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Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nA permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:\n\n- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.\n\n- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be 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x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?","0xbbc6689d0f6d57ea42168836712237c7308b3e0118c8914d31b6126d0f3254c5","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-april-22-2026","2026-04-22T00:00:00Z","2026-04-08T16:16:14.414324Z","[\"Yes\", \"No\"]","[\"0\", \"1\"]","26051734.516940523","2026-04-08T16:01:11.063822Z","2026-04-24T07:35:59.939072Z","2026-04-23 07:34:32+00","0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","April 22","0","0xc1803b659426dddde273d5c6198f5b3835b53d4301e533e0590b42f5a11a00f7","2026-04-23T07:34:32Z",0.001,5,"resolved",26051734.516940523,"2026-04-22","2026-04-08","[\"10355316169421062771540371697837923442956106006258739802114788264214901200573\", \"112998834930140849739317686306046962022222428099467375077336504369963794934957\"]","500","5",0,"2026-04-08T16:15:09Z",200,4.5,-0.004,-0.2145,"[\"proposed\", \"disputed\", 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x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?","0xceb6dfaa2cf5abc9d47ebc867b984a7715104944249274e8a483a2e17473e5f5","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-april-30-2026-925","2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","2026-04-08T16:16:30.033Z","24173101.268068768","2026-04-08T16:01:11.581938Z","2026-05-02T07:24:25.698492Z","2026-05-01 07:20:50+00","April 30","2","0xc632d4b9a33b093c15a28a23401e16c438c25debe936c9bc89ea045079893460","2026-05-01T07:20:50Z",24173101.268068768,"2026-04-30","[\"64575112906857627673396031002364315784778510108272214779568803819416675082435\", 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x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-june-30-2026-837-641-896-877-363-892-537","181212.4366","2026-04-12T20:50:20.876Z","[\"0.595\", \"0.405\"]","13839776.443381257","2026-04-12T20:47:43.363632Z","2026-05-25T20:54:25.257842Z","June 30","12","0xf214eceb5c5761b24a5957a6bff8f01be990b84925eaf38303f98c506602702c",13839776.443381257,181212.4366,"2026-04-12",374412.27303900017,3688128.6412400026,11789248.682709018,13839776.443381066,"[\"31867385211987925701696042012772036156561382644688734856312468506547392739862\", 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x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?","0x084a4aac9da433824013ad192196193d7d1bd8293c0fedc9eb7e687909fd1d0f","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-april-24-2026","2026-04-24T00:00:00Z","2026-04-21T21:33:58.140421Z","2840339.1436810005","2026-04-21T21:30:03.336684Z","2026-04-26T06:32:51.347206Z","2026-04-25 06:42:24+00","April 24","1","0xb29b0b18fb787ac730a67b34ec67ccc90169d14ba0a64d641035e0514e7147a4","2026-04-25T06:42:24Z",2840339.1436810005,"2026-04-24","2026-04-21","[\"73451767581833755534290283287150634572320766963843705278849195665912417601921\", 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x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?","0x1db02ba50e2312a62b4104de691cc7a76065d8d0da40decf93eb1b914a3217b7","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-may-15-2026-144-885-839","2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","2026-04-27T18:01:34.056Z","18446435.319120057","2026-04-27T17:57:26.826183Z","2026-05-17T06:51:12.987614Z","2026-05-16 06:49:05+00","May 15","6","0xcc45aa168698958561607c01e306b6f7de8a0c33a36f250bad3aa481d4a0606c","2026-05-16T06:49:05Z",18446435.319120057,"2026-05-15","2026-04-27","[\"88304163265734087403223321042172792808390195323159743956352682998398711353447\", 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x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?","0x9769f78cbc95a5ed11895e6064bac471d8fd8f930b260cf581b68d3f58630d27","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-december-31-2026-961-587-341-574-555","231585.1199","2026-05-04T14:49:25.357Z","[\"0.825\", \"0.175\"]","4599941.585228983","2026-05-04T14:43:12.533867Z","2026-05-25T20:50:35.015855Z","December 31","14","0xe4c3323629875ad28983657cf5de9a2c3670a8957433a42e226aba29a902126e",4599941.585228983,231585.1199,"2026-12-31","2026-05-04",218270.65280300003,2428658.901168,4599941.585228997,"[\"104718292808309433767402444061650910790437726449955521731268760928480423099204\", 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President Trump has described a memorandum of understanding as largely negotiated, potentially reopening the Strait of Hormuz, easing sanctions, and addressing Iran's nuclear and ballistic missile programs through a phased framework involving multiple regional states. Remaining disputes over specific language and timelines persist, with Iranian officials indicating finalization is not imminent despite recent progress reports. These negotiations, building on earlier 2025-2026 attempts that collapsed into conflict, shape assessments of prospects for any enduring agreement within set windows.","2026-05-25T20:45:45.767Z",{"id":526,"ticker":527,"slug":527,"title":528,"description":529,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":530,"creationDate":531,"image":532,"icon":532,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":14,"restricted":14,"liquidity":533,"volume":534,"openInterest":535,"createdAt":536,"updatedAt":537,"competitive":538,"volume24hr":539,"volume1wk":540,"volume1mo":540,"volume1yr":540,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":533,"negRisk":15,"commentCount":541,"markets":542,"tags":907,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"gmpChartMode":521,"negRiskAugmented":15,"featuredOrder":912,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":913},"504099","iran-ceasefire-continues-through","Iran ceasefire continues through...?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET).  Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. Accordingly, this market will remain open for one calendar day following the listed end date to allow for confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action occurring near the deadline.\n\nA qualifying \"kinetic military action\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. \n\nKinetic action against Iranian forces which do not occur within Iranian terrestrial territory will not qualify. \n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","2026-05-20T03:28:14.372598Z","2026-05-20T03:28:14.372577Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002FIran Peace-2da5a9033d.png",1099884.0674,25659701.47897702,3396839.117978,"2026-05-20T01:24:58.946296Z","2026-05-25T20:57:41.005857Z",0.9869476177551876,3910467.0303479964,14528057.240079978,221,[543,563,593,619,646,670,688,704,730,751,775,802,822,851,876],{"id":544,"question":545,"conditionId":546,"slug":547,"startDate":548,"image":532,"icon":532,"description":529,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":549,"volume":550,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":551,"updatedAt":552,"closedTime":553,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":554,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":555,"umaEndDate":556,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":557,"startDateIso":558,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":559,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":557,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":560,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":47,"lastTradePrice":561,"bestBid":561,"bestAsk":452,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":562,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2308194","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?","0x276a14b8bc1bc374bebd16407761d530528a05097d2bc53524ba21d38842d5f3","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-20","2026-05-20T03:23:10.465326Z","[\"1\", \"0\"]","507173.5936950005","2026-05-20T01:24:59.343685Z","2026-05-23T06:23:26.957242Z","2026-05-22 06:17:41+00","May 20","0x76e93a9c03f3c7e7f341f08c42e8f250d237d09eeb981072acd5e42c37817662","2026-05-22T06:17:41Z",507173.5936950005,"2026-05-20","[\"15398441368046781746896197847827526608323224921081539132532994837992185448989\", \"105714822627627056670037828185602425495996640507959543887948958720491127802557\"]","2026-05-20T03:22:15Z",0.999,"2026-05-20T03:20:28.681766Z",{"id":564,"question":565,"conditionId":566,"slug":567,"resolutionSource":9,"liquidity":568,"startDate":569,"image":532,"icon":532,"description":529,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":570,"volume":571,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":572,"updatedAt":573,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":574,"groupItemThreshold":385,"questionID":575,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":576,"liquidityNum":577,"startDateIso":558,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":578,"volume1wk":579,"volume1mo":579,"volume1yr":579,"clobTokenIds":580,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":578,"volume1wkClob":579,"volume1moClob":579,"volume1yrClob":579,"volumeClob":576,"liquidityClob":577,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":581,"cyom":15,"competitive":582,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":583,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":586,"oneDayPriceChange":587,"oneHourPriceChange":588,"lastTradePrice":589,"bestBid":590,"bestAsk":591,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":592,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2308198","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?","0x656ee3fe28d2f23b12f3e5616161274a1456dc5e355fd97d3ad1d07c7c972f48","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-27-496","41393.12898","2026-05-20T03:23:28.584Z","[\"0.945\", \"0.055\"]","802542.4811579996","2026-05-20T01:25:00.762038Z","2026-05-25T20:53:09.159673Z","May 27","0x96a29b61e9b641fed544c96579bf558878d7e98ff3ca87337d6d4c414a47597f",802542.4811579996,41393.12898,162802.56293299998,802542.481158,"[\"45543282019034060802984057965824792338565642650902006229319531221910318949897\", \"44316666390443689274223129391729436785703505542309041774644090281492398391929\"]","2026-05-20T03:22:32Z",0.8347071221385196,[584],{"id":585,"conditionId":566,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":365,"startDate":558,"endDate":120},"380414",0.006,0.07,-0.0135,0.946,0.942,0.948,"2026-05-20T03:20:28.695987Z",{"id":594,"question":595,"conditionId":596,"slug":597,"resolutionSource":9,"liquidity":598,"startDate":599,"image":532,"icon":532,"description":529,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":600,"volume":601,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":602,"updatedAt":603,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":100,"groupItemThreshold":101,"questionID":604,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":605,"liquidityNum":606,"startDateIso":558,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":607,"volume1wk":608,"volume1mo":608,"volume1yr":608,"clobTokenIds":609,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":607,"volume1wkClob":608,"volume1moClob":608,"volume1yrClob":608,"volumeClob":605,"liquidityClob":606,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":610,"cyom":15,"competitive":611,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":612,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":333,"oneDayPriceChange":334,"oneHourPriceChange":615,"lastTradePrice":616,"bestBid":617,"bestAsk":616,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":618,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2308200","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?","0x46c09232d356fdbe5e4e543ce1a4e90c84a6e3bd4668a24852fd25563e36b32a","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-31-654-633","43931.451","2026-05-20T03:22:39.524Z","[\"0.89\", \"0.11\"]","1432048.7439910022","2026-05-20T01:25:01.067756Z","2026-05-25T20:54:23.640088Z","0x7677980003321b36d08a7d4f08394f95d40896b842b6f461da93eab56bf8e4e4",1432048.7439910022,43931.451,337459.31607899984,1432048.7439909992,"[\"6798652236717106822146830689866173152460946584820952015996016647949363011517\", \"98229450218965904077819542620851909313146877475620823382687376889253616234380\"]","2026-05-20T03:21:43Z",0.8679802100512108,[613],{"id":614,"conditionId":596,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":331,"startDate":558,"endDate":120},"380413",-0.035,0.9,0.88,"2026-05-20T03:20:28.678819Z",{"id":620,"question":621,"conditionId":622,"slug":623,"resolutionSource":9,"liquidity":624,"startDate":625,"image":532,"icon":532,"description":529,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":626,"volume":627,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":628,"updatedAt":629,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":316,"groupItemThreshold":630,"questionID":631,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":632,"liquidityNum":633,"startDateIso":558,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":634,"volume1wk":635,"volume1mo":635,"volume1yr":635,"clobTokenIds":636,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":634,"volume1wkClob":635,"volume1moClob":635,"volume1yrClob":635,"volumeClob":632,"liquidityClob":633,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":637,"cyom":15,"competitive":638,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":639,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":103,"oneDayPriceChange":642,"oneHourPriceChange":263,"lastTradePrice":643,"bestBid":643,"bestAsk":644,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":645,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2308204","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?","0x5c630cce90873c62161bdd6994b02f9c8e3203a858f578456b7bfae936cc04c8","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-july-31-157-645","41673.6029","2026-05-20T03:22:51.62Z","[\"0.675\", \"0.325\"]","73523.07928500003","2026-05-20T01:25:02.33024Z","2026-05-25T20:55:17.625243Z","13","0x6d0e9e4d5454383b1b7b74707ed5065ba1d4035a197dd913eb414df73eec4d68",73523.07928500003,41673.6029,12811.670404,73523.079285,"[\"70762825194445170806696524728361956024778702245430463700200806964171097893209\", \"31763956490313531771682517032699765028922040015198424083117393576859509833443\"]","2026-05-20T03:21:55Z",0.9702850212249848,[640],{"id":641,"conditionId":622,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":457,"startDate":558,"endDate":120},"380415",0.08,0.67,0.68,"2026-05-20T03:20:28.693231Z",{"id":647,"question":648,"conditionId":649,"slug":650,"resolutionSource":9,"liquidity":651,"startDate":652,"image":532,"icon":532,"description":529,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":653,"volume":654,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":655,"updatedAt":656,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":222,"groupItemThreshold":223,"questionID":657,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":658,"liquidityNum":659,"startDateIso":558,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":660,"volume1wk":661,"volume1mo":661,"volume1yr":661,"clobTokenIds":662,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":660,"volume1wkClob":661,"volume1moClob":661,"volume1yrClob":661,"volumeClob":658,"liquidityClob":659,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":663,"cyom":15,"competitive":664,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":665,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":103,"oneDayPriceChange":125,"oneHourPriceChange":123,"lastTradePrice":163,"bestBid":163,"bestAsk":668,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":669,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2308205","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?","0xa025157628d2824a12bb4b3aa8476cbe1ffebfb7d983d9fc7dfaf906381084f8","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-december-31-395-943","61834.381","2026-05-20T03:22:36.389Z","[\"0.605\", \"0.395\"]","213360.26190199988","2026-05-20T01:25:02.656114Z","2026-05-25T20:54:49.230434Z","0x2b1a52d63ebfd35b9fc2c894e1766e0d067406984b3bca15bfa9e484a68977a0",213360.26190199988,61834.381,25068.445538000004,213360.2619020001,"[\"9321848051180067162998979381729271701604545978564574168749956587031393306859\", \"645878524797034105122694990445752559776294379635293598249285743334881658536\"]","2026-05-20T03:21:38Z",0.9890952251428006,[666],{"id":667,"conditionId":649,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":157,"startDate":558,"endDate":120},"380417",0.61,"2026-05-20T03:20:28.675975Z",{"id":671,"question":672,"conditionId":673,"slug":674,"startDate":675,"image":532,"icon":532,"description":529,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":549,"volume":676,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":677,"updatedAt":678,"closedTime":679,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":680,"groupItemThreshold":178,"questionID":681,"umaEndDate":682,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":683,"startDateIso":558,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":684,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":683,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":685,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":686,"lastTradePrice":561,"bestBid":561,"bestAsk":452,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":687,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2308195","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?","0x393fb0be5ca5832188657b34ad914c8f24a3ea6dfca233d1b996aba14399b48f","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-21","2026-05-20T03:22:36.649574Z","1343114.0963930092","2026-05-20T01:24:59.656827Z","2026-05-24T06:30:21.937785Z","2026-05-23 06:12:15+00","May 21","0xbf0dec5a0c49fbddeebf273a4a8f1d8b76dbbf770914185d74550edbce782aa4","2026-05-23T06:12:15Z",1343114.0963930092,"[\"74257523463063023273742573330145283889427051176085883328253105581515193564468\", 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the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?","0x4997c22d314ed5e9f3712e46eb4847441b51fa730d10ad26240afa85f5d902be","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-22","2026-05-20T03:22:53.427586Z","9281356.548808977","2026-05-20T01:24:59.970904Z","2026-05-25T05:48:25.136273Z","2026-05-24 06:11:51+00","0xc9874fa0da59b0f197c3ea1413b877cc6a98a42111b0876b76194ba737a7bedb","2026-05-24T06:11:51Z",9281356.548808977,"[\"76544411040338411257599295295012643198330676736043352920758376546775086323514\", \"104302892772638837333710510023821201665416432071049864829496654361618497527919\"]","2026-05-20T03:21:57Z","2026-05-20T03:20:28.690106Z",{"id":705,"question":706,"conditionId":707,"slug":708,"resolutionSource":9,"liquidity":709,"startDate":710,"image":532,"icon":532,"description":529,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":711,"volume":712,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":713,"updatedAt":714,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":442,"groupItemThreshold":443,"questionID":715,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":716,"liquidityNum":717,"startDateIso":558,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":718,"volume1wk":719,"volume1mo":719,"volume1yr":719,"clobTokenIds":720,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":718,"volume1wkClob":719,"volume1moClob":719,"volume1yrClob":719,"volumeClob":716,"liquidityClob":717,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":721,"cyom":15,"competitive":722,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":723,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":103,"oneDayPriceChange":642,"oneHourPriceChange":727,"lastTradePrice":728,"bestBid":240,"bestAsk":728,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":729,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2308201","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?","0x4023fae82e2914ce29c6abc62d4353a7ea1eeaca5dd73b27faeead9abbee790f","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-june-7-849","31428.1805","2026-05-20T03:22:34.33Z","[\"0.835\", \"0.165\"]","211044.58454899993","2026-05-20T01:25:01.391201Z","2026-05-25T20:51:06.341181Z","0xe6fa752cfcc718dcaa0293b71cb6d49d07126fd37c7d2f762704e8ac3e8913dc",211044.58454899993,31428.1805,91437.312561,211044.58454900002,"[\"68060545619806529188585182008653421338044061834461612376907971084091872283407\", \"106918836070665732375515777280121447330124183374337053371237246608919591568629\"]","2026-05-20T03:21:36Z",0.8990986535997662,[724],{"id":725,"conditionId":707,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":726,"startDate":558,"endDate":120},"380412",100,-0.04,0.84,"2026-05-20T03:20:28.684896Z",{"id":731,"question":732,"conditionId":733,"slug":734,"resolutionSource":9,"liquidity":735,"startDate":736,"image":532,"icon":532,"description":529,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":737,"volume":738,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":739,"updatedAt":740,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":741,"groupItemThreshold":277,"questionID":742,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":743,"liquidityNum":744,"startDateIso":558,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":745,"volume1wk":746,"volume1mo":746,"volume1yr":746,"clobTokenIds":747,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":745,"volume1wkClob":746,"volume1moClob":746,"volume1yrClob":746,"volumeClob":743,"liquidityClob":744,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":702,"cyom":15,"competitive":748,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":47,"oneDayPriceChange":749,"lastTradePrice":561,"bestBid":561,"bestAsk":452,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":750,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2308197","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?","0xd7540d64e03b1894ececcbb54c02b88d9c5c0e854ba66ec4e1ece20477994ac5","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-24-733","676237.37521","2026-05-20T03:22:53.683Z","[\"0.9995\", \"0.0005\"]","5898920.942783042","2026-05-20T01:25:00.451732Z","2026-05-25T20:55:30.582578Z","May 24","0x0379f54330b16515ac22561e1afcf219d3f9d45da757ae99ebea2a7ff4603a68",5898920.942783042,676237.37521,1740203.1849759973,5898920.942782985,"[\"66902292002298886203346771040056530419935679784084512135573484656394546021214\", \"46033958507493169857904838102936589464101605045185538155155508351893505173874\"]",0.8003199679231757,0.019,"2026-05-20T03:20:28.966768Z",{"id":752,"question":753,"conditionId":754,"slug":755,"resolutionSource":9,"liquidity":756,"startDate":757,"image":532,"icon":532,"description":529,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":758,"volume":759,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":760,"updatedAt":761,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":351,"groupItemThreshold":317,"questionID":762,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":763,"liquidityNum":764,"startDateIso":558,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":765,"volume1wk":763,"volume1mo":763,"volume1yr":763,"clobTokenIds":766,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":765,"volume1wkClob":763,"volume1moClob":763,"volume1yrClob":763,"volumeClob":763,"liquidityClob":764,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":767,"cyom":15,"competitive":768,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":769,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":333,"oneDayPriceChange":772,"oneHourPriceChange":615,"lastTradePrice":241,"bestBid":773,"bestAsk":240,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":774,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2308202","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?","0x13419cc3e895bf60225558dadd022c11597814a40ea15b25f99539a111ca5592","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-june-15-136-565","39875.9196","2026-05-20T03:23:58.273Z","[\"0.82\", \"0.18\"]","236449.08802299987","2026-05-20T01:25:01.708526Z","2026-05-25T20:54:34.357321Z","0xfaceb42f31cf96425aba15259afe62fc0c214e58fc2da66ceee5018ddad77d30",236449.08802299987,39875.9196,57308.044569,"[\"34469572488210314097583597667062358347218319345138346157322364624566803169286\", \"104196724554194903168126955583385281686104802872026043428241401762355656983977\"]","2026-05-20T03:23:02Z",0.9071117561683599,[770],{"id":771,"conditionId":754,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":157,"startDate":558,"endDate":120},"380421",0.065,0.81,"2026-05-20T03:20:28.698709Z",{"id":776,"question":777,"conditionId":778,"slug":779,"resolutionSource":9,"liquidity":780,"startDate":781,"image":532,"icon":532,"description":529,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":782,"volume":783,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":784,"updatedAt":785,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":141,"groupItemThreshold":142,"questionID":786,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":787,"liquidityNum":788,"startDateIso":558,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":789,"volume1wk":790,"volume1mo":790,"volume1yr":790,"clobTokenIds":791,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":789,"volume1wkClob":790,"volume1moClob":790,"volume1yrClob":790,"volumeClob":787,"liquidityClob":788,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":792,"cyom":15,"competitive":793,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":794,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":103,"oneDayPriceChange":797,"oneHourPriceChange":798,"lastTradePrice":799,"bestBid":800,"bestAsk":337,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":801,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2308203","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?","0x0425c582c43e27c6d74af7a553c1ce68b32bacdc77f0b23d62cdfe8aa1da0556","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-june-30-529-427","25792.316","2026-05-20T03:22:37.706Z","[\"0.725\", \"0.275\"]","192554.7834779999","2026-05-20T01:25:02.02071Z","2026-05-25T20:55:25.867686Z","0x33d16ca7e3fccff574daf3119a83d1c4f6b999c34b426ce6fc26ef10754fc598",192554.7834779999,25792.316,41303.001838,192554.78347800008,"[\"80087235532872821566701969299501386943572593589504782878991143809495484956238\", \"40897985910439195171182251168142595892630256015532646100009459741967055000508\"]","2026-05-20T03:21:41Z",0.9518143961927424,[795],{"id":796,"conditionId":778,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":157,"startDate":558,"endDate":120},"380418",0.03,-0.03,0.74,0.72,"2026-05-20T03:20:28.969947Z",{"id":803,"question":804,"conditionId":805,"slug":806,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":807,"startDate":808,"image":532,"icon":532,"description":529,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":549,"volume":809,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":810,"updatedAt":811,"closedTime":812,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":441,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":813,"groupItemThreshold":255,"questionID":814,"umaEndDate":815,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":816,"endDateIso":456,"startDateIso":389,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":817,"volume1wk":818,"volume1mo":818,"volume1yr":818,"clobTokenIds":819,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":817,"volume1wkClob":818,"volume1moClob":818,"volume1yrClob":818,"volumeClob":816,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":820,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":457,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":686,"lastTradePrice":561,"bestBid":561,"bestAsk":452,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":821,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2334096","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?","0x1eeb910620bfa52c348ca5b166c33230a0b142bec858d4fa46df18aeecbcecc0","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-23","2026-05-23T00:00:00Z","2026-05-22T21:55:27.227919Z","3224533.7693169867","2026-05-22T21:23:12.451464Z","2026-05-25T20:55:58.503152Z","2026-05-25 06:09:15+00","May 23","0xac8d9e6f26f0d2f58bf50101046b2530d657f90fe79d66d5101b5680ad7ea1d7","2026-05-25T06:09:15Z",3224533.7693169867,78049.86,3224533.769316996,"[\"62039857034766057537849114652768454493067489371721608659355640857121089800565\", \"68144541492593310909960555847119148596329352515100303750992724804378164766895\"]","2026-05-22T21:54:31Z","2026-05-22T21:25:43.617127Z",{"id":823,"question":824,"conditionId":825,"slug":826,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":827,"liquidity":828,"startDate":829,"image":532,"icon":532,"description":529,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":830,"volume":831,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":832,"updatedAt":833,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":441,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":834,"groupItemThreshold":55,"questionID":835,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":836,"liquidityNum":837,"endDateIso":838,"startDateIso":389,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":839,"volume1wk":840,"volume1mo":840,"volume1yr":840,"clobTokenIds":841,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":839,"volume1wkClob":840,"volume1moClob":840,"volume1yrClob":840,"volumeClob":836,"liquidityClob":837,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":842,"cyom":15,"competitive":843,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":457,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":844,"oneDayPriceChange":845,"oneHourPriceChange":846,"lastTradePrice":847,"bestBid":848,"bestAsk":849,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":850,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2334097","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?","0xa743ce4a2a42aa232c2caa41aa27837ff1cde07781a1e9a726342065c3d86ba6","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-25","2026-05-25T00:00:00Z","40807.29606","2026-05-22T21:55:29.041084Z","[\"0.9605\", \"0.0395\"]","1540938.5446680044","2026-05-22T21:23:13.67883Z","2026-05-25T20:49:18.967111Z","May 25","0x15564f01cfed53a4e0a920bc63d2cb08db779133b13d5c03fe3123a01e5b8fa5",1540938.5446680044,40807.29606,"2026-05-25",998955.2982349993,1547287.871256999,"[\"113865710444133629761199846077082796444758795994679834501128988577218650096183\", \"71134714016228456703422990700031493034757465509267241299940388386656655055536\"]","2026-05-22T21:54:33Z",0.8250414944306605,0.007,0.0165,-0.0295,0.966,0.957,0.964,"2026-05-22T21:25:43.377939Z",{"id":852,"question":853,"conditionId":854,"slug":855,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":405,"liquidity":856,"startDate":857,"image":532,"icon":532,"description":529,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":858,"volume":859,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":860,"updatedAt":861,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":441,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":412,"groupItemThreshold":200,"questionID":862,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":863,"liquidityNum":864,"endDateIso":417,"startDateIso":389,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":865,"volume1wk":866,"volume1mo":866,"volume1yr":866,"clobTokenIds":867,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":865,"volume1wkClob":866,"volume1moClob":866,"volume1yrClob":866,"volumeClob":863,"liquidityClob":864,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":868,"cyom":15,"competitive":869,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":457,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":586,"oneDayPriceChange":870,"oneHourPriceChange":871,"lastTradePrice":872,"bestBid":873,"bestAsk":874,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":875,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2334098","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?","0x92485347d2c139beb425df7bee78b98805d0eab1eb0cc953cf000e9a287eab7e","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-26","40981.43257","2026-05-22T21:55:30.825584Z","[\"0.937\", \"0.063\"]","484896.48987000034","2026-05-22T21:24:10.177759Z","2026-05-25T20:49:16.9489Z","0xf0c7a8a28886360cd6f6873fe54d7dad273db25bb9be8bc69cf5fc6e6a321cca",484896.48987000034,40981.43257,281207.1212719999,484896.4898699999,"[\"112900909023968872024339906602679973872958371800297037348498909011220308533432\", \"47164370963211473298689456054370908626270043333251899888463825931481847046527\"]","2026-05-22T21:54:35Z",0.8396524174852578,0.022,-0.0305,0.949,0.934,0.94,"2026-05-22T21:25:43.37913Z",{"id":877,"question":878,"conditionId":879,"slug":880,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":881,"liquidity":882,"startDate":883,"image":532,"icon":532,"description":529,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":884,"volume":885,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":886,"updatedAt":887,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":441,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":888,"groupItemThreshold":413,"questionID":889,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":890,"liquidityNum":891,"endDateIso":892,"startDateIso":389,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":893,"volume1wk":894,"volume1mo":894,"volume1yr":894,"clobTokenIds":895,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":893,"volume1wkClob":894,"volume1moClob":894,"volume1yrClob":894,"volumeClob":890,"liquidityClob":891,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":896,"cyom":15,"competitive":897,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":898,"rewardsMinSize":457,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"oneDayPriceChange":901,"oneHourPriceChange":902,"lastTradePrice":903,"bestBid":904,"bestAsk":905,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":906,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2334099","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?","0xbdf0bbe0d1fd006aec6deef5482ca94b8ff0ceea73860bda0a337c4ce50d4448","will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-28","2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","40917.39533","2026-05-22T21:55:26.172492Z","[\"0.9295\", \"0.0705\"]","312169.4569389998","2026-05-22T21:24:11.465386Z","2026-05-25T20:54:31.067704Z","May 28","0x49e0f28d8e4f5f78dae0be7fdab8511c01b13bf75dfb6f7079222eddfe6852cf",312169.4569389998,40917.39533,"2026-05-28",172353.08966500004,312169.45693899994,"[\"105982193323367540159500687384692641922043749736913112531862682190350634781798\", \"13542190214089330475983988889061033421619654584157538463778613935438537054467\"]","2026-05-22T21:54:29Z",0.8442592796231058,[899],{"id":900,"conditionId":879,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":726,"startDate":389,"endDate":120},"388516",0.0645,-0.0265,0.925,0.929,0.93,"2026-05-22T21:25:43.629386Z",[908,909,910,911],{"id":465,"label":466,"slug":467,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":468,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":470,"updatedAt":471,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":77,"label":515,"slug":516,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":517,"updatedBy":518,"createdAt":519,"updatedAt":520,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":486,"label":487,"slug":488,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":489,"updatedAt":490,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":509,"label":510,"slug":511,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":512,"updatedAt":513,"requiresTranslation":15},6,{"context_description":914,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":915},"US-Iran diplomatic talks have advanced toward extending the April 2026 ceasefire, with officials from both sides reporting narrowed gaps and a potential memorandum of understanding under discussion as of late May. The fragile truce, initially brokered via Pakistan and later prolonged without a firm deadline, centers on Iranian control of the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, oil transit, and limits on Tehran’s nuclear activities. Limited ground engagements between Israeli forces and Hezbollah in southern Lebanon, alongside intermittent Strait incidents, have tested compliance, while regional actors including Gulf states have urged restraint. Trader assessments reflect uncertainty over whether these negotiations will produce a longer-term agreement before any resumption of broader hostilities.","2026-05-25T20:45:46.301Z",{"id":917,"ticker":918,"slug":918,"title":919,"description":920,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":921,"creationDate":922,"endDate":93,"image":923,"icon":923,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":14,"restricted":14,"liquidity":924,"volume":925,"openInterest":926,"createdAt":927,"updatedAt":928,"competitive":929,"volume24hr":930,"volume1wk":931,"volume1mo":932,"volume1yr":932,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":924,"negRisk":15,"commentCount":933,"markets":934,"tags":1188,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"gmpChartMode":521,"negRiskAugmented":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":1193},"438327","iran-closes-its-airspace-by","Iran closes its airspace by...?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14\u002F) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firanian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14\u002F). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.aa.com.tr\u002Fen\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz\u002F3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.intellinews.com\u002Firan-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997\u002F).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.","2026-05-01T18:22:49.431559Z","2026-05-01T18:22:49.431549Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-iran-close-its-airspace-by-Djo8VXRKur_C.jpg",446321.85776,38223635.70423013,2870580.2076600003,"2026-05-01T16:11:36.585944Z","2026-05-25T20:57:39.902207Z",0.9569890826685449,2539898.3290969995,15701439.492638983,20126663.042394005,1812,[935,954,983,1002,1021,1039,1065,1088,1118,1139,1170],{"id":936,"question":937,"conditionId":938,"slug":939,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"startDate":940,"image":923,"icon":923,"description":920,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":941,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":942,"updatedAt":943,"closedTime":944,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":254,"groupItemThreshold":77,"questionID":945,"umaEndDate":946,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":947,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":948,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":949,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":947,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":950,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":951,"oneWeekPriceChange":952,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":953,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2133404","Iran closes its airspace by May 8?","0x2135ffcb43ba9103bb6acf7116d2d5aa98bef6d9eb3dc9c85ea00cb79513f3ec","iran-closes-its-airspace-by-may-8-754-861","2026-05-01T18:19:57.887Z","7426874.501728975","2026-05-01T16:11:36.966226Z","2026-05-10T07:03:12.604719Z","2026-05-09 06:57:31+00","0x45fa772dfdd8f89af7d7555a350cf3cb230dd7c98f4f0b4c1bcbb0aebd70afb6","2026-05-09T06:57:31Z",7426874.501728975,"2026-05-01","[\"92837230145827111699047765291253116935174408333713428554327237019578844028510\", \"16016908434025167220243178590358637924061830475505554559071284592301005386647\"]","2026-05-01T18:18:54Z",-0.027,-0.1945,"2026-05-01T18:17:37.742716Z",{"id":955,"question":956,"conditionId":957,"slug":958,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"liquidity":959,"startDate":960,"image":923,"icon":923,"description":920,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":961,"volume":962,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":963,"updatedAt":964,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":100,"groupItemThreshold":413,"questionID":965,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":966,"volumeNum":967,"liquidityNum":968,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":948,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":969,"volume1wk":970,"volume1mo":971,"volume1yr":971,"clobTokenIds":972,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":969,"volume1wkClob":970,"volume1moClob":971,"volume1yrClob":971,"volumeClob":967,"liquidityClob":968,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":973,"cyom":15,"competitive":974,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":844,"oneDayPriceChange":975,"oneHourPriceChange":976,"oneWeekPriceChange":977,"lastTradePrice":978,"bestBid":979,"bestAsk":980,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":981,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":982,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2133405","Iran closes its airspace by May 31?","0xb7dd41c16cd5b59e543ffcdab6a0d876f5ccef5329ea42ef1798d80c9a2b8499","iran-closes-its-airspace-by-may-31-434-443-672-526-188-756","37480.0713","2026-05-01T18:19:59.97Z","[\"0.1185\", \"0.8815\"]","6189733.224032979","2026-05-01T16:11:37.46332Z","2026-05-25T20:54:57.460216Z","0x62f11c8b1008b55a503f1f453afff2fbdc407472100d9b0a010e2bf0313f8de0","disputed",6189733.224032979,37480.0713,324519.932854,2842702.380802002,6189733.2240329925,"[\"110474507112100782314899291119134194443200805577700445554821199693457132940419\", \"7007479687771393426472496359544619082990700938465691884192299930471909724308\"]","2026-05-01T18:18:56Z",0.8729490335253894,-0.1975,-0.001,-0.2665,0.117,0.115,0.122,"[\"proposed\", \"disputed\", \"proposed\", \"disputed\"]","2026-05-01T18:17:37.744315Z",{"id":984,"question":985,"conditionId":986,"slug":987,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":193,"startDate":988,"image":923,"icon":923,"description":920,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":989,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":990,"updatedAt":991,"closedTime":992,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":199,"groupItemThreshold":255,"questionID":993,"umaEndDate":994,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":995,"endDateIso":204,"startDateIso":996,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":997,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":995,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":998,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":999,"oneWeekPriceChange":1000,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":1001,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2166353","Iran closes its airspace by May 15?","0xb24aa72235c46c88613dca167f2e324aeb03e73f556fda680bbbdb815a5c40d0","iran-closes-its-airspace-by-may-15-844-228","2026-05-05T15:58:46.803Z","3372286.635464979","2026-05-05T15:55:43.813941Z","2026-05-17T07:22:58.094214Z","2026-05-16 07:16:55+00","0x9c3e45bbce25d86b0462b806f40cac321a33e6d35a68f3064cca9032d2425dfb","2026-05-16T07:16:55Z",3372286.635464979,"2026-05-05","[\"734398511271502510109381105632768662842460952946759526898706610506840926646\", \"109843613471278081136579716112610825675336191317077384765507196742777894163123\"]","2026-05-05T15:57:44Z",-0.0255,-0.1245,"2026-05-05T15:56:28.006204Z",{"id":1003,"question":1004,"conditionId":1005,"slug":1006,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"startDate":1007,"image":923,"icon":923,"description":1008,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":1009,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":1010,"updatedAt":1011,"closedTime":1012,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":1013,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":1014,"umaEndDate":1015,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":1016,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":996,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":1017,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":1016,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":1018,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":457,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":1019,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":1020,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2167541","Iran closes its airspace by May 6?","0x1460e5fe8908d91054dc4ded8f66aff8fc4a188eca184681cc32f4d1148e729a","iran-closes-its-airspace-by-may-6","2026-05-05T18:14:27.506281Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN). \n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14\u002F) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firanian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14\u002F). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.aa.com.tr\u002Fen\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz\u002F3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.intellinews.com\u002Firan-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997\u002F).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.","203421.86479899986","2026-05-05T18:11:07.315604Z","2026-05-08T05:46:15.736115Z","2026-05-07 08:04:08+00","May 6","0x418abe9a4915acf2efc4381910fb62cbc9beb243dab1dadf8f44c983a41a2065","2026-05-07T08:04:08Z",203421.86479899986,"[\"53859962561220856472275273400723299442351061234219022316812835226702045386974\", \"24792821165174779949470576471959929468217014826280457011460748455621498819813\"]","2026-05-05T18:13:24Z",-0.011,"2026-05-05T18:12:10.199341Z",{"id":1022,"question":1023,"conditionId":1024,"slug":1025,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"startDate":1026,"image":923,"icon":923,"description":920,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":1027,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":1028,"updatedAt":1029,"closedTime":1030,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":1031,"groupItemThreshold":178,"questionID":1032,"umaEndDate":1033,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":1034,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":996,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":1035,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":1034,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":1036,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":457,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":1037,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":1038,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2167542","Iran closes its airspace by May 7?","0x10614339b310b66f52a38e53588937898935974ac452910154473cc4c353d072","iran-closes-its-airspace-by-may-7","2026-05-05T18:14:29.514823Z","664914.1603749997","2026-05-05T18:11:36.967941Z","2026-05-09T07:52:24.202012Z","2026-05-08 07:48:40+00","May 7","0x2ec55711250c89999a05c399727c9e3f296f39560943b59ad497ac918a0f2daf","2026-05-08T07:48:40Z",664914.1603749997,"[\"102802957629558371620845613861396219539074249168947689328275841912919918115898\", \"94849429812256990465410140921481544435943680803340565884249729570458541414096\"]","2026-05-05T18:13:26Z",-0.009,"2026-05-05T18:12:10.200981Z",{"id":1040,"question":1041,"conditionId":1042,"slug":1043,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1044,"liquidity":1045,"startDate":1046,"image":923,"icon":923,"description":920,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":1047,"volume":1048,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":1049,"updatedAt":1050,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":574,"groupItemThreshold":385,"questionID":1051,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":966,"volumeNum":1052,"liquidityNum":1053,"endDateIso":1054,"startDateIso":390,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":1055,"volume1wk":1056,"volume1mo":1056,"volume1yr":1056,"clobTokenIds":1057,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":1055,"volume1wkClob":1056,"volume1moClob":1056,"volume1yrClob":1056,"volumeClob":1052,"liquidityClob":1053,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":1058,"cyom":15,"competitive":1059,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":586,"oneDayPriceChange":1060,"oneHourPriceChange":1061,"lastTradePrice":1062,"bestBid":1063,"bestAsk":642,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":981,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":1064,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2296135","Iran closes its airspace by May 27?","0xdb22a7749b831aa07a52cbc83213e6c8ceb88226b224a831512f4460011bb0a1","iran-closes-its-airspace-by-may-29","2026-05-27T00:00:00Z","46043.03565","2026-05-18T22:50:39.392661Z","[\"0.077\", \"0.923\"]","1258800.566832003","2026-05-18T20:20:28.389049Z","2026-05-25T20:54:19.807408Z","0x6487d66469a7303818332496ed26ce2a3e77f470542a8d78d0ece0b01f30c34d",1258800.566832003,46043.03565,"2026-05-27",105693.38914400003,1258800.5668320002,"[\"36776925898219018084883186408823836833610752653165605283429703019115558772304\", \"15021526867762244578625724929449387107019557161250421045107388253027882407724\"]","2026-05-18T22:49:43Z",0.8482275014016959,-0.153,0.0195,0.082,0.074,"2026-05-18T22:48:33.912191Z",{"id":1066,"question":1067,"conditionId":1068,"slug":1069,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":344,"liquidity":1070,"startDate":1071,"image":923,"icon":923,"description":920,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":1072,"volume":1073,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":1074,"updatedAt":1075,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":351,"groupItemThreshold":101,"questionID":1076,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":966,"volumeNum":1077,"liquidityNum":1078,"endDateIso":355,"startDateIso":390,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":1079,"volume1wk":1080,"volume1mo":1080,"volume1yr":1080,"clobTokenIds":1081,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":1079,"volume1wkClob":1080,"volume1moClob":1080,"volume1yrClob":1080,"volumeClob":1077,"liquidityClob":1078,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":1058,"cyom":15,"competitive":1082,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":586,"oneDayPriceChange":1083,"oneHourPriceChange":1084,"lastTradePrice":1085,"bestBid":124,"bestAsk":1086,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":981,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":1087,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2296150","Iran closes its airspace by June 15?","0xd9933a54c518e773050255ea9dba01a71e1a41f49311ed078ae4a6f7e76b1625","iran-closes-its-airspace-by-june-15","30987.19603","2026-05-18T22:50:39.125379Z","[\"0.233\", \"0.767\"]","456030.40615299955","2026-05-18T20:21:53.344617Z","2026-05-25T20:51:51.913649Z","0x58295c7786507a815f262463771299a1e421754884bb439f5d24f51e6074657b",456030.40615299955,30987.19603,47459.50761300002,456030.4061530001,"[\"5291002486403963698456394956934053310121036253546476549622050243362322115551\", \"5579859909397581925119433456282978473087693004498051770318265701318284183073\"]",0.9334549313957298,-0.1855,-0.0015,0.231,0.236,"2026-05-18T22:48:33.915251Z",{"id":1089,"question":1090,"conditionId":1091,"slug":1092,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1093,"liquidity":1094,"startDate":1095,"image":923,"icon":923,"description":920,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":1096,"volume":1097,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":1098,"updatedAt":1099,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":141,"groupItemThreshold":443,"questionID":1100,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":966,"volumeNum":1101,"liquidityNum":1102,"endDateIso":1103,"startDateIso":1104,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":1105,"volume1wk":1106,"volume1mo":1107,"volume1yr":1107,"clobTokenIds":1108,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":1105,"volume1wkClob":1106,"volume1moClob":1107,"volume1yrClob":1107,"volumeClob":1101,"liquidityClob":1102,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":1109,"cyom":15,"competitive":1110,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":586,"oneDayPriceChange":1111,"oneHourPriceChange":1112,"oneWeekPriceChange":1113,"lastTradePrice":1114,"bestBid":1115,"bestAsk":1116,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":981,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":1117,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2241742","Iran closes its airspace by June 30?","0x51a7c8afb7a0e09b8b47643171d90f400de23a176c4ea06f6552d6e53213839c","iran-closes-its-airspace-by-june-30-432-786-462-866","2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","28559.484","2026-05-12T14:46:41.996Z","[\"0.287\", \"0.713\"]","1602556.7335759974","2026-05-12T14:42:17.254758Z","2026-05-25T20:49:17.556201Z","0x983b9432b5430b5495cca8d0e7e25d393b7c61fdc865bfeef7676aab46527cb7",1602556.7335759974,28559.484,"2026-06-30","2026-05-12",239255.03407599984,1396693.0906730017,1602556.7335760032,"[\"76527061745629652908457766004409984899987000940094360145808443814083595137867\", \"9598998819355492837623904986610317717224827402549825716972376565370772185206\"]","2026-05-12T14:45:45Z",0.9566000139663602,-0.1665,0.0005,-0.343,0.296,0.284,0.29,"2026-05-12T14:43:45.499862Z",{"id":1119,"question":1120,"conditionId":1121,"slug":1122,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1123,"startDate":1124,"image":923,"icon":923,"description":920,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":1125,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":1126,"updatedAt":1127,"closedTime":1128,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":1129,"groupItemThreshold":277,"questionID":1130,"umaEndDate":1131,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":1132,"endDateIso":390,"startDateIso":1104,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":1133,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":1132,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":1134,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":1135,"rewardsMaxSpread":1136,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":1137,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":1138,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2241871","Iran closes its airspace by May 18?","0xbd5922eed56186e904c4f327658e8c0cbd88cd854114d0906208f8b65cce6718","iran-closes-its-airspace-by-may-18","2026-05-18T00:00:00Z","2026-05-12T15:08:27.952583Z","2647429.200772006","2026-05-12T15:02:21.350493Z","2026-05-20T07:00:26.925336Z","2026-05-19 06:55:54+00","May 18","0xb54b8f2db27896c67b5d35679ae511e96d27f4a47ce192b3b25140cb55998f5e","2026-05-19T06:55:54Z",2647429.200772006,"[\"64250895273118653682664115464816407988569140150566031249701601749503452605462\", \"15143476484618996948697410629735412998469275555511495247746072196653796151837\"]","2026-05-12T15:07:32Z",20,5.5,-0.028,"2026-05-12T15:06:25.751354Z",{"id":1140,"question":1141,"conditionId":1142,"slug":1143,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1144,"liquidity":1145,"startDate":1146,"image":923,"icon":923,"description":920,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":1147,"volume":1148,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":1149,"updatedAt":1150,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":741,"groupItemThreshold":200,"questionID":1151,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":966,"volumeNum":1152,"liquidityNum":1153,"endDateIso":332,"startDateIso":1104,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":1154,"volume1wk":1155,"volume1mo":1156,"volume1yr":1156,"clobTokenIds":1157,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":1154,"volume1wkClob":1155,"volume1moClob":1156,"volume1yrClob":1156,"volumeClob":1152,"liquidityClob":1153,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":1158,"cyom":15,"competitive":1159,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":1160,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"oneDayPriceChange":1164,"oneHourPriceChange":1165,"oneWeekPriceChange":1166,"lastTradePrice":1167,"bestBid":1168,"bestAsk":1167,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":981,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":1169,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2241873","Iran closes its airspace by May 24?","0x4ba348328e4d4ddee9e6734c9a369b2e8138611651f9f6dc8f59dea51df6c734","iran-closes-its-airspace-by-may-24","2026-05-24T00:00:00Z","302374.68104","2026-05-12T15:08:30.267422Z","[\"0.0115\", \"0.9885\"]","10628369.460178185","2026-05-12T15:03:45.641355Z","2026-05-25T20:52:50.337746Z","0x30ebd10971cc044380ce6495e791828e9e0291fbb48550ca8be42149e1982791",10628369.460178185,302374.68104,1827461.1715309992,9754800.66484298,10628369.460178008,"[\"28593215534345447362156321620838626774652503878031452558083665828202001699551\", \"70200204795647665205365524365288012592454986193501445097094459968896854757537\"]","2026-05-12T15:07:34Z",0.8073421308059757,[1161],{"id":1162,"conditionId":1142,"assetAddress":1163,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":47,"startDate":456,"endDate":120},"390586","0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb",-0.0975,-0.0005,-0.2885,0.012,0.011,"2026-05-12T15:06:25.754038Z",{"id":1171,"question":1172,"conditionId":1173,"slug":1174,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1175,"startDate":1176,"image":923,"icon":923,"description":920,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":1177,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":1178,"updatedAt":1179,"closedTime":1180,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":680,"groupItemThreshold":55,"questionID":1181,"umaEndDate":1182,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":1183,"endDateIso":418,"startDateIso":1104,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":1184,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":1183,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":1185,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":263,"oneWeekPriceChange":1186,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":1187,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2241872","Iran closes its airspace by May 21?","0x098afead2c41677b0f09ae9d0013ca520eacdb3f0d7c8985c6581de7a0e9ac37","iran-closes-its-airspace-by-may-21","2026-05-21T00:00:00Z","2026-05-12T15:08:32.258966Z","3782046.298696005","2026-05-12T15:02:22.181196Z","2026-05-23T06:23:27.637744Z","2026-05-22 06:14:46+00","0xe8e6735b3d58775ee2793bf69de5da88d69ce99bdc3ab539b2dc98757ef0bb7b","2026-05-22T06:14:46Z",3782046.298696005,"[\"25765184634765339363827807992411986670067641678875992164214223288175352348465\", \"112135611227049632102833296892649508522129989874688677403193353750752980311218\"]","2026-05-12T15:07:36Z",-0.1545,"2026-05-12T15:06:25.752598Z",[1189,1190,1191,1192],{"id":77,"label":515,"slug":516,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":517,"updatedBy":518,"createdAt":519,"updatedAt":520,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":509,"label":510,"slug":511,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":512,"updatedAt":513,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":503,"label":504,"slug":505,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":506,"updatedAt":507,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":465,"label":466,"slug":467,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":468,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":470,"updatedAt":471,"requiresTranslation":15},{"context_description":1194,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":1195},"Ongoing military exchanges between Iran, the United States, and Israel since late February 2026 have produced repeated Iranian airspace restrictions tied to strikes, missile activity, and retaliation risks. Iranian authorities issued a NOTAM on May 22 closing the western sector of the Tehran Flight Information Region until May 25, suspending civil flight permits at affected airports amid reports of possible renewed U.S. strikes and ongoing diplomatic mediation. Partial reopenings occurred in April, with eastern sectors allowing limited overflights above certain altitudes under strict procedures, while western areas remain constrained. Trader assessments center on whether fresh escalations or stalled truce negotiations will trigger additional shutdowns before mid-2026 deadlines, as regional aviation advisories and high military alert levels persist.","2026-05-25T20:45:46.960Z",{"id":1197,"ticker":1198,"slug":1198,"title":1199,"description":1200,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":1201,"creationDate":1202,"image":1203,"icon":1203,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":14,"restricted":14,"liquidity":1204,"volume":1205,"openInterest":1206,"createdAt":1207,"updatedAt":1208,"competitive":1209,"volume24hr":1210,"volume1wk":1211,"volume1mo":1211,"volume1yr":1211,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":1204,"negRisk":15,"commentCount":1212,"markets":1213,"tags":1432,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"gmpChartMode":521,"negRiskAugmented":15,"featuredOrder":1438,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":1439},"517606","us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by","US announces new Iran agreement\u002Fceasefire extension by...?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. officially announces an extension of the ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran, defined as a publicly announced commitment to the continued halt of direct military engagement with Iran or announces a new peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.\n\nA qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the U.S. government that the U.S. has either:\n\n1. Extended its commitment to the ceasefire, either as a dated\u002Ftime-based extension (e.g. a 60 day extension) or through an explicit statement that the ceasefire has been extended.\n\n2. Renewed the existing ceasefire as part of a broader peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue.\n\nStatements which merely acknowledge, reaffirm, or describe the current ceasefire as remaining in effect, or which outline further negotiations or de-escalation measures, without announcing a new extension period, or successor agreement under which the ceasefire will continue, will not qualify.\n\nThe following would qualify:\n- President Trump announcing that “the ceasefire has been extended for another 60 days.”\n- An official U.S. statement announcing that “the United States and Iran have agreed to extend the ceasefire framework while negotiations continue.”\n- President Trump’s April 21, 2026 announcement extending the ceasefire “until the Iranian negotiators could reach a unified proposal.”\n- An announcement that the US and Iran have agreed to a new temporary framework under which the ceasefire would continue as Iran gradually reopens the Strait of Hormuz and the United States begins to unfreeze Iranian assets would qualify.\n\nThe following would not qualify:\n- Statements that the ceasefire merely “remains in effect” or “continues to hold,” without announcing a new extension, renewal, or successor agreement.\n- Statements that “the ceasefire will remain in effect while negotiations continue,” without announcing that the ceasefire itself has been extended, or a new framework or deal has been reached\n- Statements that negotiations are progressing, that talks are ongoing, or that the parties are “getting closer” to a deal, without announcing that the ceasefire itself has been extended, renewed, or continued under a new agreement.\n\n\nAn overwhelming consensus of credible reporting that a qualifying extension or successor agreement has been definitively established will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThis market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the U.S. government and will not require confirmation from Iran. ","2026-05-23T19:10:37.288944Z","2026-05-23T19:10:37.288923Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fus-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by-YUbbIA8Q0bWa.jpg",253486.31093,6109987.234103004,1134564.8135039997,"2026-05-23T18:26:34.669153Z","2026-05-25T20:57:25.874691Z",0.9999750006249843,2130529.7315490004,4531324.640231999,212,[1214,1243,1265,1288,1316,1333,1360,1382,1407],{"id":1215,"question":1216,"conditionId":1217,"slug":1218,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":881,"liquidity":1219,"startDate":1220,"image":1221,"icon":1221,"description":1222,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":1223,"volume":1224,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":1225,"updatedAt":1226,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":441,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":888,"groupItemThreshold":55,"questionID":1227,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":1228,"liquidityNum":1229,"endDateIso":892,"startDateIso":838,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":1230,"volume1wk":1230,"volume1mo":1230,"volume1yr":1230,"clobTokenIds":1231,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":1230,"volume1wkClob":1230,"volume1moClob":1230,"volume1yrClob":1230,"volumeClob":1228,"liquidityClob":1229,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":1232,"cyom":15,"competitive":1233,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":1234,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":1237,"oneHourPriceChange":1238,"lastTradePrice":1239,"bestBid":1240,"bestAsk":1241,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":1242,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2354002","US announces new Iran agreement\u002Fceasefire extension by May 28?","0xb2e7dd21dd889b9b56447857f03ea6188ebcef50599c3c1556c2f9141772d7bb","us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by-may-28","33476.0574","2026-05-25T15:11:50.231089Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fus-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by-may-26-nCyCTKk2gQe7.jpg","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. officially announces an extension of the ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran, defined as a publicly announced commitment to the continued halt of direct military engagement with Iran or announces a new peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.\n\nA qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the U.S. government that the U.S. has either:\n\n1. Extended its commitment to the ceasefire, either as a dated\u002Ftime-based extension (e.g. a 60 day extension) or through an explicit statement that the ceasefire has been extended.\n\n2. Renewed the existing ceasefire as part of a broader peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue.\n\nStatements which merely acknowledge, reaffirm, or describe the current ceasefire as remaining in effect, or which outline further negotiations or de-escalation measures, without announcing a new extension period, or successor agreement under which the ceasefire will continue, will not qualify.\n\nThe following would qualify:\n- President Trump announcing that “the ceasefire has been extended for another 60 days.”\n- An official U.S. statement announcing that “the United States and Iran have agreed to extend the ceasefire framework while negotiations continue.”\n- President Trump’s April 21, 2026 announcement extending the ceasefire “until the Iranian negotiators could reach a unified proposal.”\n- An announcement that the US and Iran have agreed to a new temporary framework under which the ceasefire would continue as Iran gradually reopens the Strait of Hormuz and the United States begins to unfreeze Iranian assets would qualify.\n\nThe following would not qualify:\n- Statements that the ceasefire merely “remains in effect” or “continues to hold,” without announcing a new extension, renewal, or successor agreement.\n- Statements that “the ceasefire will remain in effect while negotiations continue,” without announcing that the ceasefire itself has been extended, or a new framework or deal has been reached\n- Statements that negotiations are progressing, that talks are ongoing, or that the parties are “getting closer” to a deal, without announcing that the ceasefire itself has been extended, renewed, or continued under a new agreement.\n\nAn overwhelming consensus of credible reporting that a qualifying extension or successor agreement has been definitively established will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThis market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the U.S. government and will not require confirmation from Iran. 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announces new Iran agreement\u002Fceasefire extension by June 7?","0x27182c8b13f2a6284754660cbb3c6350a04f7aa4afe04d24dad481947014d90d","us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by-june-7-265","29896.367","2026-05-23T19:00:31.861Z","[\"0.75\", \"0.25\"]","265578.3873609997","2026-05-23T18:26:35.860459Z","2026-05-25T20:54:04.711401Z","0x2fd97ffdd3a4780377261795993875024dc2d0cab3d8d05aed321c0e12999340",265578.3873609997,29896.367,160984.81148199996,265578.38736099994,"[\"75368773924796889692244095268680530845326674028335428890799102675233506021923\", 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announces new Iran agreement\u002Fceasefire extension by May 31?","0x6a8cfe84d17693425f27831db5949d7511f3393d4624b182ac6956164cd32b10","us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by-may-31-665","53513.2142","2026-05-23T19:00:25.012Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fus-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by-may-31-H9gDFAYNtb5_.jpg","[\"0.52\", \"0.48\"]","798763.1424130006","2026-05-23T18:26:35.637733Z","2026-05-25T20:50:48.395166Z","0xa9b98ef6123e6b4a22cb5b893f416cc93d8eae19815244155aacd30995812fd3",798763.1424130006,53513.2142,509304.9320870005,798763.142412999,"[\"110685453135299924591630149473529665994132772243041725681323799510474856345343\", \"95319765794182093287927679833194607351139501701926036955896570172084718641711\"]","2026-05-23T18:59:29Z",0.9996001599360256,[1428],{"id":1429,"conditionId":1410,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":396,"startDate":456,"endDate":120},"392569",0.145,"2026-05-23T18:58:21.797137Z",[1433,1434,1435,1436,1437],{"id":77,"label":515,"slug":516,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":517,"updatedBy":518,"createdAt":519,"updatedAt":520,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":509,"label":510,"slug":511,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":512,"updatedAt":513,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":486,"label":487,"slug":488,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":489,"updatedAt":490,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":465,"label":466,"slug":467,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":468,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":470,"updatedAt":471,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":503,"label":504,"slug":505,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":506,"updatedAt":507,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},2,{"context_description":1440,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":1441},"US-Iran negotiations, mediated by Pakistan since the April 8, 2026, two-week ceasefire, center on converting the truce into a longer arrangement amid disputes over Iran’s nuclear program, ballistic missiles, and access through the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump extended the ceasefire indefinitely on April 21 pending a unified Iranian proposal, while the US maintained a naval blockade to pressure compliance. As of late May, both sides have exchanged revised drafts, with Trump stating on May 23 that an agreement is largely negotiated and details will be announced shortly; Iranian officials have described progress toward a memorandum of understanding that could include a 60-day extension and Hormuz reopening. Intermittent violations and remaining gaps on enrichment limits continue to shape trader focus on near-term diplomatic breakthroughs before any formal announcement.","2026-05-25T20:45:59.944Z",{"id":1443,"ticker":1444,"slug":1444,"title":1445,"description":1446,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":1447,"creationDate":1448,"endDate":93,"image":1449,"icon":1449,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":1450,"volume":1451,"openInterest":1452,"createdAt":1453,"updatedAt":1454,"competitive":1455,"volume24hr":1456,"volume1wk":1457,"volume1mo":1458,"volume1yr":1459,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":1450,"commentCount":452,"markets":1460,"series":1490,"tags":1503,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":14,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"seriesSlug":1493,"negRiskAugmented":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":1556},"329821","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on\u002Froll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for May 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https:\u002F\u002Fportwatch.imf.org\u002Fpages\u002Fcb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","2026-03-31T21:45:53.401682Z","2026-03-31T21:45:53.401676Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg",361892.06782,25275921.24265309,5308665.054611,"2026-03-31T18:48:51.226247Z","2026-05-25T20:57:34.588974Z",0.8228448048870399,1001060.2586099997,9428718.750267997,22687824.72707001,25275921.242653046,[1461],{"id":1462,"question":1445,"conditionId":1463,"slug":1444,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"liquidity":1464,"startDate":1465,"image":1449,"icon":1449,"description":1446,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":1466,"volume":1467,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":1468,"updatedAt":1469,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":9,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":1470,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":1471,"liquidityNum":1472,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":1473,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":1474,"volume1wk":1475,"volume1mo":1476,"volume1yr":1477,"clobTokenIds":1478,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":1474,"volume1wkClob":1475,"volume1moClob":1476,"volume1yrClob":1477,"volumeClob":1471,"liquidityClob":1472,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":1479,"cyom":15,"competitive":1480,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":1481,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":1484,"oneDayPriceChange":1084,"oneHourPriceChange":686,"oneWeekPriceChange":1485,"oneMonthPriceChange":1486,"lastTradePrice":1487,"bestBid":1488,"bestAsk":1487,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":1489,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1809560","0x518a5b030b205706b8ffe6bbad9bd3de59548348e5c0471827f5de21e513333c","379617.60862","2026-03-31T21:44:10.7595Z","[\"0.0365\", \"0.9635\"]","25279954.841990087","2026-03-31T18:48:51.612935Z","2026-05-25T20:48:45.896432Z","0x4d50c7654aab4abe61e0a50073eb96cf4e08bb75b952802517baf521d159f933",25279954.841990087,379617.60862,"2026-03-31",1004133.4267809998,9429062.446291998,22688581.101551007,25279954.841990046,"[\"75845920741796858670183364159540464375486880005358999101126589340494255300090\", \"100297578629699403208665948730031291871216767534595550828919035864255991611215\"]","2026-03-31T21:43:05Z",0.8231589176201076,[1482],{"id":1483,"conditionId":1463,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":58,"startDate":158,"endDate":120},"288109",0.003,-0.0185,-0.3035,0.038,0.035,"2026-03-31T21:41:51.133097Z",[1491],{"id":1492,"ticker":1493,"slug":1493,"title":1494,"seriesType":1495,"recurrence":1496,"image":9,"icon":9,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"createdAt":1497,"updatedAt":1498,"volume24hr":1499,"volume":1500,"liquidity":1501,"commentCount":1502,"requiresTranslation":15},"11492","hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal","Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal","single","monthly","2026-03-31T18:45:41.417299Z","2026-05-25T20:57:35.658212Z",1498674.0531179993,36490437.12178714,873285.26942,2257,[1504,1509,1510,1511,1517,1523,1530,1537,1542,1548,1555],{"id":1505,"label":1506,"slug":1506,"createdAt":1507,"updatedAt":1508,"requiresTranslation":15},"104131","transit","2026-03-09T17:51:27.232267Z","2026-04-17T17:25:12.073183Z",{"id":509,"label":510,"slug":511,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":512,"updatedAt":513,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":503,"label":504,"slug":505,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":506,"updatedAt":507,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1512,"label":1513,"slug":1514,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":1515,"updatedAt":1516,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"104139","Hormuz","hormuz","2026-03-09T20:12:10.823469Z","2026-04-17T17:26:23.150452Z",{"id":1518,"label":1519,"slug":1520,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":1521,"updatedAt":1522,"requiresTranslation":15},"101253","Macro Geopolitics","macro-geopolitics","2024-11-13T01:49:20.436741Z","2026-04-17T17:19:59.236496Z",{"id":1524,"label":1525,"slug":1526,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1527,"createdAt":1528,"updatedAt":1529,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"309","Oil","oil","2023-11-02 21:53:13.969+00","2023-11-02T21:53:13.977Z","2026-04-17T20:40:55.156199Z",{"id":1531,"label":1532,"slug":1533,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1534,"createdAt":1535,"updatedAt":1536,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"262","Strait of Hormuz","strait-of-hormuz","2023-11-02 21:45:34.694+00","2023-11-02T21:45:34.718Z","2026-04-15T21:01:56.57983Z",{"id":1538,"label":1539,"slug":1539,"createdAt":1540,"updatedAt":1541,"requiresTranslation":15},"104130","ships","2026-03-09T17:51:27.162062Z","2026-04-17T20:35:56.064895Z",{"id":1543,"label":1544,"slug":1545,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":1546,"updatedAt":1547,"requiresTranslation":15},"100328","Economy","economy","2024-08-05T05:34:54.235643Z","2026-04-17T20:29:06.948273Z",{"id":1549,"label":1550,"slug":1551,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1552,"createdAt":1553,"updatedAt":1554,"requiresTranslation":15},"303","China","china","2023-11-02 21:52:11.147+00","2023-11-02T21:52:11.155Z","2026-04-17T20:49:04.250426Z",{"id":465,"label":466,"slug":467,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":468,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":470,"updatedAt":471,"requiresTranslation":15},{"context_description":1557,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":1558},"Ongoing restrictions tied to the U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict that began February 28, 2026, continue to limit Strait of Hormuz transits to roughly 16 percent of pre-crisis levels, with only about 33 vessels passing daily against a normal 60. Iranian forces maintain de facto control through vetting requirements, fees, and selective closures, while a U.S. blockade of Iranian ports and a backlog of roughly 1,500 stranded ships further constrain movement. Recent limited transits by Chinese and other tankers reflect partial easing after cease-fire talks, yet daily throughput and insurance conditions remain far from normal. With end-of-May resolution only days away, traders see negligible scope for full restoration absent an immediate, comprehensive diplomatic breakthrough that clears procedural and logistical hurdles.","2026-05-25T20:45:45.810Z",{"id":1560,"ticker":1561,"slug":1561,"title":1562,"description":1563,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":1564,"creationDate":1565,"endDate":93,"image":1566,"icon":1566,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":14,"restricted":14,"liquidity":1567,"volume":1568,"openInterest":1569,"createdAt":1570,"updatedAt":1571,"competitive":1572,"volume24hr":1573,"volume1wk":1574,"volume1mo":1575,"volume1yr":1575,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":1567,"negRisk":15,"commentCount":56,"markets":1576,"series":1695,"tags":1703,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":14,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"seriesSlug":1698,"gmpChartMode":521,"negRiskAugmented":15,"featuredOrder":48,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":1734},"429426","what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-may-31","What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States agrees to the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nContinued enrichment of uranium by Iran refers to US acceptance of the enrichment of, or the right to enrich, any quantity of uranium by Iran for any future amount of time. Agreements that include limitations, restrictions, or specified terms (e.g., caps on enrichment level, monitoring requirements) will qualify, provided the United States accepts continued enrichment.\n\nThe United States will be considered to have agreed to the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran if:\n\n- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that they have definitively agreed to accept the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran.\n- Continued enrichment of uranium by Iran is included as part of a treaty or deal that is formally established between the United States and Iran, either through signing or other formal means.\n\nAgreement refers to an explicit acceptance, authorization or consent to the specified action. Only announcements of definitive agreement will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.\n\nAny definitive agreement or commitment made before the resolution date will be considered, regardless of when or whether the specified action is begun.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump and the US government and their official representatives; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of an announcement or formal agreement.","2026-04-29T02:44:51.768859Z","2026-04-29T02:44:51.768848Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwhat-will-the-us-agree-to-6H3WGF-B3geo.jpg",317924.46516,6144546.987759977,1077246.471861,"2026-04-29T02:02:37.249849Z","2026-05-25T20:57:25.904378Z",0.9969841230278408,778703.7784439998,3358267.9319830006,6144546.987760007,[1577,1605,1633,1665],{"id":1578,"question":1579,"conditionId":1580,"slug":1581,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"liquidity":1582,"startDate":1583,"image":1584,"icon":1584,"description":1585,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":1586,"volume":1587,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":1588,"updatedAt":1589,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":1590,"groupItemThreshold":178,"questionID":1591,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":1592,"liquidityNum":1593,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":158,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":1594,"volume1wk":1595,"volume1mo":1596,"volume1yr":1596,"clobTokenIds":1597,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":1594,"volume1wkClob":1595,"volume1moClob":1596,"volume1yrClob":1596,"volumeClob":1592,"liquidityClob":1593,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":1598,"cyom":15,"competitive":1572,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":1599,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":103,"oneDayPriceChange":122,"oneHourPriceChange":797,"oneWeekPriceChange":1286,"lastTradePrice":1602,"bestBid":1602,"bestAsk":1603,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":1604,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2111562","Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?","0xa37173a88dc5622e1c42e9f8f5a9d20d70b9b99e52cb76e64fb0ad95503fcaef","will-trump-agree-to-iranian-oil-sanction-relief-by-may-31","40709.5168","2026-04-29T02:40:25.071278Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-the-trump-agree-to-iranian-oil-sanction-relief-kpgx1I3poF0q.jpg","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States agrees to remove, suspend, waive, or otherwise reduce any sanctions restricting Iranian oil exports by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nSanctions restricting Iranian oil exports refers to U.S. restrictions that prohibit or limit the production, sale, transport, purchase, or export of crude oil, petroleum, or petrochemical products from Iran, including associated shipping, insurance, and financial transactions necessary for such exports. This includes both primary sanctions, which apply to U.S. persons, and secondary sanctions, which apply to non-U.S. persons or entities engaging in such activities.\n\nThe United States will be considered to have agreed to remove, suspend, waive, or reduce such sanctions if:\n- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States has definitively agreed to remove, suspend, waive, or otherwise reduce any sanctions restricting Iranian oil\n- The removal, suspension, waiver, or reduction of any such sanctions is included as part of a treaty or deal formally established between the United States and Iran, including through signing or other formal means.\n\nAgreement refers to an explicit acceptance, authorization, or consent to the specified action. Only announcements of definitive agreement will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.\n\nAny definitive agreement or commitment made before the resolution date will qualify, regardless of when or whether the specified action is implemented.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of an announcement or formal agreement.","[\"0.445\", \"0.555\"]","485786.9600269999","2026-04-29T02:02:37.808979Z","2026-05-25T20:55:09.733851Z","Oil Sanction Relief","0xbbc25ce16fef0875ff0b4e8547577b5fde926cc12d0246df089651ed45d1df37",485786.9600269999,40709.5168,61998.205848000034,290569.44426999975,485786.9600269993,"[\"15684586893414105046651954168699318899411795932713212340182179726370102895016\", \"72945183032866220113486438724920771567185650105937361693473698968804403645613\"]","2026-04-29T02:39:22Z",[1600],{"id":1601,"conditionId":1580,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":58,"startDate":158,"endDate":120},"277546",0.44,0.45,"2026-04-29T02:38:06.651216Z",{"id":1606,"question":1607,"conditionId":1608,"slug":1609,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"liquidity":1610,"startDate":1611,"image":1612,"icon":1612,"description":1613,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":1614,"volume":1615,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":1616,"updatedAt":1617,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":1618,"groupItemThreshold":255,"questionID":1619,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":1620,"liquidityNum":1621,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":158,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":1622,"volume1wk":1623,"volume1mo":1624,"volume1yr":1624,"clobTokenIds":1625,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":1622,"volume1wkClob":1623,"volume1moClob":1624,"volume1yrClob":1624,"volumeClob":1620,"liquidityClob":1621,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":1598,"cyom":15,"competitive":1626,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":1627,"rewardsMinSize":726,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":333,"oneDayPriceChange":367,"oneHourPriceChange":1630,"oneWeekPriceChange":1631,"lastTradePrice":126,"bestBid":1239,"bestAsk":126,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":1632,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2111564","Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?","0x8374c773aa911e00a8d5c02e0130d57d18a9b5035b26e50f0e48ef1b74dd5c75","will-trump-agree-to-unfreeze-iranian-assets-by-may-31","41203.4719","2026-04-29T02:40:25.326175Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-trump-agree-to-unfreeze-iranian-assets-in-april-WKx3XcJKn1AN.jpg","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States agrees to unfreeze any Iranian assets by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nUnfreezing Iranian assets refers to the release, transfer, or restoration of Iranian access to any assets that are frozen, blocked, or otherwise inaccessible due to U.S. sanctions or restrictions. This includes both assets held in the United States and assets held in foreign jurisdictions where access is restricted due to U.S. sanctions. The removal of sanctions which freeze these assets will also be considered to be unfreezing Iranian assets.\n\nThe United States will be considered to have agreed to unfreeze Iranian assets if:\n- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States has agreed to unfreeze any Iranian assets.\n- The unfreezing of any Iranian assets is included as part of a treaty or deal that is formally established between the United States and Iran, either through signing or other formal means.\n\nAgreement refers to an explicit acceptance, authorization or consent to the specified action. Only announcements of definitive agreement will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.\n\nAny definitive agreement or commitment made before the resolution date will be considered, regardless of when or whether the specified action is begun.