Geopolitics Top Movers

Most active prediction markets by 24-hour trading volume.

#1

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

$63.8M total24 outcomes

0¢

$1.8M 24h

#2

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

$14.4M total

8¢

$640k 24h

#3

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

$6.1M total5 outcomes

$431k 24h

#4

US announces blockade on Iran by...?

$1.8M total4 outcomes

$301k 24h

#5

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

$8.7M total

0¢

$284k 24h

#6

Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

$4.0M total8 outcomes

$240k 24h

#7

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

$9.2M total7 outcomes

$220k 24h

#8

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

$5.1M total14 outcomes

$176k 24h

#9

Israel closes its airspace by...?

$21.6M total16 outcomes

$134k 24h

#10

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

$62.0M total8 outcomes

1¢

$129k 24h

#11

US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

$445k total7 outcomes

$112k 24h

#12

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

$398k total

23¢

$105k 24h

#13

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$4.8M total

66¢

$96k 24h

#14

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

$2.6M total19 outcomes

14¢

$95k 24h

#15

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$93.4M total57 outcomes

0¢

$84k 24h

#16

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$40.3M total

16¢

$79k 24h

#17

Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?

$57k total2 outcomes

7¢

$56k 24h

#18

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?

$224k total8 outcomes

4¢

$55k 24h

#19

Iran military action against a gulf state on...?

$108k total23 outcomes

6¢

$54k 24h

#20

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

$516k total3 outcomes

$47k 24h

#21

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

$26.4M total28 outcomes

39¢

$45k 24h

#22

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

$17.2M total7 outcomes

$45k 24h

#23

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

$579k total5 outcomes

$40k 24h

#24

Iran leader end of 2026?

$22.5M total123 outcomes

3¢

$40k 24h

#25

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?

$782k total7 outcomes

16¢

$39k 24h

#26

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

$767k total5 outcomes

3¢

$39k 24h

#27

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

$168k total

36¢

$37k 24h

#28

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$21.6M total

8¢

$37k 24h

#29

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

$17.0M total5 outcomes

9¢

$36k 24h

#30

Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?

$35k total

14¢

$35k 24h