requiresTranslation":15},"10134","iran-regime","iran regime","2025-06-17T21:46:44.300321Z","2026-05-25T20:47:52.574958Z",903485.6339290002,93027013.38338222,2975545.36985,3664,[12030,12036,12042,12049,12050,12051,12057,12064,12070,12071],{"id":12031,"label":12032,"slug":12033,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":12034,"updatedAt":12035,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"104005","Iran Regime","iranian-leadership-regime","2026-03-02T19:48:14.400431Z","2026-04-17T20:49:44.287128Z",{"id":12037,"label":12038,"slug":12039,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":12040,"updatedAt":12041,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"102304","Khamenei","khamenei","2025-06-23T18:41:15.452041Z","2026-04-17T21:07:43.263757Z",{"id":12043,"label":12044,"slug":12045,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":12046,"updatedBy":466,"createdAt":12047,"updatedAt":12048,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},"154","Middle East","middle-east","2023-11-02 21:26:20.585+00","2023-11-02T21:26:20.601Z","2026-04-17T20:19:53.885899Z",{"id":500,"label":501,"slug":502,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":503,"updatedAt":504,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":462,"label":463,"slug":464,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":465,"updatedBy":466,"createdAt":467,"updatedAt":468,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":12052,"label":12053,"slug":12054,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":12055,"updatedAt":12056,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"103996","Reza Pahlavi","reza-pahlavi","2026-03-01T18:06:44.46346Z","2026-04-15T20:44:20.356275Z",{"id":12058,"label":12059,"slug":12060,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":12061,"updatedBy":466,"createdAt":12062,"updatedAt":12063,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"180","Israel","israel","2023-11-02 21:31:07.39+00","2023-11-02T21:31:07.395Z","2026-04-17T17:25:43.191023Z",{"id":12065,"label":12066,"slug":12067,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":12068,"updatedAt":12069,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"104064","Israel x Iran","israel-x-iran","2026-03-03T03:22:41.390984Z","2026-04-17T17:27:23.240027Z",{"id":506,"label":507,"slug":508,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":509,"updatedAt":510,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":77,"label":512,"slug":513,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":514,"updatedBy":515,"createdAt":516,"updatedAt":517,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"context_description":12073,"context_requires_regen":15,"context_updated_at":12074},"The Iranian regime's entrenched institutional structures, security apparatus, and historical resilience against domestic unrest and external pressures underpin the overwhelming trader consensus against collapse by May 31. With only days remaining in the resolution window, no verified developments such as widespread military defections, coordinated leadership transitions, or decisive international interventions have materialized to alter the standing situation. Comparable short-term regime-change scenarios in the region have typically required months or years of sustained escalation rather than rapid overnight shifts. While low-probability events including sudden internal fractures or major external actions could theoretically intervene before the deadline, current conditions show no indicators capable of overcoming these structural barriers in the immediate term.","2026-05-25T20:45:44.432Z",{"id":12076,"ticker":12077,"slug":12077,"title":12078,"description":12079,"resolutionSource":3777,"startDate":12080,"creationDate":12081,"endDate":12082,"image":3781,"icon":3781,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":12083,"volume":12084,"openInterest":12085,"createdAt":12086,"updatedAt":12087,"competitive":12088,"volume24hr":12089,"volume1wk":12090,"volume1mo":12090,"volume1yr":12090,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":12083,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":12091,"commentCount":56,"markets":12092,"series":12655,"tags":12657,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":14,"automaticallyActive":14,"startTime":12662,"seriesSlug":4355,"negRiskAugmented":15,"tweetCount":720,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":12663,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":12664},"514882","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-22-may-29","Elon Musk # tweets May 22 - May 29, 2026?","This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 22 12:00 PM ET to May 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https:\u002F\u002Fx.com\u002Felonmusk\u002Fstatus\u002F1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https:\u002F\u002Fxtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution 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Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?","0x99a6145592c5fca6e190330c789eb494ef416af3063dd27d65342cb9792ffc40","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-22-may-29-0-19","2026-05-22T23:14:13.372619Z","4125","2026-05-22T22:41:14.782367Z","2026-05-24T02:39:10.334297Z","2026-05-23 10:48:19+00","2026-05-23T10:48:19Z",4125,"2026-05-29","2026-05-22 16:00:00+00","[\"77101216874645189060704249007912481542145307341807102903163099144752185791964\", 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Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?","0x267975d92c61b90f2f11fd3caeef468bb8ffaf574c46adee92f9ce4118ac8dc4","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-22-may-29-160-179","31146.89484","2026-05-22T23:14:48.663335Z","[\"0.0815\", \"0.9185\"]","83881.214188","2026-05-22T22:41:17.504914Z","2026-05-25T20:54:51.899022Z","0x1a957a795b65d11713bfacb3d23960cac7103d0b9bf69483101e22a71372fe08",83881.214188,31146.89484,35811.49338500001,83881.21418800001,"[\"62370964449574844037889817411223267411115472670657771114730132274643622927991\", 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Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?","0xd8195102c18d2ef98346dddef8ba23d00e147c5c0ea0f15fb924ac28a471ce0c","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-22-may-29-180-199","31255.91491","2026-05-22T23:14:50.666116Z","[\"0.1655\", \"0.8345\"]","59871.645616","2026-05-22T22:41:17.826722Z","2026-05-25T20:53:36.977275Z","0x1a957a795b65d11713bfacb3d23960cac7103d0b9bf69483101e22a71372fe09",59871.645616,31255.91491,20338.934145000007,59871.64561599995,"[\"107098083697740685967532212753114975193778648767047659286318722000836312287702\", 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Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?","0x03b23a1490694676dfd3bde4f73069994cd7da9b84225b3e09603f12fda95b0c","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-22-may-29-200-219","30919.2387","2026-05-22T23:14:47.366916Z","[\"0.215\", \"0.785\"]","36538.46451699995","2026-05-22T22:41:18.170549Z","2026-05-25T20:49:16.997242Z","0x1a957a795b65d11713bfacb3d23960cac7103d0b9bf69483101e22a71372fe0a",36538.46451699995,30919.2387,16881.11161800004,"[\"17008418931670038175662426165512748090650258151390728203662313349149500329660\", 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Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?","0x0e7a584a79755460b225b9dfe1c8dde77f92863f7a7322e9b8ccb10915a89bee","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-22-may-29-440-459","25869.49019","2026-05-22T23:15:51.416303Z","122677.09203599986","2026-05-22T22:41:22.085807Z","2026-05-25T20:53:46.977762Z","0x1a957a795b65d11713bfacb3d23960cac7103d0b9bf69483101e22a71372fe16",122677.09203599986,25869.49019,18971.124,122677.092036,"[\"5786251471435902084155249031959599890193639876946102285176611076205385321675\", 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Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?","0x9cf58b1ad2b96294ecb88301e926ed0fff5ae88421f6238fa9fed909558dc77b","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-22-may-29-460-479","36385.50666","2026-05-22T23:16:02.333837Z","102662.222761","2026-05-22T22:41:22.394117Z","2026-05-25T20:54:16.594428Z","0x1a957a795b65d11713bfacb3d23960cac7103d0b9bf69483101e22a71372fe17",102662.222761,36385.50666,13750,"[\"85362707944338982526288534464909707450020287203447112821480056441625148917104\", 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Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?","0x598c6972db1a4a8f6a9bc7d3add65f0d5f77a7b796804b72a26f21c8bf0a16d6","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-22-may-29-480-499","27475.45538","2026-05-22T23:15:56.170382Z","121850.32960699999","2026-05-22T22:41:22.716167Z","2026-05-25T20:54:00.977499Z","0x1a957a795b65d11713bfacb3d23960cac7103d0b9bf69483101e22a71372fe18",121850.32960699999,27475.45538,33220,121850.329607,"[\"69229370154910767074439863084313178960095501541451207462760109443896756897593\", 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Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?","0x91096f17cdec56e1f33eb305a5d9257d5688e564faec2563bde236396c461cf7","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-22-may-29-500plus","13257.05798","2026-05-22T23:15:54.148699Z","151427.2298630001","2026-05-22T22:41:23.335183Z","2026-05-25T20:55:01.730911Z","0x1a957a795b65d11713bfacb3d23960cac7103d0b9bf69483101e22a71372fe19",151427.2298630001,13257.05798,4979.612,151427.22986300004,"[\"115520108904246354098207312763118746447390611181507735201053278635183495784404\", 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consensus centers on Elon Musk posting 200-239 times on X from May 22-29, 2026, with the 200-219 bracket leading at 21.5% implied probability. This range reflects his established high-volume posting rhythm, often fueled by real-time commentary on tech, politics, SpaceX, and Tesla news, which keeps daily output elevated. The closely bunched probabilities across the top brackets underscore ongoing uncertainty, as the partially completed week shows steady but variable activity that could still shift with major announcements or viral moments in the final days. Historical patterns of 25-35 tweets daily during active periods support the current market clustering, though any slowdown or surge would quickly recalibrate trader sentiment ahead of the May 29 close.","2026-05-25T20:46:00.195Z",{"id":12668,"ticker":12669,"slug":12669,"title":12670,"description":12671,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":12672,"creationDate":12673,"endDate":12,"image":12674,"icon":12674,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":12675,"volume":12676,"openInterest":12677,"createdAt":12678,"updatedAt":12679,"competitive":3636,"volume24hr":12680,"volume1wk":12681,"volume1mo":12682,"volume1yr":12683,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":12675,"negRisk":15,"commentCount":12684,"markets":12685,"tags":12791,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"gmpChartMode":518,"negRiskAugmented":15,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":12798},"329654","us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by","US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.\n\nQualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.\n\nA widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","2026-03-31T21:53:43.811955Z","2026-03-31T21:53:43.811952Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fus-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-may-31-bmDm36-gxJBm.jpg",524943.97343,20722146.80075694,4700861.830829,"2026-03-31T17:34:45.499248Z","2026-05-25T20:56:55.259658Z",585067.0229939999,4612259.486077006,12877234.259008,19558212.370011933,182,[12686,12712,12730,12754,12780],{"id":12687,"question":12688,"conditionId":12689,"slug":12690,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"liquidity":12691,"startDate":12692,"image":12674,"icon":12674,"description":12671,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":1767,"volume":12693,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":12694,"updatedAt":12695,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":100,"groupItemThreshold":178,"questionID":12696,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":12697,"liquidityNum":12698,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":12699,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":12700,"volume1wk":12701,"volume1mo":12702,"volume1yr":12703,"clobTokenIds":12704,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":12700,"volume1wkClob":12701,"volume1moClob":12702,"volume1yrClob":12703,"volumeClob":12697,"liquidityClob":12698,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":12705,"cyom":15,"competitive":1782,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":12706,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":47,"oneDayPriceChange":84,"oneHourPriceChange":47,"oneWeekPriceChange":12709,"oneMonthPriceChange":12710,"lastTradePrice":1161,"bestBid":1161,"bestAsk":1493,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":12711,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1808970","US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?","0xbcacd5a055f5a9ced6f69f122216c073dd6987d08253fc07bbcc168fa5b81d55","us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-may-31-396","375754.68592","2026-03-31T21:49:31.495Z","17738654.658520944","2026-03-31T17:34:45.872306Z","2026-05-25T20:52:55.788252Z","0xcdd5759951fabd70fa48b1d7c034b97f230cbd60c03aecd13d909550bbd89cba",17738654.658520944,375754.68592,"2026-03-31",451399.2239009999,3799482.5980110066,11196674.291728,17738654.658520933,"[\"99787107393065498256888522570939526464960671564345515510320748534859284179297\", \"5345441419419147559625888104788940459264045849260872706421285679583531763371\"]","2026-03-31T21:48:25Z",[12707],{"id":12708,"conditionId":12689,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":12246,"startDate":158,"endDate":120},"288144",-0.0325,-0.0725,"2026-03-31T21:47:11.421529Z",{"id":12713,"question":12714,"conditionId":12715,"slug":12716,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":70,"startDate":12717,"image":12674,"icon":12674,"description":12718,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":12719,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":12720,"updatedAt":12721,"closedTime":12722,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":76,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":12723,"umaEndDate":12724,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":12725,"endDateIso":81,"startDateIso":12726,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":12727,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":12725,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":12728,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":208,"oneWeekPriceChange":1013,"lastTradePrice":680,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":12729,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2006982","US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?","0xd87a0ee5367e38072ac013e99035672125fee3a3f4446f0389fe806e42e3e42e","us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-april-30","2026-04-17T15:50:06.581608Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.\n\nQualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.\n\nA widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","1163934.4307450012","2026-04-17T15:45:22.357418Z","2026-05-02T07:32:34.149688Z","2026-05-01 07:29:44+00","0x192ab66afa80ad0063d1a24a298efdf5bff9f020fa48ab441e6b894459a77264","2026-05-01T07:29:44Z",1163934.4307450012,"2026-04-17","[\"41096062945098111823949933488606080240606740976160051684644447840115341135428\", \"107954094694031491419426961086575608232833931530777814045947373328458211979429\"]","2026-04-17T15:49:02Z","2026-04-17T15:47:47.525213Z",{"id":12731,"question":12732,"conditionId":12733,"slug":12734,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":12,"liquidity":12735,"startDate":12736,"image":12674,"icon":12674,"description":12737,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":3625,"volume":12738,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":12739,"updatedAt":12740,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":222,"groupItemThreshold":277,"questionID":12741,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":12742,"liquidityNum":12743,"endDateIso":227,"startDateIso":12726,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":12744,"volume1wk":12745,"volume1mo":12746,"volume1yr":12747,"clobTokenIds":12748,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":12744,"volume1wkClob":12745,"volume1moClob":12746,"volume1yrClob":12747,"volumeClob":12742,"liquidityClob":12743,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":12749,"cyom":15,"competitive":3636,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":12750,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":103,"oneDayPriceChange":160,"oneWeekPriceChange":263,"oneMonthPriceChange":263,"lastTradePrice":3643,"bestBid":1246,"bestAsk":3643,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":12753,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2006983","US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?","0x58998da8fa20593cf07618032acd580344a79279a8bcc3ed128b668d793c3d6f","us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-december-31-725-733","71942.2011","2026-04-17T15:50:04.131Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.\n\nQualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.\n\nA widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","998359.0658359958","2026-04-17T15:45:42.304315Z","2026-05-25T20:54:20.494222Z","0xb88dd6b1eb92bb01160bec151ea17efe6ef1781697aada3d7bf0b15fd169441b",998359.0658359958,71942.2011,42324.864265000004,341284.7878529997,859350.9116250005,998359.0658360011,"[\"114657271285511367879703365484572688248973675722511239339535646764098946050607\", \"12933385462445051219548039807631278921517469211617755773732773415883384410827\"]","2026-04-17T15:49:00Z",[12751],{"id":12752,"conditionId":12733,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":58,"startDate":158,"endDate":120},"277461","2026-04-17T15:47:47.519882Z",{"id":12755,"question":12756,"conditionId":12757,"slug":12758,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1087,"liquidity":12759,"startDate":12760,"image":12674,"icon":12674,"description":12761,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":12762,"volume":12763,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":12764,"updatedAt":12765,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":141,"groupItemThreshold":77,"questionID":12766,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":12767,"liquidityNum":12768,"endDateIso":1097,"startDateIso":260,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":12769,"volume1wk":12770,"volume1mo":12771,"volume1yr":12771,"clobTokenIds":12772,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":12769,"volume1wkClob":12770,"volume1moClob":12771,"volume1yrClob":12771,"volumeClob":12767,"liquidityClob":12768,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":12773,"cyom":15,"competitive":12774,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":12775,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":333,"oneDayPriceChange":160,"oneHourPriceChange":3593,"oneWeekPriceChange":12778,"lastTradePrice":636,"bestBid":159,"bestAsk":3938,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":12779,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2183424","US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?","0xc112ff35c760ee66738e288067c3de90a2b44a28a9e2f4488989d498be03b292","us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-june-30","78423.9286","2026-05-07T18:11:16.666164Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.\n\nQualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.\n\nA widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","[\"0.1\", \"0.9\"]","831233.8318069993","2026-05-07T18:08:11.695209Z","2026-05-25T20:51:44.914076Z","0xda0d0806d11633424c17950b3e5e816c77ed7fbd2367b574b351f18745749090",831233.8318069993,78423.9286,101363.12097999999,478490.28636499995,831233.8318070004,"[\"107010784463622992347585756781888741119874289659386929971064211775896839258138\", \"74383005746117841900553443989581268615957888455524049940092822086091148821262\"]","2026-05-07T18:10:20Z",0.8620689655172414,[12776],{"id":12777,"conditionId":12757,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":157,"startDate":366,"endDate":120},"361814",-0.025,"2026-05-07T18:09:14.563316Z",{"id":12781,"question":12782,"conditionId":12783,"slug":12784,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":309,"liquidity":44,"image":12674,"icon":12674,"description":12785,"outcomes":35,"volume":44,"active":15,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":12786,"updatedAt":12787,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":438,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":316,"groupItemThreshold":255,"questionID":12788,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":56,"liquidityNum":56,"endDateIso":321,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":56,"volume1wk":56,"volume1mo":56,"volume1yr":56,"clobTokenIds":12789,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrAmm":56,"volume1wkAmm":56,"volume1moAmm":56,"volume1yrAmm":56,"volume24hrClob":56,"volume1wkClob":56,"volume1moClob":56,"volume1yrClob":56,"volumeAmm":56,"volumeClob":56,"liquidityAmm":56,"liquidityClob":56,"customLiveness":56,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"cyom":15,"competitive":56,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":56,"rewardsMaxSpread":56,"spread":449,"oneDayPriceChange":56,"oneHourPriceChange":56,"oneWeekPriceChange":56,"oneMonthPriceChange":56,"oneYearPriceChange":56,"lastTradePrice":56,"bestBid":56,"bestAsk":449,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":14,"deploying":14,"deployingTimestamp":12790,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2355076","US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?","0xef5365cb2973f77e162709e007e0da70d06e8ff1e115372beb437d64326efd76","us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-july-31","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.\n\nQualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.\n\nA widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","2026-05-25T16:54:57.779167Z","2026-05-25T20:45:55.719879Z","0x71144345b7ea2b869abb485b9cfb124cf1e1086b7b6041935722fdf22c659460","[\"99898826776688642243611180513761391438338703592111222029361539646852005434476\", \"47677872301173174398105864641994853717439067266071737642114461777263524877447\"]","2026-05-25T17:06:55Z",[12792,12793,12794,12795,12796,12797],{"id":470,"label":471,"slug":472,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":473,"updatedBy":466,"createdAt":474,"updatedAt":475,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":462,"label":463,"slug":464,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":465,"updatedBy":466,"createdAt":467,"updatedAt":468,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":500,"label":501,"slug":502,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":503,"updatedAt":504,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":506,"label":507,"slug":508,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":509,"updatedAt":510,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":483,"label":484,"slug":485,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":486,"updatedAt":487,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":77,"label":512,"slug":513,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":514,"updatedBy":515,"createdAt":516,"updatedAt":517,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"context_description":12799,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":12800},"Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations under the Trump administration center on Iran's stockpile of roughly 440 kg of uranium enriched to 60 percent, a key element in proposed frameworks that could include its transfer out of Iran. Recent reports indicate US officials view a commitment to relinquish the material as part of any initial deal, with Trump stating the agreement is largely negotiated and that Iran has consented to hand over the uranium. Iranian sources, however, have pushed the nuclear file to later talks and denied any current accord on exporting the stockpile, citing disputes over sanctions relief timing and enrichment limits. These developments, alongside IAEA monitoring of Iran's program and regional concerns from Israel, shape trader assessments of timelines for US acquisition through official channels by mid-2026 or later. Scheduled diplomatic rounds and potential announcements within the resolution window remain primary catalysts.","2026-05-25T20:45:52.032Z",{"id":12802,"ticker":12803,"slug":12803,"title":12804,"description":12805,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":12806,"creationDate":12807,"endDate":12,"image":12808,"icon":12808,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":12809,"volume":12810,"openInterest":12811,"createdAt":12812,"updatedAt":12813,"competitive":12814,"volume24hr":12815,"volume1wk":12816,"volume1mo":12817,"volume1yr":12818,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":12809,"negRisk":15,"commentCount":12819,"markets":12820,"tags":12941,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"gmpChartMode":518,"negRiskAugmented":15,"featuredOrder":12246,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":12956},"310530","iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by","Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.\n\nTo qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if\u002Fwhen the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.\n\nAgreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","2026-03-27T00:25:52.152041Z","2026-03-27T00:25:52.152036Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Firan-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-before-july-G-riWTpXuKoj.jpg",180427.5394,10621945.790221011,1356290.248711,"2026-03-26T15:42:46.817586Z","2026-05-25T20:57:00.136801Z",0.9991008092716555,533658.7018039998,3076588.5179250017,5735541.165500993,6874788.553291987,176,[12821,12841,12867,12893,12922],{"id":12822,"question":12823,"conditionId":12824,"slug":12825,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":70,"startDate":12826,"image":12808,"icon":12808,"description":12827,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":12828,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":12829,"updatedAt":12830,"closedTime":12831,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":76,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":12832,"umaEndDate":12833,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":12834,"endDateIso":81,"startDateIso":12835,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":12836,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":12834,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":12837,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":970,"oneWeekPriceChange":12838,"oneMonthPriceChange":12839,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":12840,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1731344","Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?","0x5d37825716832a4a54f89450932e89510f26cf4be59aeec3149d2c49e5fdf44d","iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by-april-30-2026","2026-03-27T00:24:12.513Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.\n\nTo qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if\u002Fwhen the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.