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of an announcement or formal agreement.","[\"0.37\", \"0.63\"]","603366.2933809909","2026-04-29T02:02:38.441709Z","2026-05-25T20:53:04.465656Z","Unfreeze Iranian Assets","0x9619a1ffee523ad0ce92b849a527193cb065008433c2459f887ba0230b50e320",603366.2933809909,41203.4719,103971.69040699999,388330.4210290008,603366.2933810032,"[\"101925823434448810063777591529269305607728896028846969891254029999406909814043\", \"109426667516915176606037932747045126716714742777639607958053033118962693273625\"]",0.9833808634083981,[1628],{"id":1629,"conditionId":1608,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":365,"startDate":158,"endDate":120},"277542",-0.12,0.205,"2026-04-29T02:38:06.653806Z",{"id":1634,"question":1635,"conditionId":1636,"slug":1637,"endDate":93,"liquidity":1638,"startDate":1639,"image":1640,"icon":1640,"description":1563,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":1641,"volume":1642,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":1643,"updatedAt":1644,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":1645,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":1646,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":1647,"liquidityNum":1648,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":158,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":1649,"volume1wk":1650,"volume1mo":1651,"volume1yr":1651,"clobTokenIds":1652,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":1649,"volume1wkClob":1650,"volume1moClob":1651,"volume1yrClob":1651,"volumeClob":1647,"liquidityClob":1648,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":1653,"cyom":15,"competitive":1654,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":1655,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":1658,"oneDayPriceChange":1659,"oneHourPriceChange":1660,"oneWeekPriceChange":1661,"lastTradePrice":1662,"bestBid":1487,"bestAsk":1663,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":1664,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2111561","Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?","0x3f0743b88ef23a678e1d07fd2fb92badcbbb17aeca7110f188533b081afbd6af","will-trump-agree-to-iranian-enrichment-of-uranium-by-may-31","108895.74961","2026-04-29T02:40:21.20963Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-the-us-agree-to-iranian-enrichment-of-uranium-vOIWD-3n4HdU.jpg","[\"0.042\", \"0.958\"]","2829783.464761004","2026-04-29T02:02:37.454381Z","2026-05-25T20:49:43.844669Z","Enrichment of Uranium","0x78528ac83274fe60690a9f6d2bc350caf2537e6308d824544800b4fa585f3266",2829783.464761004,108895.74961,299710.92625499994,1064727.1202019996,2829783.4647610025,"[\"47581242576233831747274285853656933189233893963158067360773642391873753654951\", \"81775104486492958447787898893469756027471619209999774676888733580861145165382\"]","2026-04-29T02:39:18Z",0.8266075036122748,[1656],{"id":1657,"conditionId":1636,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":58,"startDate":158,"endDate":120},"277541",0.008,-0.0095,0.0155,-0.014,0.042,0.046,"2026-04-29T02:38:06.645323Z",{"id":1666,"question":1667,"conditionId":1668,"slug":1669,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"liquidity":1670,"startDate":1671,"image":1672,"icon":1672,"description":1673,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":1674,"volume":1675,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":1676,"updatedAt":1677,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":1678,"groupItemThreshold":77,"questionID":1679,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":1680,"liquidityNum":1681,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":158,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":1682,"volume1wk":1683,"volume1mo":1684,"volume1yr":1684,"clobTokenIds":1685,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":1682,"volume1wkClob":1683,"volume1moClob":1684,"volume1yrClob":1684,"volumeClob":1680,"liquidityClob":1681,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":1686,"cyom":15,"competitive":1687,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":1688,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":686,"oneDayPriceChange":1691,"oneHourPriceChange":1692,"oneWeekPriceChange":1061,"lastTradePrice":125,"bestBid":125,"bestAsk":1693,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":1694,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2111563","Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?","0xb4067f81957ef1458e9712000807a4525c595f3c25a0c933ec2f69c0efb2e878","will-trump-agree-to-iranian-transit-fees-in-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-may-31","126146.13216","2026-04-29T02:40:23.025227Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-the-trump-agree-to-iranian-transit-fees-in-the-strait-of-hormuz-2D2WdJ1aiN-6.jpg","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States agrees to Iran charging fees on ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIran charging fees on ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz refers to U.S. acceptance of Iran imposing tolls, transit fees, passage charges, or other mandatory payments on commercial vessels in exchange for transit through the Strait of Hormuz.\n\nThe United States will be considered to have agreed to Iran charging such fees if:\n- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States has definitively agreed to accept Iran charging such fees on ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz.\n- Iran charging such fees is included as part of a treaty or deal formally established between the United States and Iran, including through signing or other formal means.\n\nAgreement refers to an explicit acceptance, authorization, or consent to the specified action. Only announcements of definitive agreement will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.\n\nAny definitive agreement or commitment made before the resolution date will qualify, regardless of when or whether the specified action is implemented.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of an announcement or formal agreement.","[\"0.051\", \"0.949\"]","2230801.471225982","2026-04-29T02:02:38.135307Z","2026-05-25T20:54:53.693883Z","Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz","0xd4392f1ea31108f079ebae3092145452fd7988e8d2acb2dc06530781ef8b9ba5",2230801.471225982,126146.13216,316650.8610329999,1612563.4605150002,2230801.471226003,"[\"5056021949680764886450706128576006104255409441521337705030162619307203025844\", \"110926498909040705594535466359062123112213106712524456389827111868115511353391\"]","2026-04-29T02:39:20Z",0.832223009135312,[1689],{"id":1690,"conditionId":1668,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":331,"startDate":158,"endDate":120},"277544",0.0125,0.0105,0.052,"2026-04-29T02:38:06.648111Z",[1696],{"id":1697,"ticker":1698,"slug":1698,"title":1699,"seriesType":1495,"recurrence":1496,"image":9,"icon":9,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"createdAt":1700,"updatedAt":1701,"volume24hr":1573,"volume":1568,"liquidity":1567,"commentCount":1702,"requiresTranslation":15},"11622","trump-agree-iran","Trump agree Iran","2026-04-30T22:38:06.843517Z","2026-05-25T20:57:34.789637Z",252,[1704,1705,1711,1716,1717,1718,1719,1725,1726,1727,1728],{"id":465,"label":466,"slug":467,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":468,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":470,"updatedAt":471,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1706,"label":1707,"slug":1708,"createdAt":1709,"updatedAt":1710,"requiresTranslation":15},"102620","Sanctions","sanctions","2025-09-24T15:43:18.584689Z","2026-03-09T22:34:18.709684Z",{"id":1712,"label":1713,"slug":1713,"createdAt":1714,"updatedAt":1715,"requiresTranslation":15},"104541","toll","2026-04-09T21:54:37.706331Z","2026-04-15T21:03:59.555986Z",{"id":486,"label":487,"slug":488,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":489,"updatedAt":490,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":473,"label":474,"slug":475,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":476,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":477,"updatedAt":478,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1531,"label":1532,"slug":1533,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1534,"createdAt":1535,"updatedAt":1536,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1720,"label":1721,"slug":1722,"createdAt":1723,"updatedAt":1724,"requiresTranslation":15},"104518","Enrich","enrich","2026-04-08T20:57:48.413266Z","2026-04-17T20:54:27.390867Z",{"id":509,"label":510,"slug":511,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":512,"updatedAt":513,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":77,"label":515,"slug":516,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":517,"updatedBy":518,"createdAt":519,"updatedAt":520,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":503,"label":504,"slug":505,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":506,"updatedAt":507,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1729,"label":1730,"slug":1731,"createdAt":1732,"updatedAt":1733,"requiresTranslation":15},"103624","Uranium","uranium","2026-02-03T18:15:02.295714Z","2026-04-17T20:55:48.06204Z",{"context_description":1735,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":1736},"US-Iran talks center on a potential memorandum of understanding to extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, end the US naval blockade, and provide limited sanctions relief or asset unfreezing in exchange for Iranian assurances against nuclear weapons pursuit. Nuclear issues remain the core dispute, with Washington pressing for handover of highly enriched uranium and limits on facilities like Natanz, while Tehran resists immediate concessions and seeks to defer those talks. Recent Trump statements indicate a framework is largely negotiated but urge caution against rushing, with the blockade to stay in place until finalized. Iran has signaled consensus on several non-nuclear points yet described any deal as not imminent. The May 31 horizon aligns with the tight negotiation window for these initial terms.","2026-05-25T20:46:03.271Z",{"id":1738,"ticker":1739,"slug":1739,"title":1740,"description":1741,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":1742,"creationDate":1743,"endDate":93,"image":1744,"icon":1744,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":1745,"volume":1746,"openInterest":1747,"createdAt":1748,"updatedAt":1749,"competitive":1750,"volume24hr":1751,"volume1wk":1752,"volume1mo":1753,"volume1yr":1754,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":1745,"commentCount":452,"markets":1755,"series":1777,"tags":1788,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":14,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"seriesSlug":1780,"negRiskAugmented":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":1831},"304265","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-may-31","Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis requires a broad consensus of reporting indicating that core structures of the Islamic Republic (e.g. the office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, IRGC control under clerical authority) have been dissolved, incapacitated, or replaced by a fundamentally different governing system or otherwise lost de facto power over a majority of the population of Iran. This could occur via revolution, civil war, military coup, or voluntary abdication, but only qualifies if the Islamic Republic no longer exercises sovereign power.\n\nRoutine political events such as elections, reforms, or leadership succession do not qualify. Internal coups or power shifts that preserve the Islamic Republic’s core structures also do not qualify. Only a clear break in continuity—such as a new provisional government, revolutionary council, or constitution replacing the Islamic Republic will qualify.\n\nPartial loss of territory or challenges from rebel or exile groups will not qualify unless the Islamic Republic no longer administers the majority of the Iranian population within Iran. \n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. ","2026-04-01T16:26:26.185791Z","2026-04-01T16:26:26.185787Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-the-iranian-regime-fall-in-2025-YLXIniTmQs4q.png",2201723.7834,30313150.928881947,7280353.694721,"2026-03-24T19:52:18.772899Z","2026-05-25T20:56:55.066736Z",0.8015991903848178,698450.5729340004,8273935.753136005,23390037.147868115,30313150.92888174,[1756],{"id":1757,"question":1740,"conditionId":1758,"slug":1739,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"liquidity":1759,"startDate":1760,"image":1744,"icon":1744,"description":1741,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":1761,"volume":1762,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":1763,"updatedAt":1764,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":9,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":1765,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":1766,"liquidityNum":1767,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":1768,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":1769,"volume1wk":1770,"volume1mo":1771,"volume1yr":1772,"clobTokenIds":1773,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":1769,"volume1wkClob":1770,"volume1moClob":1771,"volume1yrClob":1772,"volumeClob":1766,"liquidityClob":1767,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":1774,"cyom":15,"competitive":1750,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":47,"oneDayPriceChange":976,"oneWeekPriceChange":123,"oneMonthPriceChange":1775,"lastTradePrice":1484,"bestBid":686,"bestAsk":1484,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":1776,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1707932","0x789c947a9415600d30d56a4aae88d4111996679b0caed166d0c96242fdce92a2","2191667.8948","2026-04-01T16:23:13.899442Z","[\"0.0025\", \"0.9975\"]","30323150.928881947","2026-03-24T19:52:21.047903Z","2026-05-25T20:51:06.129867Z","0x399f6f5751ff9019428a6c3cfae4d3d0ef70e2af2e73c86f622493da059aa896",30323150.928881947,2191667.8948,"2026-04-01",708450.5729340004,8283782.083136005,23397021.777868114,30323150.92888174,"[\"57360053771630303266236723124451177814047338705194149193939656360140487569996\", \"24518145234935510389593655576204486088909794182728020215970587753906648618285\"]","2026-04-01T16:22:07Z",-0.034,"2026-04-01T16:20:45.105729Z",[1778],{"id":1779,"ticker":1780,"slug":1780,"title":1781,"seriesType":1495,"recurrence":1496,"image":9,"icon":9,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"createdAt":1782,"updatedAt":1783,"volume24hr":1784,"volume":1785,"liquidity":1786,"commentCount":1787,"requiresTranslation":15},"10134","iran-regime","iran regime","2025-06-17T21:46:44.300321Z","2026-05-25T20:57:39.935223Z",923406.4075090002,93047284.14696221,2962258.30524,3664,[1789,1795,1801,1808,1809,1810,1816,1823,1829,1830],{"id":1790,"label":1791,"slug":1792,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":1793,"updatedAt":1794,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"104005","Iran Regime","iranian-leadership-regime","2026-03-02T19:48:14.400431Z","2026-04-17T20:49:44.287128Z",{"id":1796,"label":1797,"slug":1798,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":1799,"updatedAt":1800,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"102304","Khamenei","khamenei","2025-06-23T18:41:15.452041Z","2026-04-17T21:07:43.263757Z",{"id":1802,"label":1803,"slug":1804,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1805,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":1806,"updatedAt":1807,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},"154","Middle East","middle-east","2023-11-02 21:26:20.585+00","2023-11-02T21:26:20.601Z","2026-04-17T20:19:53.885899Z",{"id":503,"label":504,"slug":505,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":506,"updatedAt":507,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":465,"label":466,"slug":467,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":468,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":470,"updatedAt":471,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1811,"label":1812,"slug":1813,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":1814,"updatedAt":1815,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"103996","Reza Pahlavi","reza-pahlavi","2026-03-01T18:06:44.46346Z","2026-04-15T20:44:20.356275Z",{"id":1817,"label":1818,"slug":1819,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1820,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":1821,"updatedAt":1822,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"180","Israel","israel","2023-11-02 21:31:07.39+00","2023-11-02T21:31:07.395Z","2026-04-17T17:25:43.191023Z",{"id":1824,"label":1825,"slug":1826,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":1827,"updatedAt":1828,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"104064","Israel x Iran","israel-x-iran","2026-03-03T03:22:41.390984Z","2026-04-17T17:27:23.240027Z",{"id":509,"label":510,"slug":511,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":512,"updatedAt":513,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":77,"label":515,"slug":516,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":517,"updatedBy":518,"createdAt":519,"updatedAt":520,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"context_description":1832,"context_requires_regen":15,"context_updated_at":1833},"The Iranian regime's entrenched institutional structures, security apparatus, and historical resilience against domestic unrest and external pressures underpin the overwhelming trader consensus against collapse by May 31. With only days remaining in the resolution window, no verified developments such as widespread military defections, coordinated leadership transitions, or decisive international interventions have materialized to alter the standing situation. Comparable short-term regime-change scenarios in the region have typically required months or years of sustained escalation rather than rapid overnight shifts. While low-probability events including sudden internal fractures or major external actions could theoretically intervene before the deadline, current conditions show no indicators capable of overcoming these structural barriers in the immediate term.","2026-05-25T20:45:44.432Z",{"id":1835,"ticker":1836,"slug":1836,"title":1837,"description":1838,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":1839,"creationDate":1840,"endDate":12,"image":1841,"icon":1841,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":1842,"volume":1843,"openInterest":1844,"createdAt":1845,"updatedAt":1846,"competitive":1306,"volume24hr":1847,"volume1wk":1848,"volume1mo":1849,"volume1yr":1850,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":1842,"negRisk":15,"commentCount":1851,"markets":1852,"tags":1962,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"gmpChartMode":521,"negRiskAugmented":15,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":1969},"329654","us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by","US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.\n\nQualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.\n\nA widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","2026-03-31T21:53:43.811955Z","2026-03-31T21:53:43.811952Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fus-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-may-31-bmDm36-gxJBm.jpg",524943.97343,20722146.80075694,4700861.830829,"2026-03-31T17:34:45.499248Z","2026-05-25T20:56:55.259658Z",585067.0229939999,4612259.486077006,12877234.259008,19558212.370011933,182,[1853,1882,1900,1924,1951],{"id":1854,"question":1855,"conditionId":1856,"slug":1857,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"liquidity":1858,"startDate":1859,"image":1841,"icon":1841,"description":1838,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":1860,"volume":1861,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":1862,"updatedAt":1863,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":100,"groupItemThreshold":178,"questionID":1864,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":1865,"liquidityNum":1866,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":1473,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":1867,"volume1wk":1868,"volume1mo":1869,"volume1yr":1870,"clobTokenIds":1871,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":1867,"volume1wkClob":1868,"volume1moClob":1869,"volume1yrClob":1870,"volumeClob":1865,"liquidityClob":1866,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":1872,"cyom":15,"competitive":1873,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":1874,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":47,"oneDayPriceChange":84,"oneHourPriceChange":47,"oneWeekPriceChange":1878,"oneMonthPriceChange":1879,"lastTradePrice":1167,"bestBid":1167,"bestAsk":1880,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":1881,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1808970","US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?","0xbcacd5a055f5a9ced6f69f122216c073dd6987d08253fc07bbcc168fa5b81d55","us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-may-31-396","375754.68592","2026-03-31T21:49:31.495Z","[\"0.0125\", \"0.9875\"]","17738654.658520944","2026-03-31T17:34:45.872306Z","2026-05-25T20:52:55.788252Z","0xcdd5759951fabd70fa48b1d7c034b97f230cbd60c03aecd13d909550bbd89cba",17738654.658520944,375754.68592,451399.2239009999,3799482.5980110066,11196674.291728,17738654.658520933,"[\"99787107393065498256888522570939526464960671564345515510320748534859284179297\", \"5345441419419147559625888104788940459264045849260872706421285679583531763371\"]","2026-03-31T21:48:25Z",0.8079787905567479,[1875],{"id":1876,"conditionId":1856,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":1877,"startDate":158,"endDate":120},"288144",3,-0.0325,-0.0725,0.013,"2026-03-31T21:47:11.421529Z",{"id":1883,"question":1884,"conditionId":1885,"slug":1886,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":70,"startDate":1887,"image":1841,"icon":1841,"description":1888,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":1889,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":1890,"updatedAt":1891,"closedTime":1892,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":76,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":1893,"umaEndDate":1894,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":1895,"endDateIso":81,"startDateIso":1896,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":1897,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":1895,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":1898,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":208,"oneWeekPriceChange":1019,"lastTradePrice":686,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":1899,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2006982","US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?","0xd87a0ee5367e38072ac013e99035672125fee3a3f4446f0389fe806e42e3e42e","us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-april-30","2026-04-17T15:50:06.581608Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.\n\nQualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.\n\nA widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","1163934.4307450012","2026-04-17T15:45:22.357418Z","2026-05-02T07:32:34.149688Z","2026-05-01 07:29:44+00","0x192ab66afa80ad0063d1a24a298efdf5bff9f020fa48ab441e6b894459a77264","2026-05-01T07:29:44Z",1163934.4307450012,"2026-04-17","[\"41096062945098111823949933488606080240606740976160051684644447840115341135428\", \"107954094694031491419426961086575608232833931530777814045947373328458211979429\"]","2026-04-17T15:49:02Z","2026-04-17T15:47:47.525213Z",{"id":1901,"question":1902,"conditionId":1903,"slug":1904,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":12,"liquidity":1905,"startDate":1906,"image":1841,"icon":1841,"description":1907,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":1295,"volume":1908,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":1909,"updatedAt":1910,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":222,"groupItemThreshold":277,"questionID":1911,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":1912,"liquidityNum":1913,"endDateIso":227,"startDateIso":1896,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":1914,"volume1wk":1915,"volume1mo":1916,"volume1yr":1917,"clobTokenIds":1918,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":1914,"volume1wkClob":1915,"volume1moClob":1916,"volume1yrClob":1917,"volumeClob":1912,"liquidityClob":1913,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":1919,"cyom":15,"competitive":1306,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":1920,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":103,"oneDayPriceChange":160,"oneWeekPriceChange":263,"oneMonthPriceChange":263,"lastTradePrice":1314,"bestBid":1313,"bestAsk":1314,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":1923,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2006983","US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?","0x58998da8fa20593cf07618032acd580344a79279a8bcc3ed128b668d793c3d6f","us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-december-31-725-733","71942.2011","2026-04-17T15:50:04.131Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.\n\nQualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.\n\nA widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","998359.0658359958","2026-04-17T15:45:42.304315Z","2026-05-25T20:54:20.494222Z","0xb88dd6b1eb92bb01160bec151ea17efe6ef1781697aada3d7bf0b15fd169441b",998359.0658359958,71942.2011,42324.864265000004,341284.7878529997,859350.9116250005,998359.0658360011,"[\"114657271285511367879703365484572688248973675722511239339535646764098946050607\", \"12933385462445051219548039807631278921517469211617755773732773415883384410827\"]","2026-04-17T15:49:00Z",[1921],{"id":1922,"conditionId":1903,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":58,"startDate":158,"endDate":120},"277461","2026-04-17T15:47:47.519882Z",{"id":1925,"question":1926,"conditionId":1927,"slug":1928,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1093,"liquidity":1929,"startDate":1930,"image":1841,"icon":1841,"description":1931,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":1932,"volume":1933,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":1934,"updatedAt":1935,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":141,"groupItemThreshold":77,"questionID":1936,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":1937,"liquidityNum":1938,"endDateIso":1103,"startDateIso":260,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":1939,"volume1wk":1940,"volume1mo":1941,"volume1yr":1941,"clobTokenIds":1942,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":1939,"volume1wkClob":1940,"volume1moClob":1941,"volume1yrClob":1941,"volumeClob":1937,"liquidityClob":1938,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":1943,"cyom":15,"competitive":1944,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":1945,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":333,"oneDayPriceChange":160,"oneHourPriceChange":1263,"oneWeekPriceChange":1948,"lastTradePrice":642,"bestBid":159,"bestAsk":1949,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":1950,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2183424","US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?","0xc112ff35c760ee66738e288067c3de90a2b44a28a9e2f4488989d498be03b292","us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-june-30","78423.9286","2026-05-07T18:11:16.666164Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.\n\nQualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.\n\nA widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","[\"0.1\", \"0.9\"]","831233.8318069993","2026-05-07T18:08:11.695209Z","2026-05-25T20:51:44.914076Z","0xda0d0806d11633424c17950b3e5e816c77ed7fbd2367b574b351f18745749090",831233.8318069993,78423.9286,101363.12097999999,478490.28636499995,831233.8318070004,"[\"107010784463622992347585756781888741119874289659386929971064211775896839258138\", \"74383005746117841900553443989581268615957888455524049940092822086091148821262\"]","2026-05-07T18:10:20Z",0.8620689655172414,[1946],{"id":1947,"conditionId":1927,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":157,"startDate":366,"endDate":120},"361814",-0.025,0.11,"2026-05-07T18:09:14.563316Z",{"id":1952,"question":1953,"conditionId":1954,"slug":1955,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":309,"liquidity":44,"image":1841,"icon":1841,"description":1956,"outcomes":35,"volume":44,"active":15,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":1957,"updatedAt":1958,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":441,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":316,"groupItemThreshold":255,"questionID":1959,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":56,"liquidityNum":56,"endDateIso":321,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":56,"volume1wk":56,"volume1mo":56,"volume1yr":56,"clobTokenIds":1960,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrAmm":56,"volume1wkAmm":56,"volume1moAmm":56,"volume1yrAmm":56,"volume24hrClob":56,"volume1wkClob":56,"volume1moClob":56,"volume1yrClob":56,"volumeAmm":56,"volumeClob":56,"liquidityAmm":56,"liquidityClob":56,"customLiveness":56,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"cyom":15,"competitive":56,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":56,"rewardsMaxSpread":56,"spread":452,"oneDayPriceChange":56,"oneHourPriceChange":56,"oneWeekPriceChange":56,"oneMonthPriceChange":56,"oneYearPriceChange":56,"lastTradePrice":56,"bestBid":56,"bestAsk":452,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":14,"deploying":14,"deployingTimestamp":1961,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2355076","US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?","0xef5365cb2973f77e162709e007e0da70d06e8ff1e115372beb437d64326efd76","us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by-july-31","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.\n\nQualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.\n\nA widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","2026-05-25T16:54:57.779167Z","2026-05-25T20:45:55.719879Z","0x71144345b7ea2b869abb485b9cfb124cf1e1086b7b6041935722fdf22c659460","[\"99898826776688642243611180513761391438338703592111222029361539646852005434476\", \"47677872301173174398105864641994853717439067266071737642114461777263524877447\"]","2026-05-25T17:06:55Z",[1963,1964,1965,1966,1967,1968],{"id":473,"label":474,"slug":475,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":476,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":477,"updatedAt":478,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":465,"label":466,"slug":467,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":468,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":470,"updatedAt":471,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":503,"label":504,"slug":505,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":506,"updatedAt":507,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":509,"label":510,"slug":511,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":512,"updatedAt":513,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":486,"label":487,"slug":488,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":489,"updatedAt":490,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":77,"label":515,"slug":516,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":517,"updatedBy":518,"createdAt":519,"updatedAt":520,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"context_description":1970,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":1971},"Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations under the Trump administration center on Iran's stockpile of roughly 440 kg of uranium enriched to 60 percent, a key element in proposed frameworks that could include its transfer out of Iran. Recent reports indicate US officials view a commitment to relinquish the material as part of any initial deal, with Trump stating the agreement is largely negotiated and that Iran has consented to hand over the uranium. Iranian sources, however, have pushed the nuclear file to later talks and denied any current accord on exporting the stockpile, citing disputes over sanctions relief timing and enrichment limits. These developments, alongside IAEA monitoring of Iran's program and regional concerns from Israel, shape trader assessments of timelines for US acquisition through official channels by mid-2026 or later. Scheduled diplomatic rounds and potential announcements within the resolution window remain primary catalysts.","2026-05-25T20:45:52.032Z",{"id":1973,"ticker":1974,"slug":1974,"title":1975,"description":1976,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":1977,"creationDate":1978,"endDate":12,"image":1979,"icon":1979,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":1980,"volume":1981,"openInterest":1982,"createdAt":1983,"updatedAt":1984,"competitive":1985,"volume24hr":1986,"volume1wk":1987,"volume1mo":1988,"volume1yr":1989,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":1980,"negRisk":15,"commentCount":1990,"markets":1991,"tags":2114,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"gmpChartMode":521,"negRiskAugmented":15,"featuredOrder":1877,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":2129},"310530","iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by","Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.\n\nTo qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if\u002Fwhen the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.\n\nAgreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","2026-03-27T00:25:52.152041Z","2026-03-27T00:25:52.152036Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Firan-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-before-july-G-riWTpXuKoj.jpg",180427.5394,10621945.790221011,1356290.248711,"2026-03-26T15:42:46.817586Z","2026-05-25T20:57:00.136801Z",0.9991008092716555,533658.7018039998,3076588.5179250017,5735541.165500993,6874788.553291987,177,[1992,2012,2039,2065,2094],{"id":1993,"question":1994,"conditionId":1995,"slug":1996,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":70,"startDate":1997,"image":1979,"icon":1979,"description":1998,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":1999,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":2000,"updatedAt":2001,"closedTime":2002,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":76,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":2003,"umaEndDate":2004,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":2005,"endDateIso":81,"startDateIso":2006,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":2007,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":2005,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":2008,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":976,"oneWeekPriceChange":2009,"oneMonthPriceChange":2010,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":2011,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1731344","Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?","0x5d37825716832a4a54f89450932e89510f26cf4be59aeec3149d2c49e5fdf44d","iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by-april-30-2026","2026-03-27T00:24:12.513Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.\n\nTo qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if\u002Fwhen the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.\n\nAgreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","3747157.236928999","2026-03-26T15:42:47.838965Z","2026-05-02T06:20:01.246644Z","2026-05-01 06:43:54+00","0x3d6d82dd8f32655e8befbd77f2512b2ad17335a0b662ac09618bacbb26b1b241","2026-05-01T06:43:54Z",3747157.236928999,"2026-03-27","[\"106220853378183696641226754443875866363184608965104019427770764978887400913119\", \"37726096291033755960138434480309842752392906581303110222866737197011090444316\"]","2026-03-27T00:23:07Z",-0.053,-0.0895,"2026-03-26T23:53:51.447505Z",{"id":2013,"question":2014,"conditionId":2015,"slug":2016,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":12,"liquidity":2017,"startDate":2018,"image":1979,"icon":1979,"description":2019,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":2020,"volume":2021,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":2022,"updatedAt":2023,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":222,"groupItemThreshold":255,"questionID":2024,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":2025,"liquidityNum":2026,"endDateIso":227,"startDateIso":2006,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":2027,"volume1wk":2028,"volume1mo":2029,"volume1yr":2030,"clobTokenIds":2031,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":2027,"volume1wkClob":2028,"volume1moClob":2029,"volume1yrClob":2030,"volumeClob":2025,"liquidityClob":2026,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":2032,"cyom":15,"competitive":538,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":2033,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":103,"oneDayPriceChange":979,"oneHourPriceChange":368,"oneWeekPriceChange":2036,"oneMonthPriceChange":1312,"lastTradePrice":2037,"bestBid":668,"bestAsk":2037,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":2038,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1731346","Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?","0xe846dd72f8a654ef137a3e23a88226400b42cc0ca817ab4390a615860e08cafa","iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by-december-31-2026","73299.7663","2026-03-27T00:15:17.118Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.\n\nTo qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if\u002Fwhen the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.\n\nAgreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","[\"0.615\", \"0.385\"]","1192231.9624069997","2026-03-26T15:42:49.284111Z","2026-05-25T20:52:31.077036Z","0x3db9f2e8ed1944aac8f260c3cc72a418da1da4f669380e16a0055137c5888b2a",1192231.9624069997,73299.7663,79895.30971299995,383146.6260360003,715934.7994549994,1192231.962407002,"[\"70530382817944476125648239982318905983026944956853105853882601665630375614463\", \"18702020867581976905619984893323736143098724607754292117438927457109238679413\"]","2026-03-27T00:14:11Z",[2034],{"id":2035,"conditionId":2015,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":58,"startDate":158,"endDate":120},"288124",0.17,0.62,"2026-03-26T23:53:51.44849Z",{"id":2040,"question":2041,"conditionId":2042,"slug":2043,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1093,"liquidity":2044,"startDate":2045,"image":1979,"icon":1979,"description":2046,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":2047,"volume":2048,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":2049,"updatedAt":2050,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":141,"groupItemThreshold":77,"questionID":2051,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":2052,"liquidityNum":2053,"endDateIso":1103,"startDateIso":2006,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":2054,"volume1wk":2055,"volume1mo":2056,"volume1yr":2057,"clobTokenIds":2058,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":2054,"volume1wkClob":2055,"volume1moClob":2056,"volume1yrClob":2057,"volumeClob":2052,"liquidityClob":2053,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":2032,"cyom":15,"competitive":2059,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":2060,"rewardsMinSize":726,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":103,"oneDayPriceChange":587,"oneWeekPriceChange":1430,"oneMonthPriceChange":334,"lastTradePrice":1241,"bestBid":2063,"bestAsk":1241,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":2064,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1731345","Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?","0x6cb3ec9e0fb1c258898f648f8b33422f59ba3e8a71aee551449d7cb147bb8ead","iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by-june-30-2026","57328.9429","2026-03-27T00:15:16.865Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.\n\nTo qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if\u002Fwhen the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.\n\nAgreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","[\"0.345\", \"0.655\"]","2520829.047094021","2026-03-26T15:42:48.562168Z","2026-05-25T20:54:10.319244Z","0x7218bccf6a3c2ed197409c5920c24c11f85dddb1d4e16a32de0357246b27dd53",2520829.047094021,57328.9429,111296.26627200005,688249.0188220004,1857830.9322550008,2520829.0470939917,"[\"71072033942543358092746595783705192338853499264598489041523740805922382816481\", \"17269153522875922708691197534079323882577887490263556443563241786372279871546\"]",0.9765386587241522,[2061],{"id":2062,"conditionId":2042,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":365,"startDate":158,"endDate":120},"288123",0.34,"2026-03-26T23:53:51.449557Z",{"id":2066,"question":2067,"conditionId":2068,"slug":2069,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"liquidity":2070,"startDate":2071,"image":1979,"icon":1979,"description":2072,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":2073,"volume":2074,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":2075,"updatedAt":2076,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":100,"groupItemThreshold":178,"questionID":2077,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":2078,"liquidityNum":2079,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":81,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":2080,"volume1wk":2081,"volume1mo":2082,"volume1yr":2082,"clobTokenIds":2083,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":2080,"volume1wkClob":2081,"volume1moClob":2082,"volume1yrClob":2082,"volumeClob":2078,"liquidityClob":2079,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":2084,"cyom":15,"competitive":2085,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":2086,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":160,"oneDayPriceChange":686,"oneHourPriceChange":368,"oneWeekPriceChange":2089,"lastTradePrice":2090,"bestBid":2091,"bestAsk":2092,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":2093,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2126542","Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?","0xd39905267d79b715f078279ef41f311b791c6e2c7361fea38011492b632212ef","iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by-may-31-2026","48370.33968","2026-04-30T17:26:03.145644Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.\n\nTo qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if\u002Fwhen the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.\n\nAgreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","[\"0.1455\", \"0.8545\"]","3161647.8253049916","2026-04-30T17:23:10.931264Z","2026-05-25T20:52:31.093837Z","0x45b232a20f488e55a01dada070db653ed92ae59e588dfe73ad9cee9fe7e5f89f",3161647.8253049916,48370.33968,321300.63874699984,2003989.008281001,3161647.8253049934,"[\"2524866258201703875345714303520627683687425586066606325407691453627204155882\", \"63756054444750273032342900213736494135377239401337354989820981541092393466748\"]","2026-04-30T17:25:00Z",0.8883596239662548,[2087],{"id":2088,"conditionId":2068,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":365,"startDate":81,"endDate":120},"304488",0.0795,0.151,0.143,0.148,"2026-04-30T17:23:43.892179Z",{"id":2095,"question":2096,"conditionId":2097,"slug":2098,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":309,"liquidity":2099,"startDate":2100,"image":1979,"icon":1979,"description":2101,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":1586,"volume":2102,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":2103,"updatedAt":2104,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":441,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":316,"groupItemThreshold":255,"questionID":2105,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":726,"liquidityNum":2106,"endDateIso":321,"startDateIso":838,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":726,"volume1wk":726,"volume1mo":726,"volume1yr":726,"clobTokenIds":2107,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":726,"volume1wkClob":726,"volume1moClob":726,"volume1yrClob":726,"volumeClob":726,"liquidityClob":2106,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":2108,"cyom":15,"competitive":1572,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":2109,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":1949,"oneHourPriceChange":797,"lastTradePrice":1603,"bestBid":2112,"bestAsk":459,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":2113,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2355354","Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?","0xc11f41372087c4d934ae7adb869ff08272b2bcb3e242d4e628330353c130e480","iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by-july-31-2026","3170.172","2026-05-25T18:30:15.596854Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.\n\nTo qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if\u002Fwhen the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.