Geopolitics Top Movers

Most active prediction markets by 24-hour trading volume.

#1

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

$180.8M total15 outcomes

$9.6M 24h

#2

Iran ceasefire continues through...?

$25.7M total15 outcomes

100¢

$3.9M 24h

#3

Iran closes its airspace by...?

$38.2M total11 outcomes

$2.5M 24h

#4

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

$6.1M total9 outcomes

33¢

$2.1M 24h

#5

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

$25.3M total

4¢

$1.0M 24h

#6

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

$6.1M total4 outcomes

45¢

$779k 24h

#7

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

$30.3M total

0¢

$698k 24h

#8

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

$20.7M total5 outcomes

1¢

$585k 24h

#9

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

$10.6M total5 outcomes

$534k 24h

#10

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

$2.0M total6 outcomes

$430k 24h

#11

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

$22.0M total16 outcomes

43¢

$364k 24h

#12

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

$9.6M total

51¢

$345k 24h

#13

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

$11.7M total28 outcomes

35¢

$338k 24h

#14

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

$23.4M total

7¢

$335k 24h

#15

Iran leader end of 2026?

$10.4M total123 outcomes

3¢

$291k 24h

#16

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

$46.4M total5 outcomes

$276k 24h

#17

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

$40.6M total26 outcomes

$272k 24h

#18

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

$2.4M total

26¢

$248k 24h

#19

Israel closes its airspace by...?

$2.6M total5 outcomes

$238k 24h

#20

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

$1.1M total4 outcomes

$205k 24h

#21

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

$2.8M total

40¢

$183k 24h

#22

Iran leadership change by...?

$15.2M total6 outcomes

$158k 24h

#23

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$32.1M total

19¢

$148k 24h

#24

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

$43.9M total

2¢

$133k 24h

#25

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

$1.3M total

69¢

$125k 24h

#26

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

$18.6M total71 outcomes

9¢

$119k 24h

#27

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$88.9M total57 outcomes

6¢

$105k 24h

#28

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

$579k total

4¢

$100k 24h

#29

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

$2.2M total2 outcomes

18¢

$98k 24h

#30

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

$2.9M total

2¢

$93k 24h