\n\nAgreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","3747157.236928999","2026-03-26T15:42:47.838965Z","2026-05-02T06:20:01.246644Z","2026-05-01 06:43:54+00","0x3d6d82dd8f32655e8befbd77f2512b2ad17335a0b662ac09618bacbb26b1b241","2026-05-01T06:43:54Z",3747157.236928999,"2026-03-27","[\"106220853378183696641226754443875866363184608965104019427770764978887400913119\", \"37726096291033755960138434480309842752392906581303110222866737197011090444316\"]","2026-03-27T00:23:07Z",-0.053,-0.0895,"2026-03-26T23:53:51.447505Z",{"id":12842,"question":12843,"conditionId":12844,"slug":12845,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":12,"liquidity":12846,"startDate":12847,"image":12808,"icon":12808,"description":12848,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":12849,"volume":12850,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":12851,"updatedAt":12852,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":222,"groupItemThreshold":255,"questionID":12853,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":12854,"liquidityNum":12855,"endDateIso":227,"startDateIso":12835,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":12856,"volume1wk":12857,"volume1mo":12858,"volume1yr":12859,"clobTokenIds":12860,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":12856,"volume1wkClob":12857,"volume1moClob":12858,"volume1yrClob":12859,"volumeClob":12854,"liquidityClob":12855,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":12861,"cyom":15,"competitive":535,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":12862,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":103,"oneDayPriceChange":973,"oneHourPriceChange":368,"oneWeekPriceChange":3968,"oneMonthPriceChange":3642,"lastTradePrice":12865,"bestBid":662,"bestAsk":12865,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":12866,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1731346","Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?","0xe846dd72f8a654ef137a3e23a88226400b42cc0ca817ab4390a615860e08cafa","iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by-december-31-2026","73299.7663","2026-03-27T00:15:17.118Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.\n\nTo qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if\u002Fwhen the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.\n\nAgreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","[\"0.615\", \"0.385\"]","1192231.9624069997","2026-03-26T15:42:49.284111Z","2026-05-25T20:52:31.077036Z","0x3db9f2e8ed1944aac8f260c3cc72a418da1da4f669380e16a0055137c5888b2a",1192231.9624069997,73299.7663,79895.30971299995,383146.6260360003,715934.7994549994,1192231.962407002,"[\"70530382817944476125648239982318905983026944956853105853882601665630375614463\", \"18702020867581976905619984893323736143098724607754292117438927457109238679413\"]","2026-03-27T00:14:11Z",[12863],{"id":12864,"conditionId":12844,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":58,"startDate":158,"endDate":120},"288124",0.62,"2026-03-26T23:53:51.44849Z",{"id":12868,"question":12869,"conditionId":12870,"slug":12871,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1087,"liquidity":12872,"startDate":12873,"image":12808,"icon":12808,"description":12874,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":12875,"volume":12876,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":12877,"updatedAt":12878,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":141,"groupItemThreshold":77,"questionID":12879,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":12880,"liquidityNum":12881,"endDateIso":1097,"startDateIso":12835,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":12882,"volume1wk":12883,"volume1mo":12884,"volume1yr":12885,"clobTokenIds":12886,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":12882,"volume1wkClob":12883,"volume1moClob":12884,"volume1yrClob":12885,"volumeClob":12880,"liquidityClob":12881,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":12861,"cyom":15,"competitive":12887,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":12888,"rewardsMinSize":720,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":103,"oneDayPriceChange":581,"oneWeekPriceChange":3760,"oneMonthPriceChange":334,"lastTradePrice":3571,"bestBid":12891,"bestAsk":3571,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":12892,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1731345","Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?","0x6cb3ec9e0fb1c258898f648f8b33422f59ba3e8a71aee551449d7cb147bb8ead","iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by-june-30-2026","57328.9429","2026-03-27T00:15:16.865Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.\n\nTo qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if\u002Fwhen the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.\n\nAgreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","[\"0.345\", \"0.655\"]","2520829.047094021","2026-03-26T15:42:48.562168Z","2026-05-25T20:54:10.319244Z","0x7218bccf6a3c2ed197409c5920c24c11f85dddb1d4e16a32de0357246b27dd53",2520829.047094021,57328.9429,111296.26627200005,688249.0188220004,1857830.9322550008,2520829.0470939917,"[\"71072033942543358092746595783705192338853499264598489041523740805922382816481\", \"17269153522875922708691197534079323882577887490263556443563241786372279871546\"]",0.9765386587241522,[12889],{"id":12890,"conditionId":12870,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":365,"startDate":158,"endDate":120},"288123",0.34,"2026-03-26T23:53:51.449557Z",{"id":12894,"question":12895,"conditionId":12896,"slug":12897,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"liquidity":12898,"startDate":12899,"image":12808,"icon":12808,"description":12900,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":12901,"volume":12902,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":12903,"updatedAt":12904,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":100,"groupItemThreshold":178,"questionID":12905,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":12906,"liquidityNum":12907,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":81,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":12908,"volume1wk":12909,"volume1mo":12910,"volume1yr":12910,"clobTokenIds":12911,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":12908,"volume1wkClob":12909,"volume1moClob":12910,"volume1yrClob":12910,"volumeClob":12906,"liquidityClob":12907,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":12912,"cyom":15,"competitive":12913,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":12914,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":160,"oneDayPriceChange":680,"oneHourPriceChange":368,"oneWeekPriceChange":12917,"lastTradePrice":12918,"bestBid":12919,"bestAsk":12920,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":12921,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2126542","Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?","0xd39905267d79b715f078279ef41f311b791c6e2c7361fea38011492b632212ef","iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by-may-31-2026","48370.33968","2026-04-30T17:26:03.145644Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.\n\nTo qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if\u002Fwhen the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.\n\nAgreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","[\"0.1455\", \"0.8545\"]","3161647.8253049916","2026-04-30T17:23:10.931264Z","2026-05-25T20:52:31.093837Z","0x45b232a20f488e55a01dada070db653ed92ae59e588dfe73ad9cee9fe7e5f89f",3161647.8253049916,48370.33968,321300.63874699984,2003989.008281001,3161647.8253049934,"[\"2524866258201703875345714303520627683687425586066606325407691453627204155882\", \"63756054444750273032342900213736494135377239401337354989820981541092393466748\"]","2026-04-30T17:25:00Z",0.8883596239662548,[12915],{"id":12916,"conditionId":12896,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":365,"startDate":81,"endDate":120},"304488",0.0795,0.151,0.143,0.148,"2026-04-30T17:23:43.892179Z",{"id":12923,"question":12924,"conditionId":12925,"slug":12926,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":309,"liquidity":12927,"startDate":12928,"image":12808,"icon":12808,"description":12929,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":11145,"volume":1737,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":12930,"updatedAt":12931,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":438,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":316,"groupItemThreshold":255,"questionID":12932,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":720,"liquidityNum":12933,"endDateIso":321,"startDateIso":832,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":720,"volume1wk":720,"volume1mo":720,"volume1yr":720,"clobTokenIds":12934,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":720,"volume1wkClob":720,"volume1moClob":720,"volume1yrClob":720,"volumeClob":720,"liquidityClob":12933,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":12935,"cyom":15,"competitive":11158,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":12936,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":3938,"oneHourPriceChange":791,"lastTradePrice":11163,"bestBid":12939,"bestAsk":456,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":12940,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2355354","Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?","0xc11f41372087c4d934ae7adb869ff08272b2bcb3e242d4e628330353c130e480","iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by-july-31-2026","3170.172","2026-05-25T18:30:15.596854Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.\n\nTo qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if\u002Fwhen the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.\n\nAgreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","2026-05-25T18:27:34.939369Z","2026-05-25T20:49:14.906928Z","0x1ec9622faaf485c910dcb6c6e6b31345b08b27beb0c8ee30ba75638185eec283",3170.172,"[\"27530489613290284177027370919181618196698554516289292486210046237058588430612\", \"41891626705072796463652186951603605384016957343429878758408823291731995289417\"]","2026-05-25T18:29:19Z",[12937],{"id":12938,"conditionId":12925,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":58,"startDate":832,"endDate":120},"398662",0.39,"2026-05-25T18:28:12.641328Z",[12942,12943,12944,12945,12946,12947,12948,12949],{"id":506,"label":507,"slug":508,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":509,"updatedAt":510,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":470,"label":471,"slug":472,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":473,"updatedBy":466,"createdAt":474,"updatedAt":475,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":12043,"label":12044,"slug":12045,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":12046,"updatedBy":466,"createdAt":12047,"updatedAt":12048,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":483,"label":484,"slug":485,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":486,"updatedAt":487,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":77,"label":512,"slug":513,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":514,"updatedBy":515,"createdAt":516,"updatedAt":517,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":500,"label":501,"slug":502,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":503,"updatedAt":504,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":462,"label":463,"slug":464,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":465,"updatedBy":466,"createdAt":467,"updatedAt":468,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":12950,"label":12951,"slug":12952,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":12953,"createdAt":12954,"updatedAt":12955,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"1289","Nuclear","nuclear","2024-02-07 22:16:09.803+00","2024-02-07T22:16:09.819Z","2026-04-17T20:34:50.106501Z",{"context_description":12957,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":12958},"Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations under the Trump administration have produced conflicting signals on Iran's enriched uranium stockpile, with American officials reporting an in-principle commitment by Tehran to surrender or dispose of the material as part of a broader framework that could include sanctions relief and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian sources, including statements attributed to the Supreme Leader, maintain that the stockpile must remain inside the country and have rejected outright transfer to a third party, instead floating options such as dilution under IAEA monitoring. Details on implementation, timelines, and verification remain unresolved and deferred to subsequent rounds, while enrichment to 60% continues amid longstanding IAEA concerns. These developments, alongside procedural hurdles in any final accord, shape trader assessments of the probability that Iran issues a qualifying public pledge by the market's resolution dates.","2026-05-25T20:45:47.291Z",{"id":12960,"ticker":12961,"slug":12961,"title":12962,"description":12963,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":12964,"creationDate":12965,"endDate":12966,"image":12967,"icon":12967,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":14,"restricted":14,"liquidity":12968,"volume":12969,"openInterest":12970,"sortBy":1202,"createdAt":12971,"updatedAt":12972,"competitive":12973,"volume24hr":12974,"volume1wk":12975,"volume1mo":12976,"volume1yr":12977,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":12968,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":12978,"commentCount":12979,"markets":12980,"tags":13571,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":14,"enableNegRisk":14,"automaticallyActive":14,"startTime":13596,"gmpChartMode":518,"negRiskAugmented":14,"countryName":13585,"electionType":8812,"featuredOrder":13597,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":13598,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":13599},"34584","colombia-presidential-election","Colombia Presidential Election","Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https:\u002F\u002Fregistraduria.gov.co).","2025-07-29T17:32:52.057619Z","2025-07-29T17:32:52.057606Z","2026-06-21T14:00:00Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fcolombia-presidential-election-1st-round-winner-mZ_LYPs3S8OL.png",2004587.64389,30968363.26228811,976707.032076,"2025-07-28T19:02:29.638153Z","2026-05-25T20:55:59.492506Z",0.9794079478954972,455868.608319,1477649.5981899996,6310411.879735999,29662794.975112014,"0x3e140cadcdda618e09c3bc308ce6fb65d4623f7477eb887ea4d03d54aa6ad700",562,[12981,13006,13030,13053,13077,13100,13124,13146,13169,13194,13217,13249,13271,13303,13325,13349,13368,13392,13426,13450,13462,13475,13487,13500,13518,13532,13545,13558],{"id":12982,"question":12983,"conditionId":12984,"slug":12985,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":12966,"liquidity":12986,"startDate":12987,"image":12988,"icon":12988,"description":12963,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":4003,"volume":12989,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":12990,"updatedAt":12991,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":1225,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":12992,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":12978,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":12993,"liquidityNum":12994,"endDateIso":12995,"startDateIso":12996,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":12997,"volume1wk":12998,"volume1mo":12999,"volume1yr":13000,"clobTokenIds":13001,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":12997,"volume1wkClob":12998,"volume1moClob":12999,"volume1yrClob":13000,"volumeClob":12993,"liquidityClob":12994,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":12978,"negRiskRequestID":13002,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":13003,"cyom":15,"competitive":742,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":720,"rewardsMaxSpread":397,"spread":47,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":13004,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":1243,"feeSchedule":13005},"569356","Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0x849a3e762977a9ad6b8e5f449ac7c8abb2756409a1b55759e00262e072bd81a7","will-vicky-dvila-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","54071.10787","2025-07-29T17:22:53.056281Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-vicky-dvila-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-Jwk2wjYRNCKU.jpg","2956051.3206869992","2025-07-28T19:02:30.36083Z","2026-05-25T20:49:01.679517Z","Vicky Dávila (IND)",2956051.3206869992,54071.10787,"2026-06-21","2025-07-29",34170,96697.15,364019.1960000002,2956051.3206870006,"[\"111233749945390693132335511891715724694881884819987764738034083584495542889312\", 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Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0xba75e6ba41372e351ed4755f183c1cdb082bd7cf6182a6d80dc445869c09de10","will-luis-gilberto-murillo-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","92211.52433","2025-07-29T17:22:56.293111Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-luis-gilberto-murillo-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-q2-qm-hgAtFS.jpg","1921951.220842015","2025-07-28T19:02:30.907914Z","2026-05-25T20:54:53.27457Z","Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)","0x3e140cadcdda618e09c3bc308ce6fb65d4623f7477eb887ea4d03d54aa6ad701",1921951.220842015,92211.52433,41994.9,56256.45,445873.377,1921951.220842001,"[\"33053388922196452557261107683035649080682228011295662021241156014202987636793\", 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Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0x9714c7fe6abc381277370c4287f8b2d30dffddd040565266d0274e67028b5197","will-claudia-lpez-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","75486.96657","2025-07-29T17:22:56.03861Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-claudia-lpez-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-mT945fbSB6n8.jpg","1196448.3862990055","2025-07-28T19:02:31.520309Z","2026-05-25T20:53:07.58556Z","Claudia López (IND)","0x3e140cadcdda618e09c3bc308ce6fb65d4623f7477eb887ea4d03d54aa6ad702",1196448.3862990055,75486.96657,24960,36983.73,364732.445339,1196448.3862990013,"[\"8704105627729187158244464441676617275507746943882460083674867791526057508646\", 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David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0xf63b20e72086547c789e93d744f811c20d9c0b14be0501599cd4c1c5853c9bd5","will-david-luna-snchez-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","147127.87432","2025-07-29T17:23:01.247973Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-david-luna-snchez-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-4m8b848vCQHk.jpg","1847342.844651001","2025-07-28T19:02:32.067241Z","2026-05-25T20:54:39.119349Z","David Luna Sánchez (IND)","0x3e140cadcdda618e09c3bc308ce6fb65d4623f7477eb887ea4d03d54aa6ad703",1847342.844651001,147127.87432,25290,26776,171802.87,1847342.8446510003,"[\"29634269883198564591373707667338539580309224908853967914175595169149205026965\", 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Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0xe59f59145045f82f8408f1fc5041d33c2c2b1de8ffaf7a4c450c638f5b038079","will-juan-daniel-oviedo-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","182241.64884","2025-07-29T17:23:00.99509Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-juan-daniel-oviedo-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-2wcNTSlisOTj.jpg","1527418.1633820108","2025-07-28T19:02:32.637623Z","2026-05-25T20:52:49.026492Z","Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)","0x3e140cadcdda618e09c3bc308ce6fb65d4623f7477eb887ea4d03d54aa6ad704",1527418.1633820108,182241.64884,8430,8454.02,450060.0397839994,1527418.1633820047,"[\"112555322065982091470513953234842603626356443236936103808494470812727562408795\", 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Miguel Uribe Turbay win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0xe79972d28e543046c88cb43847a06f46fd85930a3ad0b71a1339fc5973e5a815","will-miguel-uribe-turbay-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","2025-07-29T17:23:01.501Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-miguel-uribe-turbay-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-8wK4pnd72jzk.jpg","24615.427823","2025-07-28T19:02:33.192275Z","2025-08-25 22:19:57+00","Miguel Uribe Turbay (CD)","0x3e140cadcdda618e09c3bc308ce6fb65d4623f7477eb887ea4d03d54aa6ad705","2025-08-25T22:19:57Z",24615.427823,8294.839472,24615.427822999995,"2025-08-25 19:12:00+00","[\"69060624533458831267076172458605848920773380331333194595024649229425386165146\", \"15487192675541459606401906861836353466424708956224441056848209225570558254344\"]","0x4429247090f29d223e13257c8ceb7333756da598691e024bb01f0140dec39a44","2025-07-29T17:22:39Z",-0.0145,"[\"proposed\", 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Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0x60084cd46b5b91797ad397f4c1ffb5d3fcec7c134b705d2796c0f571eedad3b7","will-gustavo-bolvar-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","113990.79119","2025-07-29T17:23:02.007709Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-gustavo-bolvar-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-JTM1gA6SdIyF.jpg","5778765.214643","2025-07-28T19:02:33.753658Z","2026-05-25T20:52:43.510061Z","Gustavo Bolívar (HC)","0x3e140cadcdda618e09c3bc308ce6fb65d4623f7477eb887ea4d03d54aa6ad706",5778765.214643,113990.79119,16690,16695.49,673977.451,"[\"90597192178681015689649221295046634532475085163327739303111514887963871088190\", 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Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0x202af343a370924358b0397efd5b812affec245fd60a9f7bdcadc914b6179a3d","will-germn-vargas-lleras-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","161028.22333","2025-07-29T17:23:03.035844Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-germn-vargas-lleras-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-Dhlx6RCb9V6S.jpg","1784222.4762750214","2025-07-28T19:02:35.784142Z","2026-05-25T20:54:40.073759Z","Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)","0x3e140cadcdda618e09c3bc308ce6fb65d4623f7477eb887ea4d03d54aa6ad709",1784222.4762750214,161028.22333,1180,1391.09,322705.7879999994,1784222.4762750093,"[\"80201140209960826248352000586932595636659282485774269449093899277382388462647\", 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Abelardo de la Espriella  win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0xfbe85201ab2b4acff01cd5a3639039fc813d3448c64db081f70926bd9b9e74e9","will-abelardo-de-la-espriella-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","73622.7256","2025-07-29T17:23:05.155Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-candidate-a-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-671-WCZ4SVxw9dWG.jpg","[\"0.645\", \"0.355\"]","1514102.0727439919","2025-07-28T19:02:36.383155Z","2026-05-25T20:54:23.541317Z","Abelardo de la Espriella","0x3e140cadcdda618e09c3bc308ce6fb65d4623f7477eb887ea4d03d54aa6ad70a",1514102.0727439919,73622.7256,67716.98233,341071.2909399999,664195.5912199997,1514102.072743997,"[\"87037476560262355019736573472997730954875286944171789280729969665019434635807\", 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Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0x566196aaed496a8454b0dd572e88dbc096f13631589b8401efb942bbd4e07cdf","will-daniel-quintero-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","122429.85348","2025-07-29T17:23:07.072Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-daniel-quintero-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-pl5_nY0S2l1k.png","703309.3127600001","2025-07-28T19:02:38.169772Z","2026-05-25T20:48:53.264406Z","Daniel Quintero","0x3e140cadcdda618e09c3bc308ce6fb65d4623f7477eb887ea4d03d54aa6ad70d",703309.3127600001,122429.85348,9070,12511,703309.3127599995,"[\"36553834009124167357981460132800746681781045509640776189348736916365216865880\", 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Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0xd0282264ee769e9a77dc5e168cfe7966841955a4b3555485cfbddc6961198ae0","will-roy-barreras-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","168490.31371","2025-07-29T17:23:09.397Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-roy-barreras-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-KqlnXTqyYpMK.jpg","1227929.6274800063","2025-07-28T19:02:38.759946Z","2026-05-25T20:52:01.783316Z","Roy Barreras","0x3e140cadcdda618e09c3bc308ce6fb65d4623f7477eb887ea4d03d54aa6ad70e",1227929.6274800063,168490.31371,849.97,6934.27,370582.32200000016,1227929.62748,"[\"89197674428783317925181961175064005674601073120281612991629461250109749011039\", 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Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0xd8f77503edba0515f30d6c97da303e6d95f290ba52042d3553da5012df1c9fcb","will-enrique-pealosa-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","107417.41128","2025-07-29T17:23:09.145Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-enrique-pealosa-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-1G27VTtlMJ2t.jpg","1305568.2871760002","2025-07-28T19:02:39.318838Z","2026-05-25T20:52:41.615304Z","Enrique Peñalosa","0x3e140cadcdda618e09c3bc308ce6fb65d4623f7477eb887ea4d03d54aa6ad70f",1305568.2871760002,107417.41128,"[\"107683978284338345514269480869866022278445451292438352236628035370370763457098\", 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Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0x109985b203700a3201125daee47e511f6de4ff2cf138d66a3f2adb557c36c0eb","will-juan-carlos-pinzn-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","83944.44225","2025-07-29T17:23:11.142Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-juan-carlos-pinzn-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-U5cVugxd-HuN.jpg","473938.0807569996","2025-07-28T19:02:39.922608Z","2026-05-25T20:53:46.524253Z","Juan Carlos Pinzón","0x3e140cadcdda618e09c3bc308ce6fb65d4623f7477eb887ea4d03d54aa6ad710",473938.0807569996,83944.44225,43720,43724.02,56846.44,473938.080757,"[\"54150466123374773726738402962617014073469969105711615831248994920187304132512\", 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Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0xd6591e966aebf061547ef34cdf3494ed318969887c8b7fb53f10ed5d5461a547","will-paloma-valencia-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","69293.26161","2025-07-29T17:23:11.395Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-paloma-valencia-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-eOha8FUkvxDW.jpg","[\"0.0615\", \"0.9385\"]","1536900.8952780014","2025-07-28T19:02:40.462364Z","2026-05-25T20:52:04.2711Z","Paloma Valencia","0x3e140cadcdda618e09c3bc308ce6fb65d4623f7477eb887ea4d03d54aa6ad711",1536900.8952780014,69293.26161,82560.26414000001,300982.24126799987,735428.4967290001,1536900.8952779998,"[\"62446510551119788095477835528576672715047217994292762496431912510269665561591\", 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Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0xdedef5719a21db8c17a43b9a53558b0ef775f03a1f8efe16960929556b90e29a","will-carlos-felipe-crdoba-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","128610.40516","2025-07-29T17:23:13.211Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-carlos-felipe-crdoba-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-dm5Xxc1tjZgw.jpg","703916.8934190045","2025-07-28T19:02:41.071863Z","2026-05-25T20:53:50.421138Z","Carlos Felipe Córdoba","0x3e140cadcdda618e09c3bc308ce6fb65d4623f7477eb887ea4d03d54aa6ad712",703916.8934190045,128610.40516,8643.45,53643.650407000016,378409.848407,703916.893419001,"[\"21277635529916941493247806594681449972370468950858577155451325042563981647561\", 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Candidate P win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0xfa5ff0fd23ca119f93bafb9fa36f9a3433efb43257ec77f3005ac6302283d6c5","will-candidate-p-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-443","2025-07-29T17:23:19.391788Z","2025-07-29T17:15:37.729387Z","Candidate P","0x3e140cadcdda618e09c3bc308ce6fb65d4623f7477eb887ea4d03d54aa6ad71a","[\"77537635956562217433074459245188520320002811084784515839804431636217705533315\", 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Candidate