\n\nAgreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","100","2026-05-25T18:27:34.939369Z","2026-05-25T20:49:14.906928Z","0x1ec9622faaf485c910dcb6c6e6b31345b08b27beb0c8ee30ba75638185eec283",3170.172,"[\"27530489613290284177027370919181618196698554516289292486210046237058588430612\", \"41891626705072796463652186951603605384016957343429878758408823291731995289417\"]","2026-05-25T18:29:19Z",[2110],{"id":2111,"conditionId":2097,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":58,"startDate":838,"endDate":120},"398662",0.39,"2026-05-25T18:28:12.641328Z",[2115,2116,2117,2118,2119,2120,2121,2122],{"id":509,"label":510,"slug":511,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":512,"updatedAt":513,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":473,"label":474,"slug":475,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":476,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":477,"updatedAt":478,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1802,"label":1803,"slug":1804,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1805,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":1806,"updatedAt":1807,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":486,"label":487,"slug":488,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":489,"updatedAt":490,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":77,"label":515,"slug":516,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":517,"updatedBy":518,"createdAt":519,"updatedAt":520,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":503,"label":504,"slug":505,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":506,"updatedAt":507,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":465,"label":466,"slug":467,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":468,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":470,"updatedAt":471,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":2123,"label":2124,"slug":2125,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":2126,"createdAt":2127,"updatedAt":2128,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"1289","Nuclear","nuclear","2024-02-07 22:16:09.803+00","2024-02-07T22:16:09.819Z","2026-04-17T20:34:50.106501Z",{"context_description":2130,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":2131},"Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations under the Trump administration have produced conflicting signals on Iran's enriched uranium stockpile, with American officials reporting an in-principle commitment by Tehran to surrender or dispose of the material as part of a broader framework that could include sanctions relief and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian sources, including statements attributed to the Supreme Leader, maintain that the stockpile must remain inside the country and have rejected outright transfer to a third party, instead floating options such as dilution under IAEA monitoring. Details on implementation, timelines, and verification remain unresolved and deferred to subsequent rounds, while enrichment to 60% continues amid longstanding IAEA concerns. These developments, alongside procedural hurdles in any final accord, shape trader assessments of the probability that Iran issues a qualifying public pledge by the market's resolution dates.","2026-05-25T20:45:47.291Z",{"id":2133,"ticker":2134,"slug":2134,"title":2135,"description":2136,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":2137,"creationDate":2138,"endDate":93,"image":2139,"icon":2139,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":2140,"volume":2141,"openInterest":2142,"createdAt":2143,"updatedAt":2144,"competitive":2145,"volume24hr":2146,"volume1wk":2147,"volume1mo":2148,"volume1yr":2149,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":2140,"negRisk":15,"commentCount":2150,"markets":2151,"tags":2260,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"gmpChartMode":521,"negRiskAugmented":15,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":2280},"386788","israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by","Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Iran agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:\n\n- Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.\n\n- Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.\n\nThe inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","2026-04-16T23:56:56.495508Z","2026-04-16T23:56:56.495501Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fisrael-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-S6NwYL3MbEka.jpg",80815.21247,2012240.4934379999,672127.220975,"2026-04-16T23:36:04.796952Z","2026-05-25T20:56:55.455507Z",0.9115502301778275,429517.69501600007,1047204.0811429995,1634363.8143419984,1697625.2652999987,23,[2152,2172,2188,2218,2247,2252],{"id":2153,"question":2154,"conditionId":2155,"slug":2156,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":70,"startDate":2157,"image":2139,"icon":2139,"description":2158,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":2159,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":2160,"updatedAt":2161,"closedTime":2162,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":76,"groupItemThreshold":178,"questionID":2163,"umaEndDate":2164,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":2165,"endDateIso":81,"startDateIso":2166,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":2167,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":2165,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":2168,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":726,"rewardsMaxSpread":397,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":2169,"oneHourPriceChange":208,"oneWeekPriceChange":2170,"lastTradePrice":686,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":2171,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2002563","Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?","0xe12f3636e12dd4d423a4dcaafec802726a6d853980ec23f61798b0c656fb46fb","israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-april-30-2026","2026-04-16T23:52:11.592Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Iran agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:\n\n- Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.\n\n- Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.\n\nThe inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","157948.44982900005","2026-04-16T23:36:05.705173Z","2026-05-02T04:36:06.632808Z","2026-05-01 06:46:50+00","0x4ea74bc9724e0890bb419af53ad54391b2e2387798bc18a24305051dd7094451","2026-05-01T06:46:50Z",157948.44982900005,"2026-04-16","[\"21641322556653927702489548686864342622352557015146162933373898115235309027867\", \"81243421556326460546275633438096769793650221957505744042422275539633480609825\"]","2026-04-16T23:51:08Z",-0.0035,-0.018,"2026-04-16T23:49:50.98998Z",{"id":2173,"question":2174,"conditionId":2175,"slug":2176,"endDate":93,"startDate":2177,"image":2139,"icon":2139,"description":2158,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":2178,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":2179,"updatedAt":2180,"closedTime":2181,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":43,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":2182,"umaEndDate":2183,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":2184,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":2166,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":2185,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":2184,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":2186,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":457,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":60,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":2187,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2002562","Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?","0x9e564dbdf5c9ebdf0860d1970592a269a0ede28570d66a9ea2c50b6f191298d3","israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-april-22-2026","2026-04-16T23:52:09.580562Z","156666.77830900002","2026-04-16T23:36:05.202553Z","2026-04-24T04:38:32.026247Z","2026-04-23 07:39:42+00","0xc80b32c911d3b623e7a56b8e467173f9fb0d132799f693acff2cd92f5e1d0999","2026-04-23T07:39:42Z",156666.77830900002,"[\"28937128389955046924512958948687150650539698047364390747862893948886516902991\", \"108787850084053262512888238150390547370092774171211187944257767948839326915673\"]","2026-04-16T23:51:06Z","2026-04-16T23:49:50.984997Z",{"id":2189,"question":2190,"conditionId":2191,"slug":2192,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1093,"liquidity":2193,"startDate":2194,"image":2139,"icon":2139,"description":2158,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":2195,"volume":2196,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":2197,"updatedAt":2198,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":141,"groupItemThreshold":255,"questionID":2199,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":2200,"liquidityNum":2201,"endDateIso":1103,"startDateIso":2166,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":2202,"volume1wk":2203,"volume1mo":2204,"volume1yr":2200,"clobTokenIds":2205,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":2202,"volume1wkClob":2203,"volume1moClob":2204,"volume1yrClob":2200,"volumeClob":2200,"liquidityClob":2201,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":2186,"cyom":15,"competitive":2206,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":2207,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":1658,"oneDayPriceChange":2211,"oneHourPriceChange":1358,"oneWeekPriceChange":2212,"oneMonthPriceChange":2213,"lastTradePrice":2214,"bestBid":2215,"bestAsk":2216,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":2217,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2002564","Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","0x5efa976ebe94080bbda7e45605333ff8f30156cc91604d66c41eb52fd3e25f3e","israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-june-30-2026-262","33301.00323","2026-04-16T23:52:09.323Z","[\"0.193\", \"0.807\"]","548753.1739490003","2026-04-16T23:36:06.059816Z","2026-05-25T20:48:45.997635Z","0x99297ec6583e894e8df63dd66aeaa4d23eb7088800b19e3acd69c05807243b7f",548753.1739490003,33301.00323,46433.25445999999,196790.30356200002,485491.72299099993,"[\"5052978505742109596729920389479817407677796482555237481771010048052329486595\", \"72918554574028548774915660517792871241427948855614765070193766173081772203065\"]",0.9138687812371773,[2208],{"id":2209,"conditionId":2191,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":2210,"startDate":158,"endDate":120},"288246",10,0.0295,0.048,0.078,0.19,0.189,0.197,"2026-04-16T23:49:50.987362Z",{"id":2219,"question":2220,"conditionId":2221,"slug":2222,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"liquidity":2223,"startDate":2224,"image":2139,"icon":2139,"description":2158,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":2225,"volume":2226,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":2227,"updatedAt":2228,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":100,"groupItemThreshold":77,"questionID":2229,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":2230,"liquidityNum":2231,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":81,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":2232,"volume1wk":2233,"volume1mo":2234,"volume1yr":2234,"clobTokenIds":2235,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":2232,"volume1wkClob":2233,"volume1moClob":2234,"volume1yrClob":2234,"volumeClob":2230,"liquidityClob":2231,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":2236,"cyom":15,"competitive":2237,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":2238,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":2241,"oneDayPriceChange":2242,"oneHourPriceChange":2243,"oneWeekPriceChange":1404,"lastTradePrice":2244,"bestBid":427,"bestAsk":2245,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":2246,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2126515","Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","0x4d1ee0c046938319f654f99c6aca2380c1f6d88a65887dd360fda3d0509eddb4","israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-may-31-2026","47799.0625","2026-04-30T19:53:59.764093Z","[\"0.1645\", \"0.8355\"]","1149811.3634209991","2026-04-30T17:15:32.339802Z","2026-05-25T20:54:52.205948Z","0x052b89c15389a754d3969db21b558084cca2c956fc8425420c72aab9707cb87c",1149811.3634209991,47799.0625,384023.71262600005,851345.0496509995,1149811.3634209987,"[\"42123205874485793091493660576732830237546808959520698285355812112517651399121\", \"1337374872777199077123947171333224634756716656760029948621511882931384997964\"]","2026-04-30T19:52:56Z",0.8988277264085248,[2239],{"id":2240,"conditionId":2221,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":58,"startDate":838,"endDate":120},"398423",0.009,0.084,0.049,0.157,0.169,"2026-04-30T19:51:17.734571Z",{"id":2248,"question":2249,"conditionId":9,"slug":2250,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":12,"liquidity":44,"image":2139,"icon":2139,"description":2158,"outcomes":35,"volume":44,"active":15,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":2251,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":9,"archived":15,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":222,"groupItemThreshold":55,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":56,"liquidityNum":56,"endDateIso":227,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":56,"volume1wk":56,"volume1mo":56,"volume1yr":56,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrAmm":56,"volume1wkAmm":56,"volume1moAmm":56,"volume1yrAmm":56,"volume24hrClob":56,"volume1wkClob":56,"volume1moClob":56,"volume1yrClob":56,"volumeAmm":56,"volumeClob":56,"liquidityAmm":56,"liquidityClob":56,"customLiveness":56,"negRisk":15,"ready":15,"funded":15,"cyom":15,"competitive":56,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":56,"rewardsMaxSpread":56,"spread":452,"oneDayPriceChange":56,"oneHourPriceChange":56,"oneWeekPriceChange":56,"oneMonthPriceChange":56,"oneYearPriceChange":56,"lastTradePrice":56,"bestBid":56,"bestAsk":452,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2126517","Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?","israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-december-31-2026","2026-04-30T17:16:59.000475Z",{"id":2253,"question":2254,"conditionId":9,"slug":2255,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":2256,"liquidity":44,"image":2139,"icon":2139,"description":2158,"outcomes":35,"volume":44,"active":15,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":2257,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":9,"archived":15,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":2258,"groupItemThreshold":277,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":56,"liquidityNum":56,"endDateIso":2259,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":56,"volume1wk":56,"volume1mo":56,"volume1yr":56,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrAmm":56,"volume1wkAmm":56,"volume1moAmm":56,"volume1yrAmm":56,"volume24hrClob":56,"volume1wkClob":56,"volume1moClob":56,"volume1yrClob":56,"volumeAmm":56,"volumeClob":56,"liquidityAmm":56,"liquidityClob":56,"customLiveness":56,"negRisk":15,"ready":15,"funded":15,"cyom":15,"competitive":56,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":56,"rewardsMaxSpread":56,"spread":452,"oneDayPriceChange":56,"oneHourPriceChange":56,"oneWeekPriceChange":56,"oneMonthPriceChange":56,"oneYearPriceChange":56,"lastTradePrice":56,"bestBid":56,"bestAsk":452,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2126516","Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by September 30, 2026?","israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-september-30-2026","2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","2026-04-30T17:16:24.974107Z","September 30","2026-09-30",[2261,2262,2269,2270,2271,2272,2273],{"id":509,"label":510,"slug":511,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":512,"updatedAt":513,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":2263,"label":2264,"slug":2265,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":2266,"createdAt":2267,"updatedAt":2268,"requiresTranslation":15},"849","Lebanon","lebanon","2024-01-09 20:34:03.181+00","2024-01-09T20:34:03.207Z","2026-04-17T20:47:16.415619Z",{"id":486,"label":487,"slug":488,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":489,"updatedAt":490,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1817,"label":1818,"slug":1819,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1820,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":1821,"updatedAt":1822,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":465,"label":466,"slug":467,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":468,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":470,"updatedAt":471,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1824,"label":1825,"slug":1826,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":1827,"updatedAt":1828,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":2274,"label":2275,"slug":2276,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":2277,"createdAt":2278,"updatedAt":2279,"requiresTranslation":15},"297","Hezbollah","hezbollah","2023-11-02 21:51:25.665+00","2023-11-02T21:51:25.672Z","2026-04-17T20:13:49.705181Z",{"context_description":2281,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":2282},"Ongoing US-Iran negotiations mediated by Pakistan represent the primary driver of sentiment on any Israel-Iran permanent peace deal. As of late May 2026, reports indicate the parties are close to a memorandum of understanding that could reopen the Strait of Hormuz, provide limited sanctions relief, and include a temporary moratorium on Iranian uranium enrichment, with further nuclear talks scheduled to begin in June. Israel continues targeted operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon despite the April 2026 ceasefire framework and has signaled it reserves the right to address perceived nuclear and proxy threats independently. Diplomatic progress remains contingent on Iranian approval of outstanding terms and alignment with Israeli security priorities.","2026-05-25T20:46:01.376Z",{"id":2284,"ticker":2285,"slug":2285,"title":2286,"description":2287,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":2288,"creationDate":2289,"endDate":1093,"image":2290,"icon":2290,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":14,"restricted":14,"liquidity":2291,"volume":2292,"openInterest":2293,"createdAt":2294,"updatedAt":2295,"competitive":2296,"volume24hr":2297,"volume1wk":2298,"volume1mo":2299,"volume1yr":2300,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":2291,"negRisk":15,"commentCount":2301,"markets":2302,"tags":2623,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"gmpChartMode":521,"negRiskAugmented":15,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":2633},"372242","trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by","Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?","On April 12, 2026, President Donald Trump announced that the United States will blockade the Strait of Hormuz. You can read more about that here: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.nbcnews.com\u002Fworld\u002Firan\u002Flive-blog\u002Flive-updates-us-iran-fail-reach-deal-peace-talks-day-negotiations-rcna315918.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nQualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify). \n\nStatements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., \"Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz\") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice.\n\nInformal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.\n\nWritten public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and\u002For its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nNote: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the blockade is effectively enforced or whether maritime traffic resumes absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.","2026-04-12T20:47:47.510974Z","2026-04-12T20:47:47.510965Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Ftrump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-broken-by-X3wf-2Pi8W96.jpg",173636.3878,21993020.79916507,1065639.018302,"2026-04-12T18:54:10.463588Z","2026-05-25T20:57:25.802318Z",0.9979790923380155,363541.2483500001,2367372.911696997,6093217.9615880065,6482158.032049012,510,[2303,2333,2351,2368,2386,2404,2421,2438,2457,2475,2492,2513,2531,2557,2579,2600],{"id":2304,"question":2305,"conditionId":2306,"slug":2307,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"liquidity":2308,"startDate":2309,"image":2290,"icon":2290,"description":2287,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":2310,"volume":2311,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":2312,"updatedAt":2313,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":100,"groupItemThreshold":142,"questionID":2314,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":2315,"liquidityNum":2316,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":2317,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":2318,"volume1wk":2319,"volume1mo":2320,"volume1yr":2321,"clobTokenIds":2322,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":2318,"volume1wkClob":2319,"volume1moClob":2320,"volume1yrClob":2321,"volumeClob":2315,"liquidityClob":2316,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":2323,"cyom":15,"competitive":2324,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":2325,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":103,"oneDayPriceChange":159,"oneHourPriceChange":1238,"oneWeekPriceChange":124,"oneMonthPriceChange":2329,"lastTradePrice":2330,"bestBid":2330,"bestAsk":2331,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":2332,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1972137","Will 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Trump imposed a US naval blockade on Iranian ports and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz in mid-April 2026 after ceasefire talks in Pakistan collapsed, aiming to pressure Tehran economically amid broader regional conflict. The measure remains in full effect as of late May, with Trump stating it will continue until a comprehensive deal is finalized, potentially covering nuclear issues and conflict resolution. Iran has reopened limited commercial passage in some announcements but faces ongoing US enforcement, while talks show narrowing differences yet no breakthrough. Trader assessments of announcement timing hinge on negotiation momentum, any escalation signals, or intelligence on Iran's economic resilience, with the blockade's duration directly shaping diplomatic incentives.","2026-05-25T20:45:47.022Z",{"id":2637,"ticker":2638,"slug":2638,"title":2639,"description":2640,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":2641,"creationDate":2642,"endDate":1093,"image":1449,"icon":1449,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":14,"restricted":14,"liquidity":2643,"volume":2644,"openInterest":2645,"createdAt":2646,"updatedAt":2647,"competitive":1209,"volume24hr":2648,"volume1wk":2649,"volume1mo":2650,"volume1yr":2651,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":2643,"commentCount":56,"markets":2652,"series":2673,"tags":2675,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":14,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"seriesSlug":1493,"negRiskAugmented":15,"featuredOrder":2686,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":2687},"375597","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-june","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on\u002Froll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for June 30, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https:\u002F\u002Fportwatch.imf.org\u002Fpages\u002Fcb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","2026-04-13T22:22:40.961472Z","2026-04-13T22:22:40.961464Z",234252.7306,9556261.811547043,2132670.455906,"2026-04-13T16:59:23.035481Z","2026-05-25T20:57:39.92378Z",345478.9734549996,2836353.7746359976,9105887.801552966,9556261.81154697,[2653],{"id":2654,"question":2639,"conditionId":2655,"slug":2638,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1093,"liquidity":2656,"startDate":2657,"image":1449,"icon":1449,"description":2640,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":2658,"volume":2659,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":2660,"updatedAt":2661,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":9,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":2662,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":2663,"liquidityNum":2664,"endDateIso":1103,"startDateIso":2317,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":2665,"volume1wk":2666,"volume1mo":2667,"volume1yr":2668,"clobTokenIds":2669,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":2665,"volume1wkClob":2666,"volume1moClob":2667,"volume1yrClob":2668,"volumeClob":2663,"liquidityClob":2664,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":2670,"cyom":15,"competitive":1209,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":103,"oneDayPriceChange":333,"oneWeekPriceChange":2036,"oneMonthPriceChange":2671,"lastTradePrice":459,"bestBid":459,"bestAsk":461,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":2672,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1971905","0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187","234187.8061","2026-04-13T22:16:43.957993Z","[\"0.505\", \"0.495\"]","9558995.811547043","2026-04-13T16:59:23.443719Z","2026-05-25T20:55:02.644665Z","0xf9beea5a48d2d7e6e3b56792096b3d1fda2ee6c6ded362317f82d8c3a947b9bb",9558995.811547043,234187.8061,347101.3349949996,2839056.6192639978,9108103.093248967,9558995.81154697,"[\"46130022848920611732202507184264902690726361824951579816156441452797397798181\", \"77669758102929718590160851391714019116736856202333459817343190730743895177270\"]","2026-04-13T22:15:39Z",-0.08,"2026-04-13T22:14:28.292718Z",[2674],{"id":1492,"ticker":1493,"slug":1493,"title":1494,"seriesType":1495,"recurrence":1496,"image":9,"icon":9,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"createdAt":1497,"updatedAt":1498,"volume24hr":1499,"volume":1500,"liquidity":1501,"commentCount":1502,"requiresTranslation":15},[2676,2677,2678,2679,2680,2681,2682,2683,2684,2685],{"id":1518,"label":1519,"slug":1520,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":1521,"updatedAt":1522,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1512,"label":1513,"slug":1514,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":1515,"updatedAt":1516,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1524,"label":1525,"slug":1526,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1527,"createdAt":1528,"updatedAt":1529,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":503,"label":504,"slug":505,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":506,"updatedAt":507,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1538,"label":1539,"slug":1539,"createdAt":1540,"updatedAt":1541,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1531,"label":1532,"slug":1533,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1534,"createdAt":1535,"updatedAt":1536,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1543,"label":1544,"slug":1545,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":1546,"updatedAt":1547,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1505,"label":1506,"slug":1506,"createdAt":1507,"updatedAt":1508,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":465,"label":466,"slug":467,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":468,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":470,"updatedAt":471,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":509,"label":510,"slug":511,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":512,"updatedAt":513,"requiresTranslation":15},7,{"context_description":2688,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":2689},"Ongoing US-Iran diplomatic talks centered on lifting the American blockade of Iranian ports and normalizing Strait of Hormuz traffic remain the dominant driver of the 51.5% market-implied probability for a return to normal flows by June 30. Commercial transits have stayed below 10% of pre-conflict levels through early May amid Iranian restrictions, new vessel-vetting rules, and insurance pullbacks, while recent statements from both sides indicate a framework for reopening is largely negotiated yet contingent on final terms. Oil-market participants continue to price in sustained alternative routing via the Cape of Good Hope, with forecasts pointing to at least four-to-six months for full normalization even after any immediate reopening. Key near-term catalysts include further high-level meetings and any verifiable uptick in daily transits tracked by Lloyd’s List or IMF PortWatch data.","2026-05-25T20:45:45.311Z",{"id":2691,"ticker":2692,"slug":2692,"title":2693,"description":2694,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":2695,"creationDate":2696,"endDate":12,"image":2697,"icon":2697,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":2698,"volume":2699,"openInterest":2700,"sortBy":2701,"createdAt":2702,"updatedAt":2703,"competitive":113,"volume24hr":2704,"volume1wk":2705,"volume1mo":2706,"volume1yr":2707,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":2698,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":2708,"commentCount":2709,"markets":2710,"tags":3276,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":14,"automaticallyActive":14,"startTime":3319,"gmpChartMode":521,"negRiskAugmented":14,"countryName":1818,"electionType":3320,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":3321,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":3322},"81557","who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?","Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","2025-11-15T00:35:25.541518Z","2025-11-15T00:35:25.541508Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwho-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-2026-election-lWDmU0z7U_Vj.png",1207653.44363,11656064.886833029,345231.29283799994,"price","2025-11-14T18:50:42.285487Z","2026-05-25T20:56:55.1631Z",338202.697125,2017528.8279569976,6730532.114717005,11656064.886833018,"0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b200",284,[2711,2739,2764,2789,2813,2836,2861,2884,2906,2929,2943,2958,2972,2987,3001,3027,3056,3084,3106,3129,3150,3171,3192,3206,3220,3234,3248,3262],{"id":2712,"question":2713,"conditionId":2714,"slug":2715,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":12,"liquidity":2716,"startDate":2717,"image":2697,"icon":2697,"description":2694,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":2718,"volume":2719,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":2720,"updatedAt":2721,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":2722,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":2723,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":2708,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":2724,"liquidityNum":2725,"endDateIso":227,"startDateIso":2726,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":2727,"volume1wk":2728,"volume1mo":2729,"volume1yr":2730,"clobTokenIds":2731,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":2727,"volume1wkClob":2728,"volume1moClob":2729,"volume1yrClob":2730,"volumeClob":2724,"liquidityClob":2725,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":2708,"negRiskRequestID":2732,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":2733,"cyom":15,"competitive":2573,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":2734,"rewardsMinSize":726,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":333,"oneDayPriceChange":368,"oneWeekPriceChange":615,"oneMonthPriceChange":798,"lastTradePrice":1239,"bestBid":2063,"bestAsk":1239,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":2738,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"682705","Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0x7586a96520578acaaaa4ea84a2582f197f84255da1f3392a7aa300386c187b37","will-benjamin-netanyahu-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","69035.2706","2025-11-15T00:27:02.243822Z","[\"0.35\", \"0.65\"]","855959.5895770047","2025-11-14T18:50:42.974763Z","2026-05-25T20:53:25.642177Z","0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d","Benjamin Netanyahu",855959.5895770047,69035.2706,"2025-11-15",10669.050813999998,101765.32022900002,302121.3967079995,855959.5895770029,"[\"20006732765674855733524007935991362439352594042415161039767275461950712817548\", \"54533569528927082430133047556849600511985191158927477533124630301934489498530\"]","0xa13b310b3256c5fad6feb0d972308bec4dea7875c14aede94c6ca88e7ffc26fe","2025-11-15T00:26:40Z",[2735],{"id":2736,"conditionId":2714,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":2737,"startDate":838,"endDate":120},"275072",39,"2025-11-15T00:21:29.982148Z",{"id":2740,"question":2741,"conditionId":2742,"slug":2743,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":12,"liquidity":2744,"startDate":2745,"image":2697,"icon":2697,"description":2694,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":2746,"volume":2747,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":2748,"updatedAt":2749,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":2722,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":2750,"groupItemThreshold":77,"questionID":2751,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":2752,"liquidityNum":2753,"endDateIso":227,"startDateIso":2726,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":2754,"volume1wk":2755,"volume1mo":2756,"volume1yr":2757,"clobTokenIds":2758,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":2754,"volume1wkClob":2755,"volume1moClob":2756,"volume1yrClob":2757,"volumeClob":2752,"liquidityClob":2753,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":2708,"negRiskRequestID":2759,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":2760,"cyom":15,"competitive":2761,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":726,"rewardsMaxSpread":397,"spread":686,"oneDayPriceChange":1112,"oneHourPriceChange":1112,"oneWeekPriceChange":2762,"oneMonthPriceChange":1037,"lastTradePrice":1168,"bestBid":103,"bestAsk":1167,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":2763,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"682707","Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0x45a79193a66e5078a29c625e78e0d4b9a059edef8e206097c48bbfe7eaf9590e","will-yair-lapid-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","64802.24441","2025-11-15T00:27:04.253938Z","[\"0.011\", \"0.989\"]","665144.0832619993","2025-11-14T18:50:43.846541Z","2026-05-25T20:53:45.251771Z","Yair Lapid","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b202",665144.0832619993,64802.24441,31996.676666,129852.06165400003,329322.36759699986,665144.0832619995,"[\"30912854850866302644106316438153629460678506137655559406260043509960678109607\", \"111793355166132295017239163560645146761744336187614021796771100619201573005168\"]","0xa1da051cdd1b5e9104f0e77b0ed6c3c6d822215418f7722f289ed5b0ebf558bc","2025-11-15T00:26:42Z",0.8070236885663306,0.0035,"2025-11-15T00:21:29.986936Z",{"id":2765,"question":2766,"conditionId":2767,"slug":2768,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":12,"liquidity":2769,"startDate":2770,"image":2697,"icon":2697,"description":2694,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":2771,"volume":2772,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":2773,"updatedAt":2774,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":2722,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":2775,"groupItemThreshold":277,"questionID":2776,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":2777,"liquidityNum":2778,"endDateIso":227,"startDateIso":2726,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":2779,"volume1wk":2780,"volume1mo":2781,"volume1yr":2782,"clobTokenIds":2783,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":2779,"volume1wkClob":2780,"volume1moClob":2781,"volume1yrClob":2782,"volumeClob":2777,"liquidityClob":2778,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":2708,"negRiskRequestID":2784,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":2760,"cyom":15,"competitive":2785,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":726,"rewardsMaxSpread":397,"spread":47,"oneDayPriceChange":1112,"oneMonthPriceChange":2786,"lastTradePrice":160,"bestBid":2787,"bestAsk":160,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":2788,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"682709","Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0xf773a12cc13214fc493ec398f96c4ea5ec87ea4ff3b29795041d5498e314ad1e","will-benny-gantz-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","87267.61762","2025-11-15T00:27:03.743578Z","[\"0.0045\", \"0.9955\"]","379126.51891100046","2025-11-14T18:50:44.999737Z","2026-05-25T20:51:27.91698Z","Benny Gantz","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b204",379126.51891100046,87267.61762,3277.63308,21335.338562999994,179342.33929399983,379126.5189110006,"[\"105121209501718913679835702557350272753628810249278953188501220308690716470697\", \"13959230589715260225761337964789667577085343879718375941468121776869827848866\"]","0x122ee550a058a5a0af7157677296931e7706df76b217c1090d00c106fe5c0688",0.8028773518535728,-0.0045,0.004,"2025-11-15T00:21:29.991447Z",{"id":2790,"question":2791,"conditionId":2792,"slug":2793,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":12,"liquidity":2794,"startDate":2795,"image":2697,"icon":2697,"description":2694,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":2796,"volume":2797,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":2798,"updatedAt":2799,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":2722,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":2800,"groupItemThreshold":200,"questionID":2801,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":2802,"liquidityNum":2803,"endDateIso":227,"startDateIso":2726,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":2804,"volume1wk":2805,"volume1mo":2806,"volume1yr":2807,"clobTokenIds":2808,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":2804,"volume1wkClob":2805,"volume1moClob":2806,"volume1yrClob":2807,"volumeClob":2802,"liquidityClob":2803,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":2708,"negRiskRequestID":2809,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":2760,"cyom":15,"competitive":2810,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":726,"rewardsMaxSpread":397,"spread":686,"oneDayPriceChange":2762,"oneWeekPriceChange":2762,"oneMonthPriceChange":2811,"lastTradePrice":1658,"bestBid":586,"bestAsk":1658,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":2812,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"682711","Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0xa653be0f150dbe055a532ea02977338bb31f49d1f723b2a48c1f67847a73cb7d","will-yossi-cohen-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","79767.1011","2025-11-15T00:27:03.99885Z","[\"0.007\", \"0.993\"]","741840.1624430075","2025-11-14T18:50:45.876583Z","2026-05-25T20:53:18.267024Z","Yossi Cohen","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b206",741840.1624430075,79767.1011,39040.389257,118219.02480799968,350717.6248679997,741840.1624430061,"[\"80908635602471552886049573110321791161186841957249509900771759394573505359926\", 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Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0x4bf44e9885ee8f43148458d5c9537d96c940cf48414557528358d65870131517","will-itamar-ben-gvir-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","48852.97872","2025-11-15T00:27:05.258182Z","548257.3541499998","2025-11-14T18:50:46.827561Z","2026-05-25T20:53:39.089167Z","Itamar Ben Gvir","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b208",548257.3541499998,48852.97872,41246.94710800001,189225.08112400005,391668.088594,548257.3541499999,"[\"97037271592384590668192904767730391938961253014413658633971882704234126806284\", 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Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0x93d07ffcf5c243b98e655380eb876d4a3393351b7325059064cb5a4b1ff6ceb2","will-yariv-levin-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","41819.09724","2025-11-15T00:27:07.617728Z","[\"0.008\", \"0.992\"]","566914.926841996","2025-11-14T18:50:47.744749Z","2026-05-25T20:48:59.58041Z","Yariv Levin","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b20a",566914.926841996,41819.09724,1350.132551,99014.12911300012,414952.84533299896,566914.9268419988,"[\"28155793585619215559447305702051573036104753242134264350727089371549716604590\", 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Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0x80a849ac73eefe56d4d613e44b45e32b9f91f0bfc77173b732cffac7daab3b3b","will-ayelet-shaked-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","117975.47195","2025-11-15T00:27:07.363Z","[\"0.0035\", \"0.9965\"]","719132.9814770092","2025-11-14T18:50:48.624232Z","2026-05-25T20:49:03.464161Z","Ayelet Shaked","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b20c",719132.9814770092,117975.47195,15763.569817000001,160467.86656699897,608830.7003089982,719132.9814769977,"[\"20847822223909889861535421917104908467512615252569123202591433051136381225081\", 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Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0xb25a93dc8c0f28dc404f7ee41cf6788a9de054418bd068740849b4a2995486e9","will-israel-katz-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","61870.42328","2025-11-15T00:27:11.714Z","234885.37385500054","2025-11-14T18:50:49.650906Z","2026-05-25T20:51:46.925867Z","Israel Katz","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b20e",234885.37385500054,61870.42328,8382.931247,45903.85777099999,201840.99451599974,234885.37385499978,"[\"49071939739791449726827416712265617396930502300780957239086018273026268436098\", 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Person M be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0x49fedcd7e33d94563f2c091c74c0925d3ef0474733290f079907f3fce8a05936","will-person-m-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-693","2025-11-15T00:27:19.874Z","2025-11-14T18:50:54.391268Z","2026-04-17T22:34:19.629968Z","Person M","25","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b218","[\"33907013213225227482176708058389533707446984289254095243709714190813694777637\", 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Person O be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0x001e8ae50b24f6ce25ad942d7cde8f2a62c87ec838fd9f96d8c2e3bb65ceab12","will-person-o-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-468","2025-11-15T00:27:19.358Z","2025-11-14T18:50:55.251626Z","2026-04-17T22:34:19.586434Z","Person O","27","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b21a","[\"45268951890258820055977970233765702239919883726334368489697172511041846605311\", 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Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0x9ed0ecc8b8589e67967d44c4420944a41b6a6806419019a1581d514174eee9b1","will-naftali-bennett-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","58007.2137","2025-11-15T00:27:03.233053Z","1467207.1803339953","2025-11-14T18:50:43.425747Z","2026-05-25T20:55:31.735977Z","Naftali Bennett","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b201",1467207.1803339953,58007.2137,11995.740993999998,58036.021865999995,485393.6141669999,1467207.1803339997,"[\"58945936829392654397399777214757608864525173988558750256164021442231118224154\", 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Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0xdbe93b5a701f36076a560fa4b9ba59e365a6e8e2ea6a83764640010657277ca4","will-gadi-eizenkot-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","54793.91954","2025-11-15T00:27:03.488789Z","[\"0.165\", \"0.835\"]","831404.3895969976","2025-11-14T18:50:44.437487Z","2026-05-25T20:49:51.019668Z","Gadi Eizenkot","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b203",831404.3895969976,54793.91954,19852.505849,78481.51837599999,284014.9519320002,831404.3895969995,"[\"52487256270918227930942830546248720603566203568229607048093730748840489555808\", 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Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0xadffc96f54f350b3655f72fe2853c81bfd705e9703f62469e6a14782ad5d4ec0","will-avigdor-lieberman-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","63004.96788","2025-11-15T00:27:04.509287Z","[\"0.0405\", \"0.9595\"]","791854.5899160012","2025-11-14T18:50:45.462183Z","2026-05-25T20:54:16.141747Z","Avigdor Lieberman","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b205",791854.5899160012,63004.96788,20193.886841000003,128176.75471000002,413709.15755799966,791854.5899160004,"[\"105057524965982907913786325697426001538810836564004836999292309706852745390829\", 