Geopolitics Top Movers

Most active prediction markets by 24-hour trading volume.

#1

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

$13.7M total20 outcomes

100¢

$666k 24h

#2

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

$35.4M total29 outcomes

100¢

$646k 24h

#3

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$656k total3 outcomes

3¢

$474k 24h

#4

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

$40.6M total23 outcomes

$446k 24h

#5

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

$2.7M total

0¢

$281k 24h

#6

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

$46.7M total28 outcomes

31¢

$277k 24h

#7

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$74.3M total

17¢

$232k 24h

#8

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

$414k total4 outcomes

4¢

$218k 24h

#9

Iran leadership change by...?

$27.4M total14 outcomes

$146k 24h

#10

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

$2.0M total10 outcomes

$140k 24h

#11

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$1.8M total3 outcomes

1¢

$139k 24h

#12

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

$2.0M total10 outcomes

100¢

$109k 24h

#13

Trump out as President before 2027?

$12.6M total

4¢

$84k 24h

#14

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$14.9M total

12¢

$76k 24h

#15

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

$44.1M total

2¢

$76k 24h

#16

Israel military action against Syria by...?

$157k total5 outcomes

$71k 24h

#17

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

$605k total10 outcomes

14¢

$68k 24h

#18

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

$18.1M total7 outcomes

$63k 24h

#19

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

$540k total31 outcomes

100¢

$62k 24h

#20

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

$20.0M total9 outcomes

$58k 24h

#21

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

$1.5M total6 outcomes

$58k 24h

#22

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

$8.7M total18 outcomes

$51k 24h

#23

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$98.3M total57 outcomes

0¢

$51k 24h

#24

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

$115k total31 outcomes

$49k 24h

#25

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

$14.9M total

3¢

$47k 24h

#26

Crude Oil all time high by...?

$4.9M total5 outcomes

$45k 24h

#27

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

$279k total4 outcomes

8¢

$45k 24h

#28

Houthis enter Aden by...?

$641k total5 outcomes

$45k 24h

#29

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

$76.1M total11 outcomes

$42k 24h

#30

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

$302k total

77¢

$40k 24h