Q win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0x96f228c948500afdd4eec4c7e5d708e774af29f6639e24136dc95d31cf850986","will-candidate-q-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-794","2025-07-29T17:23:19.645498Z","2025-07-29T17:16:01.833626Z","Candidate Q","0x3e140cadcdda618e09c3bc308ce6fb65d4623f7477eb887ea4d03d54aa6ad71b","[\"57142653322482858174247839253798358956366114728998893785652245963209756040059\", \"37130290494079829800363946232079553537040897546596165505492362826262485705186\"]","0x82ef6443904c3651660daaf47546531c9b85ee74740077fec9362b70f2972c6f","2025-07-29T17:17:47.014108Z",{"exponent":449,"rate":1245,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1246},[13572,13573,13574,13575,13576,13577,13583,13589,13590],{"id":77,"label":512,"slug":513,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":514,"updatedBy":515,"createdAt":516,"updatedAt":517,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3494,"label":3495,"slug":3496,"forceShow":14,"publishedAt":3497,"createdBy":466,"updatedBy":466,"createdAt":3498,"updatedAt":3499,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3481,"label":3482,"slug":3483,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":3484,"updatedBy":515,"createdAt":3485,"updatedAt":3486,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":11093,"label":11094,"slug":11095,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":11096,"updatedAt":11097,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3488,"label":3489,"slug":3490,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":3491,"updatedAt":3492,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":13578,"label":13579,"slug":13580,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":13581,"updatedAt":13582,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"104117","Colombia Election","colombia-election","2026-03-06T18:38:24.022798Z","2026-04-17T20:28:48.885176Z",{"id":13584,"label":13585,"slug":13586,"createdAt":13587,"updatedAt":13588,"requiresTranslation":15},"101283","Colombia","colombia","2024-11-18T22:15:03.121332Z","2026-04-17T17:19:59.269793Z",{"id":8807,"label":8808,"slug":8809,"createdAt":8810,"updatedAt":8811,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":13591,"label":13592,"slug":13593,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":13594,"updatedAt":13595,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"103151","Rewards 200, 4.5, 50","rewards-200-4pt5-50","2026-01-15T18:06:54.161349Z","2026-04-17T20:49:04.232356Z","2026-05-31T12:00:00Z",14,"2025-07-29T17:17:21.316906Z",{"context_description":13600,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":13601},"Abelardo de la Espriella leads trader consensus at 64.5% due to his recent polling surge among conservative voters and strong projected performance in potential runoffs against leftist frontrunner Iván Cepeda Castro, who sits at 31.5%. Security concerns and political violence in the final weeks have boosted de la Espriella’s outsider appeal as a law-and-order candidate ahead of the May 31 first round. Candidate M at 49.5% reflects ongoing uncertainty over vote consolidation on the right, where Paloma Valencia’s 6.5% share indicates a split that could force a runoff. Low probabilities for remaining contenders underscore limited paths to victory in the crowded field, with traders weighing Cepeda’s first-round edge against de la Espriella’s momentum in head-to-head scenarios.","2026-05-25T20:45:47.275Z",{"id":13603,"ticker":13604,"slug":13604,"title":13605,"description":13606,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":13607,"creationDate":13608,"endDate":13609,"image":13610,"icon":13610,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":13611,"volume":13612,"openInterest":13613,"sortBy":1202,"createdAt":13614,"updatedAt":13615,"competitive":13616,"volume24hr":13617,"volume1wk":13618,"volume1mo":13619,"volume1yr":13620,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":13611,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":13621,"commentCount":13622,"markets":13623,"tags":14460,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":14,"enableNegRisk":14,"automaticallyActive":14,"startTime":14479,"gmpChartMode":518,"negRiskAugmented":14,"countryName":14467,"electionType":8812,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":14480,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":14481},"106520","peru-presidential-election-winner","Peru Presidential Election Winner","General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.onpe.gob.pe\u002Felecciones\u002F) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https:\u002F\u002Fportal.jne.gob.pe\u002Fportal\u002F) ","2025-12-16T20:20:08.258628Z","2025-12-16T20:20:08.258608Z","2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fperu-senate-election-winner-iMytyzRM1AVl.png",3811318.09591,54693523.075604886,3085692.452206999,"2025-12-16T10:56:10.765028Z","2026-05-25T20:56:44.99088Z",0.9400649819918802,365775.61443,1606137.5879160003,9227472.543455001,50772357.10097591,"0xadb7e58e8bc49f689db034724fc75b1dff8ca055bba20d5a883853227974d200",5041,[13624,13652,13676,13695,13714,13734,13753,13773,13797,13809,13823,13836,13850,13880,13899,13918,13937,13956,13976,13995,14018,14037,14060,14083,14097,14110,14123,14137,14150,14163,14182,14195,14208,14231,14262,14283,14296,14309,14322,14335,14348,14360,14373,14386,14398,14410,14422,14435,14448],{"id":13625,"question":13626,"conditionId":13627,"slug":13628,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":431,"liquidity":13629,"startDate":13630,"image":13631,"icon":13631,"description":13606,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":1141,"volume":13632,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":13633,"updatedAt":13634,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":1225,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":13635,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":13621,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":960,"volumeNum":13636,"liquidityNum":13637,"endDateIso":444,"startDateIso":13638,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":13639,"volume1wk":13640,"volume1mo":13641,"volume1yr":13642,"clobTokenIds":13643,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":13639,"volume1wkClob":13640,"volume1moClob":13641,"volume1yrClob":13642,"volumeClob":13636,"liquidityClob":13637,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":13621,"negRiskRequestID":13644,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":13645,"cyom":15,"competitive":1153,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":13646,"rewardsMinSize":454,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"oneDayPriceChange":60,"oneWeekPriceChange":580,"oneMonthPriceChange":13649,"lastTradePrice":1162,"bestBid":1162,"bestAsk":1161,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":975,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":13650,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":1243,"feeSchedule":13651},"947268","Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","0xae6d3d20bc8f742922dc40880cd8a8671c10385a9912fa7cd670fba0643dfe96","will-rafael-lpez-aliaga-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election","129256.68723","2025-12-16T20:14:30.887Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-rafael-lpez-aliaga-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election-X72XjUcYKC0d.jpg","12291400.887278834","2025-12-16T10:56:11.909632Z","2026-05-25T20:52:23.770529Z","Rafael López Aliaga",12291400.887278834,129256.68723,"2025-12-16",27179.018524000003,320511.9930660001,2665344.7768970034,12291400.887279026,"[\"91464516107556165907566387619157396733019262339196802152206657889196699256450\", 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Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","0x9b14ba5cc37a35c0db2c9849e631d98195670be4a0f91233a81529f22a7a5949","will-carlos-lvarez-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election","183976.72162","2025-12-16T20:14:33.315554Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-carlos-lvarez-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election-enClTg9zmBQW.jpg","3218791.596722","2025-12-16T10:56:14.110546Z","2026-05-25T20:53:39.31664Z","Carlos Álvarez","0xadb7e58e8bc49f689db034724fc75b1dff8ca055bba20d5a883853227974d203",3218791.596722,183976.72162,145600,292023.36,1126117.71,3218791.5967220026,"[\"96778993542273611384637311499081700062825144626170214374801025348770797572532\", 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César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","0xef61cec575ac7260343e1f0c11900fee12a1f30b521b649eec7663ec5424242a","will-csar-acua-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election","158320.31764","2025-12-16T20:14:33.062Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-csar-acua-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election-BQrRsWbhu1sx.jpg","643992.6459779998","2025-12-16T10:56:14.778805Z","2026-05-25T20:54:21.952042Z","César Acuña","0xadb7e58e8bc49f689db034724fc75b1dff8ca055bba20d5a883853227974d204",643992.6459779998,158320.31764,"[\"50243762671512851167282517271037976718384543563492030616749604530990728402798\", 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Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","0xa61438a389267c7deafc9d04cd6d0dc597d70253eb94702c0f5be458d75719a2","will-vladimir-cerrn-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election","206519.26572","2025-12-16T20:14:33.569Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-vladimir-cerrn-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election-ngtaa9yMnQzV.jpg","252942.31393799995","2025-12-16T10:56:16.155546Z","2026-05-25T20:53:40.751003Z","Vladimir Cerrón","0xadb7e58e8bc49f689db034724fc75b1dff8ca055bba20d5a883853227974d206",252942.31393799995,206519.26572,"[\"31366905060250352809933074814832465062746377846325454298457938183906229951978\", 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Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","0x3aec41fee9edc59c2b98d439dba86debe339e35f62ac4cdc8de01ab1a5b93f21","will-roberto-chiabra-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election","192948.68414","2025-12-16T20:14:36.496Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-roberto-chiabra-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election-fy1hoIkZLPUw.jpg","136391.31482499995","2025-12-16T10:56:18.540269Z","2026-05-25T20:52:49.050056Z","Roberto Chiabra","0xadb7e58e8bc49f689db034724fc75b1dff8ca055bba20d5a883853227974d209",136391.31482499995,192948.68414,"[\"16452855558136653776561048576768137577528096989756809438471103880971273573161\", 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candidate E win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","0xc064c6f8b3d39f54d89151813b848f3606554a55839cdab1b106564a74e5c40c","will-candidate-e-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election","2025-12-16T20:14:45.755Z","2025-12-16T10:56:29.842369Z","Candidate E","0xadb7e58e8bc49f689db034724fc75b1dff8ca055bba20d5a883853227974d21b","[\"75699045963869660719509086375150742324925677978622468271400410708854955275859\", 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José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","0xf73e2e231d324cb662ad80eefdd90bba5007fc4df45bc2c7bab90d83693cc4ee","will-jos-luna-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election","197296.93018","2025-12-16T20:14:35.988Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-jos-luna-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election-CWIELiI-3-kO.jpg","369847.76974200003","2025-12-16T10:56:17.084444Z","2026-05-25T20:54:23.905245Z","José Luna","0xadb7e58e8bc49f689db034724fc75b1dff8ca055bba20d5a883853227974d207",369847.76974200003,197296.93018,"[\"6200507252841835595951008504441149768354972632973075259527756928392759138736\", 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José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","0x7965575591c9229a2c75c881555403f5e867cd5759545619d8ec061b2b08135f","will-jos-williams-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election","188136.71325","2025-12-16T20:14:36.749Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-jos-williams-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election-CdPOehtjJe6V.jpg","143206.89001700009","2025-12-16T10:56:19.96111Z","2026-05-25T20:54:09.068827Z","José Williams","0xadb7e58e8bc49f689db034724fc75b1dff8ca055bba20d5a883853227974d20b",143206.89001700009,188136.71325,"[\"78299862190151688660680397893688466572696604800286917240516494924076147885439\", 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Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","0x5e7d3b7cf87325cee6ae6c7417d6e9d7250c4cc2dc912b18ce5cdafba4e6a647","will-fiorella-molinelli-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election","219077.69453","2025-12-16T20:14:36.242Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-fiorella-molinelli-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election-11KsDkGExfkP.jpg","161232.80561200017","2025-12-16T10:56:20.611961Z","2026-05-25T20:54:28.386151Z","Fiorella Molinelli","0xadb7e58e8bc49f689db034724fc75b1dff8ca055bba20d5a883853227974d20c",161232.80561200017,219077.69453,"[\"13489012588233322368311367883402374394605806123068707609937025667605598991327\", 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Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","0x78f5630bafa15147941daa2fd2926b43febe6af1544cd9d8527b226914f3ca11","will-alfonso-lpez-chau-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election","40880.48519","2025-12-16T20:14:34.078Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-alfonso-lpez-chau-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election-Hss-KPu1MzNn.jpg","2219525.496239002","2025-12-16T10:56:15.477306Z","2026-05-25T20:53:13.711758Z","Alfonso López Chau","0xadb7e58e8bc49f689db034724fc75b1dff8ca055bba20d5a883853227974d205",2219525.496239002,40880.48519,11101.02,28271.13,563837.34,2219525.4962390014,"[\"9682518067153576122489405729520126083014940106724522567955145436832495666332\", 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George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","0x82d5ffbcda5dc4cb5039bd59224c732c465dc6c052af3257f38055e8dc66b0bf","will-george-forsyth-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election","177325.74522","2025-12-16T20:14:35.732Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-george-forsyth-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election-2oFggaFhZy3-.jpg","279707.6370279996","2025-12-16T10:56:17.768597Z","2026-05-25T20:54:17.521424Z","George Forsyth","0xadb7e58e8bc49f689db034724fc75b1dff8ca055bba20d5a883853227974d208",279707.6370279996,177325.74522,"[\"68553529382068345183582892420839184781828369905058541872190738963134845555492\", 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Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","0x0a10ea4f5d42ac33a29d73b8562f4414f5ea2219afd9da74ba950f7aefe7c630","will-ricardo-belmont-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election","75879.19774","2025-12-16T20:14:38.527Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-ricardo-belmont-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election-vS4A-d3h3Dxu.jpg","4185159.3624319932","2025-12-16T10:56:21.268133Z","2026-05-25T20:55:15.87846Z","Ricardo Belmont","0xadb7e58e8bc49f689db034724fc75b1dff8ca055bba20d5a883853227974d20d",4185159.3624319932,75879.19774,23258.2,46496.57,363982.82,4185159.362432006,"[\"67856043091363573230826787438476899340717171261331542907088468980307686160535\", 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Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","0x974dcbcce5e8186e0e273065a60675bc17617897c395eca60478d0c49f80718f","will-carlos-esp-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election","90029.06093","2025-12-16T20:14:38.02Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-carlos-esp-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election-TKI-vvNK_2jG.jpg","1442293.696928001","2025-12-16T10:56:22.682859Z","2026-05-25T20:49:21.624714Z","Carlos Espá","0xadb7e58e8bc49f689db034724fc75b1dff8ca055bba20d5a883853227974d20f",1442293.696928001,90029.06093,49610,101056.24,606263.35,1442293.6969279996,"[\"101000035200953616880452761567806635979587850958431667672433526557328036615568\", 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candidate S win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","0x5823ed8612ae0047a21fc48b771776b63844c73d55fa71c122227efb1bf6bc57","will-candidate-s-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election","2025-12-16T20:14:51.126Z","2025-12-16T10:56:36.280358Z","Candidate S","0xadb7e58e8bc49f689db034724fc75b1dff8ca055bba20d5a883853227974d229","[\"67903633202977737833402986689912361990598575279638982611591192564125522188777\", 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Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","0xe18a1286c10eb4e5d6b67a81e0164425366e5dc08f9cf36e979c48d24eca569d","will-wolfgang-grozo-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election","143850.74923","2025-12-16T20:14:42.284Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-wolfgang-grozo-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election-SJJfWIHh_IKI.png","702779.4090500004","2025-12-16T10:56:28.020033Z","2026-05-25T20:52:32.067205Z","Wolfgang Grozo","0xadb7e58e8bc49f689db034724fc75b1dff8ca055bba20d5a883853227974d217",702779.4090500004,143850.74923,13067.78,702779.4090499996,"[\"37054672673240893716147212545578261558108422916710328334838178765603659455400\", 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candidate D win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","0x9dcf2170db118484ea53fad9e0f35706619f0360bfb01f99b252e3c8999486a6","will-candidate-d-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election","2025-12-16T20:14:46.523Z","2025-12-16T10:56:29.383205Z","Candidate D","0xadb7e58e8bc49f689db034724fc75b1dff8ca055bba20d5a883853227974d21a","[\"114922109877354768386490877891875068354191818109176886465769521979033065664033\", 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candidate H win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","0x6b7c917854a1b60cfccbf500f6fcfe52b02a9cffdc7255db0ae523f1b99d13e3","will-candidate-h-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election","2025-12-16T20:14:48.569Z","2025-12-16T10:56:31.264194Z","Candidate H","0xadb7e58e8bc49f689db034724fc75b1dff8ca055bba20d5a883853227974d21e","[\"48001836685838243403631083225691634640603844570321145475000594824841338214434\", 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candidate J win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","0xa86d9a8bd89aeaa5c9811e3ec7df7f1cfef7ef051458102c81675ea9833a6017","will-candidate-j-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election","2025-12-16T20:14:49.336Z","2025-12-16T10:56:32.141954Z","Candidate J","0xadb7e58e8bc49f689db034724fc75b1dff8ca055bba20d5a883853227974d220","[\"59154836693879455888153975881155818194488591184787303957648737523196630077827\", 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candidate K win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","0x08101c885c6da9dce2bba80a30d2a9d4133f35e282e06ab6cb93aff4a6e43c5c","will-candidate-k-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election","2025-12-16T20:14:49.847Z","2025-12-16T10:56:32.668496Z","Candidate K","0xadb7e58e8bc49f689db034724fc75b1dff8ca055bba20d5a883853227974d221","[\"54670577470927424772373585932755240890840941658716067756076058086762790526918\", 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candidate Y win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","0xe27ac37b05bb38fb3dac08bc729de436e883658b4a9e175423230a493b35876b","will-candidate-y-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election","2025-12-16T20:14:53.422Z","2025-12-16T10:56:38.920158Z","Candidate Y","0xadb7e58e8bc49f689db034724fc75b1dff8ca055bba20d5a883853227974d22f","[\"85061842390195981842588019598418332689727631855536460661576405961217120511895\", 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candidate O win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","0x4025073cedd026e9adb9ccff3821779c00792854e7754daa3eafed301e41edb6","will-candidate-o-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election","2025-12-16T20:14:49.08Z","2025-12-16T10:56:34.402277Z","0xadb7e58e8bc49f689db034724fc75b1dff8ca055bba20d5a883853227974d225","[\"104684177361879293772451967369395447852198309451265624296636331715537531335257\", \"100361975084631441882392825306826553731934596012534969070900596262835759520005\"]","0xee53ec72bfbd47722fd782b6c63971e10c016059c32f5abcc3bfaa1428cb2a4e","2025-12-16T19:57:22.366191Z",{"exponent":449,"rate":1245,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1246},[14461,14462,14463,14464,14465,14471,14477,14478],{"id":77,"label":512,"slug":513,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":514,"updatedBy":515,"createdAt":516,"updatedAt":517,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3494,"label":3495,"slug":3496,"forceShow":14,"publishedAt":3497,"createdBy":466,"updatedBy":466,"createdAt":3498,"updatedAt":3499,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3488,"label":3489,"slug":3490,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":3491,"updatedAt":3492,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3481,"label":3482,"slug":3483,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":3484,"updatedBy":515,"createdAt":3485,"updatedAt":3486,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":14466,"label":14467,"slug":14468,"createdAt":14469,"updatedAt":14470,"requiresTranslation":15},"101284","Peru","peru","2024-11-18T22:17:16.950535Z","2026-04-17T20:14:31.277533Z",{"id":14472,"label":14473,"slug":14474,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":14475,"updatedAt":14476,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"104274","Peru Election","peru-elections","2026-03-19T23:14:59.407238Z","2026-04-17T20:31:10.353297Z",{"id":8807,"label":8808,"slug":8809,"createdAt":8810,"updatedAt":8811,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":13591,"label":13592,"slug":13593,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":13594,"updatedAt":13595,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"2026-06-07T12:00:00Z","2025-12-16T19:56:55.360682Z",{"context_description":14482,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":14483},"Keiko Fujimori leads trader pricing in Peru's June 7 presidential runoff after securing first place in the April 12-13 first round with roughly 17 percent of the vote, ahead of Roberto Sánchez at about 12 percent amid a fragmented field of 35 candidates. Recent Ipsos and other polls show her holding a narrow edge in runoff head-to-heads, typically in the 39-35 range, reflecting her established conservative base in Lima and the coast plus reduced anti-Fujimorismo sentiment following her father's 2024 death. Sánchez, a leftist congressman and former cabinet official, draws support from the left but trails in most surveys. The National Jury of Elections confirmed the runoff matchup in mid-May, with no other candidate polling above low single digits and structural barriers limiting late shifts before voting.","2026-05-25T20:45:45.574Z",{"id":14485,"ticker":14486,"slug":14486,"title":14487,"description":14488,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":14489,"creationDate":14490,"endDate":1087,"image":14491,"icon":14491,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":14,"restricted":14,"liquidity":14492,"volume":14493,"openInterest":14494,"createdAt":14495,"updatedAt":14496,"competitive":14497,"volume24hr":14498,"volume1wk":14499,"volume1mo":14500,"volume1yr":14501,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":14492,"negRisk":15,"commentCount":14502,"markets":14503,"tags":14812,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"gmpChartMode":518,"negRiskAugmented":15,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":14827},"372242","trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by","Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?","On April 12, 2026, President Donald Trump announced that the United States will blockade the Strait of Hormuz. You can read more about that here: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.nbcnews.com\u002Fworld\u002Firan\u002Flive-blog\u002Flive-updates-us-iran-fail-reach-deal-peace-talks-day-negotiations-rcna315918.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nQualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify). \n\nStatements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., \"Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz\") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice.\n\nInformal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.\n\nWritten public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and\u002For its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nNote: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the blockade is effectively enforced or whether maritime traffic resumes absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.","2026-04-12T20:47:47.510974Z","2026-04-12T20:47:47.510965Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Ftrump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-broken-by-X3wf-2Pi8W96.jpg",177576.8068,21989087.239165068,1066799.298779,"2026-04-12T18:54:10.463588Z","2026-05-25T20:51:50.306875Z",0.9979790923380155,363826.1065260002,2363495.960210997,6089712.859515007,6478224.472049013,510,[14504,14530,14548,14565,14583,14601,14617,14634,14653,14671,14688,14709,14726,14750,14772,14789],{"id":14505,"question":14506,"conditionId":14507,"slug":14508,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"liquidity":14509,"startDate":14510,"image":14491,"icon":14491,"description":14488,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":11356,"volume":14511,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":14512,"updatedAt":14513,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":100,"groupItemThreshold":142,"questionID":14514,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":14515,"liquidityNum":14516,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":14517,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":14518,"volume1wk":14519,"volume1mo":14520,"volume1yr":14521,"clobTokenIds":14522,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":14518,"volume1wkClob":14519,"volume1moClob":14520,"volume1yrClob":14521,"volumeClob":14515,"liquidityClob":14516,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":14523,"cyom":15,"competitive":11313,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":14524,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":103,"oneDayPriceChange":159,"oneHourPriceChange":3568,"oneWeekPriceChange":124,"oneMonthPriceChange":14528,"lastTradePrice":11375,"bestBid":11375,"bestAsk":11374,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":14529,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1972137","Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?","0x8b369e10358094a99ffe7f85a81a8e8ca68c611eee0fe63a2efa790ad045bcd6","will-donald-trump-announce-that-the-united-states-blockade-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-has-been-lifted-by-may-31-2026-313-388-459-589-533","45170.8116","2026-04-13T17:29:21.242Z","5267204.496949076","2026-04-13T17:24:53.979901Z","2026-05-25T20:55:37.425605Z","0xad64209156d71a5832307f4dd6a3bb2201c36ce0c96da9d7123c2d1fb9254cb4",5267204.496949076,45170.8116,"2026-04-13",268594.9630080001,1838534.457624998,4878264.426488004,5267204.49694901,"[\"926377706175971731068420551849041218012736398250875962020506643091812084572\", 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Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?","0x6d64853f670b85151d2441b2bdea142f2031b573947ab2887e82585546fdc7f4","will-donald-trump-announce-that-the-united-states-blockade-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-has-been-lifted-by-april-17-2026","2026-04-12T20:43:49.27983Z","865021.303167001","2026-04-12T18:54:11.810408Z","2026-04-19T06:11:10.279339Z","2026-04-18 06:16:46+00","April 17","0x95c74937dcf2ceee773a7fdc75b61899ff4fec86dad8f91b2f261be25b5ce713","2026-04-18T06:16:46Z",865021.303167001,"[\"96146410965817925264605417549794332362365502188583481127192560483653763562311\", 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Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 12, 2026?","0xd9989a6c8a514c9b4331c0fc7ee8b20020456a2a9a9bf978130dae29af12e236","will-donald-trump-announce-that-the-united-states-blockade-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-has-been-lifted-by-april-12-2026","2026-04-12T20:43:40.673551Z","4378.784575","2026-04-12T18:54:10.668126Z","2026-04-17T22:53:45.720347Z","2026-04-13 08:48:53+00","April 12","0xa48471afdcc8dbf6ef7a671cf8b6ae33fe036f4449be7f2a15fd529c07c1fa32","2026-04-13T08:48:53Z",4378.784575,"[\"16899938040641954297466806029636984591322099817389237925528961099450382539315\", 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Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?","0x531afb8dafa0c026464827a4d6c4260743f6d2908101ae43645d6513e6bc5438","will-donald-trump-announce-that-the-united-states-blockade-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-has-been-lifted-by-april-15-2026","2026-04-12T20:43:42.701396Z","811662.6169759994","2026-04-12T18:54:11.505671Z","2026-04-17T22:53:45.748325Z","2026-04-16 07:53:46+00","April 15","0x935913706fb76e33922ba866d61e2553ce3942b72c838bbb668fb189ff0ff0de","2026-04-16T07:53:46Z",811662.6169759994,"[\"35241903359524784341466731931230736482357468120908793664172189943141539528363\", 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Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?","0x3094a2b925483a06aa72945a1472e311e5eb6be75284f61e0c008e279508ddf6","will-donald-trump-announce-that-the-united-states-blockade-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-has-been-lifted-by-june-15-2026","6451.895","2026-05-25T15:23:01.04838Z","[\"0.65\", \"0.35\"]","917.896665","2026-05-25T15:19:48.372761Z","2026-05-25T20:51:52.827432Z","0xaa99449a3c9ec14f342c15751f927ddfb250181c140a1f05158c98a1f0a2a73a",917.896665,6451.895,"[\"2573721445147198402794802928157427663327297748733430491619487131647218857169\", 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Trump imposed a US naval blockade on Iranian ports and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz in mid-April 2026 after ceasefire talks in Pakistan collapsed, aiming to pressure Tehran economically amid broader regional conflict. 