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Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0xfcd53c97fef81c4ecad8a97c8c47fdf1ce0a54a0daeff7bae53eaa3a9af343f2","will-yair-golan-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","106686.50283","2025-11-15T00:27:05.513262Z","700801.319299003","2025-11-14T18:50:46.314997Z","2026-05-25T20:51:19.187271Z","Yair Golan","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b207",700801.319299003,106686.50283,77382.439991,209686.5460769999,420598.33427500003,700801.3192989993,"[\"38003127295883228185689665963602138176190384641897237734105806870773590495970\", 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Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0xfb2cb634e693b1758fc78b38b02754472edd728bd22eb4a7023c6f49419c73d6","will-gideon-saar-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","59301.73931","2025-11-15T00:27:05.769031Z","[\"0.0055\", \"0.9945\"]","945690.716007006","2025-11-14T18:50:47.331679Z","2026-05-25T20:54:48.906797Z","Gideon Sa’ar","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b209",945690.716007006,59301.73931,3309.214866,212756.57249199957,526773.4271610007,945690.7160070052,"[\"113523109301381527088718768250912137532200947193534063249121987336101159734964\", 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Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0x673db99d92473e9ee854b8a0ec0cff15d156e5c33a13e1e12db7266d33fde4d3","will-moshe-feiglin-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","32126.80732","2025-11-15T00:27:07.872198Z","585751.0541780009","2025-11-14T18:50:48.166239Z","2026-05-25T20:53:35.686489Z","Moshe Feiglin","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b20b",585751.0541780009,32126.80732,15618.816249999998,41415.391664,310690.698119,585751.0541780002,"[\"53508697093100828360254088937709702626357043454735600798387762815121144942132\", 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another person be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","0xac1bbb0fc2af7ceca0949c5671b42ddd00454715ae9af6fc3a5c68001c902be5","will-another-person-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-946","2025-11-15T00:27:20.132Z","2025-11-14T18:50:55.675943Z","2026-04-17T22:34:56.531456Z","Other","17","0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b21b","[\"89664454887767608074972484074448669909051901483160764641653609100815334572296\", \"4208472785294786157790256363780567687510685573795298544869583719071867982624\"]","0xb295ffa502ea0a99f00709a5ae90ff5b49d49d0bf3683fc8a5a8c36cf4d392ac","2025-11-15T00:21:30.075466Z",[3277,3278,3279,3280,3281,3288,3295,3301,3307,3313],{"id":77,"label":515,"slug":516,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":517,"updatedBy":518,"createdAt":519,"updatedAt":520,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1802,"label":1803,"slug":1804,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1805,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":1806,"updatedAt":1807,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1817,"label":1818,"slug":1819,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1820,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":1821,"updatedAt":1822,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":509,"label":510,"slug":511,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":512,"updatedAt":513,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3282,"label":3283,"slug":3284,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":3285,"updatedBy":518,"createdAt":3286,"updatedAt":3287,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},"144","Elections","elections","2023-11-02 21:24:31.008+00","2023-11-02T21:24:31.198Z","2026-04-17T17:22:31.696566Z",{"id":3289,"label":3290,"slug":3291,"forceShow":14,"publishedAt":3292,"createdBy":469,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":3293,"updatedAt":3294,"requiresTranslation":15},"1597","Global Elections","global-elections","2024-03-07 20:44:01.258+00","2024-03-07T20:41:56.773Z","2026-04-17T21:08:23.096987Z",{"id":3296,"label":3297,"slug":3298,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":3299,"updatedAt":3300,"requiresTranslation":15},"101970","World","world","2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z","2026-04-17T17:18:59.135061Z",{"id":3302,"label":3303,"slug":3304,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":3305,"updatedAt":3306,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"103026","Trump-Netanyahu","trump-netanyahu","2025-12-28T23:05:25.11347Z","2026-04-17T20:39:54.179053Z",{"id":3308,"label":3309,"slug":3310,"createdAt":3311,"updatedAt":3312,"requiresTranslation":15},"104743","Main Election","main-election","2026-04-22T17:40:04.678394Z","2026-04-22T17:45:02.315601Z",{"id":3314,"label":3315,"slug":3316,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":3317,"updatedAt":3318,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"104182","rewards 100, 4.5, 100","rewards-100-4pt5-100","2026-03-11T18:44:12.92629Z","2026-04-17T20:53:31.622295Z","2026-10-27T12:00:00Z","Prime Minister","2025-11-15T00:21:03.095062Z",{"context_description":3323,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":3324},"Recent developments in Israeli politics have kept the race for prime minister after the October 2026 Knesset election tightly contested, with Naftali Bennett edging Benjamin Netanyahu in trader consensus. Bennett's April 2026 formation of the \"Together\" electoral list with Yair Lapid has consolidated opposition support, positioning him as the presumptive leader of anti-incumbent forces and boosting his standing in recent polls. Netanyahu maintains a resilient Likud base amid coalition dynamics but faces headwinds from ongoing legal proceedings and post-October 2023 security critiques. Gadi Eizenkot's independent appeal as a former IDF chief of staff draws centrist and moderate right voters, sustaining his third-place positioning. Israel's proportional representation system and requirement for 61 Knesset seats to form a government mean coalition negotiations will ultimately decide the outcome, leaving room for shifts from additional mergers or late polling movements.","2026-05-25T20:45:46.485Z",{"id":3326,"ticker":3327,"slug":3327,"title":3328,"description":3329,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":3330,"creationDate":3331,"endDate":12,"image":3332,"icon":3332,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":3333,"volume":3334,"openInterest":3335,"createdAt":3336,"updatedAt":3337,"competitive":3338,"volume24hr":3339,"volume1wk":3340,"volume1mo":3341,"volume1yr":3342,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":3333,"commentCount":3343,"markets":3344,"series":3367,"tags":3378,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":14,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"seriesSlug":3370,"negRiskAugmented":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":3395},"34044","will-china-invade-taiwan-before-2027","Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTerritory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","2025-07-24T23:47:38.785111Z","2025-07-24T23:47:38.785108Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fchina-invades-taiwan-in-2025-CCSd9dX2mrea.jpg",979680.53133,23356220.824864004,5709428.965129,"2025-07-24T22:43:52.620767Z","2026-05-25T20:56:45.195358Z",0.846704024659408,335460.3321659998,2286299.098299,11036902.180288991,23356220.824863814,73,[3345],{"id":3346,"question":3328,"conditionId":3347,"slug":3327,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":12,"liquidity":3348,"startDate":3349,"image":3332,"icon":3332,"description":3329,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":3350,"volume":3351,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":3352,"createdAt":3353,"updatedAt":3354,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":3355,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":9,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":3356,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":3334,"liquidityNum":3333,"endDateIso":227,"startDateIso":3357,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":3339,"volume1wk":3340,"volume1mo":3341,"volume1yr":3342,"clobTokenIds":3358,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":3339,"volume1wkClob":3340,"volume1moClob":3341,"volume1yrClob":3342,"volumeClob":3334,"liquidityClob":3333,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":3359,"cyom":15,"competitive":3338,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":3360,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":47,"oneDayPriceChange":976,"oneWeekPriceChange":3363,"oneMonthPriceChange":3364,"lastTradePrice":3365,"bestBid":1063,"bestAsk":3365,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":3366,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":14,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"567621","0xd9fb1184af0064e5e34b129f5b79afa5a17b7e32f2953ab05efed82315fee6d4","979680.53133","2025-07-24T23:37:56.3Z","[\"0.0745\", \"0.9255\"]","23356220.824864004","0x6Bfd2c4c2DE57B4E65C74b376d40E5a2ba3abD01","2025-07-24T22:43:54.006955Z","2026-04-21T14:25:26.587457Z","0x157Ce2d672854c848c9b79C49a8Cc6cc89176a49","0xe72b35a076bbf5faadce08a003836f45214d4b8443a35cddbf30457d064a464c","2025-07-24","[\"94559586571241563470235664821564670251180951772614764383113614156422396181162\", \"90772332434487149264114862115632028379978765245278600275169585501290867536237\"]","2025-07-24T23:37:34Z",[3361],{"id":3362,"conditionId":3347,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":457,"startDate":81,"endDate":120},"303428",-0.012,-0.0335,0.075,"2025-07-24T23:37:05.021428Z",[3368],{"id":3369,"ticker":3370,"slug":3370,"title":3371,"seriesType":1495,"recurrence":1496,"image":9,"icon":9,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"createdAt":3372,"updatedAt":3373,"volume24hr":3374,"volume":3375,"liquidity":3376,"commentCount":3377,"requiresTranslation":15},"10171","china-invade-taiwan","China invade Taiwan","2025-07-24T22:44:22.501114Z","2026-05-25T20:57:40.803551Z",421305.4806799998,33778249.87843699,1429184.30892,737,[3379,3385,3386,3387,3388,3389],{"id":3380,"label":3381,"slug":3382,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":3383,"updatedAt":3384,"requiresTranslation":15},"101794","Foreign Policy","foreign-policy","2025-02-06T17:24:29.604203Z","2026-04-17T20:15:51.294685Z",{"id":1549,"label":1550,"slug":1551,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1552,"createdAt":1553,"updatedAt":1554,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":77,"label":515,"slug":516,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":517,"updatedBy":518,"createdAt":519,"updatedAt":520,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3296,"label":3297,"slug":3298,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":3299,"updatedAt":3300,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":509,"label":510,"slug":511,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":512,"updatedAt":513,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3390,"label":3391,"slug":3392,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":3393,"updatedAt":3394,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"102458","Earn 4%","earn-4","2025-08-01T13:31:11.928744Z","2026-04-17T21:09:22.871226Z",{"context_description":3396,"context_requires_regen":15,"context_updated_at":3397},"US intelligence assessments, including the March 2026 ODNI Annual Threat Assessment, indicate that Chinese leaders lack both a fixed timeline for unification and any current plan to invade Taiwan in 2027, favoring instead sustained coercive actions such as air and maritime incursions, economic pressure, and political engagement. This view underpins trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% implied probability for no invasion by end-2026. Beijing has maintained normalized but non-escalatory military activity around Taiwan in recent months, including April and May drills focused on blockade scenarios, alongside limited cross-strait engagement with opposition parties ahead of future elections. Diplomatic efforts to isolate Taipei continue without triggering direct conflict. Late-breaking crises, shifts in US policy, or a Taiwanese independence declaration remain the primary factors that could alter these odds before resolution.","2026-05-25T20:30:47.144Z",{"id":3399,"ticker":3400,"slug":3400,"title":3401,"description":3402,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":3403,"creationDate":3404,"endDate":12,"image":3405,"icon":3405,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":3406,"volume":3407,"openInterest":3408,"sortBy":2701,"createdAt":3409,"updatedAt":3410,"competitive":3411,"volume24hr":3412,"volume1wk":3413,"volume1mo":3414,"volume1yr":3415,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":3406,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":3416,"commentCount":3417,"markets":3418,"tags":5520,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":14,"automaticallyActive":14,"gmpChartMode":521,"negRiskAugmented":14,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":5533,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":5534},"237598","iran-leader-end-of-2026","Iran leader end of 2026?","This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","2026-03-01T00:28:20.72049Z","2026-03-01T00:28:20.720382Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fkhamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg",1813967.17116,10406213.145179005,617061.6235539999,"2026-02-28T21:23:55.4004Z","2026-05-25T20:56:45.607394Z",0.9642678495018954,291003.12415,1466639.496424,3467942.4227249995,10169352.716031,"0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec000",116,[3419,3448,3470,3494,3527,3549,3576,3597,3618,3641,3664,3686,3707,3729,3750,3771,3793,3814,3838,3859,3882,3905,3927,3940,3956,3981,3999,4027,4051,4074,4097,4120,4143,4172,4187,4202,4217,4232,4247,4262,4277,4292,4307,4322,4337,4352,4367,4382,4397,4412,4427,4442,4457,4472,4487,4502,4517,4532,4547,4562,4577,4592,4607,4622,4637,4652,4667,4682,4697,4712,4727,4742,4757,4772,4787,4802,4817,4832,4847,4861,4876,4891,4906,4921,4936,4951,4966,4981,4996,5011,5026,5041,5056,5071,5086,5101,5116,5131,5146,5161,5176,5190,5205,5220,5235,5250,5265,5280,5295,5310,5325,5340,5355,5370,5385,5400,5415,5430,5445,5460,5475,5490,5505],{"id":3420,"question":3421,"conditionId":3422,"slug":3423,"endDate":12,"liquidity":3424,"startDate":3425,"image":3405,"icon":3405,"description":3402,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":3426,"volume":3427,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":3428,"updatedAt":3429,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":3430,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":3431,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":3416,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":3432,"liquidityNum":3433,"endDateIso":227,"startDateIso":3434,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":3435,"volume1wk":3436,"volume1mo":3437,"volume1yr":3438,"clobTokenIds":3439,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":3435,"volume1wkClob":3436,"volume1moClob":3437,"volume1yrClob":3438,"volumeClob":3432,"liquidityClob":3433,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":3416,"negRiskRequestID":3440,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":3441,"cyom":15,"competitive":3442,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":3443,"rewardsMinSize":726,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":1484,"oneDayPriceChange":368,"oneWeekPriceChange":1484,"oneMonthPriceChange":60,"lastTradePrice":797,"bestBid":797,"bestAsk":3446,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":3447,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1469734","Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?","0x6397f084bcee3390e92b0a4f8d0f1fa23ddabad1668c4a6783f5643564f646d6","will-there-be-no-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","74513.547","2026-03-01T00:15:11.057586Z","[\"0.0315\", \"0.9685\"]","573759.0012029991","2026-02-28T21:23:56.245665Z","2026-05-25T20:49:27.73837Z","0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","No Head of State",573759.0012029991,74513.547,"2026-03-01",15406.46002,75583.97354100001,199329.72432500013,573759.0012029998,"[\"46737595588538785221040143451401435150985932684129375912985868128718669274118\", \"96773953960313048340895711765817431775606353405814859249629785260485292633238\"]","0x96462e9e6aeb86710dfbc9afc5f1f42de98f2054f652f25039356d9f30aa205e","2026-03-01T00:13:49Z",0.8200134113193421,[3444],{"id":3445,"conditionId":3422,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":452,"startDate":838,"endDate":120},"122476",0.033,"2026-03-01T00:12:26.385858Z",{"id":3449,"question":3450,"conditionId":3451,"slug":3452,"endDate":12,"liquidity":3453,"startDate":3454,"image":3405,"icon":3405,"description":3402,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":1761,"volume":3455,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":3456,"updatedAt":3457,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":3430,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":3458,"groupItemThreshold":178,"questionID":3459,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":3460,"liquidityNum":3461,"endDateIso":227,"startDateIso":3434,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":3462,"volume1wk":3463,"volume1mo":3464,"volume1yr":3465,"clobTokenIds":3466,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":3462,"volume1wkClob":3463,"volume1moClob":3464,"volume1yrClob":3465,"volumeClob":3460,"liquidityClob":3461,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":3416,"negRiskRequestID":3467,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":3468,"cyom":15,"competitive":1750,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":457,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":47,"oneMonthPriceChange":1165,"lastTradePrice":686,"bestBid":686,"bestAsk":1484,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":3469,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1469735","Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0xae6d228c3a89c04f5d48b130c86416b146ee3fdc19c6f201603d9c9682dca3ea","will-muhammad-mirbaqiri-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","54365.49013","2026-03-01T00:15:14.04324Z","301530.57608100015","2026-02-28T21:23:56.797106Z","2026-05-25T20:53:32.649458Z","Muhammad Mirbaqiri","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec001",301530.57608100015,54365.49013,466.33,9763.216833,20899.885833,301530.5760809999,"[\"24220383984382962815005294667673468020723126381870974624839639558170516961584\", 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Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x1c3443745a19b5da3775711dae0bc72056c9a816ccb1c8f6748e304608bd9762","will-sadegh-larijani-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","52096.22808","2026-03-01T00:15:16.050062Z","[\"0.004\", \"0.996\"]","225070.54362499993","2026-02-28T21:23:57.349065Z","2026-05-25T20:53:43.693852Z","Sadegh Larijani","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec002",225070.54362499993,52096.22808,14596.19,29463.862,44779.922166,225070.5436249999,"[\"80038948246057435452897416216173694344062585728123332884583478660265203019538\", 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Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x25fb28382075f418a944a781a9f8840e2f541152eea0d9798d1cabfa1466adbb","will-mojtaba-khamenei-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","83079.9589","2026-03-01T00:15:27.113703Z","[\"0.695\", \"0.305\"]","2331583.636579004","2026-02-28T21:23:57.911179Z","2026-05-25T20:49:14.844792Z","Mojtaba Khamenei","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec003",2331583.636579004,83079.9589,8996.885555,91528.47011300002,663127.7473039995,2331583.6365790013,"[\"111988618077786263362718284278451225707405623288593888751575373086664059387290\", 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Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0xe19caac25967e1c4b09254ebe6f152dde51fe9468cf1def1deb3c22089083adf","will-hassan-khomeini-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","50936.49078","2026-03-01T00:15:29.232417Z","896508.3752359989","2026-02-28T21:23:58.676597Z","2026-05-25T20:50:04.387793Z","Hassan Khomeini","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec004",896508.3752359989,50936.49078,14803.66422,76983.26962199999,151629.523252,896508.3752359999,"[\"94891603619000614838396398392241438239423861380143937686380744345512277527835\", 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Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0xe6eb21883f57c3047cf7be1d7cff4554fbb82067e374bd07c53242170f57851f","will-reza-pahlavi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","112751.8815","2026-03-01T00:15:33.171116Z","[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]","232543.2457739999","2026-02-28T21:23:59.226978Z","2026-05-25T20:48:53.287463Z","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec005",232543.2457739999,112751.8815,1778.598335,20483.338359999998,70709.51616900011,232543.24577399975,"[\"59405816357054997632711068734450950071946240481171324713469217993570263323448\", 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Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x7d9928e23aefb2209696048829b614f49e387d5a77327aa887d0724952fd1156","will-hassan-shariatmadari-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","54903.00974","2026-03-01T00:15:48.308561Z","188748.45095699988","2026-02-28T21:23:59.795015Z","2026-05-25T20:55:11.582505Z","Hassan Shariatmadari","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec006",188748.45095699988,54903.00974,175.082,7546.336332999999,31701.79233300001,"[\"98467866849121962679941492304871725691205424493767395840761628615935723998068\", 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Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x370c146544d0fb7db1d77767473c8a6fbdf08b9914c827712d49449b0eb7f4aa","will-maryam-rajavi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","60178.21098","2026-03-01T00:15:49.295639Z","401700.1979530004","2026-02-28T21:24:00.373354Z","2026-05-25T20:53:04.54593Z","Maryam Rajavi","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec007",401700.1979530004,60178.21098,14723.72,76914.996264,140852.025977,401700.19795299997,"[\"29840218012450730421701561987120347460939513970096057739135420319161086074616\", 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Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x17a0a4c8d29c95bf6f3e3576fc603faf29ae681a0924719cf27a89ec46efa185","will-massoud-rajavi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","54281.05421","2026-03-01T00:15:54.284543Z","[\"0.005\", \"0.995\"]","159017.108202","2026-02-28T21:24:00.955745Z","2026-05-25T20:54:23.133182Z","Massoud Rajavi","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec008",159017.108202,54281.05421,14487.98,77463.226666,131513.312666,"[\"56971265181777963578812042298810798590085894462476928769356591220479741711867\", 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Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x821f357da390a32347e4df0c3fb0aa4a8eadf4af72730c8dc7a7f1ab58798a02","will-seyed-hossein-mousavian-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","53175.33821","2026-03-01T00:16:00.352563Z","[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]","83465.145216","2026-02-28T21:24:01.519109Z","2026-05-25T20:49:58.765378Z","Seyed Hossein Mousavian","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec009",83465.145216,53175.33821,1353,29537.525999999998,47681.780999999995,"[\"1749783288752028807000057037501981427623647539189525525672407220986693234010\", 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Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x68617ef6b6488a6a4753c9d57604764831a9448fb8aa7dee205bb2311e3b949d","will-reza-pirzadeh-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","55903.19845","2026-03-01T00:16:05.366343Z","55956.493034999985","2026-02-28T21:24:02.100563Z","2026-05-25T20:54:26.216766Z","Reza Pirzadeh","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec00a",55956.493034999985,55903.19845,2115.046,3946.319,24051.377,55956.493035000014,"[\"104614758662420747313073035120189350685905006856660091274916864977263789265748\", 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Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x73d9b98f619d738cca001cfde25654d409a132f0eb565ae98972b62b123a4da0","will-ali-motahari-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","51593.26713","2026-03-01T00:16:26.537743Z","105372.793149","2026-02-28T21:24:03.857966Z","2026-05-25T20:50:10.661118Z","Ali Motahari","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec00d",105372.793149,51593.26713,1791,18261.7475,51775.6945,"[\"103560181776690453897548183075617798232415038848160877980735257504087333467563\", 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Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0xce9edcb8be64fadb0c83a6be6bc4efec26eaab5a9e05bcfca5c70c700c7b0942","will-sadegh-mahsouli-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","55436.70839","2026-03-01T00:16:46.515815Z","98330.27820999996","2026-02-28T21:24:05.57083Z","2026-05-25T20:52:30.629438Z","Sadegh Mahsouli","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec010",98330.27820999996,55436.70839,21551.963999999996,48026.655000000006,98330.27821,"[\"2291432042866934809566516429320863056950008758751352252417881188133670041393\", 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Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0xb10aa376c96281d85f8d93e69107bb37aedb1bc2b953e24718836aee1bb64f3f","will-masoud-pezeshkian-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","51846.95764","2026-03-01T00:16:54.486664Z","[\"0.0075\", \"0.9925\"]","491660.94811000023","2026-02-28T21:24:06.131856Z","2026-05-25T20:53:36.853557Z","Masoud Pezeshkian","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec011",491660.94811000023,51846.95764,397.5,153296.42335700002,232365.694341,491660.9481100001,"[\"28152633830811377282265546570547229637532772761293435321097240605763179025584\", 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Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x6ab0ce92e138eec9776d055e052140ff284f885fb8a54c74a944316e4a2e4d80","will-saeed-jalili-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","49229.58018","2026-03-01T00:17:02.443967Z","98883.314491","2026-02-28T21:24:06.675759Z","2026-05-25T20:49:18.330027Z","Saeed Jalili","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec012",98883.314491,49229.58018,305.40999999999997,13459.924,47174.038499999995,"[\"40839296607100054992696453096649835441756766770237220555851470774948085973723\", 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Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0xa62f1bf829a121000d61acafed2689cdaa1488253e420214112103dcffab2fde","will-hassan-rouhani-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","52545.22906","2026-03-01T00:17:08.671164Z","[\"0.0065\", \"0.9935\"]","437738.856094","2026-02-28T21:24:07.303908Z","2026-05-25T20:55:46.524659Z","Hassan Rouhani","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec013",437738.856094,52545.22906,14672.9,77089.29191399999,154785.81811,"[\"104793441501237301362687704882442614671827167665311941358943027509381456411382\", 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Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0xb174c3e769e52b51681b154172468f89c685b9fe24c4b0ef3ef5f8c3b511c3a0","will-mahmoud-ahmadinejad-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","56091.0673","2026-03-01T00:17:16.533601Z","232092.92319999996","2026-02-28T21:24:07.876617Z","2026-05-25T20:52:51.489897Z","Mahmoud Ahmadinejad","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec014",232092.92319999996,56091.0673,15748.98,83134.355804,177919.694799,232092.92320000002,"[\"89974685609098808755854367630091386804795305974823550976721901844367211884750\", 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Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x4266ab921148974f104cbadd099e13bca989441bf58acfd2a08fc6cc7440e1a1","will-mohammad-khatami-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","55318.53613","2026-03-01T00:17:22.549712Z","503868.94904500054","2026-02-28T21:24:08.459559Z","2026-05-25T20:53:10.717626Z","Mohammad Khatami","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec015",503868.94904500054,55318.53613,14531,49740.4125,107287.962333,503868.9490449999,"[\"109964530739127391640133334841538832910538135659154802798604810257875886815259\", 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Other be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x27a3400808c45bdd8f6782d393987a2fbf00b8ccddf627b1f542d8244d4137a5","will-other-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026-477","2026-03-01T00:17:28.652727Z","2026-02-28T21:24:09.040369Z","2026-04-17T22:16:34.044431Z","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec016","[\"48698382391650703574559280912890218862775331407957917109013415112891895865760\", 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Mohammad Pakpour be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x6cd58ce2bd63ed6773d2989bc5f8ae760ad1b2f7dfbafc6b5dc5b1f8551c49ae","will-mohammad-pakpour-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026-144","2026-03-01T00:17:34.680002Z","2026-02-28T21:24:09.589472Z","2026-04-17T22:16:34.011284Z","2026-03-05 03:18:53+00","Mohammad Pakpour","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec017","2026-03-05T03:18:53Z","[\"28772282430330367928237705922909547839835917715331151394892497900972676462720\", 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Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0xa1b6ebba4e86fe9bfb2c206dba71be111d2e1047d7b74125eb223c1b3da7ebd6","will-alireza-arafi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","69280.84313","2026-03-01T00:17:39.638Z","[\"0.02\", \"0.98\"]","1091341.131964001","2026-02-28T21:24:10.137799Z","2026-05-25T20:55:40.794807Z","Alireza Arafi","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec018",1091341.131964001,69280.84313,74499.956411,224259.73437499997,302366.775268,1091341.1319639997,"[\"15594570557513531332355721053640294921906723255866000443375970665853038805455\", 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Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0xa6093b047455f139b9aead883060929fb780f09eb904b09eeff01bb48d568222","will-ali-larijani-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","2026-03-01T00:17:48.439Z","236860.42914799994","2026-02-28T21:24:10.896386Z","2026-04-17T22:16:33.935239Z","2026-03-18 00:41:09+00","Ali Larijani","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec019","2026-03-18T00:41:09Z",236860.42914799994,"[\"110615792322494295318530321697481370264312915612456515571711577157981418185935\", 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Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x504088e48d1e39815d24709930eda874ad3b69a1ed2b1cd2e3f480981410f71c","will-abbas-araghchi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","65156.11046","2026-03-01T00:17:56.498Z","[\"0.034\", \"0.966\"]","295737.03692700004","2026-02-28T21:24:11.441071Z","2026-05-25T20:53:31.250859Z","Abbas Araghchi","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec01a",295737.03692700004,65156.11046,15752.197973000002,73825.86078399996,184823.93809000004,295737.0369270001,"[\"32471272226653114342524958169714392759250636898783637114937850399512347168929\", 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\"100142735748970838767194025509835417353463310828134009016152755292959038036438\"]","0xf589f56624c0ff60c84f239ec4af4b8c4bf4fd7ec111e000b7382a1f1e947967","2026-03-01T00:27:43Z","2026-03-01T00:12:26.66072Z",{"id":5476,"question":5477,"conditionId":5478,"slug":5479,"endDate":12,"liquidity":44,"startDate":5480,"image":3405,"icon":3405,"description":3402,"outcomes":35,"volume":44,"active":15,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":5481,"updatedAt":5482,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":3430,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":5483,"groupItemThreshold":5484,"questionID":5485,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":56,"liquidityNum":56,"endDateIso":227,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":56,"volume1wk":56,"volume1mo":56,"volume1yr":56,"clobTokenIds":5486,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrAmm":56,"volume1wkAmm":56,"volume1moAmm":56,"volume1yrAmm":56,"volume24hrClob":56,"volume1wkClob":56,"volume1moClob":56,"volume1yrClob":56,"volumeAmm":56,"volumeClob":56,"liquidityAmm":56,"liquidityClob":56,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":3416,"negRiskRequestID":5487,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":5488,"cyom":15,"competitive":56,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":457,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":452,"oneDayPriceChange":56,"oneHourPriceChange":56,"oneWeekPriceChange":56,"oneMonthPriceChange":56,"oneYearPriceChange":56,"lastTradePrice":56,"bestBid":56,"bestAsk":452,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":14,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":5489,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1469854","Will cx be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x15b1cc5200cc7376253f721edf868fcc08f003e5624fae7664efe19a4f4c2562","will-cx-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","2026-03-01T00:29:13.304587Z","2026-02-28T21:25:04.334609Z","2026-04-17T22:18:07.18322Z","cx","120","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec078","[\"4742685601905826809491718933940275710565150105636175828031557092920634595093\", \"33422221549189971428790615446432191303812846655063091907219938217049424758607\"]","0x90c8cdd2d61ba27a6457d9679887c1d72d87754126d65c29d73552903eabdf09","2026-03-01T00:27:51Z","2026-03-01T00:12:26.661933Z",{"id":5491,"question":5492,"conditionId":5493,"slug":5494,"endDate":12,"liquidity":44,"startDate":5495,"image":3405,"icon":3405,"description":3402,"outcomes":35,"volume":44,"active":15,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":5496,"updatedAt":5497,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":3430,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":5498,"groupItemThreshold":5499,"questionID":5500,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":56,"liquidityNum":56,"endDateIso":227,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":56,"volume1wk":56,"volume1mo":56,"volume1yr":56,"clobTokenIds":5501,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrAmm":56,"volume1wkAmm":56,"volume1moAmm":56,"volume1yrAmm":56,"volume24hrClob":56,"volume1wkClob":56,"volume1moClob":56,"volume1yrClob":56,"volumeAmm":56,"volumeClob":56,"liquidityAmm":56,"liquidityClob":56,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":3416,"negRiskRequestID":5502,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":5503,"cyom":15,"competitive":56,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":457,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":452,"oneDayPriceChange":56,"oneHourPriceChange":56,"oneWeekPriceChange":56,"oneMonthPriceChange":56,"oneYearPriceChange":56,"lastTradePrice":56,"bestBid":56,"bestAsk":452,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":14,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":5504,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1469855","Will cy be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x86129a213367f2e3da1d92fa1556165c59fb8a553143f6fd38e74dc3fa79d31b","will-cy-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","2026-03-01T00:29:21.534741Z","2026-02-28T21:25:04.900753Z","2026-04-17T22:18:07.19751Z","cy","121","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec079","[\"112666300181811741823137440783797152006303787579941833205731832804035584297901\", \"73931015869004917076959206897222549436979834320741691975853972925523841855058\"]","0x09d5deaf43e721cdd3aabacc54995f963d9407792198c4f7309488cd605337bf","2026-03-01T00:27:59Z","2026-03-01T00:12:26.663055Z",{"id":5506,"question":5507,"conditionId":5508,"slug":5509,"endDate":12,"liquidity":44,"startDate":5510,"image":3405,"icon":3405,"description":3402,"outcomes":35,"volume":44,"active":15,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":5511,"updatedAt":5512,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":3430,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":5513,"groupItemThreshold":5514,"questionID":5515,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":56,"liquidityNum":56,"endDateIso":227,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":56,"volume1wk":56,"volume1mo":56,"volume1yr":56,"clobTokenIds":5516,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrAmm":56,"volume1wkAmm":56,"volume1moAmm":56,"volume1yrAmm":56,"volume24hrClob":56,"volume1wkClob":56,"volume1moClob":56,"volume1yrClob":56,"volumeAmm":56,"volumeClob":56,"liquidityAmm":56,"liquidityClob":56,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":3416,"negRiskRequestID":5517,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":5518,"cyom":15,"competitive":56,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":457,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":452,"oneDayPriceChange":56,"oneHourPriceChange":56,"oneWeekPriceChange":56,"oneMonthPriceChange":56,"oneYearPriceChange":56,"lastTradePrice":56,"bestBid":56,"bestAsk":452,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":14,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":5519,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1469856","Will cz be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","0x5b20e098f4afa2757eeb80be45d2a8f88124905174a3f149ddd059788dee6f01","will-cz-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","2026-03-01T00:29:27.490456Z","2026-02-28T21:25:05.451679Z","2026-04-17T22:18:07.227194Z","cz","122","0xd72f68ada62aff9ba67dd2cbb56fabec9928aa198daafbd8042ac18ccabec07a","[\"101017077391628103755140688819228979220920362806851815291168494522236769565304\", \"66722793043900430760485135247067430607203115084716848846405522343008408088333\"]","0x70a26abbd770b2d6bb3d2054d8d45ca289028c6e1d1c83e28a034c67fa8d08f7","2026-03-01T00:28:05Z","2026-03-01T00:12:26.664294Z",[5521,5522,5523,5524,5525,5526,5527],{"id":1802,"label":1803,"slug":1804,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1805,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":1806,"updatedAt":1807,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":465,"label":466,"slug":467,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":468,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":470,"updatedAt":471,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3296,"label":3297,"slug":3298,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":3299,"updatedAt":3300,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":509,"label":510,"slug":511,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":512,"updatedAt":513,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":77,"label":515,"slug":516,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":517,"updatedBy":518,"createdAt":519,"updatedAt":520,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1790,"label":1791,"slug":1792,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":1793,"updatedAt":1794,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":5528,"label":5529,"slug":5530,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":5531,"updatedAt":5532,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"103796","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100","rewards-50-4pt5-100","2026-02-17T21:38:43.366956Z","2026-04-17T17:19:39.142744Z","2026-03-01T00:10:55.0168Z",{"context_description":5535,"context_requires_regen":15,"context_updated_at":5536},"Mojtaba Khamenei holds a commanding lead in trader pricing because the Assembly of Experts selected him as Supreme Leader in March 2026 following the February assassination of his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, during U.S.-Israeli strikes. This rapid internal consolidation by the clerical body and alignment with Revolutionary Guard elements has entrenched his position, making continuity through the end of 2026 the dominant scenario. Reza Pahlavi and other listed figures remain at single-digit odds due to lack of institutional support inside Iran, while remaining clerics such as Abbas Araghchi and Alireza Arafi trail because the succession process has already concluded in Mojtaba’s favor. Any shift would require major regime upheaval or health-related developments not yet evident in official actions.","2026-05-25T20:31:04.865Z",{"id":5538,"ticker":5539,"slug":5539,"title":5540,"description":5541,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":5542,"creationDate":5543,"endDate":5544,"image":5545,"icon":5545,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":5546,"volume":5547,"openInterest":5548,"createdAt":5549,"updatedAt":5550,"competitive":582,"volume24hr":5551,"volume1wk":5552,"volume1mo":5553,"volume1yr":5554,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":5546,"negRisk":15,"commentCount":5555,"markets":5556,"tags":5675,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"gmpChartMode":521,"negRiskAugmented":15,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":5692},"267102","kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31","Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by March 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\n“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.\n\nTemporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.\n\nAn announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.\n\nIf control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.\n\nIf control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.","2026-03-14T00:25:34.154359Z","2026-03-14T00:25:34.154351Z","2026-03-31T23:55:00Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fkharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31-j0_GAJMNgJ_G.jpg",494910.05108,46360483.81430368,3730868.5463130004,"2026-03-14T00:02:08.336105Z","2026-05-25T20:56:55.247508Z",275541.92538399994,2761747.588539002,8788093.098199,12747713.10258397,417,[5557,5577,5598,5627,5654],{"id":5558,"question":5559,"conditionId":5560,"slug":5539,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":5544,"startDate":5561,"image":5545,"icon":5545,"description":5541,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":5562,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":5563,"updatedAt":5564,"closedTime":5565,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":5566,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":5567,"umaEndDate":5568,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":5569,"endDateIso":1473,"startDateIso":5570,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":5571,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":5569,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":5572,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":5573,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":5576,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1581306","Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?","0x4befb52f7cd2b606c63731ad74e677325ff0ed0f48f1104552a34f0f54619ea3","2026-03-14T00:24:01.064Z","7792977.976447833","2026-03-14T00:02:09.725566Z","2026-04-17T22:05:58.716165Z","2026-04-01 07:19:31+00","March 31","0x2096973d80b79fb50f6f6b87d63cb2855a7acd04032ff9cbcbb9da081e510489","2026-04-01T07:19:31Z",7792977.976447833,"2026-03-14","[\"4535122699075910617296689739209052182591729434840370870460954445200030058884\", \"46118971458650555165410440115606491822058595161731979755989518360335087029561\"]","2026-03-14T00:22:55Z",[5574],{"id":5575,"conditionId":5560,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":47,"startDate":1768,"endDate":120},"123374","2026-03-14T00:21:42.437176Z",{"id":5578,"question":5579,"conditionId":5580,"slug":5581,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":5582,"startDate":5583,"image":5545,"icon":5545,"description":5584,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":5585,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":5586,"updatedAt":5587,"closedTime":5588,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":76,"groupItemThreshold":77,"questionID":5589,"umaEndDate":5590,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":5591,"endDateIso":81,"startDateIso":5592,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":5593,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":5591,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":5594,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":726,"rewardsMaxSpread":397,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":208,"oneWeekPriceChange":5595,"oneMonthPriceChange":5596,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":5597,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1611267","Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?","0xa78ecba9c4273564cce4b810db46bb36cc35db9cd52fc4e067c77f85af1c1048","kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-april-30-912","2026-04-30T23:55:00Z","2026-03-16T21:43:59.839Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by April 30, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\n“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.