Politics Top Movers

Most active prediction markets by 24-hour trading volume.

#1

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

$175.0M total33 outcomes

95¢

$11.8M 24h

#2

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

$63.8M total24 outcomes

0¢

$1.8M 24h

#3

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

$2.7M total34 outcomes

96¢

$928k 24h

#4

Fed Decision in July?

$49.4M total5 outcomes

0¢

$851k 24h

#5

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$1.2B total128 outcomes

19¢

$840k 24h

#6

Next French Presidential Election

$111.7M total128 outcomes

27¢

$783k 24h

#7

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$654.5M total128 outcomes

20¢

$765k 24h

#8

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

$14.4M total

8¢

$640k 24h

#9

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$671.4M total128 outcomes

1¢

$437k 24h

#10

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

$6.1M total5 outcomes

$431k 24h

#11

Elon Musk # tweets July 7 - July 14, 2026?

$1.9M total26 outcomes

$390k 24h

#12

Elon Musk # tweets July 9 - July 11, 2026?

$607k total10 outcomes

$383k 24h

#13

US announces blockade on Iran by...?

$1.8M total4 outcomes

$301k 24h

#14

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

$8.7M total

0¢

$284k 24h

#15

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

$15.1M total34 outcomes

54¢

$256k 24h

#16

Brazil Presidential Election

$112.0M total32 outcomes

0¢

$248k 24h

#17

Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

$4.0M total8 outcomes

$240k 24h

#18

Clacton by-election Winner

$1.5M total52 outcomes

92¢

$222k 24h

#19

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$62.4M total6 outcomes

$220k 24h

#20

Elon Musk # tweets July 10 - July 17, 2026?

$540k total26 outcomes

$177k 24h

#21

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

$2.3M total6 outcomes

13¢

$175k 24h

#22

Israel closes its airspace by...?

$21.6M total16 outcomes

$134k 24h

#23

Trump out as President by July 31?

$667k total

1¢

$121k 24h

#24

US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

$445k total7 outcomes

$112k 24h

#25

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

$398k total

23¢

$105k 24h

#26

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$4.8M total

66¢

$96k 24h

#27

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

$2.6M total19 outcomes

14¢

$95k 24h

#28

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$93.4M total57 outcomes

0¢

$84k 24h

#29

Fed Decision in September?

$2.3M total5 outcomes

2¢

$83k 24h

#30

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

$16.3M total61 outcomes

0¢

$80k 24h