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Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0x046941ddc09a5420aae85108b94bec3e1d7a3290b4144346cfc37e125282f958","will-rick-caruso-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","181244.28859","2025-10-09T23:29:47.170218Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-rick-caruso-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-Vg4Sw-Qn-17v.png","969910.5853770039","2025-10-09T19:56:25.553411Z","2026-05-25T20:52:44.690335Z","Rick Caruso",969910.5853770039,181244.28859,"2026-11-03","2025-10-09",7811.066000000004,92701.59900000007,470904.5518329997,969910.5853770026,"[\"97079880955117270083666806029014143818118511996487378321036003805764596740938\", 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Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0x11375fe1cf6665bbdee0cba5c2d48be1dedafab87841bd2eb8bc778c0402f457","will-katie-porter-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","70155.36274","2025-10-09T23:29:47.425008Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-katie-porter-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-IEso_4jOT9Lu.png","1177080.4678409924","2025-10-09T19:56:26.499089Z","2026-05-25T20:52:43.707082Z","Katie Porter","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c02",1177080.4678409924,70155.36274,7410.505499999999,65829.82677899998,302156.6038589995,1177080.4678409982,"[\"59961507866677494040607532131294205317570935112758647200306330458606615546543\", 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Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0x119b6b3b744ac3239c7a71100165d254234eaecea401abde5a3d303bef21d19e","will-steve-hilton-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","157221.66823","2025-10-09T23:29:48.990855Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-steve-hilton-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-88UifmFLZdts.png","[\"0.0885\", \"0.9115\"]","1363181.1332830086","2025-10-09T19:56:27.430784Z","2026-05-25T20:49:03.644572Z","Steve Hilton","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c04",1363181.1332830086,157221.66823,8291.315566000001,111401.79251699988,334799.3634340002,1363181.1332830011,"[\"82742036522262670996662794097029680950132682539859985097974842241612036171395\", 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Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0xa0a62ba83d66d748a4df1e36efffe85746d1e2b3a43167701f83826599fb51e8","will-stephen-cloobeck-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","175259.46386","2025-10-09T23:29:49.246484Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-stephen-cloobeck-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-HKXbEZcvI4mw.png","1074148.6353450036","2025-10-09T19:56:28.553206Z","2026-05-25T20:52:42.398831Z","Stephen Cloobeck","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c06",1074148.6353450036,175259.46386,16094.126000000006,135092.56299999985,765956.6275680014,"[\"56625712760763435913938435276890711697397809531508832909291686351381221361003\", 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Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0x43cf1b93d1b5420b158346f0e6e2993432014c4c09a213a1240fa7426c1c5af8","will-betty-yee-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","191070.27764","2025-10-09T23:29:50.259492Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-betty-yee-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-TiEk7glQ_UM1.png","1106427.2952820044","2025-10-09T19:56:29.620281Z","2026-05-25T20:53:59.942194Z","Betty Yee","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c08",1106427.2952820044,191070.27764,17669.283999999996,123269.04599999973,749256.5059860027,1106427.2952820018,"[\"70281793907385086211847388621294479535878334441733358377933099446528752678794\", 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Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0x0a46731134b06c151d4f939bec58e07d784ed50ed214141286fd8bc9561608a3","will-kyle-langford-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","179836.51134","2025-10-09T23:29:52.308408Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-kyle-langford-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-4AEFpbdLI8eo.png","1501861.2174080103","2025-10-09T19:56:30.737981Z","2026-05-25T20:53:11.002037Z","Kyle Langford","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c0a",1501861.2174080103,179836.51134,23120.120000000003,98084.30600000004,654340.2319999994,1501861.2174080035,"[\"52687837122619369610030804114166340063089308639039605237541487600082955039632\", 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Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0x331cd65740d378b98427723b33b353c62241e7bdabfaa01daac48d9caf85b401","will-eleni-kounalakis-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","194855.33012","2025-10-09T23:29:51.548565Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-eleni-kounalakis-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-OfHKsSvDIJkA.png","1099688.632478003","2025-10-09T19:56:31.710316Z","2026-05-25T20:55:13.808674Z","Eleni Kounalakis","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c0c",1099688.632478003,194855.33012,8511.167999999998,85223.21000000005,592276.9341660016,1099688.6324780025,"[\"80001541196533445384638857826765844622336176247558086607183828472215016820926\", 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Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0xbaa911d1bdf7f43fafd9de773a43ec8ea00dd1c405a3c996e6f0f3ab365209e0","will-tony-thurmond-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","146124.63918","2025-10-09T23:29:51.040625Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-tony-thurmond-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-sOSn758A275z.png","847892.0042040002","2025-10-09T19:56:32.761476Z","2026-05-25T20:49:12.011293Z","Tony Thurmond","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c0e",847892.0042040002,146124.63918,19532.89699999999,101227.96399999998,504284.6419999999,847892.0042040013,"[\"97702334451352897001337910972309092345221725844052357364009019821657345731021\", 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Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0x06345583ca9b85eafb51253f4346029771b3802ec2715457235ddc58ef0b19c4","will-leo-zacky-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","169677.37552","2025-10-09T23:29:53.066556Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-leo-zacky-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-tuZbmReuBB8F.png","780564.3983829999","2025-10-09T19:56:33.841125Z","2026-05-25T20:52:25.894226Z","Leo Zacky","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c10",780564.3983829999,169677.37552,8462.015,89272.43572200001,423220.94188500004,780564.3983829985,"[\"28995761858308797540202767490519720137865013282800276958339531394045469725185\", 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Option G win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0x1e7bc31995aa66b49f458fb718a78a9adcf0ba49b980ed504b8d896ace834f1b","will-option-g-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","2025-10-09T23:29:55.102338Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-option-g-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-QnG7hBhwi66_.png","2025-10-09T19:56:37.670624Z","Option G","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c18","[\"14120592341196722310054988174693787055501686574664425586018616987986357177663\", 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Option K win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0xbdc6a9140e6669efa854f3fc17930cdc276fa9d6f5ce2f0b3a705d9917b5282a","will-option-k-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","2025-10-09T23:29:55.356337Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-option-k-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-asYG_yDFPvqC.png","2025-10-09T19:56:39.441438Z","Option K","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c1c","[\"54843543953845353549831605983862708216600054499575776366811721976844263377497\", 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Option U win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0xf38e605d9492b377f2f9cf28c8917f301f7d4d0758323a27875bde3dc25d59f9","will-option-u-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","2025-10-09T23:30:00.257505Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-option-u-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-JVt8jS5kq50i.png","2025-10-09T19:56:44.08602Z","Option U","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c26","[\"30437899723447058887451341238490995646217436477431774969277431253505545585648\", 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Option W win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0xd73d9c051cb5fc5806f4e832199d05308a314be6afa42817e6f51f838f109440","will-option-w-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","2025-10-09T23:29:59.748116Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-option-w-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-hroCoKPIllrS.png","2025-10-09T19:56:45.124979Z","Option W","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c28","[\"97623827563508088734308997843224819712904327607689623009879916218656452626447\", 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Other win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0x9b5e65284979b3aa343316534ede9b6228633ffb77a313bf3eda7ee3f14dcf70","will-other-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","2025-10-09T23:30:02.097439Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-other-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-PvKNhlHQFUnC.png","2025-10-09T19:56:47.204062Z","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c2c","[\"47083375912844807001348109326613635144388882085943779107310990195174270360682\", 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Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0x433587daba653f972f1bf49d41712ff02a0e73196c3a498a1e9d8e80c6587861","will-alex-padilla-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","187358.37698","2025-10-09T23:29:47.67795Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-alex-padilla-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-4_WY4jXE6Z_F.png","1087878.0844450004","2025-10-09T19:56:26.00616Z","2026-05-25T20:53:11.288773Z","Alex Padilla","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c01",1087878.0844450004,187358.37698,25864.481000000003,88363.97499999999,697498.2133789985,1087878.0844449997,"[\"27917044669327306061079144978831477036721566699378308758417293047296113420189\", 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Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0x555d4228698fed95802ef627c79ca8a16ff13680a7eef759311827f2c355fcf0","will-antonio-villaraigosa-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","108439.10335","2025-10-09T23:29:47.932309Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-antonio-villaraigosa-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-7ONjMesoy6RS.png","812989.590664003","2025-10-09T19:56:26.990786Z","2026-05-25T20:48:52.819355Z","Antonio Villaraigosa","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c03",812989.590664003,108439.10335,41012.083999999995,138558.851,603432.1762689991,812989.5906639983,"[\"36414954588752207538819032120216717092589056211565128836805997597026535658896\", 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Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0x44efa7a078d27c6bdec7ff1f82474adfdba4626a3fd4c3c668f3b81583020cae","will-daniel-mercuri-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","142782.53258","2025-10-09T23:29:51.294146Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-daniel-mercuri-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-nbHeuFSdyDPW.png","886291.2529339987","2025-10-09T19:56:32.304925Z","2026-05-25T20:54:11.63878Z","Daniel Mercuri","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c0d",886291.2529339987,142782.53258,21683.248999999993,147642.67999999996,494541.3438510008,886291.2529339986,"[\"53943024503150115514653967017098517943934976181100661411753055914691662047501\", 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Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0xc6564d7fc7bb20de273fd8383fa95322a1323c18bdd3b59e04ff1140e48d04a9","will-michael-younger-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","141329.61025","2025-10-09T23:29:52.056095Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-michael-younger-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-gh1F4tFL-N9X.png","1076728.9839960039","2025-10-09T19:56:33.356006Z","2026-05-25T20:51:18.394363Z","Michael Younger","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c0f",1076728.9839960039,141329.61025,3341.8359999999993,145411.21099999998,662795.6934980003,1076728.9839960008,"[\"110624820174512595032719547193919253929632091585224629966521372245175868300590\", 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Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0x5ff8465273252fdc32d12e91305d51133b87b5878464477141e2e6ca61b133e7","will-nicole-shanahan-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","129196.41454","2025-10-09T23:29:53.319809Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-nicole-shanahan-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-6gM4O5IVXfzT.png","908389.5400950016","2025-10-09T19:56:34.283583Z","2026-05-25T20:52:11.715032Z","Nicole Shanahan","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c11",908389.5400950016,129196.41454,34460.542,168271.1030000001,556188.723499999,908389.540095002,"[\"90209687118917041742612656238209836178607847566398364643125772743766012953994\", 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Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0x8d62f20324e9e7f1a3c663ab6aac9a2f6e7adb96c6a69ac2cea7e08a71a7f2ef","will-tom-steyer-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","78649.84587","2025-10-09T23:29:54.339Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-option-b-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-EcAkqKw7Rzsk.png","[\"0.2325\", \"0.7675\"]","3359372.864512993","2025-10-09T19:56:35.234031Z","2026-05-25T20:54:54.946445Z","Tom Steyer","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c13",3359372.864512993,78649.84587,3804.1039420000006,42383.31314199995,305214.1396049994,3359372.8645130163,"[\"20705956847651355292903061592334315186019059728484478747049630947764308652621\", 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Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0x58b0474e74a03480c439d50e13dd0b75146c3596e5a475f95e70035c90cee4ca","will-matt-mahan-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","83885.3169","2025-10-09T23:29:54.086Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-option-d-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-QkS4rhpniAXY.png","776875.0813549999","2025-10-09T19:56:36.133897Z","2026-05-25T20:54:46.142692Z","Matt Mahan","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c15",776875.0813549999,83885.3169,1533.962448,30287.059268000015,335282.03316899936,776875.0813550015,"[\"113017673827188867377109454527754982157460887938297582871131403025795572613918\", 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Option F win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0x73335fe72e62f9831b11c41b558182945fcc17313af8796af92ff362c2815425","will-option-f-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","2025-10-09T23:29:55.86424Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-option-f-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-kddiEwcR3Vbc.png","2025-10-09T19:56:37.21891Z","Option F","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c17","[\"112091540044355702236100019571947438971932740223682937734647949742548322527059\", 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Option H win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0x2449d9c0f460e2e2a778898fbe5e82335f6527a7cc67dfcff010e77018bdc0d4","will-option-h-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","2025-10-09T23:29:55.609962Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-option-h-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-Cm9ikMsySuV2.png","2025-10-09T19:56:38.141642Z","Option H","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c19","[\"7974895002119331682771227511294537018622295960963161460425463504016939602174\", 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Option J win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0xe6ac0c069e614394c2ffdd863d1307d4ca71d602a263cacb24a94ae63ecd0c11","will-option-j-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","2025-10-09T23:29:54.84726Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-option-j-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-g0XsSXoT8Xkg.png","2025-10-09T19:56:38.99737Z","Option J","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c1b","[\"32790740266893151470032927392625379087733059838710598351560259463028374871064\", 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Option L win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0xcc321e90e0ad833ab641bc6c6c910f94d71eda1b9af738f5d42f4db19dc14fb3","will-option-l-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","2025-10-09T23:29:56.880153Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-option-l-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-YyctE9d21tuH.png","2025-10-09T19:56:39.916303Z","Option L","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c1d","[\"49019638788121207431926215011950191301629482992566078695785152061286841807516\", 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Option N win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0xa8a1844fdf2a011727c4830467ab9ada08c883648eb7480d49385d49505b09e7","will-option-n-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","2025-10-09T23:29:57.134135Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-option-n-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-defAhubdx3aC.png","2025-10-09T19:56:40.774915Z","Option N","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c1f","[\"38869713076319277990391998001195906660147505005093902707532942326285912983376\", 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Option P win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0x99c3b0163473dd865482bedae5b3ee23430667bca4e0c43ff975feb8934d8813","will-option-p-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","2025-10-09T23:29:57.641498Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-option-p-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-cMNdYEyyQpGf.png","2025-10-09T19:56:41.690585Z","Option P","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c21","[\"7050434662155058860719406049773756206274718440699185210175690706711947989543\", 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Option R win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0xc2810df59a52cf84bf60d099ebc4a6b52c76deaeac3370c3bd0bb0158cf1344b","will-option-r-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","2025-10-09T23:29:56.626161Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-option-r-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-GlByNv1Cw-45.png","2025-10-09T19:56:42.653838Z","Option R","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c23","[\"104105912959449781949483816758772640744362893862949080787841913479106855581028\", 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Option T win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0x355f94ed84a3dc257873bd0d4a862b66cd9ffb359c08cc312c6d96b786aa11fb","will-option-t-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","2025-10-09T23:29:59.239782Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-option-t-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-7x898U_d3ESK.png","2025-10-09T19:56:43.64965Z","Option T","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c25","[\"71257502356452729285379334388562446036905185565265458347694606173494376694104\", 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Option V win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0x90e60c204257873fbb33d399cbefa885e2539a87e8b7af115d0f7e0eb9c57d76","will-option-v-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","2025-10-09T23:29:59.493657Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-option-v-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-OoclWm9SKzau.png","2025-10-09T19:56:44.610493Z","Option V","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c27","[\"16251390607158810559270825823900502058189490564731634701218561720448646008866\", 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Option X win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0x0c26c47ce7b891cebdad2de3be5c1cfc193988dd40e049c692ea0c4213357999","will-option-x-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","2025-10-09T23:30:01.215123Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-option-x-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-40YI1qNQjssy.png","2025-10-09T19:56:45.625999Z","Option X","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c29","[\"16205361707269802364804655039011980472119642421407469169892223477251416357199\", 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Option Z win the California Governor Election in 2026?","0x154f0363829bb16e58868d7c33df0d66795e1b8d0ae5b5cc4f1a1cbc9667774f","will-option-z-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026","2025-10-09T23:30:01.815516Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-option-z-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026-dWGhNIui_fig.png","2025-10-09T19:56:46.75143Z","Option Z","0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c2b","[\"100920518047601930949181169325390806108901339022043260975319632962389812519447\", 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midterms","governor-midterms","2026-03-04T19:55:35.574097Z","2026-04-17T20:31:10.357429Z",{"id":15740,"label":15741,"slug":15742,"createdAt":15743,"updatedAt":15744,"requiresTranslation":15},"104045","California Midterm","california-midterm","2026-03-02T20:14:40.682549Z","2026-04-17T20:21:14.226931Z",{"id":15746,"label":15747,"slug":15748,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":15749,"updatedAt":15750,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"104182","rewards 100, 4.5, 100","rewards-100-4pt5-100","2026-03-11T18:44:12.92629Z","2026-04-17T20:53:31.622295Z","2025-10-09T23:21:26.09853Z",{"context_description":15753,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":15754},"Recent polling shows former U.S. Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra surging to the top of the crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the June 2, 2026, vote, which explains his commanding lead in trader consensus for the overall election outcome. Becerra’s gains followed the withdrawal of Rep. Eric Swalwell and reflect consolidation among Democratic voters under California’s top-two primary system. Billionaire Tom Steyer trails in second among Democrats, while Republican Steve Hilton and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco compete for the second general-election spot, though a Democratic nominee is widely viewed as favored in November. No other candidates register meaningful support in recent surveys.","2026-05-25T20:45:50.347Z",{"id":15756,"ticker":15757,"slug":15757,"title":15758,"description":15759,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":15760,"creationDate":15761,"endDate":12,"image":15762,"icon":15762,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":15763,"volume":15764,"openInterest":15765,"sortBy":1202,"createdAt":15766,"updatedAt":15767,"competitive":113,"volume24hr":15768,"volume1wk":15769,"volume1mo":15770,"volume1yr":15771,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":15763,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":15772,"commentCount":15773,"markets":15774,"tags":16299,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":14,"automaticallyActive":14,"startTime":16315,"gmpChartMode":518,"negRiskAugmented":14,"countryName":12059,"electionType":16316,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":16317,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":16318},"81557","who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?","Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","2025-11-15T00:35:25.541518Z","2025-11-15T00:35:25.541508Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwho-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-2026-election-lWDmU0z7U_Vj.png",1207653.44363,11656064.886833029,345231.29283799994,"2025-11-14T18:50:42.285487Z","2026-05-25T20:56:55.1631Z",338202.697125,2017528.8279569976,6730532.114717005,11656064.886833018,"0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b200",284,[15775,15801,15825,15846,15870,15892,15916,15937,15959,15981,15993,16006,16018,16031,16043,16068,16096,16122,16143,16164,16185,16206,16227,16239,16251,16263,16275,16287],{"id":15776,"question":15777,"conditionId":15778,"slug":15779,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":12,"liquidity":15780,"startDate":15781,"image":15762,"icon":15762,"description":15759,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":15782,"volume":15783,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":15784,"updatedAt":15785,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":1225,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":15786,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":15772,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":15787,"liquidityNum":15788,"endDateIso":227,"startDateIso":15789,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":15790,"volume1wk":15791,"volume1mo":15792,"volume1yr":15793,"clobTokenIds":15794,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":15790,"volume1wkClob":15791,"volume1moClob":15792,"volume1yrClob":15793,"volumeClob":15787,"liquidityClob":15788,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":15772,"negRiskRequestID":15795,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":15796,"cyom":15,"competitive":14766,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":15797,"rewardsMinSize":720,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":333,"oneDayPriceChange":368,"oneWeekPriceChange":609,"oneMonthPriceChange":792,"lastTradePrice":3569,"bestBid":12891,"bestAsk":3569,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":15800,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"682705","Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0x7586a96520578acaaaa4ea84a2582f197f84255da1f3392a7aa300386c187b37","will-benjamin-netanyahu-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","69035.2706","2025-11-15T00:27:02.243822Z","[\"0.35\", \"0.65\"]","855959.5895770047","2025-11-14T18:50:42.974763Z","2026-05-25T20:53:25.642177Z","Benjamin Netanyahu",855959.5895770047,69035.2706,"2025-11-15",10669.050813999998,101765.32022900002,302121.3967079995,855959.5895770029,"[\"20006732765674855733524007935991362439352594042415161039767275461950712817548\", 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Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0x45a79193a66e5078a29c625e78e0d4b9a059edef8e206097c48bbfe7eaf9590e","will-yair-lapid-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","64802.24441","2025-11-15T00:27:04.253938Z","[\"0.011\", \"0.989\"]","665144.0832619993","2025-11-14T18:50:43.846541Z","2026-05-25T20:53:45.251771Z","Yair Lapid","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b202",665144.0832619993,64802.24441,31996.676666,129852.06165400003,329322.36759699986,665144.0832619995,"[\"30912854850866302644106316438153629460678506137655559406260043509960678109607\", 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Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0xf773a12cc13214fc493ec398f96c4ea5ec87ea4ff3b29795041d5498e314ad1e","will-benny-gantz-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","87267.61762","2025-11-15T00:27:03.743578Z","379126.51891100046","2025-11-14T18:50:44.999737Z","2026-05-25T20:51:27.91698Z","Benny Gantz","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b204",379126.51891100046,87267.61762,3277.63308,21335.338562999994,179342.33929399983,379126.5189110006,"[\"105121209501718913679835702557350272753628810249278953188501220308690716470697\", 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Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0xa653be0f150dbe055a532ea02977338bb31f49d1f723b2a48c1f67847a73cb7d","will-yossi-cohen-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","79767.1011","2025-11-15T00:27:03.99885Z","[\"0.007\", \"0.993\"]","741840.1624430075","2025-11-14T18:50:45.876583Z","2026-05-25T20:53:18.267024Z","Yossi Cohen","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b206",741840.1624430075,79767.1011,39040.389257,118219.02480799968,350717.6248679997,741840.1624430061,"[\"80908635602471552886049573110321791161186841957249509900771759394573505359926\", 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Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0x4bf44e9885ee8f43148458d5c9537d96c940cf48414557528358d65870131517","will-itamar-ben-gvir-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","48852.97872","2025-11-15T00:27:05.258182Z","548257.3541499998","2025-11-14T18:50:46.827561Z","2026-05-25T20:53:39.089167Z","Itamar Ben Gvir","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b208",548257.3541499998,48852.97872,41246.94710800001,189225.08112400005,391668.088594,548257.3541499999,"[\"97037271592384590668192904767730391938961253014413658633971882704234126806284\", 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Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0x93d07ffcf5c243b98e655380eb876d4a3393351b7325059064cb5a4b1ff6ceb2","will-yariv-levin-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","41819.09724","2025-11-15T00:27:07.617728Z","[\"0.008\", \"0.992\"]","566914.926841996","2025-11-14T18:50:47.744749Z","2026-05-25T20:48:59.58041Z","Yariv Levin","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b20a",566914.926841996,41819.09724,1350.132551,99014.12911300012,414952.84533299896,566914.9268419988,"[\"28155793585619215559447305702051573036104753242134264350727089371549716604590\", 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Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0x80a849ac73eefe56d4d613e44b45e32b9f91f0bfc77173b732cffac7daab3b3b","will-ayelet-shaked-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","117975.47195","2025-11-15T00:27:07.363Z","719132.9814770092","2025-11-14T18:50:48.624232Z","2026-05-25T20:49:03.464161Z","Ayelet Shaked","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b20c",719132.9814770092,117975.47195,15763.569817000001,160467.86656699897,608830.7003089982,719132.9814769977,"[\"20847822223909889861535421917104908467512615252569123202591433051136381225081\", 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Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0xb25a93dc8c0f28dc404f7ee41cf6788a9de054418bd068740849b4a2995486e9","will-israel-katz-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","61870.42328","2025-11-15T00:27:11.714Z","234885.37385500054","2025-11-14T18:50:49.650906Z","2026-05-25T20:51:46.925867Z","Israel Katz","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b20e",234885.37385500054,61870.42328,8382.931247,45903.85777099999,201840.99451599974,234885.37385499978,"[\"49071939739791449726827416712265617396930502300780957239086018273026268436098\", 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Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0x8cbdd0c4c6061c9e5c5a94d4a474c1880d0f2ab5ee4704a64af1e77c6d0e18d0","will-amir-ohana-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","92413.72477","2025-11-15T00:27:14.64Z","499830.04703299585","2025-11-14T18:50:50.681306Z","2026-05-25T20:53:27.01408Z","Amir Ohana","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b210",499830.04703299585,92413.72477,14485.388750000004,152656.4297499993,472787.6587609997,499830.0470329995,"[\"37479008447091488432468168948590430208783407360102685992956858050228448972626\", 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Person G be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0x63ae982679bf9dd981cf98fc13dc17a7f25548ca8ffddfb3691d69770139351f","will-person-g-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-265","2025-11-15T00:27:15.157Z","2025-11-14T18:50:51.600255Z","2026-04-17T22:34:19.531359Z","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b212","[\"9934113093655416680286628757466195390541433919926679748365064383588582773497\", 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Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0xfcd53c97fef81c4ecad8a97c8c47fdf1ce0a54a0daeff7bae53eaa3a9af343f2","will-yair-golan-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","106686.50283","2025-11-15T00:27:05.513262Z","700801.319299003","2025-11-14T18:50:46.314997Z","2026-05-25T20:51:19.187271Z","Yair Golan","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b207",700801.319299003,106686.50283,77382.439991,209686.5460769999,420598.33427500003,700801.3192989993,"[\"38003127295883228185689665963602138176190384641897237734105806870773590495970\", 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Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0xfb2cb634e693b1758fc78b38b02754472edd728bd22eb4a7023c6f49419c73d6","will-gideon-saar-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","59301.73931","2025-11-15T00:27:05.769031Z","945690.716007006","2025-11-14T18:50:47.331679Z","2026-05-25T20:54:48.906797Z","Gideon Sa’ar","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b209",945690.716007006,59301.73931,3309.214866,212756.57249199957,526773.4271610007,945690.7160070052,"[\"113523109301381527088718768250912137532200947193534063249121987336101159734964\", 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Person J be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0x059c794d5be8f4b4d6d5724f274eded84000dbb69679e956819c423e6ae869f5","will-person-j-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-417","2025-11-15T00:27:18.002Z","2025-11-14T18:50:53.013559Z","2026-04-17T22:34:56.522518Z","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b215","[\"34511655292108923488942360596610455633650465074031000011878291576934899315592\", 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Person L be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0xcf8600ac2d7c554a541db2f72d0b595346d01635ede621250d7a93ab4994aa7a","will-person-l-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-488","2025-11-15T00:27:18.26Z","2025-11-14T18:50:53.919316Z","2026-04-17T22:34:56.484639Z","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b217","[\"33897495302236334614574929966492910664606044123833851017992620398407668888612\", \"7107743753465277226848269534123817892769853177981204597128732690658962554921\"]","0xb4b5e6b2e7a31b5ae67765e35fe40dede9dcef7d845581ee6f7f1cf09748ae5e","2025-11-15T00:21:30.064125Z",{"id":16276,"question":16277,"conditionId":16278,"slug":16279,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":12,"liquidity":44,"startDate":16280,"image":15762,"icon":15762,"description":15759,"outcomes":35,"volume":44,"active":15,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":16281,"updatedAt":16282,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":1225,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":2042,"groupItemThreshold":2619,"questionID":16283,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":56,"liquidityNum":56,"endDateIso":227,"startDateIso":15789,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":56,"volume1wk":56,"volume1mo":56,"volume1yr":56,"clobTokenIds":16284,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrAmm":56,"volume1wkAmm":56,"volume1moAmm":56,"volume1yrAmm":56,"volume24hrClob":56,"volume1wkClob":56,"volume1moClob":56,"volume1yrClob":56,"volumeAmm":56,"volumeClob":56,"liquidityAmm":56,"liquidityClob":56,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":15772,"negRiskRequestID":16285,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":16029,"cyom":15,"competitive":56,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":56,"rewardsMaxSpread":56,"spread":449,"oneDayPriceChange":56,"oneHourPriceChange":56,"oneWeekPriceChange":56,"oneMonthPriceChange":56,"oneYearPriceChange":56,"lastTradePrice":56,"bestBid":56,"bestAsk":449,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":14,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":16286,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"682730","Will Person N be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0x36b883bbf49510bb43b9e700c93d67857bf5be7b47f28e52a1cf2cf466f047d8","will-person-n-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-849","2025-11-15T00:27:19.617Z","2025-11-14T18:50:54.84564Z","2026-04-17T22:34:56.457062Z","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b219","[\"22930189405493630508582419563287028838505739697215031459934068134820375201320\", \"99652005126150930817861783609136640163519506931622860681205959890244124890833\"]","0xc530028e3f1f602ae15147e2bb9646243c78718fd95d5ffcb597415e5deb656c","2025-11-15T00:21:30.069605Z",{"id":16288,"question":16289,"conditionId":16290,"slug":16291,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":12,"liquidity":44,"startDate":16292,"image":15762,"icon":15762,"description":15759,"outcomes":35,"volume":44,"active":15,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":16293,"updatedAt":16294,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":1225,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":3222,"groupItemThreshold":2270,"questionID":16295,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":56,"liquidityNum":56,"endDateIso":227,"startDateIso":15789,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":56,"volume1wk":56,"volume1mo":56,"volume1yr":56,"clobTokenIds":16296,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrAmm":56,"volume1wkAmm":56,"volume1moAmm":56,"volume1yrAmm":56,"volume24hrClob":56,"volume1wkClob":56,"volume1moClob":56,"volume1yrClob":56,"volumeAmm":56,"volumeClob":56,"liquidityAmm":56,"liquidityClob":56,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":15772,"negRiskRequestID":16297,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":16029,"cyom":15,"competitive":56,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":56,"rewardsMaxSpread":56,"spread":449,"oneDayPriceChange":56,"oneHourPriceChange":56,"oneWeekPriceChange":56,"oneMonthPriceChange":56,"oneYearPriceChange":56,"lastTradePrice":56,"bestBid":56,"bestAsk":449,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":14,"negRiskOther":14,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":16298,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"682732","Will another person be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0xac1bbb0fc2af7ceca0949c5671b42ddd00454715ae9af6fc3a5c68001c902be5","will-another-person-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-946","2025-11-15T00:27:20.132Z","2025-11-14T18:50:55.675943Z","2026-04-17T22:34:56.531456Z","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b21b","[\"89664454887767608074972484074448669909051901483160764641653609100815334572296\", \"4208472785294786157790256363780567687510685573795298544869583719071867982624\"]","0xb295ffa502ea0a99f00709a5ae90ff5b49d49d0bf3683fc8a5a8c36cf4d392ac","2025-11-15T00:21:30.075466Z",[16300,16301,16302,16303,16304,16305,16306,16307,16313,16314],{"id":77,"label":512,"slug":513,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":514,"updatedBy":515,"createdAt":516,"updatedAt":517,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":12043,"label":12044,"slug":12045,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":12046,"updatedBy":466,"createdAt":12047,"updatedAt":12048,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":12058,"label":12059,"slug":12060,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":12061,"updatedBy":466,"createdAt":12062,"updatedAt":12063,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":506,"label":507,"slug":508,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":509,"updatedAt":510,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3481,"label":3482,"slug":3483,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":3484,"updatedBy":515,"createdAt":3485,"updatedAt":3486,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3494,"label":3495,"slug":3496,"forceShow":14,"publishedAt":3497,"createdBy":466,"updatedBy":466,"createdAt":3498,"updatedAt":3499,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":11093,"label":11094,"slug":11095,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":11096,"updatedAt":11097,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":16308,"label":16309,"slug":16310,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":16311,"updatedAt":16312,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"103026","Trump-Netanyahu","trump-netanyahu","2025-12-28T23:05:25.11347Z","2026-04-17T20:39:54.179053Z",{"id":8807,"label":8808,"slug":8809,"createdAt":8810,"updatedAt":8811,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":15746,"label":15747,"slug":15748,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":15749,"updatedAt":15750,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"2026-10-27T12:00:00Z","Prime Minister","2025-11-15T00:21:03.095062Z",{"context_description":16319,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":16320},"Recent developments in Israeli politics have kept the race for prime minister after the October 2026 Knesset election tightly contested, with Naftali Bennett edging Benjamin Netanyahu in trader consensus. Bennett's April 2026 formation of the \"Together\" electoral list with Yair Lapid has consolidated opposition support, positioning him as the presumptive leader of anti-incumbent forces and boosting his standing in recent polls. Netanyahu maintains a resilient Likud base amid coalition dynamics but faces headwinds from ongoing legal proceedings and post-October 2023 security critiques. Gadi Eizenkot's independent appeal as a former IDF chief of staff draws centrist and moderate right voters, sustaining his third-place positioning. Israel's proportional representation system and requirement for 61 Knesset seats to form a government mean coalition negotiations will ultimately decide the outcome, leaving room for shifts from additional mergers or late polling movements.","2026-05-25T20:45:46.485Z",{"id":16322,"ticker":16323,"slug":16323,"title":16324,"description":16325,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":16326,"creationDate":16327,"endDate":12,"image":16328,"icon":16328,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":16329,"volume":16330,"openInterest":16331,"createdAt":16332,"updatedAt":16333,"competitive":16334,"volume24hr":16335,"volume1wk":16336,"volume1mo":16337,"volume1yr":16338,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":16329,"commentCount":16339,"markets":16340,"series":16363,"tags":16374,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":14,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"seriesSlug":16366,"negRiskAugmented":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":16392},"34044","will-china-invade-taiwan-before-2027","Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTerritory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","2025-07-24T23:47:38.785111Z","2025-07-24T23:47:38.785108Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fchina-invades-taiwan-in-2025-CCSd9dX2mrea.jpg",979680.53133,23356220.824864004,5709428.965129,"2025-07-24T22:43:52.620767Z","2026-05-25T20:56:45.195358Z",0.846704024659408,335460.3321659998,2286299.098299,11036902.180288991,23356220.824863814,73,[16341],{"id":16342,"question":16324,"conditionId":16343,"slug":16323,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":12,"liquidity":16344,"startDate":16345,"image":16328,"icon":16328,"description":16325,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":16346,"volume":16347,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":16348,"createdAt":16349,"updatedAt":16350,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":16351,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":9,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":16352,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":16330,"liquidityNum":16329,"endDateIso":227,"startDateIso":16353,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":16335,"volume1wk":16336,"volume1mo":16337,"volume1yr":16338,"clobTokenIds":16354,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":16335,"volume1wkClob":16336,"volume1moClob":16337,"volume1yrClob":16338,"volumeClob":16330,"liquidityClob":16329,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":16355,"cyom":15,"competitive":16334,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":16356,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":47,"oneDayPriceChange":970,"oneWeekPriceChange":16359,"oneMonthPriceChange":16360,"lastTradePrice":16361,"bestBid":1057,"bestAsk":16361,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":16362,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":14,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"567621","0xd9fb1184af0064e5e34b129f5b79afa5a17b7e32f2953ab05efed82315fee6d4","979680.53133","2025-07-24T23:37:56.3Z","[\"0.0745\", \"0.9255\"]","23356220.824864004","0x6Bfd2c4c2DE57B4E65C74b376d40E5a2ba3abD01","2025-07-24T22:43:54.006955Z","2026-04-21T14:25:26.587457Z","0x157Ce2d672854c848c9b79C49a8Cc6cc89176a49","0xe72b35a076bbf5faadce08a003836f45214d4b8443a35cddbf30457d064a464c","2025-07-24","[\"94559586571241563470235664821564670251180951772614764383113614156422396181162\", \"90772332434487149264114862115632028379978765245278600275169585501290867536237\"]","2025-07-24T23:37:34Z",[16357],{"id":16358,"conditionId":16343,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":454,"startDate":81,"endDate":120},"303428",-0.012,-0.0335,0.075,"2025-07-24T23:37:05.021428Z",[16364],{"id":16365,"ticker":16366,"slug":16366,"title":16367,"seriesType":4357,"recurrence":6721,"image":9,"icon":9,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"createdAt":16368,"updatedAt":16369,"volume24hr":16370,"volume":16371,"liquidity":16372,"commentCount":16373,"requiresTranslation":15},"10171","china-invade-taiwan","China invade Taiwan","2025-07-24T22:44:22.501114Z","2026-05-25T20:47:53.400288Z",421321.7172129998,33778249.87843699,1427262.72232,737,[16375,16381,16388,16389,16390,16391],{"id":16376,"label":16377,"slug":16378,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":16379,"updatedAt":16380,"requiresTranslation":15},"101794","Foreign Policy","foreign-policy","2025-02-06T17:24:29.604203Z","2026-04-17T20:15:51.294685Z",{"id":16382,"label":16383,"slug":16384,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":16385,"createdAt":16386,"updatedAt":16387,"requiresTranslation":15},"303","China","china","2023-11-02 21:52:11.147+00","2023-11-02T21:52:11.155Z","2026-04-17T20:49:04.250426Z",{"id":77,"label":512,"slug":513,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":514,"updatedBy":515,"createdAt":516,"updatedAt":517,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":11093,"label":11094,"slug":11095,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":11096,"updatedAt":11097,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":506,"label":507,"slug":508,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":509,"updatedAt":510,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3501,"label":3502,"slug":3503,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":3504,"updatedAt":3505,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"context_description":16393,"context_requires_regen":15,"context_updated_at":16394},"US intelligence assessments, including the March 2026 ODNI Annual Threat Assessment, indicate that Chinese leaders lack both a fixed timeline for unification and any current plan to invade Taiwan in 2027, favoring instead sustained coercive actions such as air and maritime incursions, economic pressure, and political engagement. This view underpins trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% implied probability for no invasion by end-2026. Beijing has maintained normalized but non-escalatory military activity around Taiwan in recent months, including April and May drills focused on blockade scenarios, alongside limited cross-strait engagement with opposition parties ahead of future elections. Diplomatic efforts to isolate Taipei continue without triggering direct conflict. Late-breaking crises, shifts in US policy, or a Taiwanese independence declaration remain the primary factors that could alter these odds before resolution.","2026-05-25T20:30:47.144Z",{"id":16396,"ticker":16397,"slug":16397,"title":16398,"description":16399,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":16400,"creationDate":16401,"endDate":16402,"image":16403,"icon":16403,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":16404,"volume":16405,"openInterest":16406,"sortBy":1202,"createdAt":16407,"updatedAt":16408,"competitive":3787,"volume24hr":16409,"volume1wk":16410,"volume1mo":16411,"volume1yr":16411,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":16404,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":16412,"commentCount":12300,"markets":16413,"tags":16931,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":14,"automaticallyActive":14,"startTime":16967,"gmpChartMode":518,"negRiskAugmented":14,"countryName":16963,"electionType":16968,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":16969,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":16970},"485538","makerfield-by-election-winner","Makerfield by-election Winner","A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wigan.gov.uk\u002F).","2026-05-14T23:54:58.372284Z","2026-05-14T23:54:58.372245Z","2026-06-18T00:00:00Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fmakerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg",350013.47595,1026697.1844289993,841671.878318,"2026-05-14T18:33:01.576387Z","2026-05-25T20:56:55.533464Z",335106.32200399996,953695.7992169999,998807.5973469999,"0xcda197f971d1e57044a97bc5c5cd612b4d79873caa16649d9881d7a7d0414800",[16414,16439,16458,16478,16506,16520,16534,16548,16562,16576,16590,16604,16618,16632,16646,16660,16674,16688,16713,16733,16751,16764,16778,16791,16805,16819,16833,16847,16861,16875,16889,16903,16917],{"id":16415,"question":16416,"conditionId":16417,"slug":16418,"resolutionSource":9,"liquidity":16419,"startDate":16420,"image":16403,"icon":16403,"description":16421,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":4202,"volume":16422,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":16423,"updatedAt":16424,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":3802,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":16425,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":16412,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":16426,"liquidityNum":16427,"startDateIso":7569,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":16428,"volume1wk":16429,"volume1mo":16430,"volume1yr":16430,"clobTokenIds":16431,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":16428,"volume1wkClob":16429,"volume1moClob":16430,"volume1yrClob":16430,"volumeClob":16426,"liquidityClob":16427,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":16412,"negRiskRequestID":16432,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":16433,"cyom":15,"competitive":3787,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":16434,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":103,"oneDayPriceChange":125,"oneWeekPriceChange":238,"lastTradePrice":4219,"bestBid":4220,"bestAsk":4219,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":16437,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":1243,"feeSchedule":16438},"2262261","Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?","0x77954e0830eafc9539916c591f717fb0635f6483bc9949524cb46483cd9b9d39","will-andy-burnham-win-the-2026-makerfield-by-election","63333.1347","2026-05-14T23:50:23.414537Z","A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wigan.gov.uk\u002F).","113217.32149699994","2026-05-14T18:33:01.959992Z","2026-05-25T20:51:47.233773Z","Andy Burnham",113217.32149699994,63333.1347,11855.235255,81085.655106,113217.32149700001,"[\"90009899914557914380740818092814887697530845879971485578382561848013521916029\", 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Simon Finkelstein win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?","0xabe82a80c5f69b8a663c5491946a3c62ccd056f17372269a80be084eb766ee22","will-simon-finkelstein-win-the-2026-makerfield-by-election","19130.48329","2026-05-14T23:50:25.397895Z","6701.840166000002","2026-05-14T18:33:02.751567Z","2026-05-25T20:53:05.480083Z","Simon Finkelstein","0xcda197f971d1e57044a97bc5c5cd612b4d79873caa16649d9881d7a7d0414802",6701.840166000002,19130.48329,"[\"3100606000243391420480260535767898310472064341597007842820733481465690875812\", 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Maria Deery win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?","0x55a68ce06774f6d4e89c9204c912d3a4f83b30c723ef6ba0f05c1386d27765ee","will-maria-deery-win-the-2026-makerfield-by-election","19099.29277","2026-05-14T23:50:32.629275Z","6509.267166000001","2026-05-14T18:33:03.34629Z","2026-05-25T20:52:16.872781Z","Maria