\n\nTemporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.\n\nAn announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.\n\nIf control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.\n\nIf control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.","17372089.246162925","2026-03-16T21:30:11.695038Z","2026-05-02T06:50:51.448888Z","2026-05-01 06:47:52+00","0xca9912bc0741707d3bd6b24cd14d5868fac6242b788bd818bb20076837337a74","2026-05-01T06:47:52Z",17372089.246162925,"2026-03-16","[\"66760013958706218500063341242954853503885044406421636173986330736153883161818\", \"15589749219518581780498663260935033750904904134256892110326788769484848745555\"]","2026-03-16T21:42:55Z",-0.0505,-0.2245,"2026-03-16T21:41:41.264839Z",{"id":5599,"question":5600,"conditionId":5601,"slug":5602,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":5603,"liquidity":5604,"startDate":5605,"image":5545,"icon":5545,"description":5606,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":5607,"volume":5608,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":5609,"updatedAt":5610,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":141,"groupItemThreshold":277,"questionID":5611,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":5612,"liquidityNum":5613,"endDateIso":1103,"startDateIso":5614,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":5615,"volume1wk":5616,"volume1mo":5617,"volume1yr":5618,"clobTokenIds":5619,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":5615,"volume1wkClob":5616,"volume1moClob":5617,"volume1yrClob":5618,"volumeClob":5612,"liquidityClob":5613,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":5620,"cyom":15,"competitive":582,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":5621,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":103,"oneDayPriceChange":263,"oneWeekPriceChange":5624,"oneMonthPriceChange":5625,"lastTradePrice":238,"bestBid":125,"bestAsk":238,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":5626,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1708086","Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?","0x6897736d782ce70f47126dfcec6669073f563d6e757e60bc61c0367370d6f73e","kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-june-30-561-854","2026-06-30T23:55:00Z","128305.276","2026-03-24T20:16:09.463Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\n“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.\n\nTemporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.\n\nAn announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.\n\nIf control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.\n\nIf control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.","[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]","3703797.1739210123","2026-03-24T20:11:46.277024Z","2026-05-25T20:54:24.088207Z","0x9a0e2ea84453688cc097b4da55697e8bad2335f0a621ed7bb798abe4c33fa33b",3703797.1739210123,128305.276,"2026-03-24",48946.235379,860458.8417600002,2156581.8577390015,3703797.1739209993,"[\"29245464513969532033634287470900755719499302279516205593200700547528308197658\", \"84203195130140530447122876239051822841225116149034054273108408507932786055868\"]","2026-03-24T20:15:03Z",[5622],{"id":5623,"conditionId":5601,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":2510,"startDate":158,"endDate":120},"288100",-0.06,-0.09,"2026-03-24T20:13:50.505013Z",{"id":5628,"question":5629,"conditionId":5630,"slug":5631,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":5632,"liquidity":5633,"startDate":5634,"image":5545,"icon":5545,"description":5635,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":1860,"volume":5636,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":5637,"updatedAt":5638,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":100,"groupItemThreshold":255,"questionID":5639,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":5640,"liquidityNum":5641,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":5614,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":5642,"volume1wk":5643,"volume1mo":5644,"volume1yr":5645,"clobTokenIds":5646,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":5642,"volume1wkClob":5643,"volume1moClob":5644,"volume1yrClob":5645,"volumeClob":5640,"liquidityClob":5641,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":5647,"cyom":15,"competitive":1873,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":5648,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":47,"oneDayPriceChange":368,"oneHourPriceChange":47,"oneWeekPriceChange":5651,"oneMonthPriceChange":5652,"lastTradePrice":1168,"bestBid":1167,"bestAsk":1880,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":5653,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1708109","Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?","0xa1d97efb8a19de58d995edf58b882c4f99ef356c8a564af8daf888a7610edea1","kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-may-31-689","2026-05-31T23:55:00Z","367160.42701","2026-03-24T20:15:52.713Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\n“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.\n\nTemporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.\n\nAn announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.\n\nIf control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.\n\nIf control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.","9044060.518662972","2026-03-24T20:12:29.089766Z","2026-05-25T20:52:48.798802Z","0x7cdad114aa2c051e44610b4d95a85fffc18ff43aa2891ecbd9f6ac8ee5f918ba",9044060.518662972,367160.42701,226126.10706699992,1898342.7213960022,6631655.830459998,9044060.51866297,"[\"34141894076461090122188007837560653115836547685839714096383156529096483178653\", \"100163154059647202338245468059660618891980224552920809116210522677039428311145\"]","2026-03-24T20:14:47Z",[5649],{"id":5650,"conditionId":5630,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":2510,"startDate":158,"endDate":120},"288099",-0.039,-0.1125,"2026-03-24T20:13:30.087581Z",{"id":5655,"question":5656,"conditionId":5657,"slug":5658,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":5659,"startDate":5660,"image":5545,"icon":5545,"description":5661,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":5662,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":5663,"updatedAt":5664,"closedTime":5665,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":2378,"groupItemThreshold":178,"questionID":5666,"umaEndDate":5667,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":5668,"endDateIso":5669,"startDateIso":5670,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":5671,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":5668,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":5672,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneWeekPriceChange":5673,"lastTradePrice":686,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":5674,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1797309","Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?","0x10d4b55e87cd8df815a88de7a8eccdff77418d361285a540fbdc6505bb99a4a2","kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-april-15","2026-04-15T23:55:00Z","2026-03-30T22:31:53.014159Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\n“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.\n\nTemporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.\n\nAn announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.\n\nIf control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.\n\nIf control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.","8447703.489108935","2026-03-30T22:28:59.619505Z","2026-04-17T22:05:58.785476Z","2026-04-16 06:50:18+00","0x1982b397897e82184e7f1019bf1848065bb3203835b18ff097682a705c3bede1","2026-04-16T06:50:18Z",8447703.489108935,"2026-04-15","2026-03-30","[\"40005847108050798416151053441842320707139529801249097438698453878815195017416\", \"67423939864971962920209126258922721130282429613087261619642304277345981406057\"]","2026-03-30T22:30:47Z",-0.032,"2026-03-30T22:29:33.834595Z",[5676,5677,5678,5684,5685,5690,5691],{"id":1796,"label":1797,"slug":1798,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":1799,"updatedAt":1800,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1790,"label":1791,"slug":1792,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":1793,"updatedAt":1794,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":5679,"label":5680,"slug":5681,"createdAt":5682,"updatedAt":5683,"requiresTranslation":15},"104230","Kharg Island","kharg-island","2026-03-14T00:02:09.12108Z","2026-04-17T20:53:51.729105Z",{"id":465,"label":466,"slug":467,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":468,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":470,"updatedAt":471,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":5686,"label":3505,"slug":5687,"createdAt":5688,"updatedAt":5689,"requiresTranslation":15},"104127","mojtaba-khamenei","2026-03-09T15:52:22.802541Z","2026-04-17T21:11:26.140734Z",{"id":509,"label":510,"slug":511,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":512,"updatedAt":513,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1531,"label":1532,"slug":1533,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1534,"createdAt":1535,"updatedAt":1536,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"context_description":5693,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":5694},"US strikes on Kharg Island in March and April 2026 targeted Iranian military infrastructure including air defenses, missile storage, and naval assets to protect shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, while explicitly avoiding oil export facilities. These precision operations have not altered Iranian sovereignty or operational control over the island, which continues to handle the vast majority of Iran's crude exports. Trader consensus assigns low probability to loss of control by near-term resolution dates because escalation to occupation or seizure would require sustained ground or amphibious action beyond current air and missile campaigns. Iranian threats to restrict strait traffic and reported deadlines for compliance remain key variables that could prompt further strikes, though historical patterns show preference for degrading capabilities over territorial change.","2026-05-25T20:45:50.919Z",{"id":5696,"ticker":5697,"slug":5697,"title":5698,"description":5699,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":5700,"creationDate":5701,"endDate":70,"image":5702,"icon":5702,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":14,"restricted":14,"liquidity":5703,"volume":5704,"openInterest":5705,"createdAt":5706,"updatedAt":5707,"competitive":5708,"volume24hr":5709,"volume1wk":5710,"volume1mo":5711,"volume1yr":5711,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":5703,"negRisk":15,"commentCount":912,"markets":5712,"series":6208,"tags":6216,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"seriesSlug":6211,"gmpChartMode":521,"negRiskAugmented":15,"featuredOrder":469,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":6229},"371649","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.  \n\nThe meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.","2026-04-12T18:22:17.972021Z","2026-04-12T18:22:17.972016Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fus-x-iran-meeting-by-9btZGbUg-ikA.jpg",303664.5765,40637065.34109889,1743044.7532829999,"2026-04-12T15:29:11.472737Z","2026-05-25T20:57:25.796413Z",0.9928268261808434,271639.923324,3140612.228464,6836861.325643017,[5713,5732,5749,5765,5783,5800,5816,5834,5853,5872,5888,5904,5924,5942,5961,5979,5998,6017,6033,6056,6079,6101,6117,6142,6163,6187],{"id":5714,"question":5715,"conditionId":5716,"slug":5717,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":70,"startDate":5718,"image":5702,"icon":5702,"description":5719,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":5720,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":5721,"updatedAt":5722,"closedTime":5723,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":2378,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":5724,"umaEndDate":5725,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":5726,"endDateIso":81,"startDateIso":5727,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":5728,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":5726,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":5729,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":457,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":5730,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":5731,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1982151","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?","0xdba26f18e126e4f13f776b1fba91937ab4d51314a93ebd4829030ccc1e0a3ce7","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-april-15-2026-398","2026-04-14T16:11:26.540752Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.","74656.74052799997","2026-04-14T16:06:16.333354Z","2026-04-17T23:00:35.020904Z","2026-04-16 06:42:32+00","0xc3801ea4229daa800cf845f0100626f9bf40f0bb70480f22c8fa7c9b453c443b","2026-04-16T06:42:32Z",74656.74052799997,"2026-04-14","[\"35942605066339250033968373570528553699704683000809237857192349459709610913960\", \"105920286070087246115597012143661310696148416509310612772290904443617094005331\"]","2026-04-14T16:10:23Z",-0.0105,"2026-04-14T16:07:44.636184Z",{"id":5733,"question":5734,"conditionId":5735,"slug":5736,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":70,"startDate":5737,"image":5702,"icon":5702,"description":5719,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":5738,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":5739,"updatedAt":5740,"closedTime":5741,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":5742,"groupItemThreshold":178,"questionID":5743,"umaEndDate":5744,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":5745,"endDateIso":81,"startDateIso":5727,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":5746,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":5745,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":5747,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":457,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":2528,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":5748,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1982152","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?","0xfb2031685ad36fa6a923d072a3f0e72b10847528eadcc47121b81737a996459d","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-april-16-2026-943","2026-04-14T16:11:28.669408Z","168548.92967200006","2026-04-14T16:06:31.882023Z","2026-04-18T05:26:49.522656Z","2026-04-17 06:32:14+00","April 16","0xda3297c42b235e3a2983312c14f1357326984f195978bc9d61e2036e0a8959b2","2026-04-17T06:32:14Z",168548.92967200006,"[\"92644249651381037257828144873333464139017506629407098329947982159664025925707\", 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indirect US-Iran negotiations, mediated primarily by Oman and Pakistan, continue amid a fragile April 2026 ceasefire, with senior officials exchanging draft proposals on nuclear enrichment limits, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz access. Recent developments include an Iranian delegation arriving in Doha for further talks and US officials, including President Trump and Secretary Rubio, noting progress on a framework while emphasizing verification and security guarantees as unresolved sticking points. Both sides have signaled proximity to a draft agreement in some rounds, though mixed public statements reflect ongoing caution. 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deal","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-trump-issue-an-executive-order-on-february-14-IRIODX3MAqwP.jpg","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Ftrump-negative-approval-before-march-1qIERzlB6HpB.jpg","2025-06-27T16:45:56.780168Z","2026-05-25T20:57:34.476993Z",442173.98733900004,6707348.019182004,198676.06148,474,[6289,6290,6291,6292,6293],{"id":486,"label":487,"slug":488,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":489,"updatedAt":490,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1802,"label":1803,"slug":1804,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1805,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":1806,"updatedAt":1807,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":503,"label":504,"slug":505,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":506,"updatedAt":507,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":465,"label":466,"slug":467,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":468,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":470,"updatedAt":471,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":509,"label":510,"slug":511,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":512,"updatedAt":513,"requiresTranslation":15},{"context_description":6295,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":6296},"Recent reports indicate the US and Iran are discussing a memorandum to end ongoing hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and initiate further talks on sanctions relief, yet core nuclear issues—including limits on enrichment, disposition of highly enriched uranium stocks, and verification—remain deferred or disputed. President Trump has signaled no rush to finalize terms, citing persistent gaps, while Iranian officials have rejected immediate curbs on their nuclear program and pushed those elements to later phases. With only days left before the May 31 deadline and no confirmed agreement on a comprehensive nuclear framework, trader consensus reflects the compressed timeline and unresolved diplomatic sticking points.","2026-05-25T20:45:59.181Z",{"id":6298,"ticker":6299,"slug":6299,"title":6300,"description":6301,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":6302,"creationDate":6303,"endDate":93,"image":6304,"icon":6304,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":6305,"volume":6306,"openInterest":6307,"createdAt":6308,"updatedAt":6309,"competitive":6310,"volume24hr":6311,"volume1wk":6312,"volume1mo":6313,"volume1yr":6313,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":6305,"negRisk":15,"commentCount":6314,"markets":6315,"tags":6427,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"gmpChartMode":521,"negRiskAugmented":15,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":6433},"449163","israel-closes-its-airspace-by","Israel closes its airspace by...?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","2026-05-04T23:52:26.542773Z","2026-05-04T23:52:26.542767Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fisrael-closes-its-airspace-by-F65UW1ZQCDQ_.jpg",94778.2993,2637411.5068210014,336759.949888,"2026-05-04T20:46:02.543394Z","2026-05-25T20:56:55.471256Z",0.9097318565352862,238091.25187300003,1622836.7509190005,2142163.3829349987,192,[6316,6332,6357,6378,6401],{"id":6317,"question":6318,"conditionId":6319,"slug":6320,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"startDate":6321,"image":6304,"icon":6304,"description":6301,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":6322,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":6323,"updatedAt":6324,"closedTime":6325,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":254,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":6326,"umaEndDate":6327,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":6328,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":228,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":6329,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":6328,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":6330,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":588,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":6331,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2159725","Israel closes its airspace by May 8?","0xd68ede4de1036db6f29d405b06cbfe5651ba258be7586c38c000eb087e42a527","israel-closes-its-airspace-by-may-8","2026-05-04T23:49:32.033677Z","495248.1238859994","2026-05-04T20:46:02.933015Z","2026-05-10T07:06:52.729922Z","2026-05-09 07:08:32+00","0x70b5ab39da4a1c2383c416568ef90eb44b4b3a99996b27b603d7017373daa1e7","2026-05-09T07:08:32Z",495248.1238859994,"[\"56871559536529944445778342381574141595087611821960525131889618694242175298270\", 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closes its airspace by May 31?","0xbf1d0865f793f94d78413696946f89327bda5ae44d82bf54f9ebb3edfb57bf56","israel-closes-its-airspace-by-may-31","44251.2208","2026-05-04T23:49:30.174Z","[\"0.09\", \"0.91\"]","1436900.2252250009","2026-05-04T20:46:03.345487Z","2026-05-25T20:54:29.388467Z","0x1e6e9aa88254fc1adfed3046b73af77926820ec52cadc61c4824424c282e5481",1436900.2252250009,44251.2208,159783.88061600004,931803.6368859999,1436900.2252249985,"[\"100702422365522242237695692985848417771629401460918766588002045898312216731279\", \"65577178421762899668650938810870278811740563702830688564129701563405499558177\"]","2026-05-04T23:48:26Z",0.856091088091773,[6353],{"id":6354,"conditionId":6335,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":58,"startDate":996,"endDate":120},"309816",-0.29,"2026-05-04T23:47:10.289993Z",{"id":6358,"question":6359,"conditionId":6360,"slug":6361,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1144,"startDate":6362,"image":6304,"icon":6304,"description":6301,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":6363,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":6364,"updatedAt":6365,"closedTime":6366,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":741,"groupItemThreshold":178,"questionID":6367,"umaEndDate":6368,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":6369,"endDateIso":332,"startDateIso":390,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":6370,"volume1wk":6371,"volume1mo":6371,"volume1yr":6371,"clobTokenIds":6372,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":6370,"volume1wkClob":6371,"volume1moClob":6371,"volume1yrClob":6371,"volumeClob":6369,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":6373,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":6374,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":871,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":6377,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2296151","Israel closes its airspace by May 24?","0xe3578450861031a2dedd30c5e0168a56737fadf817acdb8cc1c71d798219bb1f","israel-closes-its-airspace-by-may-24","2026-05-18T22:50:58.588129Z","570942.8047010016","2026-05-18T20:23:48.25023Z","2026-05-25T20:55:58.867887Z","2026-05-25 06:22:56+00","0x217591a7a9c5685dd525200367e75c6cba58aa5e25907bc0835ce4085c7da261","2026-05-25T06:22:56Z",570942.8047010016,45637.77169199999,570942.8047010003,"[\"12331258093478076477628180272843280745047995289482253493862230947907915726671\", \"9362784193583520569226929309247272958221755849788627745539336584240035306465\"]","2026-05-18T22:50:03Z",[6375],{"id":6376,"conditionId":6360,"assetAddress":1163,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":47,"startDate":456,"endDate":120},"390579","2026-05-18T22:48:54.042554Z",{"id":6379,"question":6380,"conditionId":6381,"slug":6382,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":344,"liquidity":6383,"startDate":6384,"image":6304,"icon":6304,"description":6301,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":6385,"volume":6386,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":6387,"updatedAt":6388,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":351,"groupItemThreshold":255,"questionID":6389,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":6390,"liquidityNum":6391,"endDateIso":355,"startDateIso":390,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":6392,"volume1wk":6393,"volume1mo":6393,"volume1yr":6393,"clobTokenIds":6394,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":6392,"volume1wkClob":6393,"volume1moClob":6393,"volume1yrClob":6393,"volumeClob":6390,"liquidityClob":6391,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":6373,"cyom":15,"competitive":6395,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":6396,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":333,"oneDayPriceChange":6399,"oneHourPriceChange":160,"lastTradePrice":122,"bestBid":367,"bestAsk":239,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":6400,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2296152","Israel closes its airspace by June 15?","0xd8664606498aba2a8ccab56656860cb3f02d74de80e974ab87a9f940e65d4d5e","israel-closes-its-airspace-by-june-15-687","22338.3012","2026-05-18T22:50:58.332698Z","[\"0.14\", \"0.86\"]","68133.30630099998","2026-05-18T20:24:33.637719Z","2026-05-25T20:53:59.950284Z","0x6d33951e30329bc9172d420a74710c1c60da4b6a45abb329364b06387d7cf367",68133.30630099998,22338.3012,26328.317211999998,68133.30630099999,"[\"110552230042207377373769436375815103661291329913875427644565116020841414815329\", \"45778172980988961730754924731757934117834485907399449999216978879703885935428\"]",0.8852691218130312,[6397],{"id":6398,"conditionId":6381,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":2510,"startDate":390,"endDate":120},"376178",-0.085,"2026-05-18T22:48:54.045219Z",{"id":6402,"question":6403,"conditionId":6404,"slug":6405,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1093,"liquidity":6406,"startDate":6407,"image":6304,"icon":6304,"description":6301,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":6408,"volume":6409,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":6410,"updatedAt":6411,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":141,"groupItemThreshold":277,"questionID":6412,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":6413,"liquidityNum":6414,"endDateIso":1103,"startDateIso":1104,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":6415,"volume1wk":6416,"volume1mo":6417,"volume1yr":6417,"clobTokenIds":6418,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":6415,"volume1wkClob":6416,"volume1moClob":6417,"volume1yrClob":6417,"volumeClob":6413,"liquidityClob":6414,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":6419,"cyom":15,"competitive":6310,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":6420,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":103,"oneDayPriceChange":6423,"oneWeekPriceChange":6424,"lastTradePrice":6425,"bestBid":6425,"bestAsk":2214,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":6426,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2241674","Israel closes its airspace by June 30?","0x676e7cda423f5826bcbb3c141e808ad7c66bc2d055e4d0aca79c26779712062c","israel-closes-its-airspace-by-june-30-324","16323.6946","2026-05-12T14:44:30.992Z","[\"0.185\", \"0.815\"]","75818.11670799987","2026-05-12T14:39:46.101281Z","2026-05-25T20:55:02.2261Z","0x9d0399c51b8d53596a9596f181b87f57bccdd95784e2a554c7f28989741cf507",75818.11670799987,16323.6946,13848.792352999997,61535.28356100002,75818.11670799991,"[\"75342601497089508883276927505926667289058707579736385719204195953768479770485\", \"46765280105166877582756271542764342313890676752505455841048723545585948797086\"]","2026-05-12T14:43:35Z",[6421],{"id":6422,"conditionId":6404,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":2510,"startDate":1104,"endDate":120},"339913",-0.155,-0.415,0.18,"2026-05-12T14:41:45.251224Z",[6428,6429,6430,6431,6432],{"id":465,"label":466,"slug":467,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":468,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":470,"updatedAt":471,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1817,"label":1818,"slug":1819,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1820,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":1821,"updatedAt":1822,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":77,"label":515,"slug":516,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":517,"updatedBy":518,"createdAt":519,"updatedAt":520,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":509,"label":510,"slug":511,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":512,"updatedAt":513,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1824,"label":1825,"slug":1826,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":1827,"updatedAt":1828,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"context_description":6434,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":6435},"Ongoing regional security concerns stemming from the February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian targets and subsequent Iranian missile and drone responses continue to influence assessments of Israeli airspace operations. Partial restrictions and aviation advisories, including EASA cautions extended through late May, have persisted amid sustained alerts over missile threats from Iran-aligned groups and activity involving Hezbollah in Lebanon. Recent diplomatic exchanges between the United States and Iran, alongside Israeli official statements on security evaluations, reflect efforts to manage escalation risks while monitoring for potential renewed military actions. Any significant Iranian retaliation, cross-border incidents, or shifts in conflict dynamics through the end of May could prompt decisions on expanded closures or further limitations at facilities like Ben Gurion Airport.","2026-05-25T20:46:02.621Z",{"id":6437,"ticker":6438,"slug":6438,"title":6439,"description":6440,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":6441,"creationDate":6442,"endDate":93,"image":6443,"icon":6443,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":6444,"volume":6445,"openInterest":6446,"createdAt":6447,"updatedAt":6448,"competitive":6449,"volume24hr":6450,"volume1wk":6451,"volume1mo":6452,"volume1yr":6453,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":6444,"negRisk":15,"commentCount":6454,"markets":6455,"tags":6544,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"gmpChartMode":521,"negRiskAugmented":15,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":6552},"386759","israel-x-hezbollah-permanent-peace-deal-by","Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Hezbollah agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:\n\n- Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.\n\n- Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.\n\nThe inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","2026-04-16T23:56:58.321815Z","2026-04-16T23:56:58.32181Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fisrael-x-hezbollah-permanent-peace-deal-by-lKSpOYikSsyN.jpg",91250.40681,1110566.339994004,571161.7824159999,"2026-04-16T23:19:30.637555Z","2026-05-25T20:56:56.373128Z",0.9880446596186148,205120.372422,932520.9972039983,1011824.9168079987,1033483.9592349987,48,[6456,6473,6503,6525],{"id":6457,"question":6458,"conditionId":6459,"slug":6460,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"startDate":6461,"image":6443,"icon":6443,"description":6440,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":6462,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":6463,"updatedAt":6464,"closedTime":6465,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":5990,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":6466,"umaEndDate":6467,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":6468,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":2166,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":6469,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":6468,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":6470,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":457,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":1084,"oneWeekPriceChange":6471,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":6472,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2002530","Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by April 26, 2026?","0x5363c72142c542f93536cb40790c835f41fe07a8a7dacea9ff554ef46a924fbb","israel-x-hezbollah-permanent-peace-deal-by-april-26-2026","2026-04-16T23:50:47.971519Z","77082.38075900002","2026-04-16T23:19:31.06026Z","2026-04-28T04:06:26.077784Z","2026-04-27 06:09:26+00","0xb7b965719cdb2a7c163299149dc1462d54b3c8a9b82e3fdcdcc9804c780e3f4e","2026-04-27T06:09:26Z",77082.38075900002,"[\"99384456530865482407743221358964270044291570144286416684770351029173433774184\", \"42168089221458915714552813401581689050682355904404927156868122338717448886492\"]","2026-04-16T23:49:44Z",-0.0235,"2026-04-16T23:48:31.057318Z",{"id":6474,"question":6475,"conditionId":6476,"slug":6477,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"liquidity":6478,"startDate":6479,"image":6443,"icon":6443,"description":6440,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":6480,"volume":6481,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":6482,"updatedAt":6483,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":100,"groupItemThreshold":178,"questionID":6484,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":6485,"liquidityNum":6486,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":2166,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":6487,"volume1wk":6488,"volume1mo":6489,"volume1yr":6490,"clobTokenIds":6491,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":6487,"volume1wkClob":6488,"volume1moClob":6489,"volume1yrClob":6490,"volumeClob":6485,"liquidityClob":6486,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":6492,"cyom":15,"competitive":6493,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":6494,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":2787,"oneDayPriceChange":1063,"oneHourPriceChange":2787,"oneWeekPriceChange":6497,"oneMonthPriceChange":6498,"lastTradePrice":6499,"bestBid":6500,"bestAsk":6501,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":6502,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2002531","Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","0xc792f8824ef9bb549a4f5d89eec898caefdd3df5a507783f80202d289e9130ea","israel-x-hezbollah-permanent-peace-deal-by-may-31-2026","76831.41647","2026-04-16T23:50:50.064747Z","[\"0.129\", \"0.871\"]","1032809.549122004","2026-04-16T23:19:31.546813Z","2026-05-25T20:49:19.641884Z","0x330d301f5f40f6ce98bdf50119689ef7fa2c6a484a8bda0fc298e8a719906f99",1032809.549122004,76831.41647,203356.60306099994,931846.5870909983,1011150.5066949986,1032809.5491219987,"[\"10602759244045369588226762374340472348246988277133462180996424134320382502879\", \"112890624372199570903379805854221558875522244182741051024012191207402902645477\"]","2026-04-16T23:49:46Z",0.8790119202806509,[6495],{"id":6496,"conditionId":6476,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":457,"startDate":838,"endDate":120},"398036",0.113,0.044,0.132,0.127,0.131,"2026-04-16T23:48:31.060117Z",{"id":6504,"question":6505,"conditionId":6506,"slug":6507,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":344,"liquidity":6508,"startDate":6509,"image":6443,"icon":6443,"description":6440,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":6510,"volume":6511,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":6512,"updatedAt":6513,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":441,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":351,"groupItemThreshold":77,"questionID":6514,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":6515,"liquidityNum":6516,"endDateIso":355,"startDateIso":838,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":6515,"volume1wk":6515,"volume1mo":6515,"volume1yr":6515,"clobTokenIds":6517,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":6515,"volume1wkClob":6515,"volume1moClob":6515,"volume1yrClob":6515,"volumeClob":6515,"liquidityClob":6516,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":6518,"cyom":15,"competitive":6519,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":6520,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":1136,"spread":1237,"oneHourPriceChange":4048,"lastTradePrice":6523,"bestBid":239,"bestAsk":2214,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":6524,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2354011","Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","0x053d22e12bfe8dd73b12fc1cf89858ecc0de76aede10fea3eca5c7877d8db40c","israel-x-hezbollah-permanent-peace-deal-by-june-15-2026","11485.313","2026-05-25T15:18:27.433145Z","[\"0.17\", \"0.83\"]","451.176973","2026-05-25T15:14:56.749099Z","2026-05-25T20:49:50.246107Z","0x262d77e37049f00e3aa6296ef5a54de8c9fb056e2acb4eb035446a7fec70fd33",451.176973,11485.313,"[\"63073763662086612636405249367296500960550581639549005912496048924744046136400\", \"71644971566711936926997892102006099744330795022096955899392137437130082074610\"]","2026-05-25T15:17:31Z",0.9017945711966814,[6521],{"id":6522,"conditionId":6506,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":457,"startDate":838,"endDate":120},"398421",0.2,"2026-05-25T15:16:25.618844Z",{"id":6526,"question":6527,"conditionId":6528,"slug":6529,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1093,"liquidity":6530,"startDate":6531,"image":6443,"icon":6443,"description":6440,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":2718,"volume":6532,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":6533,"updatedAt":6534,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":441,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":141,"groupItemThreshold":255,"questionID":6535,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":6536,"liquidityNum":6537,"endDateIso":1103,"startDateIso":838,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":6536,"volume1wk":6536,"volume1mo":6536,"volume1yr":6536,"clobTokenIds":6538,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":6536,"volume1wkClob":6536,"volume1moClob":6536,"volume1yrClob":6536,"volumeClob":6536,"liquidityClob":6537,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":6539,"cyom":15,"competitive":2573,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":6540,"rewardsMinSize":1135,"rewardsMaxSpread":1136,"spread":427,"oneHourPriceChange":103,"lastTradePrice":1311,"bestBid":161,"bestAsk":2331,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":6543,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2354012","Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","0x86f43746cbd692719483aaeedc657eef89d9ffb91d6ffceacb1edf533e049516","israel-x-hezbollah-permanent-peace-deal-by-june-30-2026","2057.578","2026-05-25T15:18:50.466081Z","223.23314","2026-05-25T15:14:57.468964Z","2026-05-25T20:49:50.509363Z","0x89953a9c2d5280300cbfce3415b6eba569ffac302db74d6dd0c3ca211c42c687",223.23314,2057.578,"[\"104510220350712683638324057138337438666546691080996862248324351110206545999142\", \"101731075782883593599322095713849738799082926264175032319719261541409999735158\"]","2026-05-25T15:17:54Z",[6541],{"id":6542,"conditionId":6528,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":726,"startDate":838,"endDate":120},"398422","2026-05-25T15:16:45.835738Z",[6545,6546,6547,6548,6549,6550,6551],{"id":509,"label":510,"slug":511,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":512,"updatedAt":513,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":465,"label":466,"slug":467,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":468,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":470,"updatedAt":471,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1817,"label":1818,"slug":1819,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1820,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":1821,"updatedAt":1822,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1824,"label":1825,"slug":1826,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":1827,"updatedAt":1828,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":486,"label":487,"slug":488,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":489,"updatedAt":490,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":2263,"label":2264,"slug":2265,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":2266,"createdAt":2267,"updatedAt":2268,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":2274,"label":2275,"slug":2276,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":2277,"createdAt":2278,"updatedAt":2279,"requiresTranslation":15},{"context_description":6553,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":6554},"US-brokered talks between Israel and Lebanon produced a 10-day cessation of hostilities starting April 16, 2026, later extended three weeks and then 45 days through mid-July to facilitate negotiations toward a permanent security agreement. The framework emphasizes Lebanese sovereignty, Hezbollah disarmament, mutual border security, and Israel’s self-defense rights, with further Washington meetings scheduled. Direct ambassador-level discussions under US auspices mark the first such effort in decades, yet low-level violations persist, including Israeli strikes on Hezbollah infrastructure and Hezbollah drone attacks that have killed IDF personnel. Lebanese government capacity to enforce terms against the Iran-backed group and resolve core territorial and military issues remains central to whether temporary de-escalation advances to a lasting deal.","2026-05-25T20:46:21.431Z",{"id":6556,"ticker":6557,"slug":6557,"title":6558,"description":6559,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":6560,"creationDate":6561,"endDate":1093,"image":6239,"icon":6239,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":6562,"volume":6563,"openInterest":6564,"createdAt":6565,"updatedAt":6566,"competitive":664,"volume24hr":6567,"volume1wk":6568,"volume1mo":6569,"volume1yr":6570,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":6562,"commentCount":56,"markets":6571,"series":6596,"tags":6598,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":14,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"seriesSlug":6278,"negRiskAugmented":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":6607},"108031","us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30","US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and\u002For nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to \"Yes\", regardless of if\u002Fwhen the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAgreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and\u002For the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.","2025-12-17T22:54:48.22297Z","2025-12-17T22:54:48.222968Z",63577.3682,2829726.549490997,384671.497728,"2025-12-17T20:59:19.487226Z","2026-05-25T20:57:16.96489Z",183126.13605899998,920751.3968790007,1435040.4783580038,2829726.549490994,[6572],{"id":6573,"question":6558,"conditionId":6574,"slug":6557,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1093,"liquidity":6575,"startDate":6576,"image":6239,"icon":6239,"description":6559,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":6577,"volume":6578,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":6579,"updatedAt":6580,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":9,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":6581,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":6582,"liquidityNum":6583,"endDateIso":1103,"startDateIso":6584,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":6585,"volume1wk":6586,"volume1mo":6587,"volume1yr":6588,"clobTokenIds":6589,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":6585,"volume1wkClob":6586,"volume1moClob":6587,"volume1yrClob":6588,"volumeClob":6582,"liquidityClob":6583,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":6590,"cyom":15,"competitive":664,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":6591,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":103,"oneDayPriceChange":1237,"oneHourPriceChange":727,"oneWeekPriceChange":162,"oneMonthPriceChange":333,"lastTradePrice":126,"bestBid":2112,"bestAsk":6594,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":6595,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"957019","0xa70fc3695a65833b91b45df6db6015096f3e1471b70352ca411b4209010e7633","62706.5816","2025-12-17T22:48:36.561004Z","[\"0.395\", \"0.605\"]","2833849.719490997","2025-12-17T20:59:21.103877Z","2026-05-25T20:53:11.229748Z","0x95d935d3c9d094ae0a7a2ab47e33165ffd9785c48b17f1e4a7f80970484adef8",2833849.719490997,62706.5816,"2025-12-17",183484.436059,924686.9031770007,1439163.6483580037,2833849.719490994,"[\"68283792174293775430535402015214113701251372409839518501034763677920213819299\", \"10690391194840875541563517589463912963575786539307433160985752952931887140267\"]","2025-12-17T22:48:13Z",[6592],{"id":6593,"conditionId":6574,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":58,"startDate":158,"endDate":120},"277498",0.4,"2025-12-17T22:47:39.861657Z",[6597],{"id":6277,"ticker":6278,"slug":6278,"title":6279,"seriesType":1495,"recurrence":1496,"image":6280,"icon":6281,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"createdAt":6282,"updatedAt":6283,"volume24hr":6284,"volume":6285,"liquidity":6286,"commentCount":6287,"requiresTranslation":15},[6599,6600,6601,6602,6603,6604,6605,6606],{"id":1802,"label":1803,"slug":1804,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1805,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":1806,"updatedAt":1807,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3296,"label":3297,"slug":3298,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":3299,"updatedAt":3300,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":465,"label":466,"slug":467,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":468,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":470,"updatedAt":471,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1817,"label":1818,"slug":1819,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1820,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":1821,"updatedAt":1822,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":77,"label":515,"slug":516,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":517,"updatedBy":518,"createdAt":519,"updatedAt":520,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":509,"label":510,"slug":511,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":512,"updatedAt":513,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":486,"label":487,"slug":488,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":489,"updatedAt":490,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":2123,"label":2124,"slug":2125,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":2126,"createdAt":2127,"updatedAt":2128,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"context_description":6608,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":6609},"Negotiations between the United States and Iran have advanced on a preliminary memorandum addressing the Strait of Hormuz and broader hostilities, yet core disputes persist over verifiable limits on Iran's nuclear program, enrichment activities, and its stockpile of highly enriched uranium. US officials report significant progress and a framework for follow-on talks, while Iranian sources emphasize that nuclear issues remain outside the initial phase and require separate, extended negotiations. With only weeks remaining until the June 30 deadline, these unresolved sticking points, the need for final approvals from both leaderships, and historical patterns of protracted diplomacy have shaped the current trader consensus reflected in the 59.5% probability on No.","2026-05-25T20:31:16.473Z",{"id":6611,"ticker":6612,"slug":6612,"title":6613,"description":6614,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":6615,"creationDate":6616,"endDate":12,"image":6617,"icon":6617,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":6618,"volume":6619,"openInterest":6620,"createdAt":6621,"updatedAt":6622,"competitive":6623,"volume24hr":6624,"volume1wk":6625,"volume1mo":6626,"volume1yr":6627,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":6618,"negRisk":15,"commentCount":6628,"markets":6629,"tags":6758,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"gmpChartMode":521,"negRiskAugmented":15,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":6788},"255195","iran-leadership-change-by","Iran leadership change by...?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nMojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.\n\nAn official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. ","2026-03-09T02:59:17.336286Z","2026-03-09T02:59:17.336277Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Firan-leader-ship-change-by-6HjLf457Nt35.jpg",199406.29586,15237732.355430998,1387870.4846639999,"2026-03-09T02:53:06.594757Z","2026-05-25T20:56:56.004565Z",0.9596698735634942,157972.667774,1393125.59031,3757206.2300180006,7041851.56152901,1058,[6630,6649,6674,6689,6707,6735],{"id":6631,"question":6632,"conditionId":6633,"slug":6634,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":6635,"startDate":6636,"image":6617,"icon":6617,"description":6637,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":6638,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":6639,"updatedAt":6640,"closedTime":6641,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":5566,"groupItemThreshold":178,"questionID":6642,"umaEndDate":6643,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":6644,"endDateIso":1473,"startDateIso":6645,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":6646,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":6644,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":6647,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":6648,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1535971","Iran leadership change by March 31?","0xcc07920770fdaadcdc4dff75056e88140d0988c9cb1dbfb4a78eda51b2868027","iran-leadership-change-by-march-31","2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","2026-03-09T02:58:13.287Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nMojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.\n\nAn official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","3230921.5517540085","2026-03-09T02:54:24.984072Z","2026-04-17T22:14:02.813939Z","2026-04-01 08:25:09+00","0x0b3fc9d578927675dc02506d3e6a33863e826844a8f4c1d5c88a06603d1d7250","2026-04-01T08:25:09Z",3230921.5517540085,"2026-03-09","[\"45477629983983454025018402952865236613131543289256695752349077579364954910137\", \"16402034694288294332602121237595779836746325114491900470933695480484927488710\"]","2026-03-09T02:57:07Z","2026-03-09T02:55:50.818463Z",{"id":6650,"question":6651,"conditionId":6652,"slug":6653,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":12,"liquidity":6654,"startDate":6655,"image":6617,"icon":6617,"description":6637,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":6656,"volume":6657,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":6658,"updatedAt":6659,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":222,"groupItemThreshold":55,"questionID":6660,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":6661,"liquidityNum":6662,"endDateIso":227,"startDateIso":6645,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":6663,"volume1wk":6664,"volume1mo":6665,"volume1yr":6666,"clobTokenIds":6667,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":6663,"volume1wkClob":6664,"volume1moClob":6665,"volume1yrClob":6666,"volumeClob":6661,"liquidityClob":6662,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":6668,"cyom":15,"competitive":6623,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":6669,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":103,"oneWeekPriceChange":727,"oneMonthPriceChange":5625,"lastTradePrice":6672,"bestBid":1116,"bestAsk":6672,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":6673,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1535973","Iran leadership change by December 31?","0x377e7fe65cf198a7fc4fdae3f2136b74729279267858daaf96718b23bc2a5607","iran-leadership-change-by-december-31-974-976-658-482-568","92312.7267","2026-03-09T02:58:15.361Z","[\"0.295\", \"0.705\"]","2556343.849523981","2026-03-09T02:55:04.203706Z","2026-05-25T20:53:43.827199Z","0xa0cf2fc827eee7da2569d980c0cab8b66ebe25d8f3452c22d5a4e3c06519038e",2556343.849523981,92312.7267,22315.028936000002,154735.14624499992,613899.251511,2556343.8495240086,"[\"18652479948917565296149340091675894865339012333173025944893512396354173886674\", \"60499458684380641857666641513383149627633695110197406276308452075860198022694\"]","2026-03-09T02:57:09Z",[6670],{"id":6671,"conditionId":6652,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":2510,"startDate":158,"endDate":120},"275761",0.3,"2026-03-09T02:55:50.819973Z",{"id":6675,"question":6676,"conditionId":6677,"slug":6678,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":12,"startDate":6679,"image":6617,"icon":6617,"description":6637,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":6680,"updatedAt":6681,"closedTime":6682,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":6683,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":6684,"umaEndDate":6685,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"endDateIso":227,"startDateIso":6645,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":6686,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":6687,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"lastTradePrice":47,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":981,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":6688,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1535970","Iran leadership change by March 13?","0x352559d5f5bdcad9f6dabdf84af660639ca144aef053166c923033d2345d884a","iran-leadership-change-by-march-13","2026-03-09T02:58:11.88Z","2026-03-09T02:53:07.348803Z","2026-04-17T22:14:02.903394Z","2026-03-18 04:25:37+00","March 13","0xcb30245e4be3e8431b34b2a851940112973f97c6bb01d03a0553363977779388","2026-03-18T04:25:37Z","[\"86009861272859274157508658328547424952309720018536386872713856516054104857243\", \"100745541179269147674201009476398500761022835547768746109908084376769017162907\"]","2026-03-09T02:57:05Z","2026-03-09T02:55:50.821722Z",{"id":6690,"question":6691,"conditionId":6692,"slug":6693,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":70,"startDate":6694,"image":6617,"icon":6617,"description":6637,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":36,"volume":6695,"active":14,"closed":14,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":6696,"updatedAt":6697,"closedTime":6698,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":76,"groupItemThreshold":77,"questionID":6699,"umaEndDate":6700,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"umaResolutionStatus":49,"volumeNum":6701,"endDateIso":81,"startDateIso":6645,"hasReviewedDates":14,"clobTokenIds":6702,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volumeClob":6701,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":15,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":6703,"cyom":15,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"automaticallyResolved":14,"oneDayPriceChange":6704,"oneWeekPriceChange":6054,"oneMonthPriceChange":6705,"lastTradePrice":686,"bestAsk":47,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":86,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":6706,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1535972","Iran leadership change by April 30?","0xb412664463bbfe21be44b1963291205ab332afd4f7f6e0d027aec1ba7a9e6793","iran-leadership-change-by-april-30","2026-03-09T02:58:09.35Z","4964959.242147999","2026-03-09T02:54:46.439531Z","2026-05-02T06:20:00.14935Z","2026-05-01 06:42:54+00","0xeed3d929dd2153e0130d480c7e04a394151681b3d7346afa3d4aaadf701f233b","2026-05-01T06:42:54Z",4964959.242147999,"[\"99767261437055226116306337813801042912696159191602956091233868382444699564874\", \"91241377131968276644914922428394885497337529442306063674482193011860706527374\"]","2026-03-09T02:57:03Z",-0.0055,-0.1345,"2026-03-09T02:55:50.816935Z",{"id":6708,"question":6709,"conditionId":6710,"slug":6711,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":93,"liquidity":6712,"startDate":6713,"image":6617,"icon":6617,"description":6637,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":6714,"volume":6715,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":6716,"updatedAt":6717,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":100,"groupItemThreshold":255,"questionID":6718,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":6719,"liquidityNum":6720,"endDateIso":106,"startDateIso":5614,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":6721,"volume1wk":6722,"volume1mo":6723,"volume1yr":6719,"clobTokenIds":6724,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":6721,"volume1wkClob":6722,"volume1moClob":6723,"volume1yrClob":6719,"volumeClob":6719,"liquidityClob":6720,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":6725,"cyom":15,"competitive":6726,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":6727,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":47,"oneDayPriceChange":1084,"oneHourPriceChange":3521,"oneWeekPriceChange":6730,"oneMonthPriceChange":6731,"lastTradePrice":6732,"bestBid":6732,"bestAsk":6733,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":6734,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1708132","Iran leadership change by May 31?","0x2f6a547524c1d290f8a2bbff80be2b0e8ca1b3b716dd3a0e74bf8ddb3e3fd6b7","iran-leadership-change-by-may-31-593-194-829","66044.68882","2026-03-24T20:19:15.375069Z","[\"0.0175\", \"0.9825\"]","2987501.2222389993","2026-03-24T20:15:23.313057Z","2026-05-25T20:55:38.629368Z","0x518387182183c9e53cfa59a3e7c8f7e7d4eaff1374162f0810a539eaa4e5a17c",2987501.2222389993,66044.68882,123284.652162,900742.6810610001,2186567.292281,"[\"81334325138107879820232229989323372754985314809413380189339552257571083528820\", \"103645337815045145653620365765600813471381950742832726749936113056282455952172\"]","2026-03-24T20:18:09Z",0.8111574710137947,[6728],{"id":6729,"conditionId":6710,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":1135,"startDate":158,"endDate":120},"288101",-0.0475,-0.1275,0.017,0.018,"2026-03-24T20:16:49.855626Z",{"id":6736,"question":6737,"conditionId":6738,"slug":6739,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1093,"liquidity":6740,"startDate":6741,"image":6617,"icon":6617,"description":6637,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":6742,"volume":6743,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":6744,"updatedAt":6745,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":141,"groupItemThreshold":277,"questionID":6746,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":6747,"liquidityNum":6748,"endDateIso":1103,"startDateIso":5614,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":6749,"volume1wk":6750,"volume1mo":6751,"volume1yr":6752,"clobTokenIds":6753,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":6749,"volume1wkClob":6750,"volume1moClob":6751,"volume1yrClob":6752,"volumeClob":6747,"liquidityClob":6748,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":6754,"cyom":15,"competitive":6755,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":103,"oneDayPriceChange":368,"oneWeekPriceChange":6054,"oneMonthPriceChange":6756,"lastTradePrice":1311,"bestBid":159,"bestAsk":1311,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":6757,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"1708133","Iran leadership change by June 30?","0xb196a122933da9aff6cb8b0f3764d0dc5db1859f46c0481c711521eee8524291","iran-leadership-change-by-june-30-689-922","38832.2319","2026-03-24T20:20:51.352765Z","[\"0.095\", \"0.905\"]","1499856.3908630102","2026-03-24T20:16:08.210115Z","2026-05-25T20:53:45.49761Z","0x9531891be3722808160002ac27344de3960686cb1e9607422ee50d31f5a3d71d",1499856.3908630102,38832.2319,12966.217773000002,339399.66410100006,958589.5873230007,1499856.390863001,"[\"3681207281847333608208007422270871430203242921929738768712661889168717469116\", \"114037086617269022315323137414379159845174084075275061115260986148267202915748\"]","2026-03-24T20:19:45Z",0.8590880780051975,-0.115,"2026-03-24T20:18:30.486342Z",[6759,6765,6770,6771,6772,6773,6774,6775,6776,6782],{"id":6760,"label":6761,"slug":6762,"createdAt":6763,"updatedAt":6764,"requiresTranslation":15},"104126","Mojtaba","mojtaba","2026-03-09T03:12:49.03427Z","2026-04-17T20:42:33.449619Z",{"id":6766,"label":6767,"slug":6767,"createdAt":6768,"updatedAt":6769,"requiresTranslation":15},"104068","ayatollah","2026-03-03T17:01:57.25367Z","2026-04-15T20:46:22.393467Z",{"id":77,"label":515,"slug":516,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":517,"updatedBy":518,"createdAt":519,"updatedAt":520,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1790,"label":1791,"slug":1792,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":1793,"updatedAt":1794,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":509,"label":510,"slug":511,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":512,"updatedAt":513,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":465,"label":466,"slug":467,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":468,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":470,"updatedAt":471,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1796,"label":1797,"slug":1798,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":1799,"updatedAt":1800,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":5686,"label":3505,"slug":5687,"createdAt":5688,"updatedAt":5689,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":6777,"label":6778,"slug":6779,"createdAt":6780,"updatedAt":6781,"requiresTranslation":15},"104217","Khamenei out","khamenei-out","2026-03-13T18:33:26.766027Z","2026-04-17T20:49:24.51273Z",{"id":6783,"label":6784,"slug":6785,"createdAt":6786,"updatedAt":6787,"requiresTranslation":15},"104218","Mojtaba out","mojtaba-out","2026-03-13T18:33:26.873227Z","2026-04-17T20:49:24.502473Z",{"context_description":6789,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":6790},"Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, triggering the constitutional succession process via the Assembly of Experts. Mojtaba Khamenei, the late leader's son and a hardline cleric with limited prior public office, was unanimously selected as successor on March 9 amid active conflict, domestic protests, and economic strain. The three-member interim council under Article 111 maintained continuity during the transition. Trader sentiment on further change by late 2026 reflects ongoing regional military pressure, U.S. statements favoring behavioral shifts, institutional resistance to additional upheaval, and uncertainty over Mojtaba's durability given his reported ties to the Revolutionary Guards and the regime's history of managing leadership handovers.","2026-05-25T20:30:48.724Z",{"id":6792,"ticker":6793,"slug":6793,"title":6794,"description":6795,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":6796,"creationDate":6797,"endDate":12,"image":6798,"icon":6798,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":6799,"volume":6800,"openInterest":6801,"createdAt":6802,"updatedAt":6803,"competitive":6310,"volume24hr":6804,"volume1wk":6805,"volume1mo":6806,"volume1yr":6807,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":6799,"commentCount":1877,"markets":6808,"series":6830,"tags":6838,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":14,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"seriesSlug":6833,"negRiskAugmented":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":6852},"73130","will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.","2025-11-05T17:57:04.0673Z","2025-11-05T17:57:04.067296Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-the-us-invade-iran-in-2025-0Eh3J0ku_Fbj.jpg",460059.5148,32051539.61010942,5890741.717047,"2025-11-04T19:52:57.16904Z","2026-05-25T20:56:54.863381Z",148053.21214000002,2707503.323246,14658238.090448122,32051539.61011012,[6809],{"id":6810,"question":6794,"conditionId":6811,"slug":6793,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":12,"liquidity":6812,"startDate":6813,"image":6798,"icon":6798,"description":6795,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":6408,"volume":6814,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":6815,"updatedAt":6816,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":9,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":6817,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":6800,"liquidityNum":6818,"endDateIso":227,"startDateIso":6819,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":6820,"volume1wk":6821,"volume1mo":6822,"volume1yr":6807,"clobTokenIds":6823,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":6820,"volume1wkClob":6821,"volume1moClob":6822,"volume1yrClob":6807,"volumeClob":6800,"liquidityClob":6818,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":6824,"cyom":15,"competitive":6310,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":6825,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":103,"oneWeekPriceChange":6828,"oneMonthPriceChange":2329,"lastTradePrice":2214,"bestBid":6425,"bestAsk":2214,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":6829,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"665374","0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846","460468.8901","2025-11-05T17:52:17.414Z","32051539.61010942","2025-11-04T19:52:57.799278Z","2026-05-25T20:50:26.727143Z","0x132f882f851badfe460732d16fa20309910759adc990d9073e9f77ad6387d7c2",460468.8901,"2025-11-05",147854.42214,2707317.9094539997,14658032.290448122,"[\"55115078421062885512539156303747803058407616201213034911037320915726138659123\", \"1910830010387565971650098373488592514702818137344973088263643820608151819241\"]","2025-11-05T17:51:55Z",[6826],{"id":6827,"conditionId":6811,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":331,"startDate":158,"endDate":120},"288102",-0.1,"2025-11-05T17:51:26.087788Z",[6831],{"id":6832,"ticker":6833,"slug":6833,"title":6834,"seriesType":1495,"recurrence":1496,"image":9,"icon":9,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"createdAt":6835,"updatedAt":6836,"volume24hr":6804,"volume":6800,"liquidity":6799,"commentCount":6837,"requiresTranslation":15},"10135","us-to-invade-iran","US to invade Iran","2025-06-18T18:11:50.701262Z","2026-05-25T20:57:41.087864Z",820,[6839,6840,6841,6842,6843,6844,6845,6846],{"id":509,"label":510,"slug":511,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":512,"updatedAt":513,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":77,"label":515,"slug":516,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":517,"updatedBy":518,"createdAt":519,"updatedAt":520,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1802,"label":1803,"slug":1804,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1805,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":1806,"updatedAt":1807,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1817,"label":1818,"slug":1819,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1820,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":1821,"updatedAt":1822,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":465,"label":466,"slug":467,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":468,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":470,"updatedAt":471,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":473,"label":474,"slug":475,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":476,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":477,"updatedAt":478,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3296,"label":3297,"slug":3298,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":3299,"updatedAt":3300,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":6847,"label":6848,"slug":6849,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":6850,"updatedAt":6851,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"104007","Military Strikes","military-strikes","2026-03-02T19:51:19.151214Z","2026-04-17T20:50:04.318535Z",{"context_description":6853,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":6854},"Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations mediated by Pakistan, including recent proposal exchanges and a temporary ceasefire since early April 2026, have shifted focus from large-scale military action to diplomatic resolution of nuclear and maritime issues. The February 28 launch of Operation Epic Fury involved extensive airstrikes and leadership targeting but remained an air and naval campaign without ground forces entering Iranian territory. President Trump has repeatedly postponed planned strikes at Gulf allies' request while describing talks as progressing toward a deal, with U.S. officials weighing red lines amid ongoing blockade enforcement. These developments, alongside the absence of any announced ground invasion plans, underpin trader consensus that full-scale U.S. invasion before 2027 remains unlikely.","2026-05-25T20:45:45.289Z",{"id":6856,"ticker":6857,"slug":6857,"title":6858,"description":6859,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":6860,"creationDate":6861,"endDate":1093,"image":1744,"icon":1744,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":6862,"volume":6863,"openInterest":6864,"createdAt":6865,"updatedAt":6866,"competitive":6867,"volume24hr":6868,"volume1wk":6869,"volume1mo":6870,"volume1yr":6871,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":6862,"commentCount":1877,"markets":6872,"series":6898,"tags":6900,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":14,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"seriesSlug":1780,"negRiskAugmented":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":6910},"108634","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-june-30","Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis requires a broad consensus of reporting indicating that core structures of the Islamic Republic (e.g. the office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, IRGC control under clerical authority) have been dissolved, incapacitated, or replaced by a fundamentally different governing system or otherwise lost de facto power over a majority of the population of Iran. This could occur via revolution, civil war, military coup, or voluntary abdication, but only qualifies if the Islamic Republic no longer exercises sovereign power.\n\nRoutine political events such as elections, reforms, or leadership succession do not qualify. Internal coups or power shifts that preserve the Islamic Republic’s core structures also do not qualify. Only a clear break in continuity—such as a new provisional government, revolutionary council, or constitution replacing the Islamic Republic will qualify.\n\nPartial loss of territory or challenges from rebel or exile groups will not qualify unless the Islamic Republic no longer administers the majority of the Iranian population within Iran. \n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. ","2025-12-17T23:04:55.928775Z","2025-12-17T23:04:55.928773Z",506144.81684,43936693.53891491,11110803.456728,"2025-12-17T22:44:41.713039Z","2026-05-25T20:56:45.184958Z",0.8162264179434318,132532.41781399984,3175853.564181999,10083482.427950801,43936693.538913056,[6873],{"id":6874,"question":6858,"conditionId":6875,"slug":6857,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1093,"liquidity":6876,"startDate":6877,"image":1744,"icon":1744,"description":6859,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":6878,"volume":6879,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":6880,"updatedAt":6881,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":9,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":6882,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":6883,"liquidityNum":6884,"endDateIso":1103,"startDateIso":6584,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":6885,"volume1wk":6886,"volume1mo":6887,"volume1yr":6888,"clobTokenIds":6889,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":6885,"volume1wkClob":6886,"volume1moClob":6887,"volume1yrClob":6888,"volumeClob":6883,"liquidityClob":6884,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":6890,"cyom":15,"competitive":6891,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":6892,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":47,"oneDayPriceChange":2528,"oneWeekPriceChange":871,"oneMonthPriceChange":6895,"lastTradePrice":3025,"bestBid":6896,"bestAsk":3025,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":6897,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"958443","0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","508532.00182","2025-12-17T23:02:16.567221Z","[\"0.0245\", \"0.9755\"]","43939300.42167593","2025-12-17T22:44:43.240223Z","2026-05-25T20:48:55.472914Z","0xe6394b416c01c39c541b9724600d18826d451ed8e213a619243e7ed24d0d1fd3",43939300.42167593,508532.00182,127275.07676499987,3178460.446942998,10086083.593321802,43939300.42167405,"[\"38397507750621893057346880033441136112987238933685677349709401910643842844855\", \"95949957895141858444199258452803633110472396604599808168788254125381075552218\"]","2025-12-17T23:01:43Z",0.8155939940473872,[6893],{"id":6894,"conditionId":6875,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":1877,"startDate":81,"endDate":120},"303401",-0.0605,0.024,"2025-12-17T23:00:41.018376Z",[6899],{"id":1779,"ticker":1780,"slug":1780,"title":1781,"seriesType":1495,"recurrence":1496,"image":9,"icon":9,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"createdAt":1782,"updatedAt":1783,"volume24hr":1784,"volume":1785,"liquidity":1786,"commentCount":1787,"requiresTranslation":15},[6901,6902,6903,6904,6905,6906,6907,6908,6909],{"id":465,"label":466,"slug":467,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":468,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":470,"updatedAt":471,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1817,"label":1818,"slug":1819,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1820,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":1821,"updatedAt":1822,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1802,"label":1803,"slug":1804,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1805,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":1806,"updatedAt":1807,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":509,"label":510,"slug":511,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":512,"updatedAt":513,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3296,"label":3297,"slug":3298,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":3299,"updatedAt":3300,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":77,"label":515,"slug":516,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":517,"updatedBy":518,"createdAt":519,"updatedAt":520,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1796,"label":1797,"slug":1798,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":1799,"updatedAt":1800,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1811,"label":1812,"slug":1813,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":1814,"updatedAt":1815,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1790,"label":1791,"slug":1792,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":1793,"updatedAt":1794,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"context_description":6911,"context_requires_regen":15,"context_updated_at":6912},"The Iranian regime's institutional continuity following the February 28, 2026, U.S.-Israeli strikes and the assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei underpins trader consensus for a \"No\" outcome by June 30. Rapid clerical and IRGC succession preserved elite cohesion without triggering defections, while security forces contained protests through repression and limited concessions amid a fragile April ceasefire and ongoing nuclear diplomacy. Economic pressures and a U.S. naval blockade have strained conditions but not produced coordinated opposition capable of collapse in the narrow window. Renewed large-scale military action, unexpected internal fractures, or uncontrolled nationwide unrest remain the primary variables that could still shift the implied probability.","2026-05-25T20:45:45.336Z",{"id":6914,"ticker":6915,"slug":6915,"title":6916,"description":6917,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":6918,"creationDate":6919,"endDate":309,"image":1449,"icon":1449,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":6920,"volume":6921,"openInterest":6922,"createdAt":6923,"updatedAt":6924,"competitive":6925,"volume24hr":6926,"volume1wk":6927,"volume1mo":6928,"volume1yr":6928,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":6920,"commentCount":56,"markets":6929,"series":6952,"tags":6954,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":14,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"seriesSlug":1493,"negRiskAugmented":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":6964},"455867","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on\u002Froll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for July 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https:\u002F\u002Fportwatch.imf.org\u002Fpages\u002Fcb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","2026-05-11T13:18:59.35426Z","2026-05-11T13:18:59.354225Z",119377.883,1298843.956393002,323999.954736,"2026-05-06T17:41:53.276242Z","2026-05-25T20:58:11.51588Z",0.9669075878072954,124984.68303299998,978067.0312600012,1298843.9563930016,[6930],{"id":6931,"question":6916,"conditionId":6932,"slug":6915,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":309,"liquidity":6933,"startDate":6934,"image":1449,"icon":1449,"description":6917,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":6935,"volume":6936,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":6937,"updatedAt":6938,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":9,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":6939,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":6940,"liquidityNum":6941,"endDateIso":321,"startDateIso":281,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":6942,"volume1wk":6943,"volume1mo":6944,"volume1yr":6944,"clobTokenIds":6945,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":6942,"volume1wkClob":6943,"volume1moClob":6944,"volume1yrClob":6944,"volumeClob":6940,"liquidityClob":6941,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":6946,"cyom":15,"competitive":6925,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":6947,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":103,"oneDayPriceChange":797,"oneHourPriceChange":368,"oneWeekPriceChange":124,"lastTradePrice":644,"bestBid":644,"bestAsk":6950,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":6951,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"2176262","0xb8e6d129a06d0ccb21d7b32eb529ea455eddba3cf29bfa097112202cbdf5bf21","111086.8116","2026-05-11T13:14:49.964495Z","[\"0.685\", \"0.315\"]","1299714.456393002","2026-05-06T17:41:53.47634Z","2026-05-25T20:54:45.429617Z","0xf547768bd6c6562ec16d97692e3b559c267d054fea0a21bf3a0caa3d7a622efe",1299714.456393002,111086.8116,118178.50303299997,978937.5312600012,1299714.4563930016,"[\"106929013576622300718402895513457875547556389240247806666273814836599548721421\", \"35600405023007026690792769618276046675588493623969149550929635257490271313011\"]","2026-05-11T13:13:53Z",[6948],{"id":6949,"conditionId":6932,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":48,"startDate":281,"endDate":120},"335941",0.69,"2026-05-11T12:59:34.01339Z",[6953],{"id":1492,"ticker":1493,"slug":1493,"title":1494,"seriesType":1495,"recurrence":1496,"image":9,"icon":9,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"createdAt":1497,"updatedAt":1498,"volume24hr":1499,"volume":1500,"liquidity":1501,"commentCount":1502,"requiresTranslation":15},[6955,6956,6957,6958,6959,6960,6961,6962,6963],{"id":1531,"label":1532,"slug":1533,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1534,"createdAt":1535,"updatedAt":1536,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1543,"label":1544,"slug":1545,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":1546,"updatedAt":1547,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":486,"label":487,"slug":488,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":489,"updatedAt":490,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":77,"label":515,"slug":516,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":517,"updatedBy":518,"createdAt":519,"updatedAt":520,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":503,"label":504,"slug":505,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":506,"updatedAt":507,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1538,"label":1539,"slug":1539,"createdAt":1540,"updatedAt":1541,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":465,"label":466,"slug":467,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":468,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":470,"updatedAt":471,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":1524,"label":1525,"slug":1526,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1527,"createdAt":1528,"updatedAt":1529,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":509,"label":510,"slug":511,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":512,"updatedAt":513,"requiresTranslation":15},{"context_description":6965,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":6966},"Recent US-Iran diplomatic engagement and Iran's coordination of limited vessel transits—such as 26 passages in a single day in late May—have supported the 68.5% market-implied probability for normalized Strait of Hormuz traffic by July 31. Pre-crisis daily volumes exceeded 125 vessels, but flows remain constrained to a small fraction following the February 2026 escalation, with Iran asserting de facto control through checkpoints and potential passage arrangements amid a US naval blockade. Trader consensus reflects expectations that stalled talks could yield incremental de-escalation, potentially aided by oil market pressures and naval clearance efforts, though persistent uncertainties around enforcement and regional tensions could delay full resumption. Key near-term catalysts include bilateral negotiations and any verified uptick in consistent commercial transits.","2026-05-25T20:46:21.315Z",{"id":6968,"ticker":6969,"slug":6969,"title":6970,"description":6971,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":6972,"creationDate":6973,"endDate":6974,"image":6975,"icon":6975,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":6976,"volume":6977,"openInterest":6978,"sortBy":2701,"createdAt":6979,"updatedAt":6980,"competitive":6981,"volume24hr":6982,"volume1wk":6983,"volume1mo":6984,"volume1yr":6985,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":6976,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":6986,"commentCount":6987,"markets":6988,"tags":8146,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":14,"enableNegRisk":14,"automaticallyActive":14,"gmpChartMode":521,"negRiskAugmented":14,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":8156,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":8157},"60182","nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026","This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel 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Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?","0x962e5b226a77266ab429029ee04665e8fcfeb10b91af593786ceab871d2e945f","will-donald-trump-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-382","654328.774","2025-10-16T22:30:32.369842Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-donald-trump-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2025-qey6H5SNKnXF.jpg","[\"0.085\", \"0.915\"]","3484115.5124210226","2025-10-15T21:00:27.898814Z","2026-05-25T20:49:54.969729Z","Donald Trump",3484115.5124210226,654328.774,"2026-10-10","2025-10-16",9670.154574,94517.41474700006,903922.9836910006,3484115.5124209984,"[\"96308556109755835434254900303426519652053230974356832970824534225192181988516\", 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Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?","0xae76ef049f09b109cfb0a9bfa2335d7c9fde5bd262c64548b43308c810c314ec","will-yulia-navalnaya-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-261","49522.8488","2025-10-16T22:30:31.859771Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-yulia-navalnaya-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2025-lzlMQvccUnyS.jpg","173440.3960899986","2025-10-15T21:00:29.047502Z","2026-05-25T20:53:08.297526Z","Yulia Navalnaya","0x09139fb03e823bc6b7006c27da5604e8a4fa14f03bc8d8e7a9cf40502302bf02",173440.3960899986,49522.8488,726.971446,11486.975648,44363.73627800001,173440.39609000031,"[\"3494130919441794744300504897798612438496650716124466384425423765833752918969\", 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Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?","0xdd84a0f9830eb540be5cd7a22bcaaa27aedced37c7994c480f95669a341f1c4e","will-greta-thunberg-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-767","53276.16513","2025-10-16T22:30:34.497166Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-greta-thunberg-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2025-X4VoBSfTvB_f.jpg","[\"0.0105\", \"0.9895\"]","1222087.9039619942","2025-10-15T21:00:30.120587Z","2026-05-25T20:55:44.676845Z","Greta Thunberg","0x09139fb03e823bc6b7006c27da5604e8a4fa14f03bc8d8e7a9cf40502302bf04",1222087.9039619942,53276.16513,5293.003385999998,21688.971993000014,105119.96207500009,1222087.9039619935,"[\"110720206167890822616321575705807171983245849150110799188723045022216595670551\", 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UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?","0xb3fefe9667acca5ca31a8e330219dc67a01b374331d9bf4875357655a5508815","will-unrwa-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-983","30317.53431","2025-10-16T22:30:35.055017Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-unrwa-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2025-eXLBdMottPzk.png","[\"0.081\", \"0.919\"]","1960137.229860003","2025-10-15T21:00:31.201589Z","2026-05-25T20:49:08.501042Z","UNRWA","0x09139fb03e823bc6b7006c27da5604e8a4fa14f03bc8d8e7a9cf40502302bf06",1960137.229860003,30317.53431,848.02621,12100.415291000008,78960.52631500005,1960137.229859998,"[\"44648805494496128018486302258584216672381875589441286537181971476979030040822\", 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António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?","0xb9212b9cb5404a1db7aa30477619222b4100802f03f32a6fc5639c6e24fe0e1f","will-antnio-guterres-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-623","36280.17081","2025-10-16T22:30:34.243875Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-antnio-guterres-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2025-vGiiiNU6gBET.jpg","478577.4000909982","2025-10-15T21:00:32.290254Z","2026-05-25T20:52:04.182922Z","António Guterres","0x09139fb03e823bc6b7006c27da5604e8a4fa14f03bc8d8e7a9cf40502302bf08",478577.4000909982,36280.17081,7882.829799999999,51742.96540400002,199815.06229300046,478577.4000909995,"[\"23342261653888694132200522593527487238848562692306851598440649086435121500976\", 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Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?","0x720e7267b2bd49feeaed5cf254b5d5243aa4d5e4f2ac03e4a5cb1bd9eea8a6eb","will-tamim-bin-hamad-al-thani-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-755","52178.48764","2025-10-16T22:30:36.293862Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-tamim-bin-hamad-al-thani-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-fziga2pl7mUg.jpg","[\"0.0395\", \"0.9605\"]","623514.4815080033","2025-10-15T21:00:33.341402Z","2026-05-25T20:53:04.963683Z","Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani","0x09139fb03e823bc6b7006c27da5604e8a4fa14f03bc8d8e7a9cf40502302bf0a",623514.4815080033,52178.48764,2599.8710100000003,10400.861148000002,63390.15593799999,623514.481508002,"[\"38629843016683821271278712298908281184814663635088376266062295059246738422381\", 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Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?","0x0cfec4bdb5b2060bba705259a76c489a9b0cc36da5edad65ecd796f461a89af5","will-julian-assange-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-899","41379.55833","2025-10-16T22:30:33.990748Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-julian-assange-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2025-t2xPtLKW17Qk.png","569673.1316060015","2025-10-15T21:00:29.578567Z","2026-05-25T20:49:03.961495Z","Julian Assange","0x09139fb03e823bc6b7006c27da5604e8a4fa14f03bc8d8e7a9cf40502302bf03",569673.1316060015,41379.55833,6710.193600000004,58997.48306600009,195292.9330740001,569673.1316060007,"[\"2514203837854735205913781359327052377275050226163878960745268210971566855346\", 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Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?","0x97115010af13666600dc8776dce48290f5c4c23d387a86a97f6b4b38561dd5af","will-elon-musk-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-756","82256.12792","2025-10-16T22:30:34.750278Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-elon-musk-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2025-2cAlifTlFp4b.jpg","795387.4208009983","2025-10-15T21:00:30.675643Z","2026-05-25T20:48:52.312518Z","Elon Musk","0x09139fb03e823bc6b7006c27da5604e8a4fa14f03bc8d8e7a9cf40502302bf05",795387.4208009983,82256.12792,8514.998749999997,53923.40674999996,226028.03322100104,795387.4208009999,"[\"75607128808577269329357564425293012652006155264327001987967114873720422847762\", 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the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?","0x36081a32ac369bad207447fa2bc5d6d663fb576e935178a4a297931ec571f5d1","will-the-international-court-of-justice-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-885","45492.39053","2025-10-16T22:30:35.308898Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-person-g-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2025-yYU2_hX6lICj.png","[\"0.0195\", \"0.9805\"]","779317.8697610016","2025-10-15T21:00:31.760329Z","2026-05-25T20:48:43.251951Z","International