Deery","0xcda197f971d1e57044a97bc5c5cd612b4d79873caa16649d9881d7a7d0414804",6509.267166000001,19099.29277,"[\"25085457291097670973076988489626326060795046398762045513216039059830230017550\", 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Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?","0x85980a4d08e4cf7911782b632108d17b124171c1e1610cf7861e260c6daf3538","will-rebecca-shepherd-win-the-2026-makerfield-by-election","126613.95211","2026-05-14T23:50:34.436Z","[\"0.0535\", \"0.9465\"]","850171.0459909993","2026-05-14T18:33:03.938022Z","2026-05-25T20:54:04.309309Z","Rebecca Shepherd","0xcda197f971d1e57044a97bc5c5cd612b4d79873caa16649d9881d7a7d0414806",850171.0459909993,126613.95211,347812.80579099996,850171.0459909998,"[\"32605480710229459496814068809521535528500860730244041769252795555668751623653\", 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Candidate C win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?","0x18eb70a283488e830978d3866b3ec56fef840d4b7223a3609a883d9b6fad29fa","will-candidate-c-win-the-2026-makerfield-by-election","2026-05-14T23:50:42.638Z","2026-05-14T18:33:04.531045Z","2026-05-21T02:21:04.024395Z","0xcda197f971d1e57044a97bc5c5cd612b4d79873caa16649d9881d7a7d0414808","[\"98185688578607977412336220684604675923656175861011491369356668086795100153650\", 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Candidate E win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?","0xdf19a1d92f4ce15e56111403e564b58250d8fa734f82d6bab3004b6784bc6b3e","will-candidate-e-win-the-2026-makerfield-by-election","2026-05-14T23:50:52.522Z","2026-05-14T18:33:05.113834Z","2026-05-21T02:21:04.795238Z","0xcda197f971d1e57044a97bc5c5cd612b4d79873caa16649d9881d7a7d041480a","[\"72862588821633683987545281899947851320135455131182107905802687719317810678952\", 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Candidate G win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?","0xbfb4064a8a13c9293d3cf4ae1cd5ce8c4c1249234190f8aede4240bd5315112f","will-candidate-g-win-the-2026-makerfield-by-election","2026-05-14T23:51:00.041Z","2026-05-14T18:33:05.698Z","2026-05-21T02:21:05.612988Z","0xcda197f971d1e57044a97bc5c5cd612b4d79873caa16649d9881d7a7d041480c","[\"43051783575048641347877253533863855591407468478090434660221092241994029326963\", 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Candidate T win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?","0x1610e57e25cc453b4af6f1a9327c3ffe7cbee05ed6aa995cba0c5543a18c129a","will-candidate-t-win-the-2026-makerfield-by-election","2026-05-14T23:52:15.542Z","2026-05-14T18:33:09.581812Z","2026-05-21T02:21:10.35604Z","0xcda197f971d1e57044a97bc5c5cd612b4d79873caa16649d9881d7a7d0414819","[\"34359269584082180955599808494092118445910328418802441704394734747986260559168\", 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Candidate V win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?","0x0ce792447f20254ddfa90a946736ad1b8f045b31a193d5b63e12ac6459af6c67","will-candidate-v-win-the-2026-makerfield-by-election","2026-05-14T23:52:22.436Z","2026-05-14T18:33:10.211553Z","2026-05-21T02:21:11.039032Z","0xcda197f971d1e57044a97bc5c5cd612b4d79873caa16649d9881d7a7d041481b","[\"53638815835481239322739053437738950281025066973423488788795453302556565280525\", 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Candidate X win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?","0x439d2565705dd55fa2c4c992837683262d3879044145824a335011c936993e15","will-candidate-x-win-the-2026-makerfield-by-election","2026-05-14T23:52:29.621Z","2026-05-14T18:33:10.815337Z","2026-05-21T02:21:11.743309Z","0xcda197f971d1e57044a97bc5c5cd612b4d79873caa16649d9881d7a7d041481d","[\"26672082887803581101202704482138336357991824183636832727287750753716447707384\", 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Candidate Z win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?","0xa0e81a4e7095dd015889c40a3cae383c5f3d01fba30385641e4d943d8412425d","will-candidate-z-win-the-2026-makerfield-by-election","2026-05-14T23:52:38.979Z","2026-05-14T18:33:11.41749Z","2026-05-21T02:21:12.421604Z","0xcda197f971d1e57044a97bc5c5cd612b4d79873caa16649d9881d7a7d041481f","[\"87071495535815726630942922110232523796323751817674213305427714778353241874264\", 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20:16:30.79+00","2023-12-13T20:16:30.802Z","2026-04-24T16:00:06.360895Z",{"id":8807,"label":8808,"slug":8809,"createdAt":8810,"updatedAt":8811,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3481,"label":3482,"slug":3483,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":3484,"updatedBy":515,"createdAt":3485,"updatedAt":3486,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":16956,"label":16957,"slug":16958,"createdAt":16959,"updatedAt":16960,"requiresTranslation":15},"101319","Starmer","starmer","2024-11-25T18:49:24.982919Z","2026-04-17T20:32:49.912398Z",{"id":16962,"label":16963,"slug":16964,"createdAt":16965,"updatedAt":16966,"requiresTranslation":15},"104999","Makerfield","makerfield","2026-05-19T16:42:24.999271Z","2026-05-19T16:45:01.896437Z","2026-06-18T23:59:00Z","By-Election","2026-05-14T23:41:46.685134Z",{"context_description":16971,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":16972},"Andy Burnham's strong positioning as Labour's candidate stems from his established profile as Greater Manchester mayor and the party's decision to clear a path for him following Josh Simons's May 2026 resignation, which was explicitly intended to enable a leadership challenge amid internal party tensions. The by-election on 18 June 2026 has seen Burnham launch a campaign focused on political reform and local priorities, with recent Survation polling showing him ahead though the margin remains narrow against Reform UK's Robert Kenyon, a local councillor who previously placed second in the constituency. Minor-party candidates including those from Restore Britain and other groups register negligible support, consistent with historical patterns in UK by-elections where the two main contenders dominate trader attention ahead of nominations closing on 26 May.","2026-05-25T20:46:19.509Z",{"id":16974,"ticker":16975,"slug":16975,"title":16976,"description":16977,"resolutionSource":3777,"startDate":16978,"creationDate":16979,"endDate":16980,"image":3781,"icon":3781,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":16981,"volume":16982,"openInterest":16983,"createdAt":16984,"updatedAt":16985,"competitive":12373,"volume24hr":16986,"volume1wk":16987,"volume1mo":16987,"volume1yr":16987,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":16981,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":16988,"commentCount":56,"markets":16989,"series":17518,"tags":17520,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":14,"automaticallyActive":14,"startTime":3780,"seriesSlug":4355,"negRiskAugmented":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":17525,"requiresTranslation":15},"515567","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-26-june-2","Elon Musk # tweets May 26 - June 2, 2026?","This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 26 12:00 PM ET to June 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https:\u002F\u002Fx.com\u002Felonmusk\u002Fstatus\u002F1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https:\u002F\u002Fxtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution 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Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?","0x6f5c367b80dd7183a074a3b64ac7bb2e9c565d1cffa8d2b24ea4400ab218d62a","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-26-june-2-0-19","22030.37085","2026-05-23T04:10:11.991966Z","70910.993","2026-05-23T04:00:01.843402Z","2026-05-25T20:53:16.576392Z",70910.993,22030.37085,"2026-06-02",66530,"2026-05-26 16:00:00+00","[\"4786399037553267079452470370916303994259656682578367053182266990297646837918\", 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Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?","0x0d0f731c594c4dc970ff7b52e2cad7a96fb5f78d0840d0424cfde0f0babc079a","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-26-june-2-480-499","40232.80872","2026-05-23T04:11:26.849949Z","13017.802369000008","2026-05-23T04:00:05.22427Z","2026-05-25T20:53:38.374498Z","0x333c2d7b98f6a46bb78225ef6723040c06ea3d94fc38afd260dbdea90e740218",13017.802369000008,40232.80872,3544.367369,13017.802368999997,"[\"107022624986050034572839029967518224468946916981612799106112533089439857861312\", 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Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?","0x27de2353e5168fd6298edb42f14dfc08352458667e93af2cc20491795b3426c1","elon-musk-of-tweets-may-26-june-2-500plus","9497.13922","2026-05-23T04:11:34.008794Z","88418.455448","2026-05-23T04:00:05.588319Z","2026-05-25T20:52:06.421714Z","0x333c2d7b98f6a46bb78225ef6723040c06ea3d94fc38afd260dbdea90e740219",88418.455448,9497.13922,12134.88333,"[\"80466623083931268626570932074872318365270615320482702178152258879996331811739\", 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leader end of 2026?","This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","2026-03-01T00:28:20.72049Z","2026-03-01T00:28:20.720382Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fkhamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",1813967.17116,10406213.145179005,617061.6235539999,"2026-02-28T21:23:55.4004Z","2026-05-25T20:56:45.607394Z",0.9642678495018954,291003.12415,1466639.496424,3467942.4227249995,10169352.716031,"0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec000",116,[17547,17572,17594,17618,17648,17670,17695,17716,17737,17760,17781,17803,17824,17846,17867,17888,17910,17931,17953,17974,17995,18017,18039,18052,18068,18092,18110,18134,18157,18179,18201,18223,18245,18272,18286,18300,18314,18328,18342,18356,18370,18384,18398,18412,18426,18440,18454,18468,18482,18496,18510,18524,18538,18552,18566,18580,18594,18608,18622,18636,18650,18664,18678,18692,18706,18720,18734,18748,18762,18776,18790,18804,18818,18832,18846,18860,18874,18888,18902,18916,18930,18944,18958,18972,18986,19000,19014,19028,19042,19056,19070,19084,19098,19112,19126,19140,19154,19168,19182,19196,19210,19224,19238,19252,19266,19280,19294,19308,19322,19336,19350,19364,19378,19392,19406,19420,19434,19448,19462,19476,19490,19504,19518],{"id":17548,"question":17549,"conditionId":17550,"slug":17551,"endDate":12,"liquidity":17552,"startDate":17553,"image":17533,"icon":17533,"description":17530,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":7581,"volume":17554,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":17555,"updatedAt":17556,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":3802,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":17557,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":17544,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":17558,"liquidityNum":17559,"endDateIso":227,"startDateIso":17560,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":17561,"volume1wk":17562,"volume1mo":17563,"volume1yr":17564,"clobTokenIds":17565,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":17561,"volume1wkClob":17562,"volume1moClob":17563,"volume1yrClob":17564,"volumeClob":17558,"liquidityClob":17559,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":17544,"negRiskRequestID":17566,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":17567,"cyom":15,"competitive":7594,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":17568,"rewardsMinSize":720,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":1426,"oneDayPriceChange":368,"oneWeekPriceChange":1426,"oneMonthPriceChange":60,"lastTradePrice":791,"bestBid":791,"bestAsk":1579,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":17571,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1469734","Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?","0x6397f084bcee3390e92b0a4f8d0f1fa23ddabad1668c4a6783f5643564f646d6","will-there-be-no-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","74513.547","2026-03-01T00:15:11.057586Z","573759.0012029991","2026-02-28T21:23:56.245665Z","2026-05-25T20:49:27.73837Z","No Head of State",573759.0012029991,74513.547,"2026-03-01",15406.46002,75583.97354100001,199329.72432500013,573759.0012029998,"[\"46737595588538785221040143451401435150985932684129375912985868128718669274118\", 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Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0xae6d228c3a89c04f5d48b130c86416b146ee3fdc19c6f201603d9c9682dca3ea","will-muhammad-mirbaqiri-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","54365.49013","2026-03-01T00:15:14.04324Z","301530.57608100015","2026-02-28T21:23:56.797106Z","2026-05-25T20:53:32.649458Z","Muhammad Mirbaqiri","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec001",301530.57608100015,54365.49013,466.33,9763.216833,20899.885833,301530.5760809999,"[\"24220383984382962815005294667673468020723126381870974624839639558170516961584\", 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Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x1c3443745a19b5da3775711dae0bc72056c9a816ccb1c8f6748e304608bd9762","will-sadegh-larijani-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","52096.22808","2026-03-01T00:15:16.050062Z","[\"0.004\", \"0.996\"]","225070.54362499993","2026-02-28T21:23:57.349065Z","2026-05-25T20:53:43.693852Z","Sadegh Larijani","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec002",225070.54362499993,52096.22808,14596.19,29463.862,44779.922166,225070.5436249999,"[\"80038948246057435452897416216173694344062585728123332884583478660265203019538\", 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Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x25fb28382075f418a944a781a9f8840e2f541152eea0d9798d1cabfa1466adbb","will-mojtaba-khamenei-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","83079.9589","2026-03-01T00:15:27.113703Z","2331583.636579004","2026-02-28T21:23:57.911179Z","2026-05-25T20:49:14.844792Z","Mojtaba Khamenei","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec003",2331583.636579004,83079.9589,8996.885555,91528.47011300002,663127.7473039995,2331583.6365790013,"[\"111988618077786263362718284278451225707405623288593888751575373086664059387290\", 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Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0xe19caac25967e1c4b09254ebe6f152dde51fe9468cf1def1deb3c22089083adf","will-hassan-khomeini-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","50936.49078","2026-03-01T00:15:29.232417Z","896508.3752359989","2026-02-28T21:23:58.676597Z","2026-05-25T20:50:04.387793Z","Hassan Khomeini","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec004",896508.3752359989,50936.49078,14803.66422,76983.26962199999,151629.523252,896508.3752359999,"[\"94891603619000614838396398392241438239423861380143937686380744345512277527835\", 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Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0xe6eb21883f57c3047cf7be1d7cff4554fbb82067e374bd07c53242170f57851f","will-reza-pahlavi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","112751.8815","2026-03-01T00:15:33.171116Z","232543.2457739999","2026-02-28T21:23:59.226978Z","2026-05-25T20:48:53.287463Z","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec005",232543.2457739999,112751.8815,1778.598335,20483.338359999998,70709.51616900011,232543.24577399975,"[\"59405816357054997632711068734450950071946240481171324713469217993570263323448\", 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Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x7d9928e23aefb2209696048829b614f49e387d5a77327aa887d0724952fd1156","will-hassan-shariatmadari-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","54903.00974","2026-03-01T00:15:48.308561Z","188748.45095699988","2026-02-28T21:23:59.795015Z","2026-05-25T20:55:11.582505Z","Hassan Shariatmadari","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec006",188748.45095699988,54903.00974,175.082,7546.336332999999,31701.79233300001,"[\"98467866849121962679941492304871725691205424493767395840761628615935723998068\", 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Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x370c146544d0fb7db1d77767473c8a6fbdf08b9914c827712d49449b0eb7f4aa","will-maryam-rajavi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","60178.21098","2026-03-01T00:15:49.295639Z","401700.1979530004","2026-02-28T21:24:00.373354Z","2026-05-25T20:53:04.54593Z","Maryam Rajavi","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec007",401700.1979530004,60178.21098,14723.72,76914.996264,140852.025977,401700.19795299997,"[\"29840218012450730421701561987120347460939513970096057739135420319161086074616\", 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Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x17a0a4c8d29c95bf6f3e3576fc603faf29ae681a0924719cf27a89ec46efa185","will-massoud-rajavi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","54281.05421","2026-03-01T00:15:54.284543Z","[\"0.005\", \"0.995\"]","159017.108202","2026-02-28T21:24:00.955745Z","2026-05-25T20:54:23.133182Z","Massoud Rajavi","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec008",159017.108202,54281.05421,14487.98,77463.226666,131513.312666,"[\"56971265181777963578812042298810798590085894462476928769356591220479741711867\", 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Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x821f357da390a32347e4df0c3fb0aa4a8eadf4af72730c8dc7a7f1ab58798a02","will-seyed-hossein-mousavian-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","53175.33821","2026-03-01T00:16:00.352563Z","83465.145216","2026-02-28T21:24:01.519109Z","2026-05-25T20:49:58.765378Z","Seyed Hossein Mousavian","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec009",83465.145216,53175.33821,1353,29537.525999999998,47681.780999999995,"[\"1749783288752028807000057037501981427623647539189525525672407220986693234010\", 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Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x68617ef6b6488a6a4753c9d57604764831a9448fb8aa7dee205bb2311e3b949d","will-reza-pirzadeh-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","55903.19845","2026-03-01T00:16:05.366343Z","55956.493034999985","2026-02-28T21:24:02.100563Z","2026-05-25T20:54:26.216766Z","Reza Pirzadeh","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec00a",55956.493034999985,55903.19845,2115.046,3946.319,24051.377,55956.493035000014,"[\"104614758662420747313073035120189350685905006856660091274916864977263789265748\", 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Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0xb937d98fe645987a6ccd495928ffbf753537b6c8ef4214bbbf4ee4dd32cec96f","will-navid-shomali-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","59493.34935","2026-03-01T00:16:11.379328Z","90450.96611899998","2026-02-28T21:24:02.712811Z","2026-05-25T20:50:21.275821Z","Navid Shomali","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec00b",90450.96611899998,59493.34935,329.9,826.959089,33863.301634,"[\"46373213137293788112181228002429040064369414686676918362214297114372925163034\", 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Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x2883a5f83ea4b394d1b0acae4179f4ed4cb35111c9b996bb5099927bb846e2ea","will-mustafa-hijri-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","51902.94019","2026-03-01T00:16:19.422256Z","41314.241275","2026-02-28T21:24:03.301222Z","2026-05-25T20:54:32.789899Z","Mustafa Hijri","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec00c",41314.241275,51902.94019,133,7886.876,18392.702999999998,41314.24127500001,"[\"8691554581189050520609716782476894555656560789255516419648101944114004629454\", 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Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x73d9b98f619d738cca001cfde25654d409a132f0eb565ae98972b62b123a4da0","will-ali-motahari-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","51593.26713","2026-03-01T00:16:26.537743Z","105372.793149","2026-02-28T21:24:03.857966Z","2026-05-25T20:50:10.661118Z","Ali Motahari","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec00d",105372.793149,51593.26713,1791,18261.7475,51775.6945,"[\"103560181776690453897548183075617798232415038848160877980735257504087333467563\", 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Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0xb10aa376c96281d85f8d93e69107bb37aedb1bc2b953e24718836aee1bb64f3f","will-masoud-pezeshkian-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","51846.95764","2026-03-01T00:16:54.486664Z","491660.94811000023","2026-02-28T21:24:06.131856Z","2026-05-25T20:53:36.853557Z","Masoud Pezeshkian","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec011",491660.94811000023,51846.95764,397.5,153296.42335700002,232365.694341,491660.9481100001,"[\"28152633830811377282265546570547229637532772761293435321097240605763179025584\", 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Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x6ab0ce92e138eec9776d055e052140ff284f885fb8a54c74a944316e4a2e4d80","will-saeed-jalili-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","49229.58018","2026-03-01T00:17:02.443967Z","98883.314491","2026-02-28T21:24:06.675759Z","2026-05-25T20:49:18.330027Z","Saeed Jalili","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec012",98883.314491,49229.58018,305.40999999999997,13459.924,47174.038499999995,"[\"40839296607100054992696453096649835441756766770237220555851470774948085973723\", 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Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0xa62f1bf829a121000d61acafed2689cdaa1488253e420214112103dcffab2fde","will-hassan-rouhani-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","52545.22906","2026-03-01T00:17:08.671164Z","437738.856094","2026-02-28T21:24:07.303908Z","2026-05-25T20:55:46.524659Z","Hassan Rouhani","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec013",437738.856094,52545.22906,14672.9,77089.29191399999,154785.81811,"[\"104793441501237301362687704882442614671827167665311941358943027509381456411382\", 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Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0xb174c3e769e52b51681b154172468f89c685b9fe24c4b0ef3ef5f8c3b511c3a0","will-mahmoud-ahmadinejad-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","56091.0673","2026-03-01T00:17:16.533601Z","232092.92319999996","2026-02-28T21:24:07.876617Z","2026-05-25T20:52:51.489897Z","Mahmoud Ahmadinejad","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec014",232092.92319999996,56091.0673,15748.98,83134.355804,177919.694799,232092.92320000002,"[\"89974685609098808755854367630091386804795305974823550976721901844367211884750\", 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Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x4266ab921148974f104cbadd099e13bca989441bf58acfd2a08fc6cc7440e1a1","will-mohammad-khatami-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","55318.53613","2026-03-01T00:17:22.549712Z","503868.94904500054","2026-02-28T21:24:08.459559Z","2026-05-25T20:53:10.717626Z","Mohammad Khatami","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec015",503868.94904500054,55318.53613,14531,49740.4125,107287.962333,503868.9490449999,"[\"109964530739127391640133334841538832910538135659154802798604810257875886815259\", 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Other be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x27a3400808c45bdd8f6782d393987a2fbf00b8ccddf627b1f542d8244d4137a5","will-other-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026-477","2026-03-01T00:17:28.652727Z","2026-02-28T21:24:09.040369Z","2026-04-17T22:16:34.044431Z","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec016","[\"48698382391650703574559280912890218862775331407957917109013415112891895865760\", 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Mohammad Pakpour be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x6cd58ce2bd63ed6773d2989bc5f8ae760ad1b2f7dfbafc6b5dc5b1f8551c49ae","will-mohammad-pakpour-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026-144","2026-03-01T00:17:34.680002Z","2026-02-28T21:24:09.589472Z","2026-04-17T22:16:34.011284Z","2026-03-05 03:18:53+00","Mohammad Pakpour","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec017","2026-03-05T03:18:53Z","[\"28772282430330367928237705922909547839835917715331151394892497900972676462720\", 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Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0xa1b6ebba4e86fe9bfb2c206dba71be111d2e1047d7b74125eb223c1b3da7ebd6","will-alireza-arafi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","69280.84313","2026-03-01T00:17:39.638Z","[\"0.02\", \"0.98\"]","1091341.131964001","2026-02-28T21:24:10.137799Z","2026-05-25T20:55:40.794807Z","Alireza Arafi","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec018",1091341.131964001,69280.84313,74499.956411,224259.73437499997,302366.775268,1091341.1319639997,"[\"15594570557513531332355721053640294921906723255866000443375970665853038805455\", 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Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0xa6093b047455f139b9aead883060929fb780f09eb904b09eeff01bb48d568222","will-ali-larijani-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","2026-03-01T00:17:48.439Z","236860.42914799994","2026-02-28T21:24:10.896386Z","2026-04-17T22:16:33.935239Z","2026-03-18 00:41:09+00","Ali Larijani","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec019","2026-03-18T00:41:09Z",236860.42914799994,"[\"110615792322494295318530321697481370264312915612456515571711577157981418185935\", 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Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x504088e48d1e39815d24709930eda874ad3b69a1ed2b1cd2e3f480981410f71c","will-abbas-araghchi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","65156.11046","2026-03-01T00:17:56.498Z","[\"0.034\", \"0.966\"]","295737.03692700004","2026-02-28T21:24:11.441071Z","2026-05-25T20:53:31.250859Z","Abbas Araghchi","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec01a",295737.03692700004,65156.11046,15752.197973000002,73825.86078399996,184823.93809000004,295737.0369270001,"[\"32471272226653114342524958169714392759250636898783637114937850399512347168929\", 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Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x9bc5b4e8a866be23195ae675ec7c3ca2e4fece72c80fffe82a7d69726f9dfc61","will-ahmad-vahidi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","60164.46105","2026-03-01T00:18:05.331Z","354855.1484430005","2026-02-28T21:24:11.994638Z","2026-05-25T20:53:26.172609Z","Ahmad Vahidi","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec01b",354855.1484430005,60164.46105,566.005,48865.972444,149413.371747,354855.1484429999,"[\"99905031937106043004009334316168691842792046453114591553414680055448222496195\", 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Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0xf6270788587ee0a37c2e56635bdeb7df06d54e32b5e0b0c932369ed6f2e948b0","will-mohsen-araki-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","57612.40367","2026-03-01T00:18:12.459Z","84842.37790499999","2026-02-28T21:24:12.596042Z","2026-05-25T20:55:10.682538Z","Mohsen Araki","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec01c",84842.37790499999,57612.40367,8477.047,17297.127,49022.25399999999,84842.377905,"[\"98133824944789178924459163812670671760087066026910035356833855072816773720426\", 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Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0xba797b6b0de81c3be8abf2492bde5fd033c179063447681ecfefe80b1956db18","will-nasir-hosseini-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","55476.87569","2026-03-01T00:18:19.274Z","60691.933056999995","2026-02-28T21:24:13.156488Z","2026-05-25T20:48:48.252055Z","Nasir Hosseini","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec01d",60691.933056999995,55476.87569,648,21396.245,43262.111999999994,60691.933057,"[\"70312008280418347600283446702951443475100958841154906023028886501765401786137\", 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Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0xfa0834c8af9d40d1b13db4f616a624d64cf499c2903f9e884c25e651eedb1820","will-ahmad-hosseini-khorasani-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","59430.00646","2026-03-01T00:18:26.28Z","109026.697115","2026-02-28T21:24:13.711454Z","2026-05-25T20:49:06.278508Z","Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec01e",109026.697115,59430.00646,45678.041000000005,65356.228,81871.613,109026.69711500002,"[\"30482484322461660291478461797111409809613857631053480584753766946651916188092\", 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Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x01110879441e6376a69dc318c4c8f9cbb4f6eef394d3563b6925ce17db809404","will-ali-asghar-hejazi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","58434.77545","2026-03-01T00:18:33.179Z","126841.73011599995","2026-02-28T21:24:14.260222Z","2026-05-25T20:51:10.11142Z","Ali Asghar Hejazi","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec01f",126841.73011599995,58434.77545,5829,32754.684999999998,48435.124663,126841.73011599999,"[\"41213660854222149363208117263028201604443131824203172593123902102133093233120\", 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Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x0df7e873042bebb09fbe24562069f28670c6b9366cab653fe15e030173cbc18c","will-mohammad-bagher-ghalibaf-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","62008.17199","2026-03-01T00:18:43.551Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-mohammad-bagher-ghalibaf-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026-suShikC21YT8.jpg","243033.30594300028","2026-02-28T21:24:14.839338Z","2026-05-25T20:53:37.761067Z","Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec020",243033.30594300028,62008.17199,945.310636,11823.209925000005,65943.19421499991,243033.30594299993,"[\"106014759005525478256407073249057206940911784418588272593122139207777082535894\", 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cy be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x86129a213367f2e3da1d92fa1556165c59fb8a553143f6fd38e74dc3fa79d31b","will-cy-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","2026-03-01T00:29:21.534741Z","2026-02-28T21:25:04.900753Z","2026-04-17T22:18:07.19751Z","cy","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec079","[\"112666300181811741823137440783797152006303787579941833205731832804035584297901\", \"73931015869004917076959206897222549436979834320741691975853972925523841855058\"]","0x09d5deaf43e721cdd3aabacc54995f963d9407792198c4f7309488cd605337bf","2026-03-01T00:27:59Z","2026-03-01T00:12:26.663055Z",{"id":19519,"question":19520,"conditionId":19521,"slug":19522,"endDate":12,"liquidity":44,"startDate":19523,"image":17533,"icon":17533,"description":17530,"outcomes":35,"volume":44,"active":15,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":19524,"updatedAt":19525,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":3802,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":19526,"groupItemThreshold":3037,"questionID":19527,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":56,"liquidityNum":56,"endDateIso":227,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":56,"volume1wk":56,"volume1mo":56,"volume1yr":56,"clobTokenIds":19528,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrAmm":56,"volume1wkAmm":56,"volume1moAmm":56,"volume1yrAmm":56,"volume24hrClob":56,"volume1wkClob":56,"volume1moClob":56,"volume1yrClob":56,"volumeAmm":56,"volumeClob":56,"liquidityAmm":56,"liquidityClob":56,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":17544,"negRiskRequestID":19529,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":19530,"cyom":15,"competitive":56,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":454,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":449,"oneDayPriceChange":56,"oneHourPriceChange":56,"oneWeekPriceChange":56,"oneMonthPriceChange":56,"oneYearPriceChange":56,"lastTradePrice":56,"bestBid":56,"bestAsk":449,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":14,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":19531,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1469856","Will cz be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x5b20e098f4afa2757eeb80be45d2a8f88124905174a3f149ddd059788dee6f01","will-cz-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","2026-03-01T00:29:27.490456Z","2026-02-28T21:25:05.451679Z","2026-04-17T22:18:07.227194Z","cz","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec07a","[\"101017077391628103755140688819228979220920362806851815291168494522236769565304\", \"66722793043900430760485135247067430607203115084716848846405522343008408088333\"]","0x70a26abbd770b2d6bb3d2054d8d45ca289028c6e1d1c83e28a034c67fa8d08f7","2026-03-01T00:28:05Z","2026-03-01T00:12:26.664294Z",[19533,19534,19535,19536,19537,19538,19539],{"id":12043,"label":12044,"slug":12045,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":12046,"updatedBy":466,"createdAt":12047,"updatedAt":12048,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":462,"label":463,"slug":464,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":465,"updatedBy":466,"createdAt":467,"updatedAt":468,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":11093,"label":11094,"slug":11095,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":11096,"updatedAt":11097,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":506,"label":507,"slug":508,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":509,"updatedAt":510,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":77,"label":512,"slug":513,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":514,"updatedBy":515,"createdAt":516,"updatedAt":517,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":12031,"label":12032,"slug":12033,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":12034,"updatedAt":12035,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":19540,"label":19541,"slug":19542,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":19543,"updatedAt":19544,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"103796","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100","rewards-50-4pt5-100","2026-02-17T21:38:43.366956Z","2026-04-17T17:19:39.142744Z","2026-03-01T00:10:55.0168Z",{"context_description":19547,"context_requires_regen":15,"context_updated_at":19548},"Mojtaba Khamenei holds a commanding lead in trader pricing because the Assembly of Experts selected him as Supreme Leader in March 2026 following the February assassination of his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, during U.S.-Israeli strikes. This rapid internal consolidation by the clerical body and alignment with Revolutionary Guard elements has entrenched his position, making continuity through the end of 2026 the dominant scenario. Reza Pahlavi and other listed figures remain at single-digit odds due to lack of institutional support inside Iran, while remaining clerics such as Abbas Araghchi and Alireza Arafi trail because the succession process has already concluded in Mojtaba’s favor. Any shift would require major regime upheaval or health-related developments not yet evident in official actions.","2026-05-25T20:31:04.865Z",{"id":19550,"ticker":19551,"slug":19551,"title":19552,"description":19553,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":19554,"creationDate":19555,"endDate":12,"image":19556,"icon":19556,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":14,"restricted":14,"liquidity":19557,"volume":19558,"openInterest":19559,"createdAt":19560,"updatedAt":19561,"competitive":423,"volume24hr":19562,"volume1wk":19563,"volume1mo":19564,"volume1yr":19565,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":19557,"negRisk":15,"commentCount":19566,"markets":19567,"tags":19705,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"gmpChartMode":518,"negRiskAugmented":15,"featuredOrder":19720,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":19721},"90177","will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027","Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","2025-11-25T18:07:25.773403Z","2025-11-25T18:07:25.7734Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Falien+head.jpeg",1453972.12657,43960677.09572165,10386545.365559,"2025-11-25T15:10:29.226708Z","2026-05-25T20:56:55.668423Z",289730.73946,3151691.4632020006,14609083.586916996,40080655.58207029,1406,[19568,19593,19612,19630,19657,19682],{"id":19569,"question":19570,"conditionId":19571,"slug":19572,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":12,"liquidity":19573,"startDate":19574,"image":19556,"icon":19556,"description":19553,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":408,"volume":19575,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":19576,"updatedAt":19577,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":222,"groupItemThreshold":55,"questionID":19578,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":19579,"liquidityNum":19580,"endDateIso":227,"startDateIso":19581,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":19582,"volume1wk":19583,"volume1mo":19584,"volume1yr":19585,"clobTokenIds":19586,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":19582,"volume1wkClob":19583,"volume1moClob":19584,"volume1yrClob":19585,"volumeClob":19579,"liquidityClob":19580,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":19587,"cyom":15,"competitive":423,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":19588,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":103,"oneWeekPriceChange":791,"oneMonthPriceChange":14899,"lastTradePrice":424,"bestBid":239,"bestAsk":424,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":19591,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":1243,"feeSchedule":19592},"703257","Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?","0x747dc809fb79e1b05be09c42d6179459a58de2ef3e40f02484a4e1260f741f75","will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027-789-924-249","588059.3972","2025-11-25T18:05:19.721Z","30299657.093901686","2025-11-25T15:10:30.228568Z","2026-05-25T20:49:18.413199Z","0x89fa09debbe698fbbeaad80dbd8f5fed352b8d9ee4769412530771dbdc34ea27",30299657.093901686,588059.3972,"2025-11-25",45216.32970000002,679282.4964210012,5162236.587560992,30299657.093903273,"[\"107505882767731489358349912513945399560393482969656700824895970500493757150417\", \"7305630249804085635496399869905769372294302716159034447326228509068694952392\"]","2025-11-25T18:04:57Z",[19589],{"id":19590,"conditionId":19571,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":12428,"startDate":81,"endDate":120},"303397","2025-11-25T18:01:11.430398Z",{"exponent":449,"rate":1245,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1246},{"id":19594,"question":19595,"conditionId":19596,"slug":19597,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":12,"startDate":19598,"image":19556,"icon":19556,"description":19599,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":19600,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":19601,"updatedAt":1255,"closedTime":19602,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":19603,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":19604,"umaEndDate":19605,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":19606,"endDateIso":227,"startDateIso":19607,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":19608,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":19606,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":19609,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":454,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":19610,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":1243,"feeSchedule":19611},"1654506","Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?","0x1f4b7a59e09d34209391c549db18b2c5c7be842e70a5c5fb30e2cdbb9d68c929","will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-by-march-31","2026-03-19T20:20:44.650651Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","1941378.0626180035","2026-03-19T20:17:17.475276Z","2026-04-01 07:28:45+00","March 31","0x8deb5f50e71bc03fc3ede4cabf52f3de542f34e8df6e73a1a926af6c70a1f415","2026-04-01T07:28:45Z",1941378.0626180035,"2026-03-19","[\"104592249296929730460568602412541090396383082867742680952022395642006023581899\", \"106528164517709838250890607296325850318623164807558046766817407318232281502756\"]","2026-03-19T20:19:39Z","2026-03-19T20:18:24.855176Z",{"exponent":449,"rate":1245,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1246},{"id":19613,"question":19614,"conditionId":19615,"slug":19616,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":70,"startDate":19617,"image":19556,"icon":19556,"description":19618,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":19619,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":19620,"updatedAt":19621,"closedTime":19622,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":76,"groupItemThreshold":178,"questionID":19623,"umaEndDate":19624,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":19625,"endDateIso":81,"startDateIso":12726,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":19626,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":19625,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":19627,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneWeekPriceChange":6415,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":19628,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":1243,"feeSchedule":19629},"2009849","Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?","0x63f59b5dbf9407dbae6138f2abb5d99fcdcf5d1f8978ffd882b07c83c97eb9ae","will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-by-april-30","2026-04-17T23:40:35.839745Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","1938643.4510350027","2026-04-17T23:36:57.590964Z","2026-05-02T05:50:29.077992Z","2026-05-01 06:55:52+00","0x03a6a856cb5579e2190265795220ed06dc0b820775018e18b37ceb5661bf9d31","2026-05-01T06:55:52Z",1938643.4510350027,"[\"104268876692392276927761136131863837938711624325349351079707071243090842122607\", \"95952948466485448096619802212707686917250466639517343892457899612643786080728\"]","2026-04-17T23:39:32Z","2026-04-17T23:38:17.163279Z",{"exponent":449,"rate":1245,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1246},{"id":19631,"question":19632,"conditionId":19633,"slug":19634,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1087,"liquidity":19635,"startDate":19636,"image":19556,"icon":19556,"description":19637,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":2353,"volume":19638,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":19639,"updatedAt":19640,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":141,"groupItemThreshold":255,"questionID":19641,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":19642,"liquidityNum":19643,"endDateIso":1097,"startDateIso":19644,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":19645,"volume1wk":19646,"volume1mo":19647,"volume1yr":19648,"clobTokenIds":19649,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":19645,"volume1wkClob":19646,"volume1moClob":19647,"volume1yrClob":19648,"volumeClob":19642,"liquidityClob":19643,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":19650,"cyom":15,"competitive":2368,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":19651,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":680,"oneDayPriceChange":9207,"oneHourPriceChange":9207,"oneWeekPriceChange":9236,"oneMonthPriceChange":19654,"lastTradePrice":2372,"bestBid":2371,"bestAsk":2372,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":19655,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":1243,"feeSchedule":19656},"2034723","Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?","0xa7962b12241616d83dcb8c70fc33aa0f48b1ec46a3ad6a23db21d3885dedc4cb","will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-by-june-30-333","142112.05096","2026-04-20T16:14:03.832613Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","2359822.9607420024","2026-04-20T16:07:09.239574Z","2026-05-25T20:51:35.887506Z","0x561d78ddb96daf3d3623ddd13d8dddcfb88e8a5ad6c9323fb8fca531a93de713",2359822.9607420024,142112.05096,"2026-04-20",100881.70524599992,706795.1605480008,2237801.498753001,2359822.9607420005,"[\"46812900989504880098357062882629805283165626694938174242352493727380998246351\", \"79271461689096588046442244003517649721120722929791668509110271864004020573472\"]","2026-04-20T16:13:00Z",[19652],{"id":19653,"conditionId":19633,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":12246,"startDate":158,"endDate":120},"277462",-0.039,"2026-04-20T16:11:24.536945Z",{"exponent":449,"rate":1245,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1246},{"id":19658,"question":19659,"conditionId":19660,"slug":19661,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":19662,"liquidity":19663,"startDate":19664,"image":19556,"icon":19556,"description":19665,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":17179,"volume":19666,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":19667,"updatedAt":19668,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":19669,"groupItemThreshold":277,"questionID":19670,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":19671,"liquidityNum":19672,"endDateIso":19673,"startDateIso":19644,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":19674,"volume1wk":19675,"volume1mo":19676,"volume1yr":19677,"clobTokenIds":19678,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":19674,"volume1wkClob":19675,"volume1moClob":19676,"volume1yrClob":19677,"volumeClob":19671,"liquidityClob":19672,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":19650,"cyom":15,"competitive":17191,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":103,"oneMonthPriceChange":19679,"lastTradePrice":159,"bestBid":636,"bestAsk":159,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":19680,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":1243,"feeSchedule":19681},"2034729","Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?","0xace3c72c24fccb6731433483ece41c780432d84850edccd5a6bf3147ccea62a9","will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-by-september-30-396","2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","95584.0334","2026-04-20T16:14:03.578497Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","852653.1333379982","2026-04-20T16:07:57.06702Z","2026-05-25T20:48:53.683525Z","September 30","0xe6de339d4576ad9c66570ddb4c5ab0e0d087961c42cc8d1b9343d46ad5205683",852653.1333379982,95584.0334,"2026-09-30",13541.703764,159575.345405,794324.9784550006,852653.1333380012,"[\"105069795193894788513793544317232573603113601482800430284884125529472460504203\", \"36187795093008220558219256261729424135850137511571634448544248306719357578130\"]",-0.06,"2026-04-20T16:11:24.548126Z",{"exponent":449,"rate":1245,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1246},{"id":19683,"question":19684,"conditionId":19685,"slug":19686,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"liquidity":19687,"startDate":19688,"image":19556,"icon":19556,"description":19689,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":17744,"volume":19690,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":19691,"updatedAt":19692,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":100,"groupItemThreshold":77,"questionID":19693,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":19694,"liquidityNum":19695,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":19644,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":19696,"volume1wk":19697,"volume1mo":19698,"volume1yr":19699,"clobTokenIds":19700,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":19696,"volume1wkClob":19697,"volume1moClob":19698,"volume1yrClob":19699,"volumeClob":19694,"liquidityClob":19695,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":19701,"cyom":15,"competitive":17758,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":56,"rewardsMaxSpread":56,"spread":680,"oneDayPriceChange":1078,"oneHourPriceChange":1159,"oneWeekPriceChange":4192,"oneMonthPriceChange":19702,"lastTradePrice":160,"bestBid":3993,"bestAsk":580,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":19703,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":1243,"feeSchedule":19704},"2034747","Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?","0xcddc048c672ee233890b99b18885dbd510e3db3d67c53afb408ddc93f9aadff4","will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-by-may-31","633748.67716","2026-04-20T16:14:00.53002Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","6569371.691122951","2026-04-20T16:10:05.839476Z","2026-05-25T20:54:58.13103Z","0xb0bd2440a7949c04a2ffb837addf7fe60ba2f1188da69ab033f012cbdae7527a",6569371.691122951,633748.67716,128033.51650800003,1604681.317095999,6414782.749184002,6569371.691123013,"[\"12389685960289535793784844547591626184160820043533024006256206890230791648531\", \"14610469786080462231417990007220962378400770437109203380723373332109029744810\"]","2026-04-20T16:12:58Z",-0.0315,"2026-04-20T16:11:24.534183Z",{"exponent":449,"rate":1245,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1246},[19706,19707,19708,19714],{"id":4369,"label":4370,"slug":4371,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":4372,"createdAt":4373,"updatedAt":4374,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":77,"label":512,"slug":513,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":514,"updatedBy":515,"createdAt":516,"updatedAt":517,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":2252,"label":19709,"slug":19710,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":19711,"updatedBy":515,"createdAt":19712,"updatedAt":19713,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},"Science","science","2023-11-02 21:16:20.623+00","2023-11-02T21:16:20.826Z","2026-03-09T22:33:38.571503Z",{"id":3066,"label":19715,"slug":19716,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":19717,"createdAt":19718,"updatedAt":19719,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"Aliens","aliens","2023-11-02 21:16:18.133+00","2023-11-02T21:16:18.145Z","2026-04-17T20:55:08.008334Z",17,{"context_description":19722,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":19723},"Recent declassified UAP file releases under the Trump administration's PURSUE initiative have dominated trader attention, with the Pentagon posting initial tranches in May 2026 featuring decades-old sighting reports, photos, and videos from agencies like NASA and the FBI. These disclosures fuel public fascination with unexplained phenomena yet deliver no official statement affirming extraterrestrial life or technology, keeping implied probabilities for near-term confirmation low. Rolling releases are slated next, but historical patterns show government transparency efforts rarely cross into definitive alien acknowledgment. Cultural momentum from sci-fi narratives and congressional UAP hearings sustains interest without shifting the core barrier: lack of conclusive evidence meeting resolution thresholds.","2026-05-25T20:45:48.172Z",{"id":19725,"ticker":19726,"slug":19726,"title":19727,"description":19728,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":19729,"creationDate":19730,"endDate":70,"image":19731,"icon":19731,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":14,"restricted":14,"liquidity":19732,"volume":19733,"openInterest":19734,"createdAt":19735,"updatedAt":19736,"competitive":19737,"volume24hr":19738,"volume1wk":19739,"volume1mo":19740,"volume1yr":19740,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":19732,"negRisk":15,"commentCount":906,"markets":19741,"series":20231,"tags":20239,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"seriesSlug":20234,"gmpChartMode":518,"negRiskAugmented":15,"featuredOrder":466,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":20252},"371649","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.  \n\nThe meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.","2026-04-12T18:22:17.972021Z","2026-04-12T18:22:17.972016Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fus-x-iran-meeting-by-9btZGbUg-ikA.jpg",300333.4599,40636665.32109889,1743369.883281,"2026-04-12T15:29:11.472737Z","2026-05-25T20:50:46.977443Z",0.9928268261808434,272543.563324,3140278.948464,6836461.305643017,[19742,19760,19777,19793,19811,19828,19844,19862,19881,19899,19915,19931,19951,19969,19988,20006,20025,20044,20060,20082,20105,20127,20143,20168,20189,20211],{"id":19743,"question":19744,"conditionId":19745,"slug":19746,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":70,"startDate":19747,"image":19731,"icon":19731,"description":19748,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":19749,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":19750,"updatedAt":19751,"closedTime":19752,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":14575,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":19753,"umaEndDate":19754,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":19755,"endDateIso":81,"startDateIso":19756,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":19757,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":19755,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":19758,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":454,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":4265,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":19759,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1982151","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?","0xdba26f18e126e4f13f776b1fba91937ab4d51314a93ebd4829030ccc1e0a3ce7","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-april-15-2026-398","2026-04-14T16:11:26.540752Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.","74656.74052799997","2026-04-14T16:06:16.333354Z","2026-04-17T23:00:35.020904Z","2026-04-16 06:42:32+00","0xc3801ea4229daa800cf845f0100626f9bf40f0bb70480f22c8fa7c9b453c443b","2026-04-16T06:42:32Z",74656.74052799997,"2026-04-14","[\"35942605066339250033968373570528553699704683000809237857192349459709610913960\", \"105920286070087246115597012143661310696148416509310612772290904443617094005331\"]","2026-04-14T16:10:23Z","2026-04-14T16:07:44.636184Z",{"id":19761,"question":19762,"conditionId":19763,"slug":19764,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":70,"startDate":19765,"image":19731,"icon":19731,"description":19748,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":19766,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":19767,"updatedAt":19768,"closedTime":19769,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":19770,"groupItemThreshold":178,"questionID":19771,"umaEndDate":19772,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":19773,"endDateIso":81,"startDateIso":19756,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":19774,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":19773,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":19775,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":454,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":6415,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":19776,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1982152","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?","0xfb2031685ad36fa6a923d072a3f0e72b10847528eadcc47121b81737a996459d","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-april-16-2026-943","2026-04-14T16:11:28.669408Z","168548.92967200006","2026-04-14T16:06:31.882023Z","2026-04-18T05:26:49.522656Z","2026-04-17 06:32:14+00","April 