Court of Justice","0x09139fb03e823bc6b7006c27da5604e8a4fa14f03bc8d8e7a9cf40502302bf07",779317.8697610016,45492.39053,2098.477284,16255.639908000005,68854.860867,779317.8697609972,"[\"71369127494310794272479391274205452287676771660414011081710844125846890526676\", 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Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?","0xe2cd08587e1f67a41341994fc3ea053a8ed92b5258d42acf3d4448c75095eaa5","will-volodymyr-zelensky-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-637","37316.37345","2025-10-16T22:30:36.80247Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-volodymyr-zelensky-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2025-itgAezYJpVR5.jpg","[\"0.0665\", \"0.9335\"]","514834.280627999","2025-10-15T21:00:32.823119Z","2026-05-25T20:53:11.050906Z","Volodymyr Zelenskyy","0x09139fb03e823bc6b7006c27da5604e8a4fa14f03bc8d8e7a9cf40502302bf09",514834.280627999,37316.37345,849.9823820000001,12329.119617999992,86884.269334,514834.28062799905,"[\"69233785052194635705851216099911823720821171641039286350179421202360326472771\", 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Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?","0x1e7a7b53f33712909925d133f51a3454a97f8d39bb2651761c4ee44d580ae2df","will-vladimir-putin-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-126","68245.46913","2025-10-16T22:30:37.308427Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-vladimir-putin-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-UtpGp_lg0AU8.jpg","801172.4775870093","2025-10-15T21:00:33.878511Z","2026-05-25T20:53:37.913681Z","Vladimir Putin","0x09139fb03e823bc6b7006c27da5604e8a4fa14f03bc8d8e7a9cf40502302bf0b",801172.4775870093,68245.46913,19710.798746,44416.18214600001,255305.38952599873,801172.4775869977,"[\"3072654272549368438022392135276167382428661847959009954134234860002162565563\", 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Person AN win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?","0xa3ee1efcf21fac0f936e25ebf180c8473943f701a1767382fd0ecc9bb6697819","will-person-an-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-892","2025-10-16T22:30:53.591335Z","2025-10-15T21:01:02.429675Z","Person AN","0x09139fb03e823bc6b7006c27da5604e8a4fa14f03bc8d8e7a9cf40502302bf3b","[\"29725774579420625454509129036177416311686530936088839139825129731562517332330\", 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Person AP win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?","0xb6fb90e0ca8ba3bb4f15a9c4f2679a334832ce9461021acc2f1f03919eea3d06","will-person-ap-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-566","2025-10-16T22:30:54.788921Z","2025-10-15T21:01:03.523548Z","Person AP","0x09139fb03e823bc6b7006c27da5604e8a4fa14f03bc8d8e7a9cf40502302bf3d","[\"100264438061648041745682220296803153178379788092841378696898445106911298468094\", 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Person AR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?","0xe8ef3810a2940ddeda67fc3a91f0165d16e4174e9133c125d5c8a2e5e990ab97","will-person-ar-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-512","2025-10-16T22:30:55.569175Z","2025-10-15T21:01:04.727044Z","Person AR","0x09139fb03e823bc6b7006c27da5604e8a4fa14f03bc8d8e7a9cf40502302bf3f","[\"75567854375466670250731237363580226982211099176077764643852350388338880684068\", 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Person AT win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?","0x32cd6542553ab77eb3a93dfc8463cd01bde0151617dc9c619691f3c9b1209482","will-person-at-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-978","2025-10-16T22:30:55.297229Z","2025-10-15T21:01:05.77994Z","Person AT","0x09139fb03e823bc6b7006c27da5604e8a4fa14f03bc8d8e7a9cf40502302bf41","[\"97516154330286043341537212456219043876064381706694161449260694474156157558005\", 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Person AV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?","0xf91658cd95cda189117d2119a33d379f58157c551d0af3a20d72b8cc20175656","will-person-av-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-954","2025-10-16T22:30:57.104674Z","2025-10-15T21:01:06.921256Z","Person AV","0x09139fb03e823bc6b7006c27da5604e8a4fa14f03bc8d8e7a9cf40502302bf43","[\"13451164684313210730619003115997592274619358193769358327308453257943533011973\", \"30191966583288130640895229475851247408174462115901789959667617782418759058868\"]","0xa7e378add92b87e3c87e102758ab70f3291e877b36861685d5ac5f8d66da3a51","2025-10-16T22:04:19.280397Z",{"exponent":452,"rate":125,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1313},{"id":8134,"question":8135,"conditionId":8136,"slug":8137,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":6974,"liquidity":44,"startDate":8138,"image":6975,"icon":6975,"description":6971,"outcomes":35,"volume":44,"active":15,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":8139,"updatedAt":7251,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":2722,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":8140,"groupItemThreshold":4721,"questionID":8141,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":56,"liquidityNum":56,"endDateIso":7004,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":56,"volume1wk":56,"volume1mo":56,"volume1yr":56,"clobTokenIds":8142,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrAmm":56,"volume1wkAmm":56,"volume1moAmm":56,"volume1yrAmm":56,"volume24hrClob":56,"volume1wkClob":56,"volume1moClob":56,"volume1yrClob":56,"volumeAmm":56,"volumeClob":56,"liquidityAmm":56,"liquidityClob":56,"makerBaseFee":7011,"takerBaseFee":7011,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":6986,"negRiskRequestID":8143,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":7571,"cyom":15,"competitive":56,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":56,"rewardsMaxSpread":56,"spread":452,"oneDayPriceChange":56,"oneHourPriceChange":56,"oneWeekPriceChange":56,"oneMonthPriceChange":56,"oneYearPriceChange":56,"lastTradePrice":56,"bestBid":56,"bestAsk":452,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":14,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":8144,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":7018,"feeSchedule":8145},"637071","Will Person AX win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?","0x0de8fd408ec4aa076849dfd38e9c39ad8b410f7fe6fa92d257dacf4598e14f29","will-person-ax-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-811","2025-10-16T22:30:56.595821Z","2025-10-15T21:01:08.129658Z","Person AX","0x09139fb03e823bc6b7006c27da5604e8a4fa14f03bc8d8e7a9cf40502302bf45","[\"92094083479529109293273490414325162486467298836260337143943695089895087794818\", \"43402846711428549309835165923042905093941316317098225997081720042276022065987\"]","0x28c9e6d94888536127f7f882179399b503b89b6f8edd079e5de4b407d8aa54a2","2025-10-16T22:04:19.282699Z",{"exponent":452,"rate":125,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1313},[8147,8153,8154,8155],{"id":3201,"label":8148,"slug":8149,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":8150,"createdAt":8151,"updatedAt":8152,"requiresTranslation":15},"Awards","awards","2023-11-02 21:03:41.709+00","2023-11-02T21:03:41.713Z","2026-04-17T20:42:53.495391Z",{"id":77,"label":515,"slug":516,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":517,"updatedBy":518,"createdAt":519,"updatedAt":520,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":509,"label":510,"slug":511,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":512,"updatedAt":513,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3296,"label":3297,"slug":3298,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":3299,"updatedAt":3300,"requiresTranslation":15},"2025-10-16T22:01:58.902875Z",{"context_description":8158,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":8159},"The Nobel Peace Prize 2026 market shows a wide-open field with no dominant frontrunner, as Donald Trump and Yulia Navalnaya share the top spot at 8.5% implied probability each, followed closely by UNRWA at 8.1%. This tight clustering stems from the early nomination stage and a crowded slate of candidates tied to ongoing diplomacy, conflict resolution, and humanitarian efforts worldwide. Traders see multiple viable paths forward, with momentum likely shifting based on key developments like ceasefires, advocacy campaigns, or organizational recognitions rather than any single standout narrative. Historical surprises in the award underscore the uncertainty ahead of the October announcement.","2026-05-25T20:30:48.505Z",{"id":8161,"ticker":8162,"slug":8162,"title":8163,"description":8164,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":8165,"creationDate":8166,"endDate":12,"image":8167,"icon":8167,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":8168,"volume":8169,"openInterest":8170,"sortBy":2701,"createdAt":8171,"updatedAt":8172,"competitive":8173,"volume24hr":8174,"volume1wk":8175,"volume1mo":8176,"volume1yr":8177,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":8168,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":8178,"commentCount":8179,"markets":8180,"tags":9114,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":14,"automaticallyActive":14,"gmpChartMode":521,"negRiskAugmented":14,"estimateValue":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":9142,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":9143},"143443","venezuela-leader-end-of-2026","Venezuela leader end of 2026?","This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"officially holds\" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. \n\nIf the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.un.org\u002Fdgacm\u002Fen\u002Fcontent\u002Fprotocol\u002Fhshgnfa).  \n\nIn the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan  government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. \n\nIf no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. \n\nThe following do NOT constitute \"officially holding\" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. \n\nNote: this market is mutually exclusive. \n","2026-01-04T18:25:33.58473Z","2026-01-04T18:25:33.58471Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fvenezuela-leader-end-of-2026-lOfqbUxiKAsg.png",1562169.05163,88928533.8287656,634021.142837,"2026-01-04T17:12:44.762001Z","2026-05-25T20:57:11.074742Z",0.9712660647407108,105469.381907,595291.805804,3704021.3168879994,88928533.828766,"0x45ec1f7704d0ddd047e70443e830028d8801671283883ad1b46a29659488b600",343,[8181,8212,8235,8258,8280,8303,8326,8348,8370,8385,8398,8412,8426,8440,8454,8468,8482,8496,8510,8524,8538,8552,8566,8580,8593,8607,8620,8634,8648,8672,8701,8730,8751,8773,8795,8817,8839,8852,8865,8878,8891,8904,8917,8930,8943,8956,8969,8982,8995,9008,9021,9035,9048,9061,9074,9087,9101],{"id":8182,"question":8183,"conditionId":8184,"slug":8185,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":12,"liquidity":8186,"startDate":8187,"image":8167,"icon":8167,"description":8164,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":8188,"volume":8189,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":8190,"updatedAt":8191,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":2722,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":8192,"groupItemThreshold":178,"questionID":8193,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":8194,"liquidityNum":8195,"endDateIso":227,"startDateIso":8196,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":8197,"volume1wk":8198,"volume1mo":8199,"volume1yr":8200,"gameStartTime":8201,"clobTokenIds":8202,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":8197,"volume1wkClob":8198,"volume1moClob":8199,"volume1yrClob":8200,"volumeClob":8194,"liquidityClob":8195,"makerBaseFee":7011,"takerBaseFee":7011,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":8178,"negRiskRequestID":8203,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":8204,"cyom":15,"competitive":8205,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":8206,"rewardsMinSize":457,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":333,"oneDayPriceChange":368,"oneWeekPriceChange":368,"oneMonthPriceChange":615,"lastTradePrice":587,"bestBid":125,"bestAsk":587,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":8209,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":8210,"feeSchedule":8211},"1105741","Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?","0x70187b4770796788b9d1f3fc6652c596870a9a837b96c832441652588f26029d","will-mara-corina-machado-be-the-leader-of-venezuela-end-of-2026","82252.5843","2026-01-04T18:21:09.651Z","[\"0.06\", \"0.94\"]","1102716.463455042","2026-01-04T17:12:46.003535Z","2026-05-25T20:49:28.06051Z","María Corina Machado","0x45ec1f7704d0ddd047e70443e830028d8801671283883ad1b46a29659488b601",1102716.463455042,82252.5843,"2026-01-04",5066.417333,34856.56577099997,89348.73901400002,1102716.4634550044,"2026-04-17 23:00:00+00","[\"111206023652925249192617904527998565944558514529537236601741996492948632883698\", \"80339409420962166114161973004452881729789538477338621544329890236335726311527\"]","0xe3f5ee96cafe3fef759703f1684ae6ee09a3b851dbf0fd6f367a900ce5ef8078","2026-01-04T18:20:47Z",0.8378016085790885,[8207],{"id":8208,"conditionId":8184,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":452,"startDate":838,"endDate":120},"277420","2026-01-04T18:09:34.454477Z","politics_fees",{"exponent":452,"rate":1237,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1313},{"id":8213,"question":8214,"conditionId":8215,"slug":8216,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":12,"liquidity":8217,"startDate":8218,"image":8167,"icon":8167,"description":8164,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":3113,"volume":8219,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":8220,"updatedAt":8221,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":2722,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":8222,"groupItemThreshold":255,"questionID":8223,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":8224,"liquidityNum":8225,"endDateIso":227,"startDateIso":8196,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":8226,"volume1wk":8227,"volume1mo":8228,"volume1yr":8229,"gameStartTime":8201,"clobTokenIds":8230,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":8226,"volume1wkClob":8227,"volume1moClob":8228,"volume1yrClob":8229,"volumeClob":8224,"liquidityClob":8225,"makerBaseFee":7011,"takerBaseFee":7011,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":8178,"negRiskRequestID":8231,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":8232,"cyom":15,"competitive":3127,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":457,"rewardsMaxSpread":59,"spread":47,"oneDayPriceChange":1084,"oneWeekPriceChange":208,"oneMonthPriceChange":686,"lastTradePrice":160,"bestBid":160,"bestAsk":586,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":8233,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":8210,"feeSchedule":8234},"1105743","Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?","0xd46931250308613b38c1fdad5cfeaeaae05818bc445668ad4629f12e92aac690","will-diosdado-cabello-rondn-be-the-leader-of-venezuela-end-of-2026","41136.54733","2026-01-04T18:21:11.617Z","1748266.333016997","2026-01-04T17:12:46.94304Z","2026-05-25T20:51:08.30236Z","Diosdado Cabello Rondón","0x45ec1f7704d0ddd047e70443e830028d8801671283883ad1b46a29659488b603",1748266.333016997,41136.54733,12387.630632999997,56932.99187999997,206599.5611490004,1748266.3330170014,"[\"112746945158746257741635529019662641558199388176511485763810876768315276888838\", 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Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?","0x86a2f168603fae962d925c91b23fba47c0c7436a240056785de25e998bc30811","will-dinorah-figuera-be-the-leader-of-venezuela-end-of-2026","207714.56003","2026-01-04T18:21:25.469Z","2367109.587240988","2026-01-04T17:12:47.782639Z","2026-05-25T20:49:18.444198Z","Dinorah Figuera","0x45ec1f7704d0ddd047e70443e830028d8801671283883ad1b46a29659488b605",2367109.587240988,207714.56003,5961.726,25407.921,217894.24149799993,2367109.587241009,"[\"63520322965196077858161646392631185222879535067184355961912182985450749868276\", 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Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?","0xbe63107b6f2952cab6bff292332b1574d5f70323a5a830bdc7e6129ab3c3960d","will-vladimir-padrino-lpez-be-the-leader-of-venezuela-end-of-2026","57852.39454","2026-01-04T18:21:25.984Z","678540.3598400005","2026-01-04T17:12:48.683105Z","2026-05-25T20:48:54.816019Z","Vladimir Padrino López","0x45ec1f7704d0ddd047e70443e830028d8801671283883ad1b46a29659488b607",678540.3598400005,57852.39454,266.85,11916.026,42849.07686199999,678540.3598400009,"[\"54906963185407778588520250373893528650769447293260978407024082288131033892651\", 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Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?","0xcef0ea92825ef2e046a97ef9b628709d0071614832d3bfc9c6c8dc119a472618","will-jorge-rodrguez-be-the-leader-of-venezuela-end-of-2026","40981.10117","2026-01-04T18:21:27.859Z","1006687.9982809987","2026-01-04T17:12:49.689618Z","2026-05-25T20:54:17.900694Z","Jorge Rodríguez","0x45ec1f7704d0ddd047e70443e830028d8801671283883ad1b46a29659488b609",1006687.9982809987,40981.10117,455.938856,1228.245458,50005.559971,1006687.9982809986,"[\"42727638766042850249414793956193305049964960783968960523056590290643557215679\", 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Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?","0x1dd7704a6d05cca078564bc0bac541261425bc9252acc5634639f5161daf45f9","will-evan-pettus-be-the-leader-of-venezuela-end-of-2026","141206.78444","2026-01-04T18:21:29.941Z","5190726.328313888","2026-01-04T17:12:50.508992Z","2026-05-25T20:55:13.411381Z","Evan Pettus","0x45ec1f7704d0ddd047e70443e830028d8801671283883ad1b46a29659488b60b",5190726.328313888,141206.78444,2927.5330000000035,23693.61700000002,696446.7948129992,5190726.328314003,"[\"29837838565073869827145553292583668903967817176034246371462591974518514238766\", 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Leader 39 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?","0x9d291b64022892fca912089a6e407ec813d4c44fc9ebdb9e88626bf80d541ae5","will-leader-39-be-the-leader-of-venezuela-end-of-2026","2026-01-04T18:22:17.526Z","2026-01-04T17:13:11.049955Z","Leader 39","0x45ec1f7704d0ddd047e70443e830028d8801671283883ad1b46a29659488b636","[\"95930686812922143682441831881095971374871971972326804428072055495130053592435\", \"51501067518345277532122583516086733777428530670447520050605793910774931142035\"]","0xc072a23ce8d8948b9e6dcd9e1481bf08f1265f02528a22a8e8a241944c2f10d9","2026-01-04T18:21:55Z","2026-01-04T18:09:34.653927Z",{"exponent":452,"rate":1237,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1313},{"id":9102,"question":9103,"conditionId":9104,"slug":9105,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":12,"liquidity":44,"startDate":9106,"image":8167,"icon":8167,"description":8164,"outcomes":35,"volume":44,"active":15,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":9107,"updatedAt":8377,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":2722,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":3270,"groupItemThreshold":4526,"questionID":9108,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":56,"liquidityNum":56,"endDateIso":227,"startDateIso":8196,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":56,"volume1wk":56,"volume1mo":56,"volume1yr":56,"gameStartTime":8201,"clobTokenIds":9109,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrAmm":56,"volume1wkAmm":56,"volume1moAmm":56,"volume1yrAmm":56,"volume24hrClob":56,"volume1wkClob":56,"volume1moClob":56,"volume1yrClob":56,"volumeAmm":56,"volumeClob":56,"liquidityAmm":56,"liquidityClob":56,"makerBaseFee":7011,"takerBaseFee":7011,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":14,"negRiskMarketID":8178,"negRiskRequestID":9110,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":9111,"cyom":15,"competitive":56,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":56,"rewardsMaxSpread":56,"spread":452,"oneDayPriceChange":56,"oneHourPriceChange":56,"oneWeekPriceChange":56,"oneMonthPriceChange":56,"oneYearPriceChange":56,"lastTradePrice":56,"bestBid":56,"bestAsk":452,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":14,"negRiskOther":14,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":9112,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":14,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":8210,"feeSchedule":9113},"1105796","Will Other be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?","0x2f1f52b04a3236ea934da6648e405d6792ac7820a1742f98a614ead978212937","will-other-be-the-leader-of-venezuela-end-of-2026","2026-01-04T18:22:21.899Z","2026-01-04T17:13:11.983893Z","0x45ec1f7704d0ddd047e70443e830028d8801671283883ad1b46a29659488b638","[\"43757844790585991868420216435825152758222391268877639613468742717698709079297\", \"52601980023605734731827323334437490645226061974090502628261878560280764402684\"]","0xb1fa65ae9be7efe59ccada2854f3d13525759d29041ab8ff8180c2b874c53263","2026-01-04T18:21:59Z","2026-01-04T18:09:34.657429Z",{"exponent":452,"rate":1237,"takerOnly":14,"rebateRate":1313},[9115,9121,9128,9129,9130,9131,9136],{"id":9116,"label":9117,"slug":9118,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":9119,"updatedAt":9120,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"103147","Trump-Machado","trump-machado","2026-01-15T15:09:13.260272Z","2026-04-17T20:15:11.399129Z",{"id":9122,"label":9123,"slug":9124,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":9125,"createdAt":9126,"updatedAt":9127,"requiresTranslation":15},"246","Venezuela","venezuela","2023-11-02 21:43:20.341+00","2023-11-02T21:43:20.356Z","2026-04-17T20:31:30.118891Z",{"id":473,"label":474,"slug":475,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":476,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":477,"updatedAt":478,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":77,"label":515,"slug":516,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":517,"updatedBy":518,"createdAt":519,"updatedAt":520,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":509,"label":510,"slug":511,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":512,"updatedAt":513,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":9132,"label":9133,"slug":9133,"createdAt":9134,"updatedAt":9135,"requiresTranslation":15},"101669","maduro","2025-01-09T20:33:28.973029Z","2026-04-17T20:13:49.710088Z",{"id":9137,"label":9138,"slug":9139,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":9140,"updatedAt":9141,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"103149","Rewards 20, 4.5, 50","rewards-20-4pt5-50","2026-01-15T17:34:55.254317Z","2026-04-15T20:46:22.35402Z","2026-01-04T18:09:06.72373Z",{"context_description":9144,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":9145},"The January 2026 U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro and removed him from power remains the dominant factor shaping trader expectations for Venezuela’s leadership at the end of 2026, with Delcy Rodríguez installed as acting president and pursuing closer cooperation with Washington on oil licenses, sanctions relief, and an amnesty process. Rodríguez’s consolidation of interim authority through the National Assembly and alignment with U.S. economic priorities has positioned her as the clearest short-term successor within the existing institutional framework, while opposition figures including María Corina Machado retain strong popular support in independent polling yet face limited immediate pathways to office amid stalled electoral timelines. Persistent uncertainty over the pace of any transition, the durability of the current interim arrangement, and potential influence from remaining Chavista networks continues to underpin Maduro’s leading market position despite his detention, with scheduled political and diplomatic developments through late 2026 likely to determine whether continuity or a broader shift materializes.","2026-05-25T20:30:50.805Z",{"id":9147,"ticker":9148,"slug":9148,"title":9149,"description":9150,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":9151,"creationDate":9152,"endDate":1093,"image":9153,"icon":9153,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":9154,"volume":9155,"openInterest":9156,"createdAt":9157,"updatedAt":9158,"competitive":9159,"volume24hr":9160,"volume1wk":9161,"volume1mo":9162,"volume1yr":9163,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":9154,"commentCount":56,"markets":9164,"series":9185,"tags":9197,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":14,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"seriesSlug":9188,"negRiskAugmented":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":9226},"107996","ukraine-agrees-not-to-join-nato-by-june-30","Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? ","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if\u002Fwhen the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).\n\nAn agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.","2025-12-17T22:54:45.373928Z","2025-12-17T22:54:45.373924Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fukraine-agrees-not-to-join-nato-before-july-vKEDpScXuAtt.jpg",30303.80825,579228.9567439999,35558.034967,"2025-12-17T20:56:17.108283Z","2026-05-25T20:57:41.805306Z",0.8262945091283853,100323.68788200001,468709.8440049999,549745.432193,579228.956744,[9165],{"id":9166,"question":9149,"conditionId":9167,"slug":9148,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1093,"liquidity":9168,"startDate":9169,"image":9153,"icon":9153,"description":9150,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":9170,"volume":9171,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":9172,"updatedAt":9173,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":9,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":9174,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":9175,"liquidityNum":9176,"endDateIso":1103,"startDateIso":6584,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":9177,"volume1wk":9178,"volume1mo":9179,"volume1yr":9180,"clobTokenIds":9181,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":9177,"volume1wkClob":9178,"volume1moClob":9179,"volume1yrClob":9180,"volumeClob":9175,"liquidityClob":9176,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":9182,"cyom":15,"competitive":9159,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":56,"rewardsMaxSpread":56,"spread":1484,"oneDayPriceChange":1084,"oneWeekPriceChange":1019,"oneMonthPriceChange":7171,"lastTradePrice":3082,"bestBid":1237,"bestAsk":9183,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":9184,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"956980","0x9772347ce628f4427ab437333679512aba5a98a4d14ff2a138f99fe7a40ba5fe","30577.17325","2025-12-17T22:47:59.25269Z","[\"0.0415\", \"0.9585\"]","579738.9567439999","2025-12-17T20:56:19.275758Z","2026-05-25T20:55:42.934897Z","0x43e2d6d5941041e1b54af3bdd8c91766cad71a23f3d56d22e349ca48bfd1b61b",579738.9567439999,30577.17325,100240.68788200001,468909.8440049999,550255.432193,579738.956744,"[\"112904569046070107954334149472080769315009445155940899941644097924159014316116\", \"108462202994803794725849454504557548241162896906061525798210683136350764833874\"]","2025-12-17T22:47:37Z",0.043,"2025-12-17T22:46:39.833843Z",[9186],{"id":9187,"ticker":9188,"slug":9188,"title":9189,"seriesType":1495,"recurrence":9190,"image":9,"icon":9,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"createdAt":9191,"updatedAt":9192,"volume24hr":9193,"volume":9194,"liquidity":9195,"commentCount":9196,"requiresTranslation":15},"10533","ukraine-not-nato","Ukraine Not NATO","annual","2025-11-05T19:41:44.557765Z","2026-05-25T20:57:32.127508Z",100415.89567000001,682998.4248719999,39934.51525,134,[9198,9204,9205,9211,9212,9213,9219],{"id":5110,"label":9199,"slug":9200,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":9201,"createdAt":9202,"updatedAt":9203,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"Russia","russia","2023-11-02 21:18:49.314+00","2023-11-02T21:18:49.32Z","2026-04-15T21:03:39.348071Z",{"id":77,"label":515,"slug":516,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":517,"updatedBy":518,"createdAt":519,"updatedAt":520,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":5125,"label":9206,"slug":9207,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":9208,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":9209,"updatedAt":9210,"requiresTranslation":15},"Ukraine","ukraine","2023-11-02 21:18:49.922+00","2023-11-02T21:18:49.94Z","2026-04-17T21:11:46.161003Z",{"id":3296,"label":3297,"slug":3298,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":3299,"updatedAt":3300,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":509,"label":510,"slug":511,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":512,"updatedAt":513,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":9214,"label":9215,"slug":9216,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":9217,"updatedAt":9218,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"103027","Ukraine Peace Deal","ukraine-peace-deal","2025-12-28T23:09:02.833617Z","2026-04-17T20:31:30.103536Z",{"id":9220,"label":9221,"slug":9222,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":9223,"createdAt":9224,"updatedAt":9225,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"192","NATO","nato","2023-11-02 21:32:51.07+00","2023-11-02T21:32:51.092Z","2026-04-17T20:50:30.212255Z",{"context_description":9227,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":9228},"Ukraine’s constitutional commitment to NATO membership and repeated affirmations by President Zelenskyy that the country’s future lies within the alliance underpin the 95.9% trader consensus against any agreement to forgo accession by June 30. NATO’s May 2026 foreign ministers meeting in Sweden and related statements reaffirmed the “irreversible” path to membership while focusing on intensified military support rather than neutrality conditions. No verified diplomatic process has emerged that would require Kyiv to renounce its Euro-Atlantic integration goal within the narrow remaining window. A breakthrough U.S.-brokered ceasefire explicitly tying security guarantees to permanent non-membership, or a sudden shift in Ukrainian leadership priorities, remain the primary realistic developments that could still alter the outcome before the deadline.","2026-05-25T20:16:49.981Z",{"id":9230,"ticker":9231,"slug":9231,"title":9232,"description":9233,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":9234,"creationDate":9235,"endDate":12,"image":9236,"icon":9236,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":9237,"volume":9238,"openInterest":9239,"createdAt":9240,"updatedAt":9241,"competitive":234,"volume24hr":9242,"volume1wk":9243,"volume1mo":9244,"volume1yr":9245,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":9237,"negRisk":15,"commentCount":3051,"markets":9246,"tags":9297,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":15,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"gmpChartMode":521,"negRiskAugmented":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":9310},"79192","israel-and-indonesia-normalize-relations-by","Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","2025-11-11T22:18:38.908496Z","2025-11-11T22:18:38.908493Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fisrael-and-indonesia-normalize-relations-by-li5jCvNLbZK9.jpg",56319.93174,2157534.3667319994,28762.217623999997,"2025-11-11T21:45:50.953206Z","2026-05-25T20:56:55.334619Z",97953.70965599998,360186.7937509999,1492606.3761720012,2157534.366732001,[9247,9271],{"id":9248,"question":9249,"conditionId":9250,"slug":9251,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":12,"liquidity":9252,"startDate":9253,"image":9236,"icon":9236,"description":9233,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":9254,"volume":9255,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":9256,"updatedAt":9257,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":9258,"groupItemThreshold":178,"questionID":9259,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":103,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":9260,"liquidityNum":9261,"endDateIso":227,"startDateIso":9262,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":9263,"volume1wk":9264,"volume1mo":9265,"volume1yr":9266,"clobTokenIds":9267,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":9263,"volume1wkClob":9264,"volume1moClob":9265,"volume1yrClob":9266,"volumeClob":9260,"liquidityClob":9261,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":9268,"cyom":15,"competitive":234,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":56,"rewardsMaxSpread":56,"spread":125,"oneDayPriceChange":797,"oneHourPriceChange":160,"oneWeekPriceChange":103,"oneMonthPriceChange":9269,"lastTradePrice":161,"bestBid":239,"bestAsk":6523,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":9270,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"677315","Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?","0x1fab35067db952ff09d08e47e65c324ab2e06d88762884779e13d437a7b5410f","israel-and-indonesia-normalize-relations-by-december-31-2026-618-741","17489.6213","2025-11-11T22:15:48.648Z","[\"0.175\", \"0.825\"]","436399.35234100086","2025-11-11T21:45:52.289087Z","2026-05-25T20:50:06.792169Z","December 31, 2026","0x2881fe4f6ca7ae73de891b1a9b9897073c773e503322db671043c00a04e735dc",436399.35234100086,17489.6213,"2025-11-11",2091.065801,10311.368119,18031.623220999998,436399.3523410001,"[\"77693795602864194982598625961231762280109458575986367253602713708802026084051\", \"115156984220557324378087110854933091790765205619588868341970563707985573991502\"]","2025-11-11T22:15:27Z",0.055,"2025-11-11T22:15:00.131007Z",{"id":9272,"question":9273,"conditionId":9274,"slug":9275,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1093,"liquidity":9276,"startDate":9277,"image":9236,"icon":9236,"description":9278,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":9279,"volume":9280,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":9281,"updatedAt":9282,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":9283,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":9284,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":9285,"liquidityNum":9286,"endDateIso":1103,"startDateIso":9262,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":9287,"volume1wk":9288,"volume1mo":9289,"volume1yr":9290,"clobTokenIds":9291,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":9287,"volume1wkClob":9288,"volume1moClob":9289,"volume1yrClob":9290,"volumeClob":9285,"liquidityClob":9286,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":9268,"cyom":15,"competitive":9292,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"rewardsMinSize":56,"rewardsMaxSpread":56,"spread":1167,"oneDayPriceChange":9293,"oneHourPriceChange":9294,"oneWeekPriceChange":9295,"oneMonthPriceChange":7070,"lastTradePrice":2243,"bestBid":1237,"bestAsk":1693,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"seriesColor":9,"showGmpSeries":15,"showGmpOutcome":15,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":9296,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"677314","Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?","0x96cd1bfdc9f904198fd559b1a62c0e5c23412672d1c174ebb8d025273577a3fd","israel-and-indonesia-normalize-relations-by-june-30-2026","38313.11101","2025-11-11T22:15:48.391485Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","[\"0.046\", \"0.954\"]","1721925.0143909985","2025-11-11T21:45:51.766508Z","2026-05-25T20:53:26.37868Z","June 30, 2026","0x43c6aac4f51707576dc3e38a8ecc775a9bc54cbef49c10b6d1660aebcce79c26",1721925.0143909985,38313.11101,95848.64385499997,350665.4256319999,1475364.7529510013,1721925.0143910006,"[\"52236865185556704937456650339455120930559171526521911388509356735214214094228\", \"99932575747050197176311353057287730758421737500750012119419196243225585645724\"]",0.8291076480205885,0.0175,-0.0115,0.0115,"2025-11-11T22:15:00.152926Z",[9298,9299,9300,9301,9308,9309],{"id":1817,"label":1818,"slug":1819,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1820,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":1821,"updatedAt":1822,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":3296,"label":3297,"slug":3298,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":3299,"updatedAt":3300,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":509,"label":510,"slug":511,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":512,"updatedAt":513,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":9302,"label":9303,"slug":9304,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":9305,"createdAt":9306,"updatedAt":9307,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},"181","Indonesia","indonesia","2023-11-02 21:31:15.688+00","2023-11-02T21:31:15.702Z","2026-04-17T20:40:35.123775Z",{"id":1802,"label":1803,"slug":1804,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":1805,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":1806,"updatedAt":1807,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":77,"label":515,"slug":516,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":517,"updatedBy":518,"createdAt":519,"updatedAt":520,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"context_description":9311,"context_requires_regen":14,"context_updated_at":9312},"Indonesia maintains no formal diplomatic relations with Israel, consistent with its long-standing support for Palestinian statehood and domestic political constraints in the world's largest Muslim-majority country. President Prabowo Subianto has signaled conditional openness, stating in 2025 that normalization could follow Israeli recognition of an independent Palestine, including remarks at the UN General Assembly endorsing Israel's security alongside a two-state framework. These comments coincided with Indonesia's OECD accession bid, where Israel holds veto power, and brief speculation around a presidential visit that did not materialize. Public opinion polls show majority opposition to ties absent Palestinian progress, while quiet trade and security contacts persist. Any breakthrough before mid-2026 would require resolution of core Palestinian issues or external incentives, amid ongoing regional dynamics.","2026-05-25T20:45:59.528Z",{"id":9314,"ticker":9315,"slug":9315,"title":9316,"description":9317,"resolutionSource":9,"startDate":9318,"creationDate":9319,"endDate":1093,"image":9320,"icon":9320,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"new":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"liquidity":9321,"volume":9322,"openInterest":9323,"createdAt":9324,"updatedAt":9325,"competitive":6726,"volume24hr":9326,"volume1wk":9327,"volume1mo":9328,"volume1yr":9329,"enableOrderBook":14,"liquidityClob":9321,"commentCount":56,"markets":9330,"series":9354,"tags":9365,"cyom":15,"showAllOutcomes":14,"showMarketImages":14,"enableNegRisk":15,"automaticallyActive":14,"seriesSlug":9357,"negRiskAugmented":15,"cumulativeMarkets":15,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"eventMetadata":9377},"108639","putin-out-as-president-of-russia-by-june-30","Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation\u002Fremoval before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\u002Fremoval goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","2025-12-17T23:04:55.698582Z","2025-12-17T23:04:55.698579Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fputin-out-as-president-of-russia-in-2025-nWuurkC8qfbi.jpg",99403.56126,2858465.4036790146,700023.346491,"2025-12-17T22:49:23.611374Z","2026-05-25T20:56:45.135404Z",93303.54572600001,330019.6869389999,1482528.4186860018,2858465.403678998,[9331],{"id":9332,"question":9316,"conditionId":9333,"slug":9315,"resolutionSource":9,"endDate":1093,"liquidity":9334,"startDate":9335,"image":9320,"icon":9320,"description":9317,"outcomes":35,"outcomePrices":9336,"volume":9337,"active":14,"closed":15,"marketMakerAddress":9,"createdAt":9338,"updatedAt":9339,"new":15,"featured":15,"submitted_by":41,"archived":15,"resolvedBy":42,"restricted":14,"groupItemTitle":9,"groupItemThreshold":44,"questionID":9340,"enableOrderBook":14,"orderPriceMinTickSize":47,"orderMinSize":48,"volumeNum":9341,"liquidityNum":9342,"endDateIso":1103,"startDateIso":6584,"hasReviewedDates":14,"volume24hr":9343,"volume1wk":9344,"volume1mo":9345,"volume1yr":9346,"clobTokenIds":9347,"umaBond":54,"umaReward":55,"volume24hrClob":9343,"volume1wkClob":9344,"volume1moClob":9345,"volume1yrClob":9346,"volumeClob":9341,"liquidityClob":9342,"customLiveness":56,"acceptingOrders":14,"negRisk":15,"negRiskRequestID":9,"ready":15,"funded":15,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":9348,"cyom":15,"competitive":9349,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":15,"approved":14,"clobRewards":9350,"rewardsMinSize":58,"rewardsMaxSpread":121,"spread":686,"oneDayPriceChange":2834,"oneHourPriceChange":1484,"oneWeekPriceChange":2834,"oneMonthPriceChange":9294,"lastTradePrice":6733,"bestBid":6732,"bestAsk":749,"automaticallyActive":14,"clearBookOnStart":14,"manualActivation":15,"negRiskOther":15,"umaResolutionStatuses":128,"pendingDeployment":15,"deploying":15,"deployingTimestamp":9353,"rfqEnabled":15,"holdingRewardsEnabled":15,"feesEnabled":15,"requiresTranslation":15,"feeType":64},"958448","0x1a1346d763389455dac46a51e20c4cc25aecef5323f1701a440cc11d4c3f129e","100178.60078","2025-12-17T23:03:33.407Z","[\"0.018\", \"0.982\"]","2858794.4036790146","2025-12-17T22:49:25.173985Z","2026-05-25T20:52:43.501386Z","0x0df3f90f88d2b25b12bab386217af32bc9ac96e30fbaf6a01adda17ef4ca1d2f",2858794.4036790146,100178.60078,93632.54572600001,330348.6869389999,1482857.4186860018,2858794.403678998,"[\"61110221131780024146455604680603124331432024209700031479458348712198877498305\", \"60985791378312580703709677518968676541826607237443929833288547454824613611581\"]","2025-12-17T23:02:21Z",0.8114749043271088,[9351],{"id":9352,"conditionId":9333,"assetAddress":117,"rewardsAmount":56,"rewardsDailyRate":2210,"startDate":228,"endDate":120},"309516","2025-12-17T23:01:40.189633Z",[9355],{"id":9356,"ticker":9357,"slug":9357,"title":9358,"seriesType":1495,"recurrence":9190,"image":9,"icon":9,"active":14,"closed":15,"archived":15,"featured":15,"restricted":14,"createdAt":9359,"updatedAt":9360,"volume24hr":9361,"volume":9362,"liquidity":9363,"commentCount":9364,"requiresTranslation":15},"10521","putin-out-as-president","Putin out as President","2025-11-04T19:17:18.524878Z","2026-05-25T20:57:43.139921Z",117482.851852,7128738.977569964,307763.68486,258,[9366,9367,9368,9369,9375,9376],{"id":3296,"label":3297,"slug":3298,"forceShow":15,"createdAt":3299,"updatedAt":3300,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":5110,"label":9199,"slug":9200,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":9201,"createdAt":9202,"updatedAt":9203,"isCarousel":15,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":5125,"label":9206,"slug":9207,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":9208,"updatedBy":469,"createdAt":9209,"updatedAt":9210,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":9370,"label":9371,"slug":9371,"publishedAt":9372,"createdAt":9373,"updatedAt":9374,"requiresTranslation":15},"270","putin","2023-11-02 21:46:19.507+00","2023-11-02T21:46:19.528Z","2026-04-17T20:26:28.78978Z",{"id":77,"label":515,"slug":516,"forceShow":15,"publishedAt":517,"updatedBy":518,"createdAt":519,"updatedAt":520,"forceHide":14,"requiresTranslation":15},{"id":509,"label":510,"slug":511,"forceShow":14,"createdAt":512,"updatedAt":513,"requiresTranslation":15},{"context_description":9378,"context_requires_regen":15,"context_updated_at":9379},"Vladimir Putin’s firm grip on Russia’s executive institutions, security apparatus, and legislative bodies underpins the 98.3 percent trader consensus that he will remain president through June 30. Constitutional amendments enacted in 2020 reset term limits to allow service until 2036, reinforced by his 2024 reelection to a six-year term with no elections or mandatory succession processes scheduled before the market cutoff. In recent weeks, Putin has maintained high visibility through a May 9 Victory Day address, a mid-May meeting with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, and routine public engagements that signal consolidated elite support and operational continuity. While isolated reports of heightened personal security amid internal concerns exist, no verified defections, health crises, or institutional challenges have materialized to shift probabilities. Sudden developments such as an elite-led transition, acute medical event, or external shock could still theoretically intervene before the end of June, though the absence of any such catalysts sustains the current market positioning.","2026-05-25T20:31:21.140Z",1779742855974]