16","0xda3297c42b235e3a2983312c14f1357326984f195978bc9d61e2036e0a8959b2","2026-04-17T06:32:14Z",168548.92967200006,"[\"92644249651381037257828144873333464139017506629407098329947982159664025925707\", \"37164810766692186562722083965403399827819460560436022350450165107321485834253\"]","2026-04-14T16:10:25Z","2026-04-14T16:07:44.628091Z",{"id":19778,"question":19779,"conditionId":19780,"slug":19781,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":70,"startDate":19782,"image":19731,"icon":19731,"description":19748,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":19783,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":19784,"updatedAt":19785,"closedTime":19786,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":14540,"groupItemThreshold":77,"questionID":19787,"umaEndDate":19788,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":19789,"endDateIso":81,"startDateIso":19756,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":19790,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":19789,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":19791,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":454,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":186,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":19792,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1982153","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?","0x1fd35292d98ac866ae22c1de9023be1eca3eea18cba50980b40dc0fbf750aa3d","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-april-17-2026-229","2026-04-14T16:13:13.886915Z","251679.0049949999","2026-04-14T16:06:52.892944Z","2026-04-19T04:51:48.762918Z","2026-04-18 06:13:44+00","0xabb0e478409fcf152f22252897067b63a136a317b4fdd555493b0807b2cd0580","2026-04-18T06:13:44Z",251679.0049949999,"[\"107091202437354971107833013621143834574961418347450979147940443330815017516531\", 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x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?","0x426541e934af341ee8bc99fe18dcd17a8ac66cc33a5a79b1df4f6bd0c3ee271d","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-may-22-2026-516","2026-05-18T23:40:14.408477Z","240775.2967690001","2026-05-18T23:20:40.685711Z","2026-05-24T06:19:23.711878Z","2026-05-23 06:14:17+00","0x624e459b853cf57679f2043e11956a469e5266a4b02ba0ae86a0bce214350397","2026-05-23T06:14:17Z",240775.2967690001,"[\"106441043549442075864334931584609203822143630480567255484844515933334386265561\", 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x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?","0x258031a51215d328eac2db15bdf45abdee1a23d38d66e12462a83c34cf31b5c8","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-july-31-2026-436","79923.6637","2026-05-18T23:37:00.452Z","[\"0.87\", \"0.13\"]","126506.14311100004","2026-05-18T23:23:34.472885Z","2026-05-25T20:52:37.459517Z","0xe49a3e64c49c5c096f99a46e8525c3a1b44804681ac8b602a755e75070f573fb",126506.14311100004,79923.6637,6889.102465,126506.14311100001,"[\"103212594408357133165013897534563818714213088834489589428042286883914016048001\", 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x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?","0xa1dc76d34934f2abb0fa402776816d51ee0b6e5591a1a95e1dd77d119fd65fb9","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-may-28-2026","30121.484","2026-05-25T15:29:47.717949Z","[\"0.045\", \"0.955\"]","423.895719","2026-05-25T15:24:59.26429Z","2026-05-25T20:52:29.084028Z","0xb7da2d539df1e77df5df1a60199771eaadb5a8abad1211a5b038edd71eca24d0",423.895719,30121.484,"[\"10397313742438641466546142504451167334444049492811551268505472320535795456884\", 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x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?","0x553c1115fe928f9800e52ea5adabf894d6885b328be0a53927fe897c2eb8623d","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-june-3-2026","2026-06-03T00:00:00Z","747.7213","2026-05-25T15:30:11.071011Z","328.0020190000001","2026-05-25T15:25:00.646336Z","2026-05-25T20:49:53.439418Z","June 3","0x9d542804e37486a7ff02c5708cc8db8a2c8b05cf9a0261d1c9a292d00411ce4e",328.0020190000001,747.7213,"2026-06-03","[\"115756177141032035251975995082211306323607225552675091071232442865104235557984\", 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x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?","0x7f7546918378d63097393ed497ab60d8f911b742abc42b8263bb2504816b4741","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-june-7-2026","1002.5288","2026-05-25T15:30:29.03978Z","[\"0.355\", \"0.645\"]","101.53846","2026-05-25T15:25:01.141547Z","2026-05-25T20:51:52.144236Z","0x57d0502065f56070e1a959acf89395141fddf34553b70b80ca1cad4bb6c799a6",101.53846,1002.5288,"[\"107991430623639225032965754091943250844532742184591128837653885909207697197564\", 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meeting","2026-02-07T21:35:47.906258Z","2026-05-25T20:47:51.428814Z",4508,[20240,20241,20242,20243,20249,20250,20251],{"id":77,"label":512,"slug":513,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":514,"updatedBy":515,"createdAt":516,"updatedAt":517,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":483,"label":484,"slug":485,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":486,"updatedAt":487,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":462,"label":463,"slug":464,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":465,"updatedBy":466,"createdAt":467,"updatedAt":468,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":20244,"label":20245,"slug":20246,"createdAt":20247,"updatedAt":20248,"requiresTranslation":15},"100285","Vance","vance","2024-06-25T19:46:59.165544Z","2026-04-17T21:09:02.084203Z",{"id":470,"label":471,"slug":472,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":473,"updatedBy":466,"createdAt":474,"updatedAt":475,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":500,"label":501,"slug":502,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":503,"updatedAt":504,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":506,"label":507,"slug":508,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":509,"updatedAt":510,"requiresTranslation":15},{"context_description":20253,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":20254},"Ongoing indirect US-Iran negotiations, mediated primarily by Oman and Pakistan, continue amid a fragile April 2026 ceasefire, with senior officials exchanging draft proposals on nuclear enrichment limits, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz access. Recent developments include an Iranian delegation arriving in Doha for further talks and US officials, including President Trump and Secretary Rubio, noting progress on a framework while emphasizing verification and security guarantees as unresolved sticking points. Both sides have signaled proximity to a draft agreement in some rounds, though mixed public statements reflect ongoing caution. Upcoming diplomatic exchanges and national security consultations could influence momentum before resolution deadlines.","2026-05-25T20:30:46.200Z",{"id":20256,"ticker":20257,"slug":20257,"title":20258,"description":20259,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":20260,"creationDate":20261,"endDate":93,"image":20262,"icon":20262,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":20263,"volume":20264,"openInterest":20265,"createdAt":20266,"updatedAt":20267,"competitive":12348,"volume24hr":20268,"volume1wk":20269,"volume1mo":20270,"volume1yr":20270,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":20263,"negRisk":15,"commentCount":20271,"markets":20272,"tags":20382,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"gmpChartMode":518,"negRiskAugmented":15,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":20388},"449163","israel-closes-its-airspace-by","Israel closes its airspace by...?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","2026-05-04T23:52:26.542773Z","2026-05-04T23:52:26.542767Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fisrael-closes-its-airspace-by-F65UW1ZQCDQ_.jpg",94778.2993,2637411.5068210014,336759.949888,"2026-05-04T20:46:02.543394Z","2026-05-25T20:56:55.471256Z",238091.25187300003,1622836.7509190005,2142163.3829349987,192,[20273,20289,20314,20335,20358],{"id":20274,"question":20275,"conditionId":20276,"slug":20277,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"startDate":20278,"image":20262,"icon":20262,"description":20259,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":20279,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":20280,"updatedAt":20281,"closedTime":20282,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":254,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":20283,"umaEndDate":20284,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":20285,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":228,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":20286,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":20285,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":20287,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":582,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":20288,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2159725","Israel 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closes its airspace by May 31?","0xbf1d0865f793f94d78413696946f89327bda5ae44d82bf54f9ebb3edfb57bf56","israel-closes-its-airspace-by-may-31","44251.2208","2026-05-04T23:49:30.174Z","[\"0.09\", \"0.91\"]","1436900.2252250009","2026-05-04T20:46:03.345487Z","2026-05-25T20:54:29.388467Z","0x1e6e9aa88254fc1adfed3046b73af77926820ec52cadc61c4824424c282e5481",1436900.2252250009,44251.2208,159783.88061600004,931803.6368859999,1436900.2252249985,"[\"100702422365522242237695692985848417771629401460918766588002045898312216731279\", 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closes its airspace by May 24?","0xe3578450861031a2dedd30c5e0168a56737fadf817acdb8cc1c71d798219bb1f","israel-closes-its-airspace-by-may-24","2026-05-18T22:50:58.588129Z","570942.8047010016","2026-05-18T20:23:48.25023Z","2026-05-25T20:55:58.867887Z","2026-05-25 06:22:56+00","0x217591a7a9c5685dd525200367e75c6cba58aa5e25907bc0835ce4085c7da261","2026-05-25T06:22:56Z",570942.8047010016,45637.77169199999,570942.8047010003,"[\"12331258093478076477628180272843280745047995289482253493862230947907915726671\", 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closes its airspace by June 15?","0xd8664606498aba2a8ccab56656860cb3f02d74de80e974ab87a9f940e65d4d5e","israel-closes-its-airspace-by-june-15-687","22338.3012","2026-05-18T22:50:58.332698Z","[\"0.14\", \"0.86\"]","68133.30630099998","2026-05-18T20:24:33.637719Z","2026-05-25T20:53:59.950284Z","0x6d33951e30329bc9172d420a74710c1c60da4b6a45abb329364b06387d7cf367",68133.30630099998,22338.3012,26328.317211999998,68133.30630099999,"[\"110552230042207377373769436375815103661291329913875427644565116020841414815329\", 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closes its airspace by June 30?","0x676e7cda423f5826bcbb3c141e808ad7c66bc2d055e4d0aca79c26779712062c","israel-closes-its-airspace-by-june-30-324","16323.6946","2026-05-12T14:44:30.992Z","75818.11670799987","2026-05-12T14:39:46.101281Z","2026-05-25T20:55:02.2261Z","0x9d0399c51b8d53596a9596f181b87f57bccdd95784e2a554c7f28989741cf507",75818.11670799987,16323.6946,13848.792352999997,61535.28356100002,75818.11670799991,"[\"75342601497089508883276927505926667289058707579736385719204195953768479770485\", 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regional security concerns stemming from the February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian targets and subsequent Iranian missile and drone responses continue to influence assessments of Israeli airspace operations. Partial restrictions and aviation advisories, including EASA cautions extended through late May, have persisted amid sustained alerts over missile threats from Iran-aligned groups and activity involving Hezbollah in Lebanon. Recent diplomatic exchanges between the United States and Iran, alongside Israeli official statements on security evaluations, reflect efforts to manage escalation risks while monitoring for potential renewed military actions. Any significant Iranian retaliation, cross-border incidents, or shifts in conflict dynamics through the end of May could prompt decisions on expanded closures or further limitations at facilities like Ben Gurion Airport.","2026-05-25T20:46:02.621Z",{"id":20392,"ticker":20393,"slug":20393,"title":20394,"description":20395,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":20396,"creationDate":20397,"endDate":20398,"image":12967,"icon":12967,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":20399,"volume":20400,"openInterest":20401,"sortBy":1202,"createdAt":20402,"updatedAt":20403,"competitive":20404,"volume24hr":20405,"volume1wk":20406,"volume1mo":20407,"volume1yr":20408,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":20399,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":20409,"commentCount":20410,"markets":20411,"tags":20831,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":14,"enableNegRisk":14,"automaticallyActive":14,"startTime":13596,"gmpChartMode":518,"negRiskAugmented":14,"countryName":13585,"electionType":8812,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":20838,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":20839},"34582","colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-winner"," Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?","Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.\n\nIf the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https:\u002F\u002Fregistraduria.gov.co).","2025-12-23T21:46:35.253344Z","2025-12-23T21:46:35.253315Z","2026-05-31T16:00:00Z",1680628.05548,6746546.018042997,683851.7933009999,"2025-07-28T18:39:56.81584Z","2026-05-25T20:56:45.304599Z",0.9734965562559322,237749.17488400007,775378.5587620002,1708086.4721230003,3415900.483867,"0x9250593bd8a2156d9b3101e4b145fb68f6991ca26c906e70e6ec8dc5d3af1200",67,[20412,20435,20453,20472,20490,20509,20529,20547,20565,20584,20602,20626,20655,20682,20699,20717,20734,20751,20769,20782,20794,20806,20818],{"id":20413,"question":20414,"conditionId":20415,"slug":20416,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":20398,"liquidity":20417,"startDate":20418,"image":12988,"icon":12988,"description":20395,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":4003,"volume":20419,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":20420,"updatedAt":20421,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":1225,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":20422,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":20409,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":20423,"liquidityNum":20424,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":20425,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":20426,"volume1wk":20427,"volume1mo":20428,"volume1yr":20429,"clobTokenIds":20430,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":20426,"volume1wkClob":20427,"volume1moClob":20428,"volume1yrClob":20429,"volumeClob":20423,"liquidityClob":20424,"makerBaseFee":1237,"takerBaseFee":1237,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":20409,"negRiskRequestID":20431,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":20432,"cyom":15,"competitive":742,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":720,"rewardsMaxSpread":397,"spread":47,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":20433,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":1243,"feeSchedule":20434},"569332","Will Vicky Dávila win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0x7c795144bf0351e82c85f844de81f29f482aaefc3b544eddeb8b7932887649e4","will-vicky-dvila-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","77758.85506","2025-12-23T21:36:33.497Z","442552.101674999","2025-07-28T18:39:57.837111Z","2026-05-25T20:51:00.800286Z","Vicky Dávila",442552.101674999,77758.85506,"2025-12-23",2.53,1201.63,49576.808,442552.10167500004,"[\"39801986283615413172004632209722689673630350670628652772852050084294532881656\", 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Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0xa5b21a5fba9c9da91f62cedca9d28747816a514050140708a2300cdecef87f78","will-luis-gilberto-murillo-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","124738.6702","2025-12-23T21:36:34.007Z","298520.1249409998","2025-07-28T18:39:58.479802Z","2026-05-25T20:52:41.930065Z","Luis Gilberto Murillo","0x9250593bd8a2156d9b3101e4b145fb68f6991ca26c906e70e6ec8dc5d3af1201",298520.1249409998,124738.6702,"[\"101472336359145774296027429436400506992904652049782535544126746198476695802182\", 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Claudia López win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0x33b9298257eac39553c008b882ac333d2538bd493689d6710d3986d890580033","will-claudia-lpez-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","109778.66552","2025-12-23T21:36:35.214Z","300292.55180199957","2025-07-28T18:39:59.284535Z","2026-05-25T20:54:22.078953Z","Claudia López","0x9250593bd8a2156d9b3101e4b145fb68f6991ca26c906e70e6ec8dc5d3af1202",300292.55180199957,109778.66552,"[\"12516303356363467179885576472702473520609540998008534980142053225514923736128\", 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David Luna Sánchez win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0x3baca5b0070978e7518ec4fbaf7ac79e30eb8adc48534e0004780fca2a59a2f2","will-david-luna-snchez-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","92611.76068","2025-12-23T21:36:35.468Z","283075.7526909998","2025-07-28T18:40:00.085249Z","2026-05-25T20:53:47.370403Z","David Luna Sánchez","0x9250593bd8a2156d9b3101e4b145fb68f6991ca26c906e70e6ec8dc5d3af1203",283075.7526909998,92611.76068,"[\"48659756136284565019223821348790383206344687947238147520094323320808293530767\", 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Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0xa67adf5ccd4fe39cf878102bc8407c77010e2fae22bd05cedf492892a33db656","will-juan-daniel-oviedo-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","75472.25906","2025-12-23T21:36:37.166Z","156931.51054799993","2025-07-28T18:40:00.705572Z","2026-05-25T20:54:38.889399Z","Juan Daniel Oviedo","0x9250593bd8a2156d9b3101e4b145fb68f6991ca26c906e70e6ec8dc5d3af1204",156931.51054799993,75472.25906,"[\"102456955097401421651876446896034115681794561141893258504967065325508688692283\", 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Miguel Uribe Turbay win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0xef75ecbf6882759df055672c2a4136d7bdf8c97fe077bc8eae98d6b53af54cd3","will-miguel-uribe-turbay-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","2025-12-23T21:36:39.113Z","36502.039995","2025-07-28T18:40:01.373007Z","2026-02-19 23:12:08+00","Miguel Uribe Turbay","0x9250593bd8a2156d9b3101e4b145fb68f6991ca26c906e70e6ec8dc5d3af1205","2026-02-19T23:12:08Z",36502.039995,35187.147082,35888.140245,"[\"45160140663506097504077183036117285299289312543403903721950916310809748446118\", 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Gustavo Bolívar win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0x49ed66968bfb4058a43bcf7bc664cb879e93a3e51bd10d844e3f8662febe9fd4","will-gustavo-bolvar-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","102154.15775","2025-12-23T21:36:39.621Z","230284.08090599973","2025-07-28T18:40:02.065021Z","2026-05-25T20:52:42.070409Z","Gustavo Bolívar","0x9250593bd8a2156d9b3101e4b145fb68f6991ca26c906e70e6ec8dc5d3af1206",230284.08090599973,102154.15775,"[\"109710008834411230337090857031488261059821089034726354248807420936018491444380\", 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Sergio Fajardo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0x77b1512402d2b2590f65d22f4fb1d2ce29f3fd2d6516429928f430ddfc2215b3","will-sergio-fajardo-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","99702.78563","2025-12-23T21:36:39.367Z","210039.3591039999","2025-07-28T18:40:02.716058Z","2026-05-25T20:55:19.719938Z","Sergio Fajardo","0x9250593bd8a2156d9b3101e4b145fb68f6991ca26c906e70e6ec8dc5d3af1207",210039.3591039999,99702.78563,"[\"22771558623355089707681429633836704882116031403343361257897294847540582889503\", 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Juan Manuel Galán win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0x6b98b6acf1dbf405c189176529f77ff5356b2dc9c2a5f15012c0e2df3f561d2b","will-juan-manuel-galn-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","93300.32413","2025-12-23T21:36:41.157Z","235184.45331699977","2025-07-28T18:40:03.535261Z","2026-05-25T20:53:12.911192Z","Juan Manuel Galán","0x9250593bd8a2156d9b3101e4b145fb68f6991ca26c906e70e6ec8dc5d3af1208",235184.45331699977,93300.32413,"[\"34438409845535751191341828081530593695046286317271306160707054286296479165842\", 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Germán Vargas Lleras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0x2890121a9277d619b936695405544bda9f80d184b05d9503fd8f173c52867365","will-germn-vargas-lleras-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","126585.27103","2025-12-23T21:36:41.411Z","287137.9536559996","2025-07-28T18:40:04.606363Z","2026-05-25T20:55:25.422972Z","Germán Vargas Lleras","0x9250593bd8a2156d9b3101e4b145fb68f6991ca26c906e70e6ec8dc5d3af1209",287137.9536559996,126585.27103,"[\"91061986285111660506709592119475475293178445047267552942031473045846880257562\", 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Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0x04e73caf81ef64ce0c612699049d295e18dfe9bdd60d898fd3d8a64cac723661","will-paloma-valencia-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","66566.69957","2025-12-23T21:36:43.536Z","Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.\n\nIf the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https:\u002F\u002Fregistraduria.gov.co). 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Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0xc00920db6f5e84821a61bd31578499bbc9bd125949572b589b7a9e4b0f13bad3","will-ivn-cepeda-castro-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","57773.6538","2025-12-23T21:36:43.279Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-ivn-cepeda-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-UcgdSjp1qVqg.png","[\"0.665\", \"0.335\"]","750956.4621679992","2025-07-28T18:40:05.584614Z","2026-05-25T20:54:30.010066Z","0x9250593bd8a2156d9b3101e4b145fb68f6991ca26c906e70e6ec8dc5d3af120b",750956.4621679992,57773.6538,73309.73145500003,210075.7873780001,454912.4452229999,750956.462168,"[\"97787606698093663746310161655083884268863593082956469376386743061399298825100\", 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Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0xb611b3a7173f69e412b55561ed265d849e36693c248ff620d0e981c5b3f2e325","will-abelardo-de-la-espriella-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","63780.99522","2025-12-23T21:36:44.049Z","[\"0.3305\", \"0.6695\"]","1375244.1792030022","2025-07-28T18:40:06.134721Z","2026-05-25T20:48:40.46973Z","0x9250593bd8a2156d9b3101e4b145fb68f6991ca26c906e70e6ec8dc5d3af120c",1375244.1792030022,63780.99522,118284.33959900004,324324.36362099997,713471.7512860005,1375244.1792030002,"[\"33232052119491652564300969744259903933559547696830742958153653325470669042304\", 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Roy Barreras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0xeae8d09170bc56ee8ba9676b4a2f6d1a45c69084172ee7cc8a022197c2db191a","will-roy-barreras-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","120014.28577","2025-12-23T21:36:43.792Z","285257.9164869995","2025-07-28T18:40:06.749518Z","2026-05-25T20:55:03.753215Z","0x9250593bd8a2156d9b3101e4b145fb68f6991ca26c906e70e6ec8dc5d3af120d",285257.9164869995,120014.28577,"[\"43406345570240507916710279610949015003758662253082068993250923591377249551960\", 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Daniel Quintero win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0x7ce21332ecca3948da5ecf5e626b16938ba1487ce07d1579d869f25045002200","will-daniel-quintero-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","134093.49514","2025-12-23T21:36:45.344Z","256692.5347419996","2025-07-28T18:40:07.209322Z","2026-05-25T20:54:06.790019Z","0x9250593bd8a2156d9b3101e4b145fb68f6991ca26c906e70e6ec8dc5d3af120e",256692.5347419996,134093.49514,"[\"87678849706704552441529840256129995088714454521339794038868863045951701650099\", 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Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0x56d3614b2a31f92909d6c8d9674b8a4b642ed8a84e54f44023327cb31c30a6fc","will-juan-carlos-pinzn-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","77438.64158","2025-12-23T21:36:45.6Z","145628.93353899993","2025-07-28T18:40:07.668829Z","2026-05-25T20:55:43.101237Z","0x9250593bd8a2156d9b3101e4b145fb68f6991ca26c906e70e6ec8dc5d3af120f",145628.93353899993,77438.64158,"[\"9923011246923572238814851524588176780015983689281865964356210838183555284870\", 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Mauricio Cárdenas win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0x0d2496544913dd1efdc093d296e366b4de344adeecc45d84cb4ab26433f335d1","will-mauricio-crdenas-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","124264.91481","2025-12-23T21:36:45.857Z","336177.7925559999","2025-07-28T18:40:08.114008Z","2026-05-25T20:53:58.981616Z","0x9250593bd8a2156d9b3101e4b145fb68f6991ca26c906e70e6ec8dc5d3af1210",336177.7925559999,124264.91481,"[\"72774350053906879890006453324691552555097045786061116921411542398714774240040\", 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Enrique Peñalosa win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0x5037195eafd98f9d50ef8d5700abcaaa7351cc53bfdb1df23fd28fd35eb94e9b","will-candidate-h-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-146-339","133940.19843","2025-12-23T21:36:47.425Z","305422.56988699996","2025-07-28T18:40:08.563264Z","2026-05-25T20:54:07.793885Z","0x9250593bd8a2156d9b3101e4b145fb68f6991ca26c906e70e6ec8dc5d3af1211",305422.56988699996,133940.19843,"[\"13029278070705688134577821030612277494815895676220866840087054352558704333924\", 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Candidate J win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0x06fd167abf1870e59a2cfa0993fcba313296445d800a2a796df349de4d453b1a","will-candidate-j-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-363","2025-12-23T21:36:49.641Z","2025-07-28T18:40:09.474927Z","0x9250593bd8a2156d9b3101e4b145fb68f6991ca26c906e70e6ec8dc5d3af1213","[\"49717584418487044513717863276516405463966260892819520159064698592829653119144\", 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Candidate K win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0xd76ad771017061e6507a69b404580a340e87f7b5a9ee04caa9133342cc8da64e","will-candidate-k-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-983","2025-12-23T21:36:49.385Z","2025-07-28T18:40:09.951084Z","0x9250593bd8a2156d9b3101e4b145fb68f6991ca26c906e70e6ec8dc5d3af1214","[\"88387532258279785609513298743212938636989211030702852463852027752010357947581\", 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Candidate L win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0xa06998bb820a98f3d471f0773ba8382630eb7c9d6f46d3a1e464c25bf9ab1161","will-candidate-l-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-652","2025-12-23T21:36:50.154Z","2025-07-28T18:40:10.406217Z","0x9250593bd8a2156d9b3101e4b145fb68f6991ca26c906e70e6ec8dc5d3af1215","[\"18427181292982332563056200989021608489201752516361707345627423463462795637055\", 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someone else win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","0x88735a48de2db72b4185afbea77b050b2295835af7786a0e165d3da51db78ad7","will-someone-else-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-846-726-844-955-684-468-523-912","2025-12-23T21:36:53.405Z","2025-07-28T18:40:10.888789Z","0x9250593bd8a2156d9b3101e4b145fb68f6991ca26c906e70e6ec8dc5d3af1216","[\"75440693400626017346428900378689692443986059485621824231993978727613057361900\", 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Cepeda Castro leads the market for Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote due to his position as the Pacto Histórico nominee backed by the incumbent administration’s organizational resources and voter base. Recent polling averages place him ahead of the field, with conservative support split between Abelardo de la Espriella’s hard-right campaign and Paloma Valencia’s Democratic Center candidacy, limiting any single rival’s ability to reach a majority. Late-May surveys show Cepeda’s advantage holding amid high polarization and undecided voters whose preferences could consolidate on election day. A first-round outcome above 50 percent would avoid a June runoff, consistent with the current trader consensus reflected in the pricing.","2026-05-25T20:45:48.